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1
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Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

SP • Pittsburgh Pirates Proj Rank 12 Actual 28 6 ADPTrade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
139.03.959-11171/4111.11.149.75
Compared to same point last season
154.02.167-9174/3710.20.96

Paul Skenes | Fantasy Outlook

Paul Skenes navigates recent velocity dips while maintaining elite strikeout upside

Skenes serves as the staff anchor for the fourth-place Pirates (63-66), who have won two straight despite rotation injuries like Mitch Keller's arm ailment. Over his last 30 days, the right-hander has hit a rough patch with a 6.59 ERA and 1.68 WHIP across five starts amid ongoing scrutiny over a slight drop in fastball velocity. In his outing on August 19 against Detroit, he yielded three earned runs across 4.1 innings while striking out five.

While his current 4.01 ERA is elevated compared to our 2.20 season projection and his sub-2.00 career marks, his swing-and-miss stuff remains elite with 171 strikeouts and an 11.24 K/9. Mechanical adjustments to address a cross-body delivery should help curb his recent walk issues, making this second-half bump a temporary hiccup rather than a long-term decline.

With his single outing of the week against Detroit already in the books, Skenes will rest through Pittsburgh's upcoming series against the Dodgers before his next rotation turn. Despite recent bumps in ratios, his elite bat-missing repertoire makes him an essential fixture in all fantasy formats. Start.


Updated 3 days ago

Paul Skenes Fantasy

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DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
08/19 DET 4.1 81 5 4 3 N/A 3.95 1.14 7
08/11 @MIA 5.0 65 4 1 1 LOSS 3.88 1.12 5
08/05 @MIL 5.0 93 6 4 3 LOSS 3.96 1.12 5
07/31 @CIN 4.0 100 7 4 5 N/A 3.90 1.11 5
07/25 CHC 5.1 105 11 2 5 LOSS 3.65 1.06 8
07/19 @CLE 7.0 100 8 2 1 WIN 3.43 1.04 25
07/12 MIL 5.1 82 7 1 2 WIN 3.57 1.02 19
07/07 ATL 6.0 95 4 1 2 WIN 3.58 1.04 18
07/01 @PHI 4.0 81 5 2 7 LOSS 3.62 1.01 -3
06/26 CIN 5.0 96 7 2 4 N/A 3.10 0.97 9
06/20 @COL 6.0 104 8 2 2 LOSS 2.86 0.93 13
06/14 MIA 6.0 104 10 1 2 LOSS 2.85 0.93 16
06/09 LAD 6.0 103 7 2 2 N/A 2.84 0.93 16
06/03 @HOU 4.2 109 7 1 1 N/A 2.83 0.90 9
05/28 CHC 5.1 103 10 3 1 LOSS 2.89 0.86 11
05/23 @TOR 5.0 98 2 1 4 LOSS 3.00 0.82 -2
05/17 PHI 5.0 92 7 1 5 LOSS 2.62 0.71 4
05/12 COL 8.0 98 10 0 0 WIN 1.98 0.64 33
05/06 @ARI 8.0 97 7 0 0 WIN 2.36 0.71 30
04/30 STL 5.0 102 9 0 3 LOSS 2.91 0.82 6
04/24 @MIL 7.0 93 7 0 0 WIN 2.48 0.72 29
04/18 TB 4.0 64 5 0 0 N/A 3.27 0.91 12
04/13 WAS 6.0 88 6 1 1 WIN 4.00 0.94 24
04/07 SD 6.1 87 6 2 1 WIN 5.25 1.25 24
04/01 @CIN 5.0 77 5 2 1 WIN 9.53 1.94 17
03/26 @NYM 0.2 37 1 2 5 LOSS 67.57 9.01 -11
Totals: 139.023541714161 325
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 PIT 23 133.0 2125 170 32 0 11-3 1.96 0.95 11.5 429
2025 PIT 32 187.2 2997 216 42 0 10-10 1.97 0.95 10.4 526
2026 PIT 26 139.0 2354 171 41 0 9-11 3.95 1.14 11.1 325
ON PACE 32 172 2911 211 50 0 11-13 3.95 1.14 11.1 401
3-YEAR AVG 28 159 2561 193 37 0 11-7 1.98 0.95 10.9 478
Career 81 455.0 7476 557 115 0 0-0 2.59 1.02 11

Skenes Projection

View All
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
3.243 0.984 0.2 0.2 6.2 2.7 11.3 7.0 0.5 86 9.3
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

Pittsburgh Pirates

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Rafael Flores Jr. 29% 24%
Endy Rodriguez 4% 0%
Henry Davis 1% 1%
NAME OWN START
Nick Gonzales 55% 46%
Jared Jones 41% 28%
Spencer Horwitz 9% 4%
NAME OWN START
Brandon Lowe 98% 79%
Konnor Griffin 61% 2%
Jacob Gonzalez 5% 0%
Jared Triolo 1% 1%
NAME OWN START
Bryan Reynolds 100% 84%
Oneil Cruz 97% 66%
Ryan O'Hearn 58% 10%
Esmerlyn Valdez 41% 29%
Jake Mangum 25% 22%
Edward Florentino 2% 0%
NAME OWN START
Paul Skenes 99% 57%
Braxton Ashcraft 97% 56%
Bubba Chandler 51% 31%
Jared Jones 41% 28%
Mitch Keller 13% 4%
Carmen Mlodzinski 5% 5%
Seth Hernandez 5% 0%
NAME OWN START
Gregory Soto 35% 34%
Luke Weaver 31% 28%
Mason Montgomery 25% 24%
Camilo Doval 4% 4%
Kirby Yates 2% 1%
Lake Bachar 1% 1%
Yohan Ramirez 1% 1%

Team Rankings

AVG
.254
3rd
R
653
4th
HR
156
12th
RBI
623
3rd
SB
109
8th
OBP
.331
4th
SLG
.407
9th
OPS
.738
5th
W
63
18th
SV
25
28th
ERA
4.29
22nd
WHIP
1.32
19th
QS
39
23rd
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
BrewersBrewers81-49.623-648485
CubsCubs75-56.5736.5684569
CardinalsCardinals66-66.50016585587
PiratesPirates63-69.47719653628
RedsReds62-69.47319.5537631

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Henry Davis8422628388322.168  
Endy Rodríguez4613520367206.267  
Rafael Flores Jr.215610156130.268  
Shawn Ross2511120.200  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Spencer Horwitz88298377510381.252  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Brandon Lowe1214807812227802.254  
Ronny Simon93149021.290  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nick Gonzales122460661426555.309  
Nick Yorke31907201121.222  
Davis Wendzel2400000.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Jacob Gonzalez6016519376282.224  
Konnor Griffin59225356252520.276  
Jared Triolo9426628632249.237  
Jack Brannigan2100000.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ryan O'Hearn96359549717691.270  
Oneil Cruz682634870165122.266  
Bryan Reynolds1314838712715669.263  
Esmerlyn Valdez60199355014410.251  
Jake Mangum1093545010442821.294  
Tyler Callihan409513203151.211  
Billy Cook7048119025.188  
Jhostynxon Garcia204828020.167  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Marcell Ozuna7025122518290.203  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Paul Skenes269110139.01713.951.14  
Braxton Ashcraft251350149.11593.681.08  
Bubba Chandler25680125.11144.381.37  
Mitch Keller22680115.2895.291.38  
Carmen Mlodzinski28662102.2814.031.45  
Jared Jones1525068.0774.771.25  
Hunter Barco701017.2147.641.93  
Khristian Curtis10005.040.000.80  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Gregory Soto55541455.0673.441.15  
Mason Montgomery5353551.1843.331.11  
Kirby Yates4115337.0443.411.11  
Lake Bachar4312269.2733.751.11  
Luke Weaver4721149.0522.200.86  
Camilo Doval5431149.2503.991.41  
Yohan Ramírez5264170.1823.201.31  
Chris Devenski30002.137.712.14  
Isaac Mattson3700036.2344.911.58  
Wilber Dotel1514028.2314.711.40  
Antwone Kelly40008.155.401.44  
Noah Murdock20003.040.002.00  
Evan Sisk3610040.2472.661.25  
Hunter Stratton30003.135.401.80  
Brandon Eisert3222034.1406.291.40  
Brandan Bidois1500015.2206.321.98  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
08-17 DETL 5-8Carmen Mlodzinski
Framber Valdez
08-18 DETW 4-1Braxton Ashcraft
Keider Montero
08-19 DETW 4-3Paul Skenes
Jackson Jobe
08-21 @LADL 5-4Bubba Chandler
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
08-22 @LADL 4-3Jared Jones
Tarik Skubal
08-23 @LAD04:10 EDTLake Bachar
Blake Snell

Player Timeline

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Hunter Dobbins STL SP -6.1
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Nick Kurtz ATH 1B -5.6
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Ryan Weathers NYY SP -4.1
Nick Lodolo CIN SP -4.0
Tyler Soderstrom ATH LF -4.0
Freddy Peralta TB SP -3.7
Bubba Chandler PIT SP -3.5
Giancarlo Stanton NYY DH -3.5