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Casey Mize

Casey Mize

SP • San Diego Padres Proj Rank 44 Actual 89 248 ADP • Trade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
99.23.255-795/258.61.0912.45
Compared to same point last season
109.13.7012-4103/298.51.27

Casey Mize | Fantasy Outlook

Casey Mize finds his groove in San Diego's rotation ahead of a favorable home matchup

Mize has rebounded in impressive fashion after his bumpy team debut, delivering a 1.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP across 12 innings in his last two starts. Acquired at the trade deadline to stabilize a rotation missing Nick Pivetta and Joe Musgrove, he is locked in as a reliable mid-rotation starter for a 68-60 Padres squad contending in the NL Wild Card race.

Through 19 starts this season, Mize carries a 3.31 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across 97.8 innings, comfortably outperforming our baseline 4.11 ERA projection. His career-best 3.80 strikeout-to-walk ratio confirms that his improved strike-throwing is genuine, making this extended breakout sustainable rather than a temporary hot streak.

Looking at the remainder of the week, Mize gets a single start on Saturday at home against the Twins, facing Dean Kremer and his 5.40 ERA. Our models project 6.1 innings of two-run ball with 4.4 strikeouts and a sub-1.00 WHIP in this favorable matchup. Lock him in with full confidence. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Casey Mize Fantasy

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DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
08/16 @CLE 6.0 86 3 1 0 WIN 3.25 1.09 21
08/10 MIL 6.0 83 6 2 2 N/A 3.46 1.12 16
08/05 @ARI 3.1 77 1 3 8 LOSS 3.49 1.12 -11
07/25 KC 6.0 85 3 0 1 N/A 2.77 1.02 16
07/19 @LAA 3.1 74 5 1 1 N/A 2.87 1.06 8
07/11 PHI 5.2 97 5 2 3 LOSS 2.88 1.03 5
07/05 @TEX 6.2 94 4 2 2 WIN 2.73 1.01 20
06/29 @NYY 7.0 88 10 0 0 WIN 2.73 1.01 32
06/23 NYY 5.2 97 6 1 4 LOSS 3.07 1.11 4
06/17 @HOU 4.2 86 3 1 3 LOSS 2.70 1.06 1
05/27 LAA 4.0 58 6 1 0 N/A 2.27 0.97 13
05/21 CLE 6.2 95 4 0 2 LOSS 2.47 0.98 11
05/16 TOR 6.0 71 4 0 0 N/A 2.43 1.05 18
04/28 @ATL 2.1 34 3 1 2 LOSS 2.90 1.19 -1
04/22 MIL 6.0 88 7 3 1 WIN 2.51 1.15 23
04/17 @BOS 6.2 94 7 1 0 N/A 2.78 1.19 21
04/11 MIA 5.2 74 5 1 1 WIN 3.94 1.44 17
04/06 @MIN 4.1 90 4 3 5 LOSS 5.23 1.55 -2
03/31 @ARI 6.0 93 9 2 1 N/A 1.50 1.00 20
Totals: 99.21564952536 228
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2020 DET 7 28.1 543 26 13 0 0-3 6.99 1.48 8.3 31
2021 DET 29 148.1 2303 115 40 0 7-9 3.7 1.13 7 291
2022 DET 2 10.0 169 4 2 0 0-1 5.4 1.5 3.6 6
2024 DET 22 100.0 1789 78 29 0 2-6 4.68 1.51 7 150
2025 DET 30 150.1 2469 146 40 0 14-6 3.95 1.3 8.7 359
2026 DET 19 99.2 1564 95 25 0 5-7 3.25 1.09 8.6 228
ON PACE 24 127 1995 121 31 0 6-8 3.25 1.09 8.6 291
3-YEAR AVG 17 83 1419 75 23 0 5-4 4.21 1.39 8.1 170
Career 109 532.0 8837 464 149 0 0-0 4.11 1.28 7.9

Mize Projection

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ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
2.87 0.973 0.7 0.4 4.4 3.1 7.2 6.1 0.2 84.1 13
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

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Depth Chart

San Diego Padres

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Luis Campusano 3% 3%
NAME OWN START
Manny Machado 98% 85%
Ty France 46% 31%
Gavin Sheets 15% 9%
NAME OWN START
Xander Bogaerts 37% 23%
Jake Cronenworth 10% 7%
NAME OWN START
Jackson Merrill 100% 90%
Fernando Tatis Jr. 100% 92%
Luis Rengifo 23% 17%
Ramon Laureano 11% 3%
Samad Taylor 3% 0%
Miguel Andujar 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Michael King 98% 58%
Robbie Ray 91% 55%
Casey Mize 80% 36%
Nick Pivetta 61% 9%
Joe Musgrove 31% 1%
Walker Buehler 25% 13%
Randy Vasquez 21% 16%
JP Sears 2% 0%
Lucas Giolito 2% 0%
Griffin Canning 1% 1%
NAME OWN START
Mason Miller 100% 93%
Adrian Morejon 43% 41%
Jason Adam 12% 2%
Jeremiah Estrada 12% 10%
Bradgley Rodriguez 5% 5%

Team Rankings

AVG
.238
23rd
R
543
21st
HR
143
17th
RBI
524
21st
SB
124
5th
OBP
.315
18th
SLG
.389
23rd
OPS
.704
23rd
W
68
9th
SV
38
6th
ERA
4.06
14th
WHIP
1.31
18th
QS
27
28th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
DodgersDodgers77-51.602-640495
PadresPadres68-60.5319543540
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks67-61.52310579575
GiantsGiants52-75.40924.5513589
RockiesRockies50-77.39426.5611733

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Luis Campusano4713316405230.301  
Freddy Fermin7819118374160.194  
Rodolfo Durán3982812380.146  
Blake Hunt2300000.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ty France102327439517521.291  
Gavin Sheets118345467416464.214  
Nick Solak4701010.143  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Jake Cronenworth7625832584207.225  
Sung-Mun Song62114192311512.202  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Manny Machado1254656310024712.215  
Gage Workman184137280.171  
Will Wagner163559000.257  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Xander Bogaerts1214134991114616.220  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Jackson Merrill12548365116196324.240  
Fernando Tatis Jr.12648971137156128.280  
Ramón Laureano5318223377217.203  
Nick Castellanos391159224202.191  
Luis Rengifo8728836704326.243  
Austin Hays18596142100.237  
Jase Bowen56771313275.169  
Samad Taylor268814291116.330  
Bryce Johnson324558025.178  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Miguel Andujar7423924625222.259  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Michael King26890149.01283.381.17  
Robbie Ray251170137.21173.201.32  
Walker Buehler25760120.11044.791.39  
Casey Mize19570102.0953.181.07  
Griffin Canning2139072.0726.501.54  
Randy Vásquez24860111.0714.301.38  
Germán Márquez1342153.0375.261.49  
JP Sears834032.2254.681.35  
Nick Pivetta412016.0244.501.13  
Lucas Giolito723029.2185.161.85  
Jhony Brito30005.143.380.94  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Mason Miller50413152.1950.860.82  
Jason Adam3622232.1222.511.18  
Adrian Morejon5892268.0832.781.09  
Jeremiah Estrada3222130.0373.601.17  
Bradgley Rodriguez5232156.1602.081.07  
Wandy Peralta5422062.0393.481.40  
Yuki Matsui3731048.2502.221.15  
Kyle Hart3403051.1494.031.09  
Alek Jacob31005.065.401.40  
David Morgan1820022.0264.501.77  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
08-17 @NYML 2-1Walker Buehler
Nolan McLean
08-18 @NYMW 2-5Robbie Ray
Zac Thornton
08-19 @NYML 4-2Michael King
Robert Stock
08-21 MIN09:40 EDTRandy Vasquez
Connor Prielipp
08-22 MIN08:40 EDTCasey Mize
Dean Kremer
08-23 MIN04:10 EDTWalker Buehler
Bailey Ober

Player Timeline

Aug 16th

White Sox Sweep Tigers, Crush Detroit’s AL Central Title Hopes

Aug 6th

Casey Mize Seeks Answers After Career-Worst Padres Start, Turns to Tarik ...

Aug 5th

Mize and Ray’s Padres Debuts Gain Importance After Pivetta Injury ...

Aug 4th

MLB Roster Moves: Casey Mize and Gage Workman Added; JP Sears and Rodolfo ...

Aug 3rd

Kash Mayfield, Acquired by Tigers for Casey Mize, Seen as Potential ...

Aug 2nd

MLB Trade Rumor: Tigers’ Casey Mize Emerges as Top Starting-Pitcher ...

Aug 1st

Tigers Trade Talks Heat Up Around Tarik Skubal and Casey Mize

Jul 31st

MLB Trade Deadline: Peralta, Griffin and Mize Likely Making Final Starts ...

Jul 7th

ESPN Updates MLB Trade Deadline Top 100 Candidates; Jung Hoo Lee and ...

Jun 29th

Casey Mize Dominates Yankees with 10 Strikeouts and 7 Shutout Innings

Jun 11th

Casey Mize Set to Return Sunday; Tigers Consider Six-Man Rotation

May 16th

MLB Shares All-Time Reactions to Casey Mize’s Nasty Pitches

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