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2025 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES

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Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.

We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.

ALL QB RB TE WR K DST
THROUGH WEEK 17 THROUGH WEEK 14
AVG Pick Player GP POS Rank FPTS GP POS Rank FPTS
2.65 Bijan Robinson 17 3RB 378 14 4RB 279
3.03 Saquon Barkley 17 13RB 245 14 14RB 200
4.90 Jahmyr Gibbs 17 2RB 402 14 1RB 363
7.42 Christian McCaffrey 17 1RB 432 14 2RB 356
11.14 Ashton Jeanty 17 11RB 258 14 12RB 208
13.33 Derrick Henry 17 7RB 290 14 8RB 211
14.67 De'Von Achane 16 6RB 323 13 5RB 272
17.68 Jonathan Taylor 17 4RB 365 14 3RB 318
18.84 Josh Jacobs 15 14RB 237 12 11RB 208
21.51 Bucky Irving 9 37RB 128 6 39RB 104
23.77 Chase Brown 17 8RB 279 14 13RB 201
27.30 Kyren Williams 17 10RB 258 14 10RB 209
30.19 James Cook 17 5RB 323 14 6RB 256
35.99 Omarion Hampton 9 34RB 136 6 43RB 92
37.03 Alvin Kamara 12 47RB 104 12 40RB 104
41.70 Chuba Hubbard 15 35RB 130 12 33RB 118
43.03 Kenneth Walker 17 22RB 188 14 22RB 152
46.36 James Conner 3 78RB 33 3 70RB 33
47.32 TreVeyon Henderson 17 21RB 200 14 21RB 160
49.74 Breece Hall 17 17RB 222 14 16RB 187
55.35 D'Andre Swift 16 15RB 225 13 19RB 171
63.23 David Montgomery 17 26RB 167 14 24RB 151
68.29 Isiah Pacheco 13 54RB 87 10 54RB 68
69.00 Tony Pollard 17 24RB 184 14 26RB 145
69.74 Aaron Jones Sr. 13 38RB 127 10 44RB 91
72.13 RJ Harvey 16 20RB 202 13 25RB 151
82.51 Tyrone Tracy 15 30RB 149 12 37RB 108
87.46 Jaylen Warren 16 19RB 215 13 17RB 172
88.06 Kaleb Johnson 10 101RB 9 9 96RB 8
88.59 Jacory Croskey-Merritt 16 33RB 137 13 45RB 91
96.29 Joe Mixon 0 74RB 0 72RB
99.28 J.K. Dobbins 10 43RB 116 10 34RB 116
101.54 Austin Ekeler 2 74RB 13 2 72RB 13
104.30 Javonte Williams 17 12RB 255 14 7RB 222
107.35 Rhamondre Stevenson 14 31RB 146 11 46RB 90
107.88 Cam Skattebo 8 36RB 128 8 29RB 128
111.00 Brian Robinson 16 61RB 67 13 60RB 59
112.45 Travis Etienne 17 9RB 270 14 9RB 210
117.55 Jordan Mason 16 40RB 124 14 32RB 119
118.03 Tank Bigsby 11 70RB 37 8 81RB 20
118.78 Quinshon Judkins 15 23RB 187 13 18RB 172
121.11 Zach Charbonnet 16 25RB 172 13 31RB 126
126.00 Nick Chubb 16 52RB 91 14 48RB 86
131.20 Jerome Ford 14 69RB 43 14 67RB 43
136.27 Tyjae Spears 13 45RB 109 10 50RB 80
136.50 Rachaad White 17 32RB 142 14 30RB 127
138.80 Trey Benson 4 73RB 35 4 68RB 35
139.18 Jaydon Blue 4 102RB 8 4 97RB 8
142.56 Najee Harris 3 74RB 12 3 72RB 12
143.51 Braelon Allen 4 91RB 15 4 88RB 15
144.18 Bhayshul Tuten 15 55RB 82 14 53RB 73
147.95 Tyler Allgeier 17 39RB 126 14 35RB 114
153.74 Jaylen Wright 8 67RB 44 5 76RB 24
156.65 Dylan Sampson 15 51RB 97 14 42RB 92
159.58 Ray Davis 12 76RB 33 9 78RB 22
162.58 Ollie Gordon 15 66RB 52 13 61RB 52
N/A Rico Dowdle 14 16RB 225 17 15RB 195
N/A Kenneth Gainwell 14 18RB 218 17 20RB 168
N/A Kareem Hunt 14 27RB 159 17 23RB 152
N/A Kyle Monangai 14 28RB 152 17 28RB 128
N/A Woody Marks 14 29RB 152 16 27RB 133
N/A Blake Corum 14 41RB 117 17 47RB 89
N/A Kimani Vidal 9 42RB 116 11 36RB 109
N/A Emanuel Wilson 13 44RB 115 16 41RB 103
N/A Bam Knight 10 46RB 106 11 38RB 106
N/A Michael Carter 10 48RB 101 13 51RB 78
N/A Devin Singletary 14 49RB 103 17 52RB 78
N/A Sean Tucker 11 50RB 97 14 49RB 84
N/A Ty Johnson 14 53RB 89 17 55RB 68
N/A Chris Rodriguez 10 56RB 77 11 57RB 63
N/A Isaiah Davis 13 57RB 72 16 63RB 45
N/A Jeremy McNichols 12 58RB 71 15 59RB 60
N/A Devin Neal 9 59RB 142 10 58RB 61
N/A Samaje Perine 10 60RB 70 13 64RB 44
N/A Justice Hill 9 62RB 65 9 56RB 65
N/A Brashard Smith 12 63RB 62 15 62RB 51
N/A Keaton Mitchell 9 64RB 58 12 65RB 44
N/A Emari Demercado 7 65RB 52 10 66RB 43
N/A Malik Davis 7 68RB 43 10 83RB 19
N/A Zavier Scott 7 71RB 37 8 69RB 34
N/A Hunter Luepke 8 72RB 36 11 77RB 23
N/A Kendre Miller 7 75RB 33 7 71RB 33
N/A Audric Estime 1 77RB 33 4 108RB 1
N/A Ameer Abdullah 9 79RB 31 12 80RB 21
N/A Tyler Badie 11 80RB 31 13 73RB 29
N/A Jawhar Jordan 0 82RB 29 3 110RB 0
N/A Jaleel McLaughlin 4 84RB 25 7 84RB 17
N/A LeQuint Allen 12 85RB 25 15 79RB 21
N/A Rasheen Ali 4 86RB 24 7 100RB 8
N/A Jaret Patterson 4 88RB 19 5 82RB 19
N/A Raheim Sanders 1 90RB 16 3 104RB 6
N/A Terrell Jennings 6 92RB 15 6 89RB 15
N/A George Holani 4 93RB 15 4 90RB 15
N/A Trevor Etienne 8 94RB 14 8 91RB 14
N/A Will Shipley 8 96RB 14 10 86RB 15
N/A Brittain Brown 1 100RB 10 1 94RB 10
N/A A.J. Dillon 5 103RB 8 5 99RB 8
N/A DJ Giddens 4 107RB 7 4 101RB 7
N/A Tahj Brooks 5 108RB 7 7 107RB 3
N/A Dylan Laube 3 109RB 6 4 105RB 5
N/A Evan Hull 2 110RB 5 5 106RB 4

Latest from FSP

Waiver Trends

More Trends
Eagles DST PHI DST +3.2
Bhayshul Tuten JAC RB +3.0
Jalen Hurts PHI QB +2.1
Tetairoa McMillan CAR WR +2.0
Ladd McConkey LAC WR +2.0
Tucker Kraft GB TE +1.9
Jauan Jennings MIN WR +1.9
Xavier Worthy KC WR +1.7
Quentin Johnston LAC WR +1.5
Jake Bates DET K +1.4
Chiefs DST KC DST +1.4
Jacoby Brissett ARI QB +1.4
Sam LaPorta DET TE +1.3
Saints DST NO DST +1.3
Harrison Butker KC K +1.2
Trey Benson ARI RB -3.2
Josh Downs IND WR -3.0
Taysom Hill TE -2.5
Darren Waller TE -2.4
Travis Kelce KC TE -2.2
Khalil Shakir BUF WR -2.1
DK Metcalf PIT WR -2.1
Kaleb Johnson PIT RB -2.0
Xavier Legette CAR WR -2.0
Calvin Austin NYG WR -1.9
Commanders DST WAS DST -1.9
Braelon Allen NYJ RB -1.9
Ryan Flournoy DAL WR -1.9
Jawhar Jordan HOU RB -1.8
Marcus Mariota WAS QB -1.7

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