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2023 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES

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Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.

We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.

ALL QB RB TE WR K DST
THROUGH WEEK 17 THROUGH WEEK 14
AVG Pick Player GP POS Rank FPTS GP POS Rank FPTS
2.00 Christian McCaffrey 16 1RB 391 13 1RB 311
4.00 Austin Ekeler 13 3RB 174 10 2RB 150
8.00 Bijan Robinson 16 12RB 220 13 8RB 189
9.00 Saquon Barkley 13 16RB 200 10 18RB 166
12.00 Nick Chubb 2 85RB 23 2 79RB 23
15.00 Tony Pollard 16 15RB 206 13 10RB 187
18.00 Derrick Henry 16 11RB 225 13 7RB 195
20.00 Josh Jacobs 13 23RB 181 13 12RB 181
26.00 Rhamondre Stevenson 12 33RB 146 12 24RB 146
27.00 Najee Harris 16 3RB 171 13 2RB 132
30.00 Travis Etienne 16 2RB 269 13 3RB 227
32.00 Joe Mixon 16 3RB 242 13 2RB 200
34.00 Jahmyr Gibbs 14 8RB 233 11 13RB 179
38.00 Aaron Jones 0 0
40.00 Breece Hall 16 4RB 262 13 9RB 188
42.00 Kenneth Walker 14 19RB 190 11 23RB 147
43.00 Jonathan Taylor 9 37RB 129 7 37RB 101
47.00 Dameon Pierce 13 56RB 77 10 51RB 71
50.00 Miles Sanders 15 3RB 86 12 2RB 77
54.00 J.K. Dobbins 1 103RB 12 1 98RB 12
56.00 Alexander Mattison 15 3RB 129 13 2RB 124
59.00 Cam Akers 7 3RB 47 7 2RB 47
63.00 Rachaad White 16 6RB 255 13 4RB 204
64.00 Dalvin Cook 14 3RB 40 13 2RB 38
67.00 James Conner 12 28RB 171 9 36RB 105
69.00 Alvin Kamara 13 9RB 233 10 5RB 202
70.00 Javonte Williams 15 31RB 159 12 29RB 135
74.00 D'Andre Swift 16 17RB 199 13 17RB 167
75.00 James Cook 16 10RB 225 13 14RB 178
77.00 Isiah Pacheco 14 13RB 214 12 16RB 174
80.00 David Montgomery 13 18RB 197 10 20RB 160
86.00 AJ Dillon 15 39RB 118 13 35RB 108
92.00 Khalil Herbert 11 3RB 106 8 2RB 64
94.00 Brian Robinson 14 21RB 188 13 15RB 176
95.00 Antonio Gibson 15 3RB 121 12 2RB 97
99.00 Jamaal Williams 12 3RB 48 9 2RB 31
102.00 Zach Charbonnet 15 48RB 98 12 43RB 87
104.00 Samaje Perine 16 42RB 115 13 38RB 98
111.00 Rashaad Penny 2 3RB 3 2 2RB 3
115.00 Jerick McKinnon 12 3RB 84 11 2RB 68
120.00 De'Von Achane 10 24RB 178 7 27RB 141
121.00 Elijah Mitchell 10 78RB 33 9 84RB 19
122.00 Damien Harris 6 3RB 19 6 2RB 19
127.00 Ezekiel Elliott 16 3RB 161 13 2RB 119
129.00 Jaylen Warren 16 20RB 188 13 26RB 146
133.00 Tyler Allgeier 16 35RB 131 13 41RB 94
134.00 Raheem Mostert 15 3RB 268 13 2RB 237
140.00 Tank Bigsby 12 86RB 21 10 85RB 18
147.00 Devin Singletary 16 32RB 154 13 33RB 112
148.00 Jeff Wilson 8 3RB 37 5 2RB 25
150.00 Kenneth Gainwell 15 50RB 91 12 50RB 72
154.00 D'Onta Foreman 9 3RB 91 8 2RB 92
162.00 Roschon Johnson 14 47RB 100 11 54RB 67
169.00 Kendre Miller 6 84RB 28 6 75RB 28
177.00 Tyjae Spears 16 34RB 132 13 34RB 109
182.00 Cordarrelle Patterson 11 3RB 35 9 2RB 23
187.00 Deuce Vaughn 6 3RB 15 5 2RB 13
192.00 Chuba Hubbard 16 26RB 171 13 28RB 136
196.00 Gus Edwards 16 3RB 184 13 2RB 146
198.00 Zamir White 12 3RB 61 9 2RB 13
199.00 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 14 3RB 68 12 2RB 40
210.00 Jerome Ford 16 14RB 206 13 19RB 164
216.00 Ty Chandler 12 51RB 90 9 58RB 48
224.00 Joshua Kelley 16 3RB 62 13 2RB 60
234.00 Deon Jackson 2 3RB 4 2 2RB 4
244.00 Chase Edmonds 12 3RB 36 9 2RB 22
246.00 Zack Moss 13 3RB 167 12 2RB 154
249.00 Pierre Strong 12 74RB 36 9 71RB 30
255.00 Kyren Williams 12 5RB 255 9 11RB 184
256.00 Chase Brown 9 64RB 47 6 73RB 30
257.00 Zach Evans 3 3RB 2 3 2RB 2
264.00 Michael Carter 14 43RB 108 11 47RB 76
265.00 Evan Hull 1 2 1 2
271.00 Sean Tucker 3 112RB 5 3 107RB 5
279.00 Latavius Murray 15 3RB 83 13 2RB 76
282.00 Isaiah Spiller 9 3RB 19 6 2RB 10
283.00 DeWayne McBride 0 3RB 0 2RB
286.00 Matt Breida 15 3RB 47 13 2RB 42
290.00 Malik Davis 0 0 0 0
292.00 James Robinson 1 3RB 1 1 2RB 1
307.00 Keaontay Ingram 7 3RB 14 7 2RB 14
310.00 JaMycal Hasty 1 3RB 0 1 2RB 0
311.00 Zonovan Knight 2 3 2 3
312.00 Rico Dowdle 15 55RB 79 13 49RB 75
316.00 Chris Evans 1 3RB 2 1 2RB 2
317.00 Boston Scott 9 3RB 15 8 2RB 17
322.00 Hassan Haskins 0 3RB 0 0 2RB 0
324.00 Melvin Gordon 3 3RB 20 2 2RB 13
325.00 Trayveon Williams 13 3RB 15 11 2RB 13
332.00 Ronald Jones 0 3RB 0 2RB
343.00 Darrel Williams 0 3RB 0 2RB
346.00 Israel Abanikanda 5 94RB 16 2 110RB 3
368.00 Jordan Mason 8 71RB 39 6 67RB 37
375.00 Deneric Prince 0 3RB 0 0 2RB 0
376.00 Eric Gray 4 109RB 9 2 108RB 4
377.00 Chris Rodriguez 8 72RB 38 6 87RB 15
385.00 Alex Armah 2 3RB 2 2 2RB 2
389.00 Ronnie Rivers 6 99RB 15 4 96RB 12
400.00 Kenny McIntosh 0 0 0 0
403.00 Demetric Felton 0 3RB 0 2RB
409.00 Kenyan Drake 2 3RB 3 1 2RB 3
411.00 Ke'Shawn Vaughn 5 3RB 6 5 2RB 6
420.00 D'Ernest Johnson 14 3RB 35 11 2RB 34
421.00 Corey Clement 0 3RB 0 0 2RB 0
425.00 Raheem Blackshear 6 3RB 17 6 2RB 15
432.00 Tyler Badie 0 0 0 0
438.00 Trey Sermon 8 3RB 20 5 2RB 5
439.00 Craig Reynolds 6 3RB 30 6 2RB 30
455.00 Xazavian Valladay 0 3RB 0 2RB
459.00 Kennedy Brooks 0 3RB 0 2RB
462.00 B.J. Baylor 0 3RB 0 2RB
464.00 Jermar Jefferson 0 3RB 0 2RB
466.00 Trestan Ebner 0 3RB 0 2RB
469.00 Gary Brightwell 3 104RB 12 3 97RB 12
476.00 Caleb Huntley 0 3RB 0 2RB
489.00 Abram Smith 0 3RB 0 2RB
501.00 Salvon Ahmed 7 68RB 43 7 62RB 43
504.00 Elijah Dotson 1 3RB 4 1 2RB 4
515.00 Khalan Laborn 0 3RB 0 2RB
520.00 Larry Rountree 0 3RB 0 2RB
534.00 Tyrion Davis-Price 1 3RB 2 1 2RB 2
548.00 Sincere McCormick 0 3RB 0 2RB
567.00 Lew Nichols 0 0
569.00 Snoop Conner 0 3RB 0 2RB
571.00 Jashaun Corbin 1 3RB 4 1 2RB 4
577.00 Kevin Harris 3 3RB 20 0 2RB 0
585.00 Julius Chestnut 0 0 0 0
586.00 J.J. Taylor 0 3RB 0 2RB
589.00 Chris Brooks 3 3RB 11 2 2RB 9
594.00 Jaret Patterson 0 0
596.00 Darwin Thompson 0 3RB 0 2RB
605.00 Emari Demercado 11 57RB 73 8 60RB 45
607.00 Camerun Peoples 0 3RB 0 2RB
610.00 Master Teague 0 3RB 0 2RB
613.00 SaRodorick Thompson 0 3RB 0 0 2RB 0
618.00 Jake Funk 1 3RB 3 1 2RB 3
644.00 Patrick Taylor 10 82RB 30 7 78RB 24
647.00 Derrick Gore 1 3RB 2 1 2RB 2
662.00 Justice Hill 15 46RB 104 12 52RB 71
665.00 John Kelly 0 3RB 0 2RB
677.00 La'Mical Perine 1 3RB 0 1 2RB 0
686.00 Travis Homer 1 0 1 0
N/A Kareem Hunt 11 40RB 117 14 40RB 95
N/A Aaron Jones Sr. 7 41RB 116 10 46RB 76
N/A Jaleel McLaughlin 13 45RB 105 16 44RB 82
N/A Keaton Mitchell 6 58RB 70 7 57RB 59
N/A Ameer Abdullah 12 70RB 39 15 76RB 27
N/A Ty Johnson 4 81RB 30 6 82RB 21
N/A Tyler Goodson 2 92RB 18 5 109RB 4
N/A Emanuel Wilson 5 95RB 15 5 89RB 15
N/A Hunter Luepke 4 101RB 13 6 101RB 10
N/A DeeJay Dallas 9 108RB 10 10 99RB 10

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Waiver Trends

More Trends
Eagles DST PHI DST +3.2
Bhayshul Tuten JAC RB +3.0
Harrison Butker KC K +2.5
Jalen Hurts PHI QB +2.1
Eddy Pineiro SF K +2.1
Ladd McConkey LAC WR +2.0
Tetairoa McMillan CAR WR +2.0
Tucker Kraft GB TE +1.9
Brandon Aubrey DAL K +1.9
Jauan Jennings MIN WR +1.9
Jake Elliott PHI K +1.8
Xavier Worthy KC WR +1.7
Cameron Dicker LAC K +1.5
Quentin Johnston LAC WR +1.5
Chiefs DST KC DST +1.4
Jake Tonges SF TE -3.4
Jalen Coker CAR WR -3.4
Giants DST NYG DST -3.3
Chimere Dike TEN WR -3.1
Kayshon Boutte NE WR -3.0
Josh Downs IND WR -3.0
Colts DST IND DST -2.8
Taysom Hill TE -2.5
Darren Waller TE -2.4
Adonai Mitchell NYJ WR -2.4
Tyler Allgeier ARI RB -2.3
Travis Kelce KC TE -2.2
Trey Benson ARI RB -2.2
Tyjae Spears TEN RB -2.1
Chris Rodriguez JAC RB -2.0

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