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2025 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES

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Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.

We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.

ALL QB RB TE WR K DST
THROUGH WEEK 17 THROUGH WEEK 14
AVG Pick Player GP POS Rank FPTS GP POS Rank FPTS
21.64 Brock Bowers 13 9TE 188 11 5TE 165
27.39 Trey McBride 17 1TE 319 14 1TE 252
37.88 George Kittle 11 12TE 167 9 14TE 120
53.97 Sam LaPorta 9 26TE 107 9 20TE 107
62.32 T.J. Hockenson 16 21TE 119 14 21TE 107
65.83 Travis Kelce 17 4TE 197 14 3TE 173
78.75 David Njoku 11 35TE 86 11 28TE 86
79.93 Mark Andrews 17 16TE 130 14 17TE 115
83.45 Evan Engram 15 30TE 95 12 31TE 81
93.60 Tyler Warren 17 7TE 190 14 4TE 170
109.19 Tucker Kraft 8 23TE 117 8 15TE 117
109.38 Colston Loveland 16 13TE 155 13 16TE 117
125.15 Dalton Kincaid 11 22TE 118 9 19TE 112
126.05 Dallas Goedert 16 8TE 189 13 9TE 142
127.13 Kyle Pitts Sr. 17 2TE 204 14 10TE 136
128.89 Jake Ferguson 17 3TE 198 14 2TE 182
142.97 Hunter Henry 17 6TE 193 14 6TE 161
143.97 Zach Ertz 13 19TE 126 13 13TE 126
152.13 Jonnu Smith 17 33TE 90 14 35TE 69
159.40 Darren Waller 8 34TE 89 5 39TE 55
N/A Harold Fannin 14 5TE 195 17 7TE 152
N/A Juwan Johnson 14 10TE 183 17 8TE 146
N/A Dalton Schultz 14 11TE 168 17 12TE 127
N/A AJ Barner 14 14TE 148 17 18TE 114
N/A Theo Johnson 14 15TE 139 16 11TE 128
N/A Chig Okonkwo 14 17TE 129 17 26TE 91
N/A Oronde Gadsden 11 18TE 127 14 22TE 103
N/A Colby Parkinson 11 20TE 124 14 30TE 84
N/A Pat Freiermuth 12 24TE 116 15 24TE 94
N/A Brenton Strange 9 25TE 115 12 27TE 88
N/A Cade Otton 13 27TE 106 15 23TE 95
N/A Gunnar Helm 14 28TE 103 17 29TE 84
N/A Dawson Knox 13 29TE 98 16 34TE 69
N/A Mason Taylor 14 31TE 94 14 25TE 94
N/A Jake Tonges 7 32TE 93 9 33TE 73
N/A Darnell Washington 11 36TE 78 14 36TE 64
N/A Noah Fant 12 37TE 77 13 32TE 77
N/A Mike Gesicki 9 38TE 75 12 40TE 54
N/A Cole Kmet 13 39TE 74 16 37TE 63
N/A Davis Allen 13 40TE 69 15 38TE 59
N/A Michael Mayer 10 41TE 69 12 45TE 49
N/A Austin Hooper 11 42TE 65 13 43TE 50
N/A Isaiah Likely 10 43TE 59 11 41TE 53
N/A Greg Dulcich 5 44TE 57 8 63TE 28
N/A Ja'Tavion Sanders 10 45TE 56 12 47TE 44
N/A Jackson Hawes 11 46TE 56 13 44TE 50
N/A Terrance Ferguson 9 47TE 52 12 64TE 25
N/A Elijah Higgins 11 48TE 52 14 57TE 35
N/A Josh Oliver 9 49TE 52 12 48TE 43
N/A Tommy Tremble 11 50TE 51 14 46TE 45
N/A Tyler Higbee 8 51TE 51 8 42TE 51
N/A Luke Musgrave 12 52TE 51 14 58TE 35
N/A Tanner Hudson 8 53TE 50 11 51TE 39
N/A Daniel Bellinger 10 54TE 48 12 53TE 38
N/A Mitchell Evans 11 55TE 47 13 50TE 40
N/A Jeremy Ruckert 10 56TE 47 13 52TE 39
N/A Adam Trautman 9 57TE 46 11 55TE 38
N/A Brock Wright 8 58TE 43 8 49TE 43
N/A Elijah Arroyo 14 59TE 38 14 54TE 38
N/A Noah Gray 12 60TE 38 13 56TE 37
N/A Charlie Kolar 9 61TE 36 11 60TE 33
N/A Hunter Long 7 62TE 33 7 59TE 33
N/A Ian Thomas 8 63TE 32 8 61TE 32
N/A Luke Farrell 10 64TE 31 10 62TE 31
N/A Drew Sample 8 66TE 28 11 71TE 18
N/A Mo Alie-Cox 9 68TE 27 11 80TE 13
N/A Ben Sinnott 4 69TE 26 7 78TE 14
N/A Brevyn Spann-Ford 8 70TE 26 10 67TE 22
N/A Luke Schoonmaker 12 71TE 25 14 70TE 18
N/A Drew Ogletree 4 72TE 22 5 69TE 19
N/A Connor Heyward 9 73TE 20 11 82TE 11
N/A Johnny Mundt 10 74TE 20 11 68TE 20
N/A Tanner Conner 7 76TE 18 7 72TE 18
N/A Cade Stover 4 77TE 18 6 84TE 10
N/A John Bates 6 78TE 18 8 75TE 15
N/A Jack Stoll 7 79TE 18 9 76TE 15
N/A Charlie Woerner 7 80TE 18 9 77TE 14
N/A Nate Adkins 5 81TE 17 6 73TE 17
N/A Tyler Conklin 5 82TE 16 5 74TE 16
N/A Josh Whyle 5 83TE 14 6 79TE 13
N/A Grant Calcaterra 7 84TE 14 9 81TE 12
N/A Foster Moreau 7 85TE 13 8 83TE 11
N/A Stone Smartt 1 86TE 12 3 94TE 0
N/A Anthony Firkser 2 87TE 11 4 92TE 3
N/A David Martin-Robinson 2 88TE 11 3 85TE 9
N/A Quintin Morris 2 89TE 10 4 90TE 5
N/A Albert Okwuegbunam 1 90TE 9 1 87TE 9
N/A Durham Smythe 4 91TE 8 5 89TE 6
N/A Devin Culp 0 92TE 8 1 95TE 0
N/A Brenden Bates 1 93TE 7 3 91TE 4
N/A James Mitchell 2 94TE 6 2 88TE 6
N/A Eric Saubert 1 95TE 6 3 93TE 2

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Waiver Trends

More Trends
Eagles DST PHI DST +3.2
Bhayshul Tuten JAC RB +3.0
Jalen Hurts PHI QB +2.1
Tetairoa McMillan CAR WR +2.0
Ladd McConkey LAC WR +2.0
Tucker Kraft GB TE +1.9
Jauan Jennings MIN WR +1.9
Xavier Worthy KC WR +1.7
Quentin Johnston LAC WR +1.5
Jake Bates DET K +1.4
Chiefs DST KC DST +1.4
Jacoby Brissett ARI QB +1.4
Sam LaPorta DET TE +1.3
Saints DST NO DST +1.3
Harrison Butker KC K +1.2
Trey Benson ARI RB -3.2
Josh Downs IND WR -3.0
Taysom Hill TE -2.5
Darren Waller TE -2.4
Travis Kelce KC TE -2.2
Khalil Shakir BUF WR -2.1
DK Metcalf PIT WR -2.1
Kaleb Johnson PIT RB -2.0
Xavier Legette CAR WR -2.0
Calvin Austin NYG WR -1.9
Commanders DST WAS DST -1.9
Braelon Allen NYJ RB -1.9
Ryan Flournoy DAL WR -1.9
Jawhar Jordan HOU RB -1.8
Marcus Mariota WAS QB -1.7

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