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Ryne Nelson

Ryne Nelson

SP • Arizona Diamondbacks Proj Rank 46 Actual 74 228 ADPTrade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
70.04.762-455/217.11.2110.17
Compared to same point last season
42.03.432-135/117.51.00

Ryne Nelson | Fantasy Outlook

Nelson Carries Strong Recent Ratios Into a Dangerous Matchup

Nelson has been in excellent form recently, posting a stellar 3.24 ERA and an elite 0.99 WHIP over his last 30 days. He currently slots in as the number two starter in the rotation for the third-place Diamondbacks, who hold a 32-29 record. Nelson remains healthy, though he faces a slightly depleted lineup behind him with Lourdes Gurriel Jr. sidelined.

This recent run is a massive improvement over his overall 2026 numbers, where he carries a 5.06 ERA. Our season projection expects him to settle in with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 161.0 innings. While the 30-day streak is highly encouraging, his low strikeout rate suggests some regression toward his projected mid-4.00s ERA is likely.

Looking ahead, Nelson is scheduled for a single start on June 4th at home against the division-rival Dodgers. It is a highly demanding matchup against opposing starter Justin Wrobleski, who has excelled with a 2.87 ERA this season. While our weekly model projects a strong 2.96 ERA over 7.2 innings, the powerful Dodgers offense makes him a risky play, so we recommend you Sit him.


Updated 1 day ago

Ryne Nelson Fantasy

Loading...
DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
06/04 LAD 7.0 94 3 2 2 N/A 4.76 1.21 15
05/30 @SEA 5.1 99 3 0 4 LOSS 5.00 1.24 1
05/24 COL 8.0 103 3 3 1 WIN 4.84 1.23 22
05/19 SF 7.0 88 3 2 3 N/A 5.44 1.25 12
05/13 @TEX 7.0 88 8 0 3 N/A 5.70 1.22 20
05/08 NYM 6.2 95 7 1 1 N/A 6.06 1.35 21
05/02 @CHC 5.2 84 4 2 1 LOSS 7.14 1.55 6
04/26 SD 5.0 93 4 2 6 N/A 7.71 1.52 4
04/19 TOR 0.1 30 1 1 8 LOSS 6.97 1.45 -16
04/13 @BAL 5.1 92 7 2 1 N/A 3.54 1.03 14
04/08 @NYM 5.2 86 5 0 1 WIN 4.20 1.07 18
04/02 ATL 4.2 80 3 3 2 LOSS 5.79 1.18 2
03/27 @LAD 4.2 83 4 3 4 N/A 7.72 1.07 7
Totals: 70.01115552137 125
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 ARI 3 19.0 253 16 6 0 1-1 1.42 0.79 7.6 48
2023 ARI 32 145.2 2468 103 47 0 8-8 5.5 1.48 6.4 228
2024 ARI 28 146.0 2406 126 34 1 10-6 4.38 1.29 7.8 323
2025 ARI 33 151.2 2466 132 41 1 7-3 3.44 1.09 7.8 358
2026 ARI 13 70.0 1115 55 21 0 2-4 4.76 1.21 7.1 125
ON PACE 33 183 2913 143 54 0 5-10 4.76 1.21 7.1 327
3-YEAR AVG 31 147 2447 120 41 1 8-6 4.47 1.29 7.4 303
Career 109 530.0 8708 432 149 0 0-0 4.38 1.26 7.3

Nelson Projection

View All
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
2.571 1.000 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.5 3.9 7 0.0 0 14.5
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

Arizona Diamondbacks

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Gabriel Moreno 50% 45%
Adrian Del Castillo 2% 1%
NAME OWN START
Ildemaro Vargas 70% 55%
Nolan Arenado 47% 42%
Jose Fernandez 9% 6%
Pavin Smith 1% 1%
Carlos Santana 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Ketel Marte 100% 91%
Geraldo Perdomo 91% 83%
Jordan Lawlar 10% 0%
NAME OWN START
Corbin Carroll 100% 97%
Ryan Waldschmidt 33% 27%
Tommy Troy 7% 5%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 4% 0%
Druw Jones 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Michael Soroka 85% 56%
Eduardo Rodriguez 79% 46%
Merrill Kelly 58% 37%
Ryne Nelson 49% 35%
Zac Gallen 47% 34%
Corbin Burnes 32% 0%
Brandon Pfaadt 6% 5%
NAME OWN START
Paul Sewald 75% 74%
Juan Morillo 13% 12%
Taylor Clarke 11% 8%
Kevin Ginkel 3% 3%
A.J. Puk 3% 0%
Brandyn Garcia 1% 1%

Team Rankings

AVG
.243
13th
R
276
13th
HR
55
26th
RBI
265
12th
SB
38
19th
OBP
.306
26th
SLG
.395
11th
OPS
.701
20th
W
33
8th
SV
17
12th
ERA
4.05
16th
WHIP
1.26
9th
QS
24
7th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
DodgersDodgers40-23.635-330197
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks33-29.5326.5276272
PadresPadres32-29.5257235245
GiantsGiants25-38.39715250313
RockiesRockies24-39.38116272355

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Adrian Del Castillo401209234200.192  
Gabriel Moreno3913020333193.254  
James McCann2259312060.203  
Aramis Garcia61312010.154  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ildemaro Vargas5521230607371.283  
Jose Fernandez5516523423157.255  
Carlos Santana82412000.083  
Pavin Smith61311020.077  
Luken Baker3501000.200  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ketel Marte59233376011370.258  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nolan Arenado5719029508301.263  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Geraldo Perdomo5920427473228.230  
Jordan Lawlar61836121.333  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Corbin Carroll5921939649307.292  
Alek Thomas289412172104.181  
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.25927211111.228  
Jorge Barrosa44921116170.174  
Tim Tawa2959610180.169  
Tommy Troy113279110.281  
Ryan Waldschmidt26861025075.291  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Michael Soroka1273067.0663.491.19  
Ryne Nelson1324072.1554.601.18  
Eduardo Rodriguez1251072.1522.241.19  
Zac Gallen1335064.1435.321.52  
Merrill Kelly953053.1335.061.46  
Brandon Pfaadt1301038.0315.921.50  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Paul Sewald26241523.1263.470.73  
Jonathan Loáisiga2612123.0153.131.22  
Juan Morillo2712125.0322.521.08  
Joe Ross30003.2219.643.00  
Taylor Clarke2821026.0131.730.73  
Kevin Ginkel2612024.1292.961.03  
Ryan Thompson2621021.1142.531.22  
Andrew Hoffmann810011.2127.712.06  
Taylor Rashi31003.249.821.09  
Brandyn Garcia1500013.0110.690.77  
Philip Abner10002.117.710.86  

Owned Breakdown

Add/Drop Advice

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
06-01 LADW 4-1Eduardo Rodriguez
Emmet Sheehan
06-02 LADL 5-6Michael Soroka
Eric Lauer
06-03 LADL 0-7Zac Gallen
Shohei Ohtani
06-04 LADW 3-2Ryne Nelson
Justin Wrobleski
06-05 WAS09:40 EDTMerrill Kelly
Foster Griffin
06-06 WAS04:10 EDTEduardo Rodriguez
Zack Littell
06-07 WAS03:15 EDTMichael Soroka
Cade Cavalli

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