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Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

SP • Pittsburgh Pirates Proj Rank 3 Actual 25 6 ADPTrade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
103.03.587-8123/2310.71.0416.61
Compared to same point last season
116.01.944-7125/309.70.92

Paul Skenes | Fantasy Outlook

Paul Skenes looking to reclaim elite form during high-stakes two-start week

Skenes has hit an uncharacteristic rough patch, posting a 15.75 ERA and 2.00 WHIP over the last seven days after a career-worst outing where he surrendered seven earned runs. The fourth-place Pirates, currently 46-45, have struggled to provide defensive support for their staff anchor, who remains healthy despite recent viral speculation regarding his mechanics and velocity. He continues to lead the rotation as the primary starter for a club navigating several injuries to its pitching staff.

These recent blow-ups are a far cry from his season projection of a 2.20 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, suggesting that a significant positive correction is imminent. While his current 3.67 ERA is higher than his elite 2025 mark of 1.99, his 11.2 K/9 and dominant 5.41 K/BB ratio prove his pure stuff remains among the best in the game. Fantasy managers should remain patient, as our models suggest his recent struggles are a fluke rather than a permanent decline.

Skenes is lined up for a lucrative two-start week at home, facing Atlanta on Tuesday before a Sunday showdown against division-rival Milwaukee. He will have a tough duel against Jacob Misiorowski and his 1.47 ERA in the latter game, but the sheer volume of expected innings and high strikeout upside make him an essential play. Given his ability to record double-digit strikeouts on any given night, he is a primary option for managers seeking ratio repair. Two-Start Pitcher.


Updated 2 days ago

Paul Skenes Fantasy

Loading...
DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
07/07 ATL 6.0 95 4 1 2 WIN 3.58 1.04 18
07/01 @PHI 4.0 81 5 2 7 LOSS 3.62 1.01 -3
06/26 CIN 5.0 96 7 2 4 N/A 3.10 0.97 9
06/20 @COL 6.0 104 8 2 2 LOSS 2.86 0.93 13
06/14 MIA 6.0 104 10 1 2 LOSS 2.85 0.93 16
06/09 LAD 6.0 103 7 2 2 N/A 2.84 0.93 16
06/03 @HOU 4.2 109 7 1 1 N/A 2.83 0.90 9
05/28 CHC 5.1 103 10 3 1 LOSS 2.89 0.86 11
05/23 @TOR 5.0 98 2 1 4 LOSS 3.00 0.82 -2
05/17 PHI 5.0 92 7 1 5 LOSS 2.62 0.71 4
05/12 COL 8.0 98 10 0 0 WIN 1.98 0.64 33
05/06 @ARI 8.0 97 7 0 0 WIN 2.36 0.71 30
04/30 STL 5.0 102 9 0 3 LOSS 2.91 0.82 6
04/24 @MIL 7.0 93 7 0 0 WIN 2.48 0.72 29
04/18 TB 4.0 64 5 0 0 N/A 3.27 0.91 12
04/13 WAS 6.0 88 6 1 1 WIN 4.00 0.94 24
04/07 SD 6.1 87 6 2 1 WIN 5.25 1.25 24
04/01 @CIN 5.0 77 5 2 1 WIN 9.53 1.94 17
03/26 @NYM 0.2 37 1 2 5 LOSS 67.57 9.01 -11
Totals: 103.017281232341 253
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 PIT 23 133.0 2125 170 32 0 11-3 1.96 0.95 11.5 429
2025 PIT 32 187.2 2997 216 42 0 10-10 1.97 0.95 10.4 526
2026 PIT 19 103.0 1728 123 23 0 7-8 3.58 1.04 10.8 253
ON PACE 33 182 3042 216 40 0 12-14 3.58 1.04 10.8 444
3-YEAR AVG 28 159 2561 193 37 0 11-7 1.98 0.95 10.9 478
Career 74 421.1 6850 509 97 0 0-0 2.37 0.98 10.9

Skenes Projection

View All
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
3.649 3.021 1.5 1.3 10.2 1.4 7.4 12 0.4 95 20.9
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

Pittsburgh Pirates

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Endy Rodriguez 5% 1%
NAME OWN START
Nick Gonzales 52% 46%
Jared Jones 38% 29%
Spencer Horwitz 24% 0%
NAME OWN START
Brandon Lowe 98% 94%
Konnor Griffin 79% 21%
NAME OWN START
Bryan Reynolds 99% 92%
Oneil Cruz 99% 10%
Ryan O'Hearn 87% 79%
Esmerlyn Valdez 72% 66%
Jake Mangum 12% 12%
Edward Florentino 3% 0%
Marcell Ozuna 3% 0%
NAME OWN START
Paul Skenes 100% 80%
Braxton Ashcraft 98% 62%
Bubba Chandler 44% 27%
Jared Jones 38% 29%
Mitch Keller 38% 18%
Carmen Mlodzinski 8% 7%
Seth Hernandez 7% 0%
NAME OWN START
Gregory Soto 53% 50%
Dennis Santana 17% 15%
Mason Montgomery 3% 3%

Team Rankings

AVG
.262
2nd
R
487
3rd
HR
117
7th
RBI
467
2nd
SB
87
5th
OBP
.340
2nd
SLG
.421
4th
OPS
.761
2nd
W
47
13th
SV
17
28th
ERA
4.26
16th
WHIP
1.31
15th
QS
32
13th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
BrewersBrewers58-34.630-468335
CubsCubs52-40.5656469418
CardinalsCardinals48-43.5279.5416409
PiratesPirates47-46.50511.5487449
RedsReds42-49.46215.5384441

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Henry Davis5915720247242.153  
Endy Rodríguez3510015265162.260  
Rafael Flores Jr.2322120.667  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Spencer Horwitz74246366910331.280  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Brandon Lowe86340568421641.247  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nick Gonzales87325491014414.311  
Nick Yorke2776615160.197  
Davis Wendzel2400000.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Konnor Griffin59225356252520.276  
Jared Triolo5917819421146.236  
Jack Brannigan1100000.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ryan O'Hearn78294478616611.293  
Oneil Cruz642504566144421.264  
Bryan Reynolds93338649513567.281  
Esmerlyn Valdez247815236170.295  
Tyler Callihan296912183151.261  
Jake Mangum73217316511517.300  
Billy Cook523175004.161  
Jhostynxon Garcia133527020.200  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Marcell Ozuna5921617447260.204  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Paul Skenes19780103.01233.581.04  
Braxton Ashcraft18930108.11223.241.10  
Bubba Chandler1838089.2794.821.44  
Mitch Keller18660100.1745.021.31  
Carmen Mlodzinski1953277.2623.251.35  
Jared Jones811035.0394.371.14  
Hunter Barco501011.287.711.97  
José Urquidy50116.168.532.68  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Gregory Soto38521138.0444.261.08  
Dennis Santana4024238.1355.171.41  
Yohan Ramírez3852148.2563.511.38  
Chris Devenski30002.137.712.14  
Isaac Mattson3000029.0254.661.41  
Wilber Dotel912018.1195.891.36  
Antwone Kelly10002.117.711.29  
Evan Sisk3210036.1432.231.18  
Mason Montgomery3723036.0534.251.31  
Cam Sanders80008.2116.231.62  
Hunter Stratton20002.019.002.00  
Brandan Bidois1500015.2206.321.98  

Owned Breakdown

Add/Drop Advice

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
07-07 ATLW 12-4Paul Skenes
Hurston Waldrep
07-08 ATL06:40 EDTJared Jones
Grant Holmes
07-09 ATL12:35 EDTMitch Keller
Bryce Elder
07-10 MIL06:40 EDTBraxton Ashcraft
Brandon Sproat
07-11 MIL04:05 EDTBubba Chandler
Shane Drohan
07-12 MIL12:15 EDTPaul Skenes
Jacob Misiorowski

Player Timeline

Player News

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Dean Kremer BAL SP +11.4
Tyler Tolbert KC 2B +10.4
Cole Carrigg COL CF +9.7
Luis Lara MIL CF +9.6
Heliot Ramos SF LF +9.0
Jake Bennett BOS SP +7.9
Ian Seymour TB RP +6.7
Connor Prielipp MIN SP +6.0
Kyle Karros COL 3B +5.6
Curtis Mead WAS 3B +5.0
Troy Melton DET SP +4.8
Christian Scott NYM SP +4.7
Roki Sasaki LAD SP +4.3
Grant Taylor CHW RP +4.1
Spencer Arrighetti HOU SP +4.1
Eric Lauer LAD SP -8.5
Walker Buehler SD SP -7.6
Konnor Griffin PIT SS -5.8
Martin Perez ATL SP -5.3
Shane Drohan MIL RP -4.7
Paul Goldschmidt NYY 1B -4.0
Braden Montgomery CHW RF -3.8
Kumar Rocker TEX SP -3.6
Reynaldo Lopez ATL SP -3.2
Caleb Durbin BOS 3B -3.1
Noah Schultz CHW SP -3.0
Hurston Waldrep ATL SP -3.0
Bubba Chandler PIT SP -2.9
Josh Jung TEX 3B -2.7
Brandon Pfaadt ARI SP -2.5