| REC | YDS | AVG | LONG | TD | FSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 682 | 14.2 | 47 | 7 | 14.48 |
| Compare to same point last season | |||||
Poised for TE1 Value as Market Sentiment Cools in Buffalo
Dalton Kincaid enters his fourth season firmly atop Buffalo's tight end depth chart, operating as a primary middle-field weapon for Josh Allen. While the addition of DJ Moore adds target competition alongside Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman, Kincaid's standing as the lead tight end ahead of Dawson Knox ensures consistent route participation in an elite scoring offense.
Coming off an efficient 2025 campaign where he averaged 14.6 yards per reception with five scores, our models forecast further growth. We project Kincaid for 58 receptions, 715 yards, and six touchdowns (161.0 PPR fantasy points), solidifying his position as a reliable starting tight end option with weekly touchdown upside.
In fantasy drafts, Kincaid's PPR ADP has slid from the late 100s in July down toward pick 118 in mid-August. This cooling market sentiment creates an appealing buying opportunity, as our projections suggest his current late-round price tag offers immense draft-day value for managers seeking high-ceiling tight end production.
Updated 3 hrs ago
| WK | OPP | TARGET | REC | YD | TD | Pts | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | @DEN (15th) | 6 | 6 | 83 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 | @JAX (11th) | 5 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | NYJ (11th) | 3 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 8 | 11 |
| 17 | PHI (32nd) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 16 | @CLE (16th) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 | @NE (18th) | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 6 | 31 |
| 14 | CIN (1st) | 5 | 4 | 41 | 1 | 14 | 7 |
| 13 | @PIT (4th) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | @HOU (29th) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | @HOU (29th) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | TB (23rd) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | @MIA (6th) | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | KC (29th) | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1 | 22 | 15 |
| 8 | @CAR (4th) | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | @ATL (32nd) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | NE (10th) | 6 | 6 | 108 | 0 | 17 | 7 |
| 4 | NO (14th) | 2 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 10 | 7 |
| 3 | MIA (12th) | 6 | 5 | 66 | 1 | 18 | 9 |
| 2 | @NYJ (9th) | 6 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 8 | 15 |
| 1 | BAL (10th) | 4 | 4 | 48 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| 60 | 48 | 682 | 7 | 158 | |||
| RECEIVING | RUSH | ||||||||||||
| YEAR | TEAM | GP | TGTS | REC | YD | AVG | TD | ATT | YD | AVG | TD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | BUF | 16 | 91 | 73 | 673 | 9.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2024 | BUF | 13 | 75 | 44 | 448 | 10.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2025 | BUF | 12 | 49 | 39 | 571 | 14.6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 3-YEAR AVG | 15 | 78 | 57 | 622 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Totals | 48 | 246 | 179 | 1978 | 11.1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| REC | REC YD | REC TD | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3 | 41.1 | 0.3 | 9.3 |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 100% | 98% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 100% | 100% |
| Ray Davis | 16% | 0% |
| Ty Johnson | 5% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Dalton Kincaid | 93% | 26% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| D.J. Moore | 98% | 65% |
| Khalil Shakir | 81% | 14% |
| Keon Coleman | 12% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bass | 5% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Bills DST | 19% | 12% |
| Team | W-L | Win % | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-3-0 | 0.824 | 490 | 320 | |
| 12-5-0 | 0.706 | 481 | 365 | |
| 7-10-0 | 0.412 | 347 | 424 | |
| 3-14-0 | 0.177 | 300 | 503 |
| Player | TOTAL LOOKS | RUSH ATT | TGT | REC | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 59 | 56 | 3 | 3 | |
| Ty Johnson | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2 | |
| Ray Davis | 11 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| Player | TOTAL LOOKS | TGT | REC | RUSH ATT | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 13 | 13 | 10 | 0 | |
| Keon Coleman | 8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | |
| Joshua Palmer | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
| Gabe Davis | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | |
| Elijah Moore | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Curtis Samuel | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | TOTAL LOOKS | TGT | REC | RUSH ATT | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson Knox | 11 | 11 | 7 | 0 | |
| Dalton Kincaid | 8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | |
| Jackson Hawes | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Keleki Latu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | GP | CMP | ATT | YDS | TD | INT | RATE | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 17 | 319 | 460 | 3668 | 25 | 10 | 102.2 | 579 | 14 | |
| M.Trubisky | 4 | 25 | 35 | 313 | 4 | 0 | 137.0 | 6 | 0 |
| Player | GP | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | TGT | REC | REC YDS | SNAPS | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Cook | 17 | 309 | 1621 | 5.2 | 12 | 40 | 33 | 291 | 639 | |
| R.Davis | 17 | 58 | 275 | 4.7 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 86 | 168 | |
| T.Johnson | 17 | 50 | 200 | 4.0 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 263 | 335 |
| Player | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | SNAPS | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Shakir | 16 | 95 | 72 | 719 | 10.0 | 4 | 54 | 635 | |
| K.Coleman | 13 | 59 | 38 | 404 | 10.6 | 4 | 37 | 576 | |
| J.Palmer | 12 | 37 | 22 | 303 | 13.8 | 0 | 45 | 393 | |
| B.Cooks | 15 | 36 | 24 | 279 | 11.6 | 0 | 50 | 537 | |
| T.Shavers | 17 | 23 | 15 | 245 | 16.3 | 1 | 43 | 441 | |
| G.Davis | 6 | 18 | 12 | 129 | 10.8 | 1 | 22 | 238 | |
| E.Moore | 9 | 17 | 9 | 112 | 12.4 | 0 | 31 | 186 | |
| C.Samuel | 6 | 9 | 7 | 81 | 11.6 | 1 | 21 | 151 | |
| M.Hardman | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | SNAPS | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Kincaid | 12 | 49 | 39 | 571 | 14.6 | 5 | 47 | 302 | |
| D.Knox | 17 | 49 | 36 | 417 | 11.6 | 4 | 32 | 653 | |
| J.Hawes | 17 | 19 | 16 | 187 | 11.7 | 3 | 29 | 487 | |
| K.Latu | 5 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | 14 | 85 |
| Player | GP | FGM | FGA | XPM | XPA | PTS | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Prater | 15 | 18 | 20 | 46 | 49 | 102 | |
| M.Badgley | 9 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 25 | 57 |
| Player | GP | TKL | SACK | TFL | INT | PD | FF | FR | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Bishop | 17 | 85 | 2.0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |
| M.Milano | 12 | 67 | 3.5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| T.Bernard | 12 | 65 | 0.0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
| J.Poyer | 10 | 64 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| T.Johnson | 13 | 57 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| S.Thompson | 12 | 54 | 1.0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| D.Williams | 16 | 48 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| G.Rousseau | 16 | 46 | 7.0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| C.Benford | 14 | 43 | 2.0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | |
| T.White | 16 | 40 | 0.0 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |
| D.Walker | 17 | 39 | 1.0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |
| C.Lewis | 17 | 35 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| J.Bosa | 15 | 29 | 5.0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |
| A.Epenesa | 16 | 29 | 2.5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |
| T.Rapp | 6 | 26 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D.Jones | 12 | 22 | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| L.Ogunjobi | 10 | 19 | 0.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D.Savage | 12 | 18 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| M.Hairston | 11 | 18 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
| T.Sanders | 12 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| M.Judon | 14 | 16 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| J.Andreessen | 17 | 14 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| P.Mathis | 6 | 13 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| E.Oliver | 3 | 12 | 3.0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| J.Hancock | 13 | 11 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J.Phillips | 11 | 9 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| D.Strong | 4 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J.Solomon | 17 | 7 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| M.Hoecht | 2 | 5 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| K.Jenkins | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A.Jones Jr. | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Z.Logue | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| S.Franklin Jr. | 17 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D.Hamlin | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| M.Fox | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B.Codrington | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J.Ciarlo | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B.Spector | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D.Jackson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| L.Jackson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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| WEEK | OPP | SCORE |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF @HOU | |
| 2 | BUF vs DET | |
| 3 | BUF vs LAC | |
| 4 | BUF vs NE | |
| 5 | BUF @LAR | |
| 6 | BUF @LV | |
| 7 | BUF vs BYE | |
| 8 | BUF vs BAL | |
| 9 | BUF @MIN | |
| 10 | BUF @NYJ | |
| 11 | BUF vs MIA | |
| 12 | BUF vs KC | |
| 13 | BUF @NE | |
| 14 | BUF @GB | |
| 15 | BUF vs CHI | |
| 16 | BUF @DEN | |
| 17 | BUF @MIA | |
| 18 | BUF vs NYJ |
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| Zach Charbonnet SEA RB | +5.4 |
| Jaguars DST JAC DST | +5.3 |
| Ollie Gordon MIA RB | +4.5 |
| Keenan Allen IND WR | +3.9 |
| C.J. Stroud HOU QB | +3.8 |
| Chargers DST LAC DST | +3.5 |
| Makai Lemon PHI WR | +3.0 |
| Romeo Doubs NE WR | +2.9 |
| Isaiah Likely NYG TE | +2.8 |
| RJ Harvey DEN RB | +2.6 |
| Travis Kelce KC TE | +2.6 |
| Caleb Williams CHI QB | +2.4 |
| Najee Harris NYG RB | +2.2 |
| Raiders DST LV DST | +2.2 |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT TE | +2.1 |
| Brian Thomas JAC WR | -34.6 |
| Brian Robinson ATL RB | -7.5 |
| Xavier Worthy KC WR | -4.2 |
| Sam Darnold SEA QB | -3.1 |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB RB | -3.0 |
| Jalen McMillan TB WR | -2.9 |
| Ray Davis BUF RB | -2.8 |
| Justice Hill BAL RB | -2.7 |
| Cowboys DST DAL DST | -2.5 |
| Bo Nix DEN QB | -2.2 |
| Brock Purdy SF QB | -2.2 |
| Dallas Goedert PHI TE | -2.2 |
| Quentin Johnston LAC WR | -1.9 |
| Jared Goff DET QB | -1.9 |
| Patriots DST NE DST | -1.8 |