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10
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2
1
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3
5
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-127
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Merrill Kelly

Merrill Kelly

SP • Arizona Diamondbacks Proj Rank 102 Actual 121 201 ADP • Trade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
93.25.387-859/385.71.517.84
Compared to same point last season
116.03.348-5113/338.81.05

Merrill Kelly | Fantasy Outlook

Merrill Kelly finds his groove as the Diamondbacks' rotation anchor

Kelly has found vintage form recently, posting a stellar 1.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP over his last seven innings of work. The second-place Diamondbacks are currently 49-47 and riding a four-game win streak, but the rotation is under heavy pressure following the loss of staff anchor Zac Gallen to elbow inflammation. As the number two starter in the rotation, Kelly's reliability is more critical than ever for Arizona's postseason aspirations.

While his 5.45 ERA on the season looks discouraging, his underlying metrics and recent surge suggest a strong rebound is underway. Our models project Kelly to settle around a 3.98 ERA and 1.21 WHIP by year-end, which aligns with the high-end mid-rotation production he provided in 2025. Given his veteran experience and the current vacancy at the top of the rotation, his recent success appears to be a sustainable return to form rather than a statistical fluke.

The Diamondbacks finish the week with a three-game home stand against the Cardinals, though Kelly is not currently scheduled to take the mound before the week concludes. With the team lacking healthy arms like Ryne Nelson and Zac Gallen, he remains a mandatory roster piece in all formats despite the lack of an immediate start. His improved strikeout-to-walk ratio over the last 14 days makes him a high-floor option for his next turn. Hold.

Updated 1 day ago

Merrill Kelly Fantasy

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DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
07/09 @SD 7.0 94 6 3 1 WIN 5.38 1.51 24
07/04 MIL 5.0 92 6 2 2 WIN 5.71 1.56 14
06/28 @TB 6.0 93 3 2 5 LOSS 5.84 1.53 0
06/22 @STL 6.0 96 2 3 3 LOSS 5.71 1.52 4
06/16 LAA 5.1 88 4 1 6 LOSS 5.81 1.51 -2
06/11 @MIA 6.0 74 1 2 2 LOSS 5.46 1.45 6
06/05 WAS 5.0 85 4 3 7 LOSS 5.71 1.49 -3
05/31 @SEA 5.1 97 2 2 2 N/A 5.06 1.46 6
05/25 @SF 7.0 96 4 2 2 WIN 5.25 1.42 21
05/20 SF 6.0 85 4 0 3 WIN 5.71 1.51 17
05/15 @COL 9.0 100 3 0 1 WIN 5.91 1.54 31
05/09 NYM 7.0 96 6 3 1 WIN 7.62 1.92 24
05/03 @CHC 4.1 92 5 3 6 LOSS 9.95 2.32 -3
04/28 @MIL 5.0 104 1 5 5 LOSS 9.20 2.25 -5
04/21 CHW 4.1 101 5 3 8 LOSS 9.31 2.28 -6
04/14 @BAL 5.1 86 3 4 2 WIN 3.38 1.69 12
Totals: 93.21479593856 141
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 ARI 32 181.0 2962 158 57 0 13-14 4.48 1.33 7.9 377
2020 ARI 5 31.1 473 29 5 0 3-2 2.59 0.99 8.3 85
2021 ARI 27 158.0 2425 130 41 0 7-11 4.44 1.29 7.4 276
2022 ARI 32 195.0 2988 170 59 0 13-8 3.42 1.14 7.9 450
2023 ARI 34 199.1 3161 215 77 0 15-9 3.3 1.16 9.7 519
2024 ARI 13 73.2 1142 63 19 0 5-1 4.03 1.17 7.7 169
2025 ARI 32 181.2 2833 167 48 0 12-9 3.57 1.13 8.3 430
2026 ARI 16 93.2 1479 59 38 0 7-8 5.38 1.51 5.7 141
ON PACE 27 158 2495 99 64 0 11-13 5.38 1.51 5.7 237
3-YEAR AVG 26 151 2379 148 48 0 11-6 3.5 1.15 8.8 373
Career 191 1106.2 17463 991 344 0 0-0 3.94 1.23 8.1

Kelly Projection

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ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
2.896 1.015 0.5 0.6 4.6 2.1 7.2 8.0 0.3 91.6 12.6
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

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Depth Chart

Arizona Diamondbacks

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Gabriel Moreno 62% 48%
NAME OWN START
Nolan Arenado 26% 22%
Ildemaro Vargas 24% 17%
Jose Fernandez 2% 0%
NAME OWN START
Ketel Marte 100% 96%
Geraldo Perdomo 89% 76%
NAME OWN START
Corbin Carroll 100% 95%
Ryan Waldschmidt 7% 3%
Tim Tawa 1% 1%
NAME OWN START
Eduardo Rodriguez 89% 61%
Michael Soroka 82% 4%
Merrill Kelly 32% 20%
Zac Gallen 25% 15%
Brandon Pfaadt 13% 7%
Ryne Nelson 10% 7%
NAME OWN START
Paul Sewald 72% 66%
Juan Morillo 10% 10%
Taylor Clarke 4% 3%
A.J. Puk 2% 0%

Team Rankings

AVG
.237
22nd
R
416
20th
HR
89
30th
RBI
397
20th
SB
64
16th
OBP
.305
27th
SLG
.384
26th
OPS
.689
27th
W
49
15th
SV
25
15th
ERA
4.24
16th
WHIP
1.27
12th
QS
36
8th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
DodgersDodgers62-36.633-508358
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks49-48.50512.5420434
PadresPadres48-49.49513.5385429
GiantsGiants42-55.43319.5402459
RockiesRockies39-60.39423.5468562

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Gabriel Moreno6923634716324.301  
Adrian Del Castillo5115112285230.185  
James McCann24665152100.227  
Aramis Garcia81923120.158  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ildemaro Vargas8327940727472.258  
Jose Fernandez5516523423157.255  
Pavin Smith2878511161.141  
LuJames Groover154848140.167  
Carlos Santana82412000.083  
Luken Baker3501000.200  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ketel Marte93371519517544.256  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nolan Arenado90309457512403.243  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Geraldo Perdomo92323467863415.241  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Corbin Carroll933455487134510.252  
Tommy Troy391212227491.223  
Tim Tawa39849183152.214  
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.4617112362201.211  
Alek Thomas289412172104.181  
Jorge Barrosa6511319212100.186  
Max Kepler123537180.200  
Jordan Lawlar1238612144.316  
Ryan Waldschmidt351161129096.250  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Eduardo Rodriguez19830114.0792.291.17  
Michael Soroka1583082.0793.071.09  
Ryne Nelson1535083.1624.971.24  
Zac Gallen1939098.0616.341.56  
Merrill Kelly1678093.2595.381.51  
Brandon Pfaadt1631053.2414.701.32  
Jose Cabrera402017.2125.601.53  
Mitch Bratt20006.036.001.67  
Yilber Díaz10000.2094.5012.00  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Paul Sewald37242234.0384.240.88  
Jonathan Loáisiga4022137.1262.170.99  
Juan Morillo4124137.1452.891.07  
Brandyn Garcia2801123.2271.900.76  
Taylor Clarke4221041.2232.590.84  
Kevin Ginkel4132038.0402.841.11  
Drey Jameson1000015.1114.111.37  
Ryan Thompson3842034.1262.881.25  
Andrew Hoffmann810011.2127.712.06  
Taylor Rashi31003.249.821.09  
Kade Strowd10001.019.004.00  
Philip Abner40007.148.591.50  
Juan Burgos10001.106.751.50  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
07-17 STL09:40 EDTMerrill Kelly
07-18 STL04:10 EDTBrandon Pfaadt
07-19 STL04:10 EDTEduardo Rodriguez

Player Timeline

May 15th

Merrill Kelly Throws First Career Complete Game, Seals It with Strikeout ...

May 9th

Diamondbacks Pitching Duo Shines Against Mets, Posts Combined 1.32 ERA

Apr 21st

Munetaka Murakami to Face Merrill Kelly for First Time Since 2023 WBC ...

Feb 15th

Merrill Kelly Turned Down Padres’ 3-Year Offer to Re-Sign with Diamondbacks ...

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  • Carter Jensen C • KC

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Waiver Trends

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tommy white ATH 3B +4.1
Brady Singer CIN SP +3.7
Spencer Steer CIN 1B +3.5
Christian Scott NYM SP +3.4
Caleb Durbin BOS 3B +3.1
Reid Detmers LAA SP +2.9
Jared Jones PIT SP +2.7
Yainer Diaz HOU C +2.5
Brayan Rocchio CLE SS +2.3
Spencer Miles TOR RP +2.3
Anthony Kay CHW SP +1.9
Landen Roupp SF SP +1.9
Ezequiel Duran TEX SS +1.8
JJ Bleday CIN LF +1.6
Peter Lambert HOU SP +1.5
Carson Benge NYM RF -3.3
Jung Hoo Lee SF RF -3.0
Trevor McDonald SF SP -3.0
Brad Keller PHI RP -2.6
Reynaldo Lopez ATL SP -2.2
A.J. Ewing NYM CF -2.2
JR Ritchie ATL SP -2.2
Austin Riley ATL 3B -2.1
Freddy Peralta NYM SP -2.0
Blaze Alexander BAL 3B -2.0
Brandon Woodruff MIL SP -1.9
Nick Lodolo CIN SP -1.9
Dustin May STL SP -1.9
Matthew Boyd CHC SP -1.7
Pete Fairbanks MIA RP -1.7