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2023 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES

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Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.

We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.

ALL QB RB TE WR K DST
THROUGH WEEK 17 THROUGH WEEK 14
AVG Pick Player GP POS Rank FPTS GP POS Rank FPTS
19.00 Patrick Mahomes 16 7QB 280 13 8QB 236
21.00 Josh Allen 16 1QB 370 13 1QB 307
24.00 Jalen Hurts 16 2QB 356 13 2QB 292
35.00 Lamar Jackson 16 3QB 331 13 4QB 254
41.00 Joe Burrow 10 25QB 147 10 23QB 147
45.00 Justin Herbert 13 16QB 234 13 9QB 234
46.00 Justin Fields 12 17QB 222 9 19QB 162
55.00 Trevor Lawrence 15 14QB 246 13 11QB 222
83.00 Dak Prescott 16 4QB 318 13 3QB 273
87.00 Deshaun Watson 6 36QB 87 6 31QB 87
89.00 Tua Tagovailoa 16 10QB 263 13 12QB 219
103.00 Aaron Rodgers 1 0 1 0
105.00 Daniel Jones 6 43QB 57 6 38QB 57
106.00 Kirk Cousins 8 24QB 150 8 22QB 150
113.00 Geno Smith 14 19QB 207 12 18QB 173
117.00 Anthony Richardson 4 37QB 73 4 34QB 73
132.00 Jared Goff 16 8QB 270 13 14QB 214
137.00 Russell Wilson 15 11QB 257 13 13QB 216
158.00 Kenny Pickett 12 30QB 110 12 28QB 110
161.00 Derek Carr 16 11QB 214 13 13QB 153
167.00 Matthew Stafford 15 15QB 243 12 17QB 191
184.00 Bryce Young 15 23QB 152 12 26QB 120
186.00 Brock Purdy 16 6QB 296 13 5QB 250
188.00 Kyler Murray 7 27QB 129 4 35QB 71
193.00 Jordan Love 16 5QB 301 13 10QB 231
218.00 Sam Howell 16 13QB 250 13 7QB 237
225.00 C.J. Stroud 14 12QB 255 13 6QB 243
229.00 Jimmy Garoppolo 6 11QB 64 6 13QB 64
243.00 Mac Jones 11 32QB 106 11 29QB 106
252.00 Ryan Tannehill 8 11QB 68 6 13QB 51
263.00 Baker Mayfield 16 9QB 268 13 15QB 203
284.00 Will Levis 9 33QB 102 7 30QB 89
291.00 Desmond Ridder 14 11QB 162 12 13QB 155
294.00 Trey Lance 0 0 0 0
302.00 Mike White 6 11QB 2 4 13QB 4
306.00 Andy Dalton 2 50QB 24 2 46QB 24
314.00 Davis Mills 4 56QB 18 3 57QB 1
334.00 Jacoby Brissett 2 52QB 23 0 60QB 0
335.00 Colt McCoy 0 11QB 0 13QB
341.00 Taylor Heinicke 5 11QB 66 3 13QB 37
342.00 Gardner Minshew 15 21QB 188 12 24QB 145
345.00 Tyler Huntley 4 58QB 12 3 52QB 7
355.00 Sam Darnold 9 62QB 6 6 63QB -1
363.00 Kyle Trask 2 11QB 0 2 13QB 0
369.00 Kyle Allen 6 -1 4 -1
370.00 Stetson Bennett 0 0 0 0
374.00 Marcus Mariota 1 1 1 1
380.00 Bailey Zappe 9 39QB 68 6 45QB 30
395.00 Zach Wilson 12 29QB 120 11 25QB 121
412.00 Tyrod Taylor 9 38QB 70 6 41QB 41
417.00 Mitch Trubisky 5 37QB 49 4 34QB 36
422.00 Cooper Rush 6 11QB 2 6 13QB 2
427.00 Drew Lock 4 49QB 29 3 49QB 17
430.00 Hendon Hooker 0 0 0
441.00 Joshua Dobbs 13 11QB 201 13 13QB 201
447.00 Aidan O'Connell 10 31QB 108 7 37QB 60
450.00 Jarrett Stidham 1 57QB 14 0 61QB 0
452.00 Trevor Siemian 4 51QB 24 1 58QB 1
458.00 Sean Clifford 2 1 1 0
470.00 Malik Cunningham 0 0 0 0
484.00 Matt Corral 0 11QB 0 0 13QB 0
497.00 Chase Garbers 0 11QB 0 13QB
498.00 E.J. Perry 0 11QB 0 13QB
499.00 Nathan Rourke 0 11QB 0 0 13QB 0
506.00 Max Duggan 0 11QB 0 0 13QB
518.00 Jaren Hall 3 11QB 2 2 13QB 3
524.00 Jake Haener 0 11QB 0 0 13QB 0
550.00 Dorian Thompson-Robinson 7 11QB 22 5 13QB 20
552.00 Ben DiNucci 0 11QB 0 0 13QB 0
565.00 Tanner McKee 0 0 0 0
609.00 Clayton Tune 4 11QB 5 3 13QB 5
622.00 Skylar Thompson 0 0 0 0
635.00 Jameis Winston 6 59QB 12 6 50QB 12
642.00 Teddy Bridgewater 1 0 1 0
661.00 Malik Willis 2 3 2 3
663.00 Matt Barkley 1 11QB 0 0 13QB 0
671.00 Trace McSorley 0 11QB 0 13QB
672.00 Chris Streveler 0 11QB 0 13QB
673.00 Blaine Gabbert 1 11QB -3 1 13QB -3
682.00 Reid Sinnett 0 11QB 0 0 13QB 0
679.00 Anthony Brown 0 11QB 0 0 13QB 0
N/A Taysom Hill 12 26QB 132 15 27QB 118
N/A Jake Browning 5 28QB 126 8 33QB 73
N/A Joe Flacco 2 34QB 101 5 43QB 37
N/A Tommy Devito 6 35QB 93 8 32QB 80
N/A Tyson Bagent 5 44QB 53 5 39QB 53
N/A Easton Stick 1 45QB 52 4 53QB 5
N/A Nick Mullens 1 47QB 46 4 56QB 3
N/A Mason Rudolph 0 48QB 32 3 59QB 0
N/A Case Keenum 0 61QB 10 2 62QB 0

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Waiver Trends

More Trends
Eagles DST PHI DST +3.2
Bhayshul Tuten JAC RB +3.0
Harrison Butker KC K +2.5
Jalen Hurts PHI QB +2.1
Eddy Pineiro SF K +2.1
Ladd McConkey LAC WR +2.0
Tetairoa McMillan CAR WR +2.0
Tucker Kraft GB TE +1.9
Brandon Aubrey DAL K +1.9
Jauan Jennings MIN WR +1.9
Jake Elliott PHI K +1.8
Xavier Worthy KC WR +1.7
Cameron Dicker LAC K +1.5
Quentin Johnston LAC WR +1.5
Chiefs DST KC DST +1.4
Jake Tonges SF TE -3.4
Jalen Coker CAR WR -3.4
Giants DST NYG DST -3.3
Chimere Dike TEN WR -3.1
Kayshon Boutte NE WR -3.0
Josh Downs IND WR -3.0
Colts DST IND DST -2.8
Taysom Hill TE -2.5
Darren Waller TE -2.4
Adonai Mitchell NYJ WR -2.4
Tyler Allgeier ARI RB -2.3
Travis Kelce KC TE -2.2
Trey Benson ARI RB -2.2
Tyjae Spears TEN RB -2.1
Chris Rodriguez JAC RB -2.0

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