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MID 4 • Q • • ESPN LIVE
Lucas Erceg

Lucas Erceg

RP • Kansas City Royals Proj Rank N/A Actual 179 283 ADPTrade Value
IP ERA W-L HLD SV K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
37.0 5.11 3-3 3 12 27/21 6.6 1.62 7.67
Compared to same point last season
33.02.454-216131/108.51.15

Lucas Erceg | Fantasy Outlook

Lucas Erceg stabilizes in the closer role as he looks to rebound from a volatile first half

Erceg has shown much-needed improvement lately, posting a 3.53 ERA and an elite 0.88 WHIP over his last 10.2 innings. He remains the primary closer for a fifth-place Royals squad that is currently 38-59 and looking to snap a five-game losing streak. Despite a league-leading number of blown saves earlier this year, management has reaffirmed his status as the long-term ninth-inning option, particularly with Carlos Estevez remaining on the 60-day injured list.

Under the hood, Erceg’s season-long 5.42 ERA and 1.72 WHIP are heavily skewed by a brutal stretch in late May. Our models expect significant positive regression toward his career norms, closer to the 3.71 ERA we project for the rest of the season. While his walk rate has spiked compared to his successful 2025 campaign, his recent 0.88 WHIP suggests he is finding the zone more consistently and should remain a reliable source for saves.

Kansas City has three games remaining this week, all at home against San Diego. While the series opener against Michael King is a tough draw, the Royals' offense should have chances to provide save opportunities against Griffin Canning and German Marquez, who both carry ERAs over 5.00. Given the lack of competition in the bullpen and his recent form, Erceg should be in your lineup for any team chasing saves. Start.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Lucas Erceg Fantasy

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DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
07/12 @BAL 1.0 25 2 0 1 N/A 4.38 1.49 3
07/09 @NYM 1.1 15 0 0 0 N/A 4.25 1.50 2
07/07 @NYM 1.0 5 0 0 0 N/A 4.41 1.53 2
07/04 PHI 1.0 21 0 1 1 N/A 4.54 1.57 0
06/30 TB 1.0 13 0 0 0 N/A 4.41 1.56 2
06/28 @CHW 1.0 18 0 1 0 HOLD 4.55 1.61 2
06/26 @CHW 1.0 15 0 0 2 N/A 4.70 1.63 -1
06/24 @TB 1.0 8 1 0 0 N/A 4.25 1.62 3
06/21 STL 1.1 18 1 0 0 N/A 4.40 1.64 3
06/17 @WAS 1.0 11 1 0 0 N/A 4.61 1.68 3
06/12 HOU 2.0 43 0 1 0 N/A 4.78 1.75 3
06/10 TEX 0.1 16 1 2 1 HOLD 5.18 1.81 -0
06/07 @MIN 0.2 15 0 0 0 SAVE 4.88 1.75 5
06/06 @MIN 1.0 15 1 1 0 N/A 5.01 1.71 3
06/02 @CIN 1.0 24 2 2 1 N/A 5.24 1.75 2
05/30 @TEX 0.0 17 0 0 3 LOSS 5.06 1.69 -11
05/25 NYY 1.0 14 0 0 2 LOSS 5.06 1.69 -7
05/24 SEA 1.0 32 1 0 3 N/A 4.43 1.57 -2
05/17 @STL 1.0 22 0 1 0 SAVE 3.26 1.45 7
05/15 @STL 1.0 12 2 0 0 N/A 3.44 1.47 3
05/14 @CHW 1.0 15 1 0 1 N/A 3.63 1.44 1
05/08 DET 1.0 14 0 1 0 WIN 3.31 1.41 6
05/05 CLE 1.0 15 1 1 0 SAVE 3.52 1.37 8
05/02 @SEA 1.0 17 2 0 0 SAVE 3.77 1.40 9
05/01 @SEA 1.0 12 1 0 0 SAVE 4.05 1.50 8
04/28 @ATH 1.0 23 1 1 0 SAVE 4.38 1.62 7
04/26 LAA 1.0 21 2 1 0 WIN 4.76 1.59 9
04/24 LAA 1.0 18 2 1 0 SAVE 5.23 1.65 9
04/21 BAL 1.0 14 0 1 0 WIN 5.79 1.71 7
04/20 BAL 1.0 32 0 3 1 N/A 6.48 1.80 -1
04/16 @DET 0.2 24 1 1 3 LOSS 6.14 1.50 -8
04/11 CHW 1.0 12 1 0 0 SAVE 2.70 1.05 8
04/10 CHW 1.0 10 0 0 0 SAVE 3.18 1.24 7
04/06 @CLE 1.0 14 1 0 0 SAVE 3.86 1.50 8
04/05 MIL 1.0 30 1 1 2 N/A 4.91 1.91 -1
04/01 MIN 0.2 7 0 0 0 SAVE 0.00 1.13 6
03/29 @ATL 1.0 12 1 0 0 SAVE 0.00 1.50 8
03/28 @ATL 1.0 12 0 1 0 HOLD 0.00 2.00 1
Totals: 37.0661272121 110
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 OAK 50 48.0 1053 68 36 0 4-4 5.44 1.81 12.8 105
2024 OAK 66 60.2 1045 78 19 17 2-6 3.71 1.19 11.6 217
2025 KC 61 56.2 963 48 18 2 8-4 2.86 1.27 7.6 147
2026 KC 38 37.0 661 27 21 12 3-3 5.11 1.62 6.6 110
ON PACE 63 62 1103 45 35 20 5-5 5.11 1.62 6.6 183
3-YEAR AVG 59 55 1020 65 24 6 5-5 3.86 1.38 10.5 157
Career 215 200.0 3722 221 94 0 0-0 4.19 1.46 10

Erceg Projection

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ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
2.946 0.791 0 0.1 1.5 1.7 5.3 3.2 0.1 41.3 4.75
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

Kansas City Royals

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Carter Jensen 69% 57%
Salvador Perez 65% 52%
NAME OWN START
Maikel Garcia 81% 13%
Vinnie Pasquantino 54% 25%
Nick Loftin 4% 2%
NAME OWN START
Bobby Witt Jr. 100% 97%
Tyler Tolbert 15% 5%
Michael Massey 2% 2%
Jonathan India 2% 0%
NAME OWN START
Jac Caglianone 76% 64%
Lane Thomas 5% 5%
Kyle Isbel 2% 0%
NAME OWN START
Michael Wacha 72% 43%
Seth Lugo 38% 26%
Kris Bubic 37% 5%
Cole Ragans 34% 11%
Noah Cameron 26% 17%
Stephen Kolek 12% 2%
Luinder Avila 5% 4%
Kendry Chourio 3% 0%
NAME OWN START
Mason Miller 100% 99%
Carlos Estevez 23% 6%
Alex Lange 18% 16%
Lucas Erceg 17% 14%
Matt Strahm 8% 6%
Daniel Lynch IV 5% 5%

Team Rankings

AVG
.246
10th
R
411
20th
HR
97
25th
RBI
392
20th
SB
73
11th
OBP
.314
17th
SLG
.397
20th
OPS
.711
19th
W
38
30th
SV
23
17th
ERA
4.95
28th
WHIP
1.45
28th
QS
39
5th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
GuardiansGuardians51-46.526-385387
White SoxWhite Sox50-45.526-454419
TwinsTwins48-49.4953471485
TigersTigers44-52.4586.5407383
RoyalsRoyals38-59.39213411499

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Carter Jensen89309417313491.236  
Salvador Perez89349317311370.209  
Luke Maile2621130.167  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Vinnie Pasquantino7026128586323.222  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Michael Massey7722730597312.260  
Jonathan India174888280.167  
Tyler Tolbert345417202510.370  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nick Loftin5917526434291.246  
Maikel Garcia6926832703305.261  
Josh Rojas153447150.206  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Bobby Witt Jr.9136051103133930.286  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Jac Caglianone90319448315353.260  
Lane Thomas8223126547314.234  
Isaac Collins8626735645285.240  
Kyle Isbel5616416403115.244  
Starling Marte441121230191.268  
John Rave91834110.222  
Kameron Misner184129043.220  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Michael Wacha19570119.1963.771.19  
Noah Cameron1857095.2914.891.42  
Seth Lugo19360104.2864.561.43  
Kris Bubic932050.1514.111.23  
Luinder Avila1843056.2505.081.62  
Cole Ragans814035.1454.841.42  
Stephen Kolek1043054.0344.501.24  
Connor Seabold2110024.0205.251.71  
Beck Way1610019.2173.201.58  
Mason Black1200017.2153.571.70  
Eric Cerantola40005.1710.132.63  
Bailey Falter50209.2613.973.10  
Mitch Spence30209.1621.213.00  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Lucas Erceg38331237.0275.111.62  
Alex Lange3705838.0375.921.53  
John Schreiber4003136.1283.471.32  
Eli Morgan1501118.1165.401.75  
Daniel Lynch IV3922138.1332.350.94  
Matt Strahm3533031.1257.181.50  
Carlos Estévez10100.10162.0018.00  
Jose Cuas50006.192.841.58  
Randy Dobnak20009.241.861.35  
Nick Mears2123019.1155.121.50  
Steven Cruz2922031.1404.881.34  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
07-17 SD08:10 EDTSeth Lugo
Michael King
07-18 SD04:10 EDT
Griffin Canning
07-19 SD02:10 EDTNoah Cameron
German Marquez

Player Timeline

Player News

Waiver Trends

More Trends
Tommy White ATH 3B +5.8
Aaron Nola PHI SP +4.6
Christian Scott NYM SP +3.0
Bryson Stott PHI 2B +2.0
Brandon Marsh PHI LF +1.7
Lawrence Butler ATH RF +1.5
Zach Thornton NYM SP +1.4
Jorge Polanco NYM 1B +1.4
Adley Rutschman BAL C +1.3
Shea Langeliers ATH C +1.3
Alec Bohm PHI 3B +1.2
Manny Machado SD 3B +1.2
Trea Turner PHI SS +1.2
Trevor Larnach MIN LF +1.2
Riley O'Brien STL RP +1.1
Dustin May STL SP -3.6
Jake Mangum PIT CF -3.0
Cole Carrigg COL CF -3.0
Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B -2.5
Kody Clemens MIN 1B -2.5
Garrett Mitchell MIL CF -2.3
Alex Lange KC RP -2.3
AJ Smith-Shawver ATL SP -2.2
Shane Bieber TOR SP -2.2
Bryce Elder ATL SP -2.1
Nick Gonzales PIT 3B -2.1
J.T. Ginn ATH SP -2.1
Brooks Lee MIN SS -2.0
Brandon Young BAL SP -2.0
Nasim Nunez WAS 2B -2.0