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2025 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES

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Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.

We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.

ALL QB RB TE WR K DST
THROUGH WEEK 17 THROUGH WEEK 14
AVG Pick Player GP POS Rank FPTS GP POS Rank FPTS
1.42 Ja'Marr Chase 15 5WR 290 12 6WR 222
4.84 Justin Jefferson 17 24WR 192 14 22WR 166
6.57 CeeDee Lamb 13 16WR 211 10 20WR 173
9.90 Amon-Ra St. Brown 17 3WR 329 14 4WR 263
10.62 Malik Nabers 4 101WR 57 4 91WR 57
10.84 Puka Nacua 16 2WR 366 13 3WR 276
14.45 Nico Collins 16 10WR 235 13 11WR 193
17.25 Brian Thomas 13 45WR 131 10 50WR 102
18.22 A.J. Brown 16 9WR 245 13 8WR 203
20.97 Drake London 11 26WR 184 9 16WR 177
27.96 Tee Higgins 15 21WR 201 13 17WR 177
28.33 Ladd McConkey 16 29WR 181 13 26WR 159
29.91 Tyreek Hill 4 106WR 54 4 94WR 54
35.49 Davante Adams 15 8WR 246 14 5WR 235
36.74 Jaxon Smith-Njigba 17 1WR 383 14 1WR 325
38.26 Terry McLaurin 9 57WR 105 6 77WR 69
42.94 Garrett Wilson 7 60WR 100 7 52WR 100
43.39 Mike Evans 7 84WR 79 4 123WR 34
46.01 Marvin Harrison 12 49WR 128 10 41WR 125
48.13 DK Metcalf 16 20WR 202 14 15WR 179
49.99 Xavier Worthy 15 52WR 120 12 48WR 108
54.07 D.J. Moore 17 25WR 191 14 33WR 145
55.80 Courtland Sutton 16 13WR 218 13 23WR 165
58.33 Zay Flowers 17 11WR 225 14 19WR 175
63.36 Calvin Ridley 7 114WR 47 7 102WR 47
63.62 DeVonta Smith 17 17WR 209 14 13WR 181
64.99 Tetairoa McMillan 17 15WR 212 14 12WR 187
65.54 Jameson Williams 17 19WR 207 14 24WR 162
65.84 George Pickens 17 4WR 320 14 2WR 276
67.17 Jaylen Waddle 16 23WR 194 13 18WR 177
67.42 Rashee Rice 9 33WR 174 8 25WR 162
68.28 Jerry Jeudy 17 53WR 119 14 51WR 101
76.03 Rome Odunze 13 40WR 154 13 30WR 154
76.90 Travis Hunter 7 96WR 64 7 83WR 64
81.46 Matthew Golden 13 93WR 68 10 90WR 57
83.61 Jakobi Meyers 16 30WR 181 13 31WR 153
84.39 Chris Olave 17 6WR 284 14 9WR 201
88.22 Stefon Diggs 17 18WR 207 14 28WR 157
88.54 Cooper Kupp 16 55WR 116 13 53WR 98
92.46 Emeka Egbuka 17 22WR 200 14 14WR 180
95.29 Ricky Pearsall 10 71WR 91 8 85WR 62
96.66 Deebo Samuel Sr. 15 27WR 184 12 27WR 159
98.35 Chris Godwin 9 78WR 84 6 112WR 38
99.51 Michael Pittman 17 14WR 213 14 10WR 197
105.62 Khalil Shakir 17 28WR 183 14 29WR 155
105.99 Jordan Addison 14 44WR 133 11 47WR 108
107.79 Jauan Jennings 15 31WR 181 12 38WR 132
109.18 Keon Coleman 11 66WR 94 11 57WR 94
117.00 Keenan Allen 16 34WR 172 13 32WR 151
120.71 Jayden Reed 5 111WR 49 2 133WR 23
123.88 Josh Downs 16 47WR 130 13 49WR 102
124.08 Rashid Shaheed 18 41WR 144 15 40WR 127
125.48 Darnell Mooney 15 65WR 94 12 70WR 77
130.36 Jayden Higgins 17 43WR 133 14 45WR 112
136.43 Xavier Legette 15 72WR 89 12 67WR 80
142.27 Adam Thielen 14 74WR 32 11 62WR 18
145.64 Marvin Mims 14 79WR 84 11 79WR 66
146.76 Brandon Aiyuk 0 0 0
148.05 Cedric Tillman 12 99WR 58 10 97WR 51
151.34 Wan'Dale Robinson 17 7WR 249 14 7WR 205
153.43 Marquise Brown 16 46WR 130 14 42WR 123
154.94 Rashod Bateman 13 104WR 55 11 95WR 54
155.50 Luther Burden 15 48WR 130 13 60WR 87
155.97 Christian Kirk 11 86WR 74 9 81WR 65
N/A Michael Wilson 14 12WR 222 17 21WR 172
N/A Troy Franklin 13 32WR 177 16 35WR 140
N/A Quentin Johnston 11 35WR 171 13 36WR 136
N/A Parker Washington 12 36WR 171 15 44WR 117
N/A Romeo Doubs 14 37WR 170 17 37WR 136
N/A Tre Tucker 14 38WR 162 17 34WR 143
N/A Alec Pierce 12 39WR 158 15 39WR 131
N/A Christian Watson 8 42WR 142 11 46WR 110
N/A Chimere Dike 14 50WR 124 17 55WR 96
N/A Kayshon Boutte 12 51WR 123 14 43WR 117
N/A Mack Hollins 13 54WR 118 15 56WR 96
N/A Elic Ayomanor 12 56WR 109 15 65WR 83
N/A Ryan Flournoy 11 58WR 102 13 64WR 84
N/A Tez Johnson 12 59WR 102 15 54WR 97
N/A Malik Washington 13 61WR 99 16 63WR 85
N/A Andrei Iosivas 12 62WR 98 15 61WR 86
N/A DeMario Douglas 13 63WR 97 16 58WR 93
N/A Adonai Mitchell 13 64WR 96 16 78WR 66
N/A Darius Slayton 11 67WR 93 14 72WR 76
N/A Jalen Nailor 14 68WR 93 17 75WR 73
N/A Kendrick Bourne 10 69WR 92 13 68WR 79
N/A Greg Dortch 13 70WR 92 13 59WR 92
N/A KaVontae Turpin 12 73WR 88 15 82WR 65
N/A Olamide Zaccheaus 13 75WR 86 15 66WR 81
N/A Xavier Hutchinson 13 76WR 86 16 71WR 77
N/A John Metchie 9 77WR 85 12 76WR 70
N/A Dontayvion Wicks 11 80WR 81 14 73WR 75
N/A Tyquan Thornton 11 81WR 81 12 74WR 74
N/A Jalen Coker 8 82WR 80 11 93WR 55
N/A Calvin Austin 12 83WR 79 14 69WR 78
N/A Isaac TeSlaa 11 87WR 73 14 105WR 44
N/A Devaughn Vele 9 88WR 73 10 86WR 61
N/A Van Jefferson 12 89WR 72 15 92WR 55
N/A JuJu Smith-Schuster 13 90WR 72 16 80WR 65
N/A Jaylin Noel 13 92WR 68 14 96WR 53
N/A Pat Bryant 10 94WR 68 11 88WR 59
N/A Tre' Harris 12 95WR 65 15 103WR 45
N/A Isaiah Bond 12 97WR 60 15 104WR 44
N/A Tory Horton 7 98WR 59 7 87WR 59
N/A Kalif Raymond 9 100WR 58 12 113WR 38
N/A David Sills V 9 102WR 57 12 118WR 36
N/A Joshua Palmer 9 103WR 55 12 100WR 49
N/A Demarcus Robinson 11 105WR 55 14 121WR 34
N/A Kyle Williams 11 107WR 52 13 122WR 34
N/A Luke McCaffrey 7 109WR 51 7 98WR 51
N/A Tim Patrick 12 110WR 50 14 101WR 48
N/A Dyami Brown 9 112WR 48 10 99WR 50
N/A Xavier Smith 7 113WR 47 9 128WR 28
N/A Jalen Tolbert 9 115WR 46 10 109WR 39
N/A Tyrell Shavers 8 116WR 46 10 114WR 37
N/A Jahan Dotson 12 118WR 43 14 108WR 39
N/A Jack Bech 9 119WR 42 11 124WR 32
N/A Jordan Whittington 12 120WR 41 14 111WR 38
N/A Isaiah Hodgins 4 121WR 40 6 116WR 37
N/A Roman Wilson 10 122WR 39 10 107WR 39
N/A Tyler Johnson 7 125WR 38 9 120WR 35
N/A Jaylin Lane 12 126WR 37 13 115WR 37
N/A Lil'Jordan Humphrey 4 128WR 35 7 153WR 15
N/A Konata Mumpfield 6 130WR 30 9 140WR 20
N/A Devontez Walker 5 132WR 29 5 127WR 29
N/A Elijah Moore 10 133WR 29 10 126WR 29
N/A Jimmy Horn 7 134WR 28 10 139WR 21
N/A Tutu Atwell 5 135WR 28 7 129WR 26
N/A Jalen McMillan 0 136WR 28 3 193WR 0
N/A Mason Tipton 5 137WR 27 7 146WR 18
N/A Malachi Corley 9 138WR 27 12 148WR 18
N/A Savion Williams 11 139WR 26 12 132WR 25
N/A Treylon Burks 4 140WR 26 7 144WR 19
N/A Ashton Dulin 7 141WR 26 7 130WR 26
N/A Dont'e Thornton 10 142WR 26 11 136WR 23
N/A Kevin Austin 1 143WR 25 4 189WR 0
N/A Brycen Tremayne 6 145WR 25 8 131WR 25
N/A Marquez Valdes-Scantling 5 146WR 24 8 169WR 8
N/A Jamari Thrash 8 149WR 21 8 137WR 21
N/A Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 8 151WR 20 9 142WR 20
N/A Ben Skowronek 7 152WR 20 7 141WR 20
N/A Theo Wease 0 153WR 19 2 192WR 0
N/A Kameron Johnson 4 156WR 18 4 150WR 18
N/A Cody White 3 157WR 18 3 147WR 18
N/A Xavier Weaver 5 158WR 16 7 175WR 7
N/A Dylan Drummond 4 159WR 16 4 152WR 16
N/A Skyy Moore 7 160WR 15 9 163WR 11
N/A Tylan Wallace 7 161WR 15 7 155WR 15
N/A Darius Cooper 3 162WR 15 5 170WR 8
N/A Casey Washington 5 164WR 15 5 154WR 15
N/A Jahdae Walker 0 165WR 15 2 191WR 0
N/A Shedrick Jackson 1 166WR 14 2 166WR 10
N/A Arian Smith 9 167WR 14 12 159WR 13
N/A Michael Bandy 1 169WR 13 3 188WR 1
N/A Keandre Lambert-Smith 3 171WR 12 6 187WR 1
N/A Efton Chism 0 172WR 12 1 190WR 0
N/A Xavier Restrepo 3 173WR 12 3 160WR 12
N/A Scotty Miller 2 174WR 12 4 185WR 2
N/A Gage Larvadain 6 175WR 12 7 162WR 11
N/A Ryan Miller 4 177WR 11 4 161WR 11
N/A Braxton Berrios 2 179WR 10 2 165WR 10
N/A Jalin Hyatt 5 181WR 9 6 168WR 9
N/A Tom Kennedy 1 182WR 8 1 172WR 8
N/A Austin Trammell 6 183WR 8 6 173WR 8
N/A Mason Kinsey 1 185WR 7 2 186WR 2
N/A Dareke Young 2 186WR 7 3 174WR 7
N/A Jalen Brooks 1 188WR 6 2 182WR 5
N/A Justin Watson 2 190WR 6 2 177WR 6
N/A Tai Felton 2 191WR 6 3 183WR 4

Latest from FSP

Waiver Trends

More Trends
Eagles DST PHI DST +3.2
Bhayshul Tuten JAC RB +3.0
Jalen Hurts PHI QB +2.1
Tetairoa McMillan CAR WR +2.0
Ladd McConkey LAC WR +2.0
Tucker Kraft GB TE +1.9
Jauan Jennings MIN WR +1.9
Xavier Worthy KC WR +1.7
Quentin Johnston LAC WR +1.5
Jake Bates DET K +1.4
Chiefs DST KC DST +1.4
Jacoby Brissett ARI QB +1.4
Sam LaPorta DET TE +1.3
Saints DST NO DST +1.3
Harrison Butker KC K +1.2
Trey Benson ARI RB -3.2
Josh Downs IND WR -3.0
Taysom Hill TE -2.5
Darren Waller TE -2.4
Travis Kelce KC TE -2.2
Khalil Shakir BUF WR -2.1
DK Metcalf PIT WR -2.1
Kaleb Johnson PIT RB -2.0
Xavier Legette CAR WR -2.0
Calvin Austin NYG WR -1.9
Commanders DST WAS DST -1.9
Braelon Allen NYJ RB -1.9
Ryan Flournoy DAL WR -1.9
Jawhar Jordan HOU RB -1.8
Marcus Mariota WAS QB -1.7

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