2023 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES
SIGN UPBiggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.
We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.
| THROUGH WEEK 17 | THROUGH WEEK 14 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG Pick | Player | GP | POS Rank | FPTS | GP | POS Rank | FPTS |
| 19.00 | Patrick Mahomes | 16 | 7QB | 280 | 13 | 8QB | 236 |
| 21.00 | Josh Allen | 16 | 1QB | 370 | 13 | 1QB | 307 |
| 24.00 | Jalen Hurts | 16 | 2QB | 356 | 13 | 2QB | 292 |
| 35.00 | Lamar Jackson | 16 | 3QB | 331 | 13 | 4QB | 254 |
| 41.00 | Joe Burrow | 10 | 25QB | 147 | 10 | 23QB | 147 |
| 45.00 | Justin Herbert | 13 | 16QB | 234 | 13 | 9QB | 234 |
| 46.00 | Justin Fields | 12 | 17QB | 222 | 9 | 19QB | 162 |
| 55.00 | Trevor Lawrence | 15 | 14QB | 246 | 13 | 11QB | 222 |
| 83.00 | Dak Prescott | 16 | 4QB | 318 | 13 | 3QB | 273 |
| 87.00 | Deshaun Watson | 6 | 36QB | 87 | 6 | 31QB | 87 |
| 89.00 | Tua Tagovailoa | 16 | 10QB | 263 | 13 | 12QB | 219 |
| 103.00 | Aaron Rodgers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 105.00 | Daniel Jones | 6 | 43QB | 57 | 6 | 38QB | 57 |
| 106.00 | Kirk Cousins | 8 | 24QB | 150 | 8 | 22QB | 150 |
| 113.00 | Geno Smith | 14 | 19QB | 207 | 12 | 18QB | 173 |
| 117.00 | Anthony Richardson | 4 | 37QB | 73 | 4 | 33QB | 73 |
| 132.00 | Jared Goff | 16 | 8QB | 270 | 13 | 14QB | 214 |
| 137.00 | Russell Wilson | 15 | 11QB | 257 | 13 | 13QB | 216 |
| 158.00 | Kenny Pickett | 12 | 30QB | 110 | 12 | 28QB | 110 |
| 161.00 | Derek Carr | 16 | 11QB | 214 | 13 | 13QB | 153 |
| 167.00 | Matthew Stafford | 15 | 15QB | 243 | 12 | 17QB | 191 |
| 184.00 | Bryce Young | 15 | 23QB | 152 | 12 | 26QB | 120 |
| 186.00 | Brock Purdy | 16 | 6QB | 296 | 13 | 5QB | 250 |
| 188.00 | Kyler Murray | 7 | 27QB | 129 | 4 | 35QB | 71 |
| 193.00 | Jordan Love | 16 | 5QB | 301 | 13 | 10QB | 231 |
| 218.00 | Sam Howell | 16 | 13QB | 250 | 13 | 7QB | 237 |
| 225.00 | C.J. Stroud | 14 | 12QB | 255 | 13 | 6QB | 243 |
| 229.00 | Jimmy Garoppolo | 6 | 11QB | 64 | 6 | 13QB | 64 |
| 243.00 | Mac Jones | 11 | 32QB | 106 | 11 | 29QB | 106 |
| 252.00 | Ryan Tannehill | 8 | 11QB | 68 | 6 | 13QB | 51 |
| 263.00 | Baker Mayfield | 16 | 9QB | 268 | 13 | 15QB | 203 |
| 284.00 | Will Levis | 9 | 33QB | 102 | 7 | 30QB | 89 |
| 291.00 | Desmond Ridder | 14 | 11QB | 162 | 12 | 13QB | 155 |
| 294.00 | Trey Lance | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 302.00 | Mike White | 6 | 11QB | 2 | 4 | 13QB | 4 |
| 306.00 | Andy Dalton | 2 | 51QB | 24 | 2 | 46QB | 24 |
| 314.00 | Davis Mills | 4 | 56QB | 18 | 3 | 58QB | 1 |
| 334.00 | Jacoby Brissett | 2 | 52QB | 23 | 0 | 62QB | 0 |
| 335.00 | Colt McCoy | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 13QB | ||
| 341.00 | Taylor Heinicke | 5 | 11QB | 66 | 3 | 13QB | 37 |
| 342.00 | Gardner Minshew | 15 | 21QB | 188 | 12 | 24QB | 145 |
| 345.00 | Tyler Huntley | 4 | 58QB | 12 | 3 | 52QB | 7 |
| 355.00 | Sam Darnold | 9 | 62QB | 6 | 6 | 63QB | -1 |
| 363.00 | Kyle Trask | 2 | 11QB | 0 | 2 | 13QB | 0 |
| 369.00 | Kyle Allen | 6 | -1 | 4 | -1 | ||
| 370.00 | Stetson Bennett | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 374.00 | Marcus Mariota | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 380.00 | Bailey Zappe | 9 | 40QB | 68 | 6 | 45QB | 30 |
| 395.00 | Zach Wilson | 12 | 29QB | 120 | 11 | 25QB | 121 |
| 412.00 | Tyrod Taylor | 9 | 38QB | 70 | 6 | 41QB | 41 |
| 417.00 | Mitch Trubisky | 5 | 37QB | 49 | 4 | 33QB | 36 |
| 422.00 | Cooper Rush | 6 | 11QB | 2 | 6 | 13QB | 2 |
| 427.00 | Drew Lock | 4 | 49QB | 29 | 3 | 49QB | 17 |
| 430.00 | Hendon Hooker | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 441.00 | Joshua Dobbs | 13 | 11QB | 201 | 13 | 13QB | 201 |
| 447.00 | Aidan O'Connell | 10 | 31QB | 108 | 7 | 37QB | 60 |
| 450.00 | Jarrett Stidham | 1 | 57QB | 14 | 0 | 59QB | 0 |
| 452.00 | Trevor Siemian | 4 | 50QB | 24 | 1 | 57QB | 1 |
| 458.00 | Sean Clifford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 470.00 | Malik Cunningham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 484.00 | Matt Corral | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 0 | 13QB | 0 |
| 497.00 | Chase Garbers | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 13QB | ||
| 498.00 | E.J. Perry | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 13QB | ||
| 499.00 | Nathan Rourke | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 0 | 13QB | 0 |
| 506.00 | Max Duggan | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 0 | 13QB | |
| 518.00 | Jaren Hall | 3 | 11QB | 2 | 2 | 13QB | 3 |
| 524.00 | Jake Haener | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 0 | 13QB | 0 |
| 550.00 | Dorian Thompson-Robinson | 7 | 11QB | 22 | 5 | 13QB | 20 |
| 552.00 | Ben DiNucci | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 0 | 13QB | 0 |
| 565.00 | Tanner McKee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 609.00 | Clayton Tune | 4 | 11QB | 5 | 3 | 13QB | 5 |
| 622.00 | Skylar Thompson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 635.00 | Jameis Winston | 6 | 59QB | 12 | 6 | 50QB | 12 |
| 642.00 | Teddy Bridgewater | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 661.00 | Malik Willis | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | ||
| 663.00 | Matt Barkley | 1 | 11QB | 0 | 0 | 13QB | 0 |
| 671.00 | Trace McSorley | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 13QB | ||
| 672.00 | Chris Streveler | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 13QB | ||
| 673.00 | Blaine Gabbert | 1 | 11QB | -3 | 1 | 13QB | -3 |
| 682.00 | Reid Sinnett | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 0 | 13QB | 0 |
| 679.00 | Anthony Brown | 0 | 11QB | 0 | 0 | 13QB | 0 |
| N/A | Taysom Hill | 12 | 26QB | 132 | 15 | 27QB | 118 |
| N/A | Jake Browning | 5 | 28QB | 126 | 8 | 34QB | 73 |
| N/A | Joe Flacco | 2 | 34QB | 101 | 5 | 42QB | 37 |
| N/A | Tommy Devito | 6 | 35QB | 93 | 8 | 32QB | 80 |
| N/A | Tyson Bagent | 5 | 44QB | 53 | 5 | 39QB | 53 |
| N/A | Easton Stick | 1 | 45QB | 52 | 4 | 54QB | 5 |
| N/A | Nick Mullens | 1 | 47QB | 46 | 4 | 56QB | 3 |
| N/A | Mason Rudolph | 0 | 48QB | 32 | 3 | 61QB | 0 |
| N/A | Case Keenum | 0 | 61QB | 10 | 2 | 60QB | 0 |
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Waiver Trends
More Trends| CeeDee Lamb DAL WR | +0.0 |
| Davante Adams LAR WR | +0.0 |
| Harrison Mevis LAR K | +0.0 |
| Jayden Higgins HOU WR | +0.0 |
| Kayshon Boutte NE WR | +0.0 |
| Matthew Golden GB WR | +0.0 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB | +0.0 |
| Tre Tucker LV WR | +0.0 |
| Bears DST CHI DST | +0.0 |
| C.J. Stroud HOU QB | +0.0 |
| Cowboys DST DAL DST | +0.0 |
| Emeka Egbuka TB WR | +0.0 |
| James Conner ARI RB | +0.0 |
| Josh Allen BUF QB | +0.0 |
| Mack Hollins NE WR | +0.0 |
| Chimere Dike TEN WR | 0.0 |
| Derrick Henry BAL RB | 0.0 |
| J.K. Dobbins DEN RB | 0.0 |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI RB | 0.0 |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ TE | 0.0 |
| Michael Wilson ARI WR | 0.0 |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL WR | 0.0 |
| Troy Franklin DEN WR | 0.0 |
| Bo Nix DEN QB | 0.0 |
| Dalton Schultz HOU TE | 0.0 |
| George Kittle SF TE | 0.0 |
| Javonte Williams DAL RB | 0.0 |
| Justin Jefferson MIN WR | 0.0 |
| Mark Andrews BAL TE | 0.0 |
| Rams DST LAR DST | 0.0 |
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