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Seth Lugo

Seth Lugo

SP • Kansas City Royals Proj Rank 103 Actual 71 228 ADPTrade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
143.04.785-7111/4671.46.79
Compared to same point last season
137.14.138-6120/517.91.28

Seth Lugo | Fantasy Outlook

Seth Lugo lines up for a two-start week despite recent ratio turbulence

Lugo has endured a bumpy stretch over his last 14 days, yielding an 8.82 ERA across 10.2 innings as traffic on the basepaths continues to mount for the veteran right-hander. Even with his individual run-prevention struggles, the Royals have caught fire on an eight-game winning streak, and Lugo remains locked into the rotation as Kansas City's reliable number two starter.

His 4.78 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through 26 starts sit noticeably above our projected 3.96 ERA, driven by an uncharacteristically low strikeout rate and a high hit rate. While his pinpoint command has not wavered with zero walks issued across his last two starts, his pitch-to-contact profile makes him vulnerable to ratio damage when he misses over the plate.

Lugo offers two-start volume this week, traveling to face Toronto on Tuesday against Max Scherzer before squaring off in Cleveland against Parker Messick on Sunday. While both road matchups carry ratio risk, the sheer inning volume in points leagues and deeper mixed formats gives him weekly viability. Two-Start Stream.


Updated 10 hrs ago

Seth Lugo Fantasy

Loading...
DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
08/19 ATH 6.0 96 3 0 5 N/A 4.78 1.40 6
08/14 @LAA 4.2 86 4 0 5 N/A 4.66 1.39 5
08/08 CHC 6.0 90 5 1 3 WIN 4.41 1.37 19
08/02 @COL 5.0 99 3 5 5 LOSS 4.41 1.38 -2
07/28 @MIN 6.0 84 2 2 1 N/A 4.22 1.36 12
07/22 SF 7.0 94 5 2 3 WIN 4.36 1.36 22
07/17 SD 6.0 90 3 2 1 N/A 4.39 1.40 14
07/12 @BAL 4.0 89 6 2 2 N/A 4.56 1.42 9
07/07 @NYM 4.1 94 4 2 6 N/A 4.56 1.42 1
07/01 TB 6.0 85 7 0 3 LOSS 4.20 1.37 10
06/25 @TB 5.0 90 3 2 7 LOSS 4.18 1.36 -4
06/19 STL 6.0 85 0 3 1 WIN 3.69 1.34 15
06/10 TEX 3.1 44 2 1 1 N/A 3.86 1.34 6
06/04 @MIN 5.0 92 4 1 5 N/A 3.91 1.34 6
05/30 @TEX 6.0 90 6 0 1 N/A 3.55 1.34 17
05/24 SEA 6.1 86 3 2 3 WIN 3.74 1.37 17
05/18 BOS 6.0 93 5 2 2 LOSS 3.68 1.38 10
05/13 @CHW 5.0 92 4 2 5 LOSS 3.76 1.41 -1
05/07 CLE 4.0 102 5 4 4 LOSS 3.21 1.34 -2
05/02 @SEA 6.0 103 6 2 2 N/A 2.68 1.21 15
04/26 LAA 6.1 97 3 1 7 N/A 2.63 1.17 1
04/20 BAL 7.0 93 7 4 0 N/A 1.15 0.93 22
04/15 @DET 6.2 92 7 0 1 N/A 1.48 0.99 20
04/09 CHW 6.1 92 4 4 1 LOSS 1.53 1.08 10
04/04 MIL 5.0 103 7 2 2 N/A 1.59 0.97 12
03/29 @ATL 6.1 77 3 0 0 WIN 0.00 0.79 21
Totals: 143.023381114676 258
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2016 NYM 17 64.0 961 45 21 0 5-2 2.67 1.09 6.3 151
2017 NYM 19 99.0 1641 85 25 0 7-5 4.82 1.4 7.7 217
2018 NYM 54 98.1 1615 103 28 3 3-4 2.65 1.1 9.4 257
2019 NYM 61 77.2 1275 104 16 6 7-4 2.78 0.93 12.1 262
2020 NYM 14 30.0 511 35 8 3 3-4 6 1.47 10.5 77
2021 NYM 44 45.2 686 54 16 1 4-3 3.35 1.2 10.6 108
2022 NYM 62 64.2 1067 68 19 4 4-2 3.62 1.19 9.5 156
2023 SD 26 146.1 2377 140 36 0 8-7 3.57 1.2 8.6 343
2024 KC 35 213.2 3281 189 53 0 16-9 3.07 1.11 8 535
2025 KC 26 140.2 2380 125 55 0 8-7 4.29 1.34 8 296
2026 KC 26 143.0 2338 111 46 0 5-7 4.78 1.4 7 258
ON PACE 31 176 2869 136 56 0 6-8 4.78 1.4 7 316
3-YEAR AVG 29 166 2679 151 48 0 11-8 3.54 1.2 8.1 391
Career 384 1111.1 18132 1059 323 0 0-0 3.74 1.23 8.6

Lugo Projection

View All
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
5.768 1.324 0.7 0.3 7.5 2.9 6.2 12.1 0.4 181.7 15.4
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

Kansas City Royals

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Carter Jensen 55% 41%
NAME OWN START
Maikel Garcia 64% 14%
Vinnie Pasquantino 61% 39%
Nick Loftin 3% 2%
NAME OWN START
Bobby Witt Jr. 99% 91%
Michael Massey 8% 3%
Tyler Tolbert 3% 3%
Jonathan India 2% 0%
NAME OWN START
Jac Caglianone 88% 47%
Salvador Perez 72% 56%
Isaac Collins 2% 2%
Kyle Isbel 2% 2%
NAME OWN START
Michael Wacha 80% 54%
Noah Cameron 73% 36%
Seth Lugo 37% 16%
Cole Ragans 27% 10%
Randy Dobnak 17% 8%
Stephen Kolek 3% 0%
NAME OWN START
Mason Miller 100% 99%
Carlos Estevez 18% 5%
Steven Cruz 9% 8%
Lucas Erceg 8% 6%
Daniel Lynch IV 8% 5%
Alex Lange 5% 4%
Nate Pearson 2% 2%

Team Rankings

AVG
.246
12th
R
560
22nd
HR
136
22nd
RBI
534
22nd
SB
104
9th
OBP
.314
19th
SLG
.400
19th
OPS
.714
19th
W
58
26th
SV
33
16th
ERA
4.73
28th
WHIP
1.41
27th
QS
53
5th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
White SoxWhite Sox68-62.523-618575
GuardiansGuardians65-66.4963.5527536
TwinsTwins63-68.4815.5600654
TigersTigers61-69.4697587514
RoyalsRoyals58-74.43911560651

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Carter Jensen122425579317571.219  
Luke Maile102825150.179  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Vinnie Pasquantino8631940788384.245  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Michael Massey109338469311432.275  
Jonathan India174888280.167  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nick Loftin9328235676402.238  
Maikel Garcia7328334763325.269  
Josh Rojas3076617191.224  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Bobby Witt Jr.11344271127164835.287  
Tyler Tolbert6110526303818.286  
Andrew Velazquez61501001.067  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Jac Caglianone1214345912022606.276  
Kyle Isbel7321625526236.241  
Isaac Collins11836941846386.228  
John Rave28651314374.215  
Starling Marte5915315372142.242  
Kameron Misner184129043.220  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Salvador Perez1224684610417581.222  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Noah Cameron25880143.11284.021.21  
Michael Wacha26780162.21263.491.13  
Seth Lugo26570145.11114.711.38  
Luinder Avila2154070.0615.531.61  
Kris Bubic932050.1514.111.23  
Cole Ragans814035.1454.841.42  
Stephen Kolek1043054.0344.501.24  
Randy Dobnak921045.2291.581.40  
Beck Way1911023.1213.861.59  
Connor Seabold2110024.0205.251.71  
Mason Black1600029.1194.601.71  
Eric Cerantola40005.1710.132.63  
Bailey Falter50209.2613.973.10  
Mitch Spence30209.1621.213.00  
Carlos Duran21001.1113.503.75  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Lucas Erceg47441243.1316.231.89  
Alex Lange49271050.2535.861.48  
Steven Cruz4723549.2544.171.21  
Nate Pearson2921332.2272.481.19  
Craig Kimbrel3812139.0354.151.23  
John Schreiber5313147.1353.801.33  
Eli Morgan1601119.1165.121.71  
Daniel Lynch IV5044158.1432.931.03  
Matt Strahm4134035.2307.321.49  
Carlos Estévez10100.10162.0018.00  
Easton McGee60007.178.592.18  
Aaron Bummer2112016.21310.262.10  
Jose Cuas1200013.0142.081.69  
Connor Thomas51109.1714.462.46  
Nick Mears2123019.1155.121.50  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
08-25 @TOR07:07 EDTSeth Lugo
Max Scherzer
08-26 @TOR07:07 EDTRandy Dobnak
Shane Bieber
08-27 @TOR07:07 EDTNoah Cameron
08-28 @CLE07:10 EDTMichael Wacha
Tanner Bibee
08-29 @CLE04:10 EDTDaniel Lynch IV
Foster Griffin
08-30 @CLE01:40 EDTSeth Lugo
Parker Messick

Player Timeline

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Luis Robert Jr. NYM CF +5.1
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Kody Clemens MIN 1B +4.0
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Luis Castillo CHW SP -6.7
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andy pages LAD CF -5.4
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Abimelec Ortiz WAS 1B -5.1
Andruw Monasterio BOS SS -5.1
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Nick Kurtz ATH 1B -4.5
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Cam Smith HOU RF -3.6
Jac Caglianone KC RF -3.4
Jacob Webb CHC RP -3.2