Using FantasySP's Premium Trade Analysis to Assess Fantasy Baseball Trades
Checking out the new FantasySP premium trade analysis and showing how it works.
The trade analyzers are the most-utilized fantasy tool for us here at FantasySP.
We are constantly looking for ways to improve the trade analyzers and have done just that with our Premium Analysis. Let's discuss a bit about what Premium Analysis is exactly, and then show it in action.
Check out the FantasySP Fantasy Baseball Trade Analyzer and Trade Value Chart as you propose/accept and react to trades all season.
About Premium Analysis
The FantasySP trade analyzers are built on player ratings. So for example, Aaron Judge is the top-rated fantasy baseball player so far this season.
Trading for him should be a challenge, because no one-for-one trade is really that even. In the past, stacking two or three players together for Judge would result in a trade that looked fair, but not many fantasy owners would actually accept that kind of offer for Judge.
Premium Analysis takes everything into account about players. Deep dives on players show a player's fantasy impact, stats, recent numbers, notable news, role, injury notes, upside and more.
Premium Analysis then looks at the value and fairness of the trade offer. It takes into account the values from the Trade Value Chart, but also incorporates own/start percentages, historical numbers and so much more.
You can also import your league settings to incorporate the whole picture for the Premium Analysis. Certain trades might work in some leagues, but not others.
A deeper dive on Premium Analysis can be read at this link. Let's now whip up a couple trades to show the new tool in action.
Fantasy Expert Breakdowns
In the first trade, let's try to trade Seiya Suzuki, Tylor Megill and Willson Contreras for Aaron Judge.
The trade analyzer says this is a pretty fair trade, with a rating of 79%. Suzuki, Megill and Contreras have a combined value of 43.87, which is above Judge's 35.43 mark.
Personally, Judge is close to untouchable, and I'd want to be blown away by a trade to part with him. This offer says you are giving up enough for Judge, but it's not enough in my eyes. Let's see what the trade expert says.
In the “Trade Fairness Analysis' section, the gap of the trade is 21%, meaning the side trying to trade for Judge is giving too much. However, it states “The package for Judge is built on quantity over quality — none of the three incoming players approaches Judge's elite, league-winning ceiling.”
The final recommendation is to reject or renegotiate the trade. “The only way this becomes fair is if the team giving up Judge gets a top-20 overall bat or SP in return — not just three mid-tier starters with no true difference-makers.”
Near the bottom of the trade insight, it says “This deal is lopsided and does not meet basic fairness standards for a 10-team points redraft league. Aaron Judge is a generational fantasy asset, while the return package is built on solid depth but no stars. Unless the Judge side is in full desperation mode due to catastrophic injuries, there is no competitive justification for giving up the game's best hitter in exchange for three “good-not-great” pieces. Recommend rejecting or revising the trade to include at least one proven superstar or top-20 overall contributor.”
That's next-level fantasy trade analysis, and can be very useful for all fantasy users, especially newer ones who might see three players coming in for their star and think they are coming out as the winners of the trade.
Let's go over another trade before wrapping things up. We'll try to acquire Kyle Tucker, giving up Julio Rodriguez and Oneil Cruz.
Rodriguez and Cruz have a combined value of 37.78, while Tucker has a mark of 26.73 by himself. That points the trade analyzer heavily in the favor of the side giving up Tucker.
I agree that fantasy owners should want to go after Tucker, but also would advise against this trade. It's an overpay. Let's see what Premium Analysis says.
In the Trade Fairness Analysis section, it notes a 34.3% gap in this trade, with the side getting Tucker on the short end of things. It notes “2-for-1 trades can be fair in certain cases, but usually only when the single player is a clear tier above both pieces combined. Tucker is elite, but Rodriguez + Cruz together have more combined upside, and both are universally started.”
The final recommendation is that this trade is not fair. The bottom line says “This trade is heavily in favor of the team acquiring Julio Rodriguez and Oneil Cruz. All three players are elite or near-elite, but the combined value, upside, and starting lineup impact of Rodriguez and Cruz far outweighs what Tucker can provide alone. Unless there are extreme, specific roster constraints, this deal should be rejected or renegotiated for a more balanced return.”
It advises fantasy owners trying to acquire Tucker to only give up one of Rodriguez or Cruz, then add “a lower-tier piece—not two high-end assets.” It also says to “Consider adding another strong piece from the Tucker side or lowering the return from the Rodriguez + Cruz side.”
The Premium Analysis helps fantasy owners not pay too much for Tucker, and even helps try to even the trade out. Of course, some fantasy owners might take this deal either way, but the Trade Expert advises against it, and more often than not, they should be rejecting the trade.
These are just a couple examples of the new Premium Analysis in action. If your fantasy team could use a jolt from a trade, try out the Trade Analyzer and then click “Ask Fantasy Expert” to break down the trade proposal even more.
All you need is an AI Fantasy Expert credit, and those can be bought right where you ask for premium analysis inside the trade analyzer.
Give it a try and let us know what you think!