| IP | ERA | W-L | K/BB | K/9 | WHIP | FSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.2 | 2.18 | 4-3 | 65/9 | 10.1 | 0.83 | 12.22 |
| Compared to same point last season | ||||||
| 48.2 | 5.73 | 2-5 | 39/23 | 7.2 | 1.52 | |
Bryce Miller’s elite breakout season hits a speed bump following velocity and command concerns
Miller has been a revelation for the second-place Mariners, but his most recent outing raised alarms as his velocity dipped and he struggled with his fastball command, resulting in a 7.20 ERA and four walks over five innings. Despite this hiccup, he has been stellar over the last 30 days, posting a 1.04 WHIP with 29 strikeouts across four starts. He remains a key member of the rotation for a Seattle club that sits at 48-49 and is currently navigating injuries to stars like Julio Rodriguez.
Looking under the hood, Miller's 2.23 ERA and elite 0.85 WHIP through 10 starts are far ahead of his career averages and our projected 4.31 ERA. While his 10.35 K/9 and historic 7.22 strikeout-to-walk ratio suggest his breakout is largely legitimate, the recent reports of a velocity drop are a classic warning sign of potential fatigue or injury. Expect some regression toward his projected mid-4.00 ERA if his power stuff does not return to its early-season form in his next appearance.
The Mariners finish the week hosting the Giants, where they will face a rotation including Logan Webb and Robbie Ray. While Miller is not currently listed as a probable starter for this weekend set, his recent performance requires a cautious approach from fantasy managers. Between the significant dip in his fastball and the uncharacteristic four-walk performance on July 9, he needs to prove his mechanics and health are intact before being trusted again in competitive formats. Sit.
Updated 1 day ago
| DATE | OPP | INN | PC | K | WLK | ER | DEC | ERA | WHIP | PTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | @MIA | 5.0 | 81 | 3 | 4 | 4 | LOSS | 2.18 | 0.83 | -3 | |
| 07/02 | LAA | 7.0 | 90 | 8 | 0 | 0 | WIN | 1.71 | 0.66 | 29 | |
| 06/25 | @PIT | 5.2 | 90 | 11 | 0 | 3 | LOSS | 1.97 | 0.72 | 12 | |
| 06/19 | BOS | 5.0 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 1 | LOSS | 1.58 | 0.70 | 10 | |
| 06/12 | @WAS | 8.0 | 91 | 7 | 0 | 2 | WIN | 1.54 | 0.71 | 27 | |
| 06/06 | @DET | 6.0 | 94 | 9 | 2 | 0 | WIN | 1.33 | 0.78 | 28 | |
| 05/31 | ARI | 5.0 | 71 | 6 | 1 | 0 | N/A | 1.71 | 0.86 | 15 | |
| 05/25 | @ATH | 5.0 | 83 | 4 | 0 | 2 | WIN | 2.25 | 1.00 | 15 | |
| 05/19 | CHW | 5.2 | 72 | 7 | 1 | 0 | N/A | 1.64 | 1.00 | 17 | |
| 05/13 | @HOU | 5.1 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 2 | N/A | 3.38 | 1.69 | 7 | |
| Totals: | 57.2 | 819 | 65 | 9 | 14 | 156 | |||||
| YEAR | TM | APP | INN | PC | K | WLK | SV | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | SEA | 25 | 129.0 | 2095 | 119 | 26 | 0 | 8-7 | 4.4 | 1.16 | 8.3 | 276 |
| 2024 | SEA | 31 | 178.0 | 2749 | 171 | 45 | 0 | 12-8 | 2.98 | 0.99 | 8.7 | 459 |
| 2025 | SEA | 21 | 102.1 | 1730 | 83 | 39 | 0 | 5-6 | 5.36 | 1.38 | 7.3 | 162 |
| 2026 | SEA | 10 | 57.2 | 819 | 65 | 9 | 0 | 4-3 | 2.18 | 0.83 | 10.1 | 156 |
| ON PACE | 16 | 96 | 1367 | 108 | 15 | 0 | 6-5 | 2.18 | 0.83 | 10.1 | 261 | |
| 3-YEAR AVG | 26 | 136 | 2191 | 124 | 37 | 0 | 8-7 | 3.98 | 1.13 | 8.1 | 299 | |
| Career | 87 | 464.2 | 7393 | 438 | 119 | 0 | 0-0 | 3.82 | 1.11 | 8.5 | ||
| ERA | WHIP | QS | WINS | SO | K/BB | K/9 | IP | LOSSES | PC | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.539 | 0.787 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 10.4 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 82 | 13 |
| ERA | WHIP | QS | WINS | SO | K/BB | K/9 | IP | LOSSES | PC | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | NAN |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | 96% | 68% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor | 88% | 73% |
| Brendan Donovan | 50% | 3% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Young | 21% | 14% |
| Colt Emerson | 17% | 5% |
| J.P. Crawford | 13% | 7% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | 100% | 29% |
| Randy Arozarena | 99% | 96% |
| Dominic Canzone | 33% | 22% |
| Luke Raley | 14% | 7% |
| Lazaro Montes | 2% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 100% | 79% |
| Bryan Woo | 99% | 58% |
| Bryce Miller | 97% | 76% |
| George Kirby | 97% | 59% |
| Emerson Hancock | 92% | 67% |
| Luis Castillo | 59% | 37% |
| Ryan Sloan | 3% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | 92% | 88% |
| Eduard Bazardo | 21% | 21% |
| Gabe Speier | 8% | 8% |
| Jose A. Ferrer | 7% | 7% |
| Matt Brash | 5% | 0% |
| Team | W-L | Win % | GB | RS | RA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49-48 | .505 | - | 400 | 429 | |
| 48-50 | .490 | 1.5 | 392 | 383 | |
| 47-52 | .475 | 3 | 451 | 499 | |
| 41-56 | .423 | 8 | 426 | 551 | |
| 38-60 | .388 | 11.5 | 431 | 487 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | 65 | 242 | 23 | 41 | 9 | 29 | 2 | .169 | |
| Mitch Garver | 43 | 109 | 17 | 20 | 4 | 14 | 0 | .183 | |
| Jhonny Pereda | 19 | 63 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .270 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor | 90 | 353 | 35 | 89 | 8 | 36 | 18 | .252 | |
| Buddy Kennedy | 10 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .071 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Young | 97 | 348 | 45 | 88 | 11 | 43 | 3 | .253 | |
| Ryan Bliss | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .125 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 25 | 84 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 1 | .274 | |
| Weston Wilson | 31 | 57 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | .211 | |
| Patrick Wisdom | 15 | 41 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .122 | |
| Will Wilson | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .200 | |
| Leo Rivas | 38 | 99 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 2 | .131 | |
| Miles Mastrobuoni | 13 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .192 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | 79 | 284 | 38 | 62 | 10 | 28 | 1 | .218 | |
| Colt Emerson | 45 | 144 | 17 | 29 | 7 | 20 | 3 | .201 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodríguez | 87 | 344 | 46 | 89 | 14 | 40 | 12 | .259 | |
| Luke Raley | 82 | 236 | 25 | 54 | 14 | 36 | 1 | .229 | |
| Randy Arozarena | 89 | 325 | 59 | 93 | 11 | 45 | 19 | .286 | |
| Connor Joe | 21 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | .179 | |
| Victor Robles | 41 | 97 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 6 | .216 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Canzone | 83 | 227 | 33 | 60 | 15 | 40 | 1 | .264 | |
| Rob Refsnyder | 49 | 105 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 0 | .133 |
| Player | GP | W | L | SV | IP | SO | ERA | WHIP | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 19 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 114.0 | 119 | 3.32 | 0.99 | |
| Bryan Woo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 104.1 | 102 | 4.23 | 1.07 | |
| George Kirby | 18 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 110.0 | 98 | 3.76 | 1.32 | |
| Emerson Hancock | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 99.1 | 94 | 3.17 | 1.01 | |
| Luis Castillo | 18 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 87.2 | 81 | 4.93 | 1.37 | |
| Bryce Miller | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 57.2 | 65 | 2.19 | 0.83 |
| Player | GP | W | L | SV | IP | SO | ERA | WHIP | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Muñoz | 37 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 34.1 | 51 | 4.19 | 1.28 | |
| Jose A. Ferrer | 44 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 39.2 | 34 | 2.95 | 1.36 | |
| Gabe Speier | 30 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24.1 | 19 | 2.22 | 1.19 | |
| Nick Davila | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19.1 | 9 | 1.86 | 1.03 | |
| Cooper Criswell | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30.2 | 23 | 3.52 | 1.17 | |
| Michael Rucker | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12.2 | 13 | 5.68 | 1.50 | |
| Eduard Bazardo | 44 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 41.1 | 40 | 2.40 | 1.23 | |
| Matt Brash | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16.2 | 15 | 0.54 | 0.84 | |
| Cole Wilcox | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17.0 | 16 | 4.24 | 1.82 | |
| Josh Simpson | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 3 | 9.00 | 2.00 | |
| Alex Hoppe | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24.0 | 26 | 6.38 | 1.46 | |
| Domingo Gonzalez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | 5 | 4.70 | 1.83 |
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| DATE | OPP | SCORE | MATCHUP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 | SF | 10:10 EDT | Bryce Miller Landen Roupp |
| 07-18 | SF | 08:08 EDT | Bryan Woo Logan Webb |
| 07-19 | SF | 04:10 EDT | Logan Gilbert Robbie Ray |
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| tommy white ATH 3B | +4.1 |
| Brady Singer CIN SP | +3.7 |
| Spencer Steer CIN 1B | +3.5 |
| Christian Scott NYM SP | +3.4 |
| Caleb Durbin BOS 3B | +3.1 |
| Reid Detmers LAA SP | +2.9 |
| Jared Jones PIT SP | +2.7 |
| Yainer Diaz HOU C | +2.5 |
| Brayan Rocchio CLE SS | +2.3 |
| Spencer Miles TOR RP | +2.3 |
| Anthony Kay CHW SP | +1.9 |
| Landen Roupp SF SP | +1.9 |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX SS | +1.8 |
| JJ Bleday CIN LF | +1.6 |
| Peter Lambert HOU SP | +1.5 |
| Carson Benge NYM RF | -3.3 |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF RF | -3.0 |
| Trevor McDonald SF SP | -3.0 |
| Brad Keller PHI RP | -2.6 |
| Reynaldo Lopez ATL SP | -2.2 |
| A.J. Ewing NYM CF | -2.2 |
| JR Ritchie ATL SP | -2.2 |
| Austin Riley ATL 3B | -2.1 |
| Freddy Peralta NYM SP | -2.0 |
| Blaze Alexander BAL 3B | -2.0 |
| Brandon Woodruff MIL SP | -1.9 |
| Nick Lodolo CIN SP | -1.9 |
| Dustin May STL SP | -1.9 |
| Matthew Boyd CHC SP | -1.7 |
| Pete Fairbanks MIA RP | -1.7 |