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Bailey Ober

Bailey Ober

SP • Minnesota Twins Proj Rank N/A Actual 111 209 ADPTrade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
71.24.46-351/196.41.198.23
Compared to same point last season
92.25.344-677/227.51.44

Bailey Ober | Fantasy Outlook

Bailey Ober returns from the injured list to stabilize the Twins' rotation

Ober successfully reclaimed his role as the number two starter for the third-place Twins, who currently sit at 48-49 in the standings. In his first start back from a flexor strain, he was efficient, allowing just one earned run over five innings while striking out five batters and walking only one. His return is a massive boost for a Minnesota staff that is currently navigating significant health issues, including the loss of Pablo Lopez for the season.

While his 4.47 ERA on the season is a bit inflated compared to his 2024 form, his 1.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over the last week suggest he is finding his rhythm. Our models project a 4.31 ERA and 1.18 WHIP for the rest of the season, which aligns with his career baseline of elite control and base-runner prevention. If his velocity remains stable after the layoff, he is well-positioned to serve as a high-floor ratio stabilizer for fantasy managers.

Looking ahead, the Twins have a three-game road set against the Cubs, but Ober is not listed as a probable starter for the remainder of this week following his July 15 outing. Owners should prepare for his next turn early next week, where he will likely see an increased pitch count after being capped at 74 pitches in his return. Because he does not have a scheduled appearance left in the current period, he is a vital roster asset with no immediate weekly utility. Hold.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Bailey Ober Fantasy

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DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
07/09 CLE 5.0 74 5 1 1 N/A 4.40 1.19 12
05/30 @PIT 4.2 97 3 1 7 LOSS 4.59 1.22 -6
05/24 @BOS 5.0 82 3 0 4 WIN 3.92 1.10 11
05/17 MIL 5.0 77 1 2 3 WIN 3.63 1.07 9
05/12 MIA 9.0 89 7 0 0 WIN 3.46 1.02 37
05/06 @WAS 5.0 82 3 2 5 LOSS 4.19 1.19 -1
04/30 TOR 6.0 88 2 2 1 WIN 3.55 1.13 18
04/25 @TB 6.0 83 3 2 2 LOSS 3.94 1.16 9
04/19 CIN 6.1 102 10 4 0 N/A 4.15 1.23 22
04/13 BOS 6.0 95 7 1 4 WIN 5.49 1.27 16
04/08 DET 5.2 99 2 1 2 WIN 5.27 1.24 13
04/03 TB 4.0 82 4 2 3 N/A 6.75 1.38 6
03/29 @BAL 4.0 56 1 1 3 N/A 6.75 1.25 4
Totals: 71.21106511935 149
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2021 MIN 19 88.1 1417 92 19 0 3-3 4.18 1.19 9.4 181
2022 MIN 11 56.0 854 51 11 0 2-3 3.21 1.05 8.2 115
2023 MIN 28 148.2 2408 150 30 0 8-7 3.69 1.1 9.1 346
2024 MIN 31 178.2 2696 191 43 0 12-9 3.98 1 9.6 454
2025 MIN 27 144.0 2356 120 31 0 6-9 5.19 1.32 7.5 249
2026 MIN 13 71.2 1106 51 19 0 6-3 4.4 1.19 6.4 149
ON PACE 21 119 1847 85 31 0 10-5 4.4 1.19 6.4 248
3-YEAR AVG 29 155 2487 154 35 0 9-8 4.28 1.14 8.9 349
Career 129 680.1 10837 655 153 0 0-0 4.22 1.15 8.7

Ober Projection

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ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

Minnesota Twins

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Ryan Jeffers 51% 25%
Victor Caratini 10% 4%
NAME OWN START
Kody Clemens 62% 55%
Royce Lewis 31% 21%
Kaelen Culpepper 5% 0%
NAME OWN START
Brooks Lee 66% 57%
Luke Keaschall 50% 42%
NAME OWN START
Byron Buxton 100% 19%
Josh Bell 39% 31%
Trevor Larnach 18% 14%
Walker Jenkins 7% 0%
Austin Martin 2% 1%
Emmanuel Rodriguez 2% 0%
Matt Wallner 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Joe Ryan 100% 84%
Taj Bradley 92% 77%
Bailey Ober 26% 11%
Zebby Matthews 25% 13%
Mick Abel 10% 0%
Connor Prielipp 8% 0%
Pablo Lopez 4% 0%
NAME OWN START
Yoendrys Gomez 41% 38%
Jacob Webb 16% 15%
Andrew Morris 13% 11%
Taylor Rogers 1% 1%

Team Rankings

AVG
.248
9th
R
471
6th
HR
120
10th
RBI
449
6th
SB
56
19th
OBP
.322
9th
SLG
.415
7th
OPS
.737
8th
W
48
16th
SV
27
12th
ERA
4.62
24th
WHIP
1.37
23rd
QS
36
9th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
GuardiansGuardians51-46.526-385387
White SoxWhite Sox50-45.526-454419
TwinsTwins48-49.4953471485
TigersTigers44-52.4586.5407383
RoyalsRoyals38-59.39213411499

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Victor Caratini7022123537350.240  
Ryan Jeffers3913026387281.292  
Alex Jackson2154616140.296  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Kody Clemens83301457316466.243  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Luke Keaschall91306487942812.258  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Royce Lewis63228305010296.219  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Brooks Lee93341448514516.249  
Tristan Gray6116615394292.235  
Orlando Arcia1948613120.271  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Byron Buxton75306578325457.271  
Trevor Larnach8025344737322.289  
Ryan Kreidler5212921335230.256  
Matt Wallner3412014204100.167  
Austin Martin8422933572209.249  
Gabriel Gonzalez1211000.500  
Alan Roden51403030.214  
Kyler Fedko141610010.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Josh Bell94343488513601.248  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Joe Ryan20650110.11282.861.05  
Taj Bradley18930102.21183.591.22  
Connor Prielipp1325066.2715.001.37  
Zebby Matthews1146067.0544.571.22  
Bailey Ober1363071.2514.401.19  
Mick Abel412020.1233.981.57  
Mike Paredes702029.1154.601.30  
John Klein30104.124.151.62  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Yoendrys Gómez39101143.2383.501.26  
Andrew Morris3542346.0483.331.26  
Luis García1501215.069.001.93  
Taylor Rogers4043233.2305.611.63  
Travis Adams1810224.2326.201.54  
Justin Topa2401220.0157.651.90  
Anthony Banda3920234.1334.461.34  
Cole Sands1211111.2114.631.37  
Kody Funderburk2611124.1164.071.44  
Cody Laweryson1510116.2184.861.38  
Eric Orze3622141.1365.661.52  
Tommy Nance3322034.0363.971.29  
Austin Voth301010.039.902.50  
Marco Raya30006.043.001.33  
Garrett Acton41106.292.701.05  
Kendry Rojas711018.1212.951.64  
Woo-Suk Go20002.014.501.50  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
07-17 @CHC08:05 EDT
Colin Rea
07-18 @CHC02:20 EDT
Matthew Boyd
07-19 @CHC02:20 EDT
Shota Imanaga

Player Timeline

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Zach Thornton NYM SP +1.4
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Adley Rutschman BAL C +1.3
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Trea Turner PHI SS +1.2
Trevor Larnach MIN LF +1.2
Riley O'Brien STL RP +1.1
Dustin May STL SP -3.6
Jake Mangum PIT CF -3.0
Cole Carrigg COL CF -3.0
Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B -2.5
Kody Clemens MIN 1B -2.5
Garrett Mitchell MIL CF -2.3
Alex Lange KC RP -2.3
AJ Smith-Shawver ATL SP -2.2
Shane Bieber TOR SP -2.2
Bryce Elder ATL SP -2.1
Nick Gonzales PIT 3B -2.1
J.T. Ginn ATH SP -2.1
Brooks Lee MIN SS -2.0
Brandon Young BAL SP -2.0
Nasim Nunez WAS 2B -2.0