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Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola

SP • Philadelphia Phillies Proj Rank 115 Actual 90 168 ADP • Trade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
127.25.434-9138/469.71.4810.21
Compared to same point last season
52.06.921-756/179.71.60

Aaron Nola | Fantasy Outlook

Aaron Nola flashes improved strikeout form ahead of a home test against Miami

Nola has stabilized his performance of late, recording a 3.38 ERA with 22 strikeouts over 16 innings in his last 14 days. Operating as a reliable mid-rotation staple, his recent surge has provided a lift for a second-place Phillies squad that holds a 67-58 record and is riding a three-game win streak.

Although his full-season 5.48 ERA and 1.49 WHIP reflect a turbulent year, his strikeout upside remains strong after recently capturing his 2,000th career strikeout. Our models project steady positive regression toward a 4.15 ERA and 1.24 WHIP rest-of-season, indicating that his current trajectory of run prevention is a legitimate rebound rather than a brief hot streak.

Looking at the week ahead, Nola is scheduled for a single home start on Wednesday against the Marlins in a duel against Sandy Alcantara. Our weekly projection forecasts six quality innings with over six strikeouts and a 3.74 ERA, keeping him securely in fantasy rotations. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Aaron Nola Fantasy

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DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
08/13 @MIN 5.0 97 9 3 1 WIN 5.43 1.48 19
08/08 TOR 5.0 97 8 2 2 N/A 5.58 1.48 12
08/03 WAS 6.0 97 5 2 3 N/A 5.66 1.47 13
07/28 @MIA 5.2 93 4 3 1 LOSS 5.72 1.48 5
07/22 LAD 5.1 85 4 1 5 LOSS 5.94 1.48 1
07/16 NYM 6.0 97 6 4 3 LOSS 5.81 1.48 8
07/10 @DET 5.0 84 8 2 2 N/A 5.89 1.47 14
07/05 @KC 7.0 98 7 0 3 LOSS 6.02 1.49 13
06/29 PIT 4.1 86 5 2 7 LOSS 6.21 1.54 -3
06/24 @WAS 5.0 86 5 2 2 N/A 5.74 1.49 11
06/18 NYM 5.0 97 6 1 2 N/A 5.89 1.53 10
06/13 @MIL 4.2 85 3 2 3 N/A 6.06 1.52 5
06/07 CHW 4.1 98 4 4 5 N/A 5.86 1.45 3
06/02 SD 5.0 95 8 0 2 N/A 5.55 1.39 14
05/26 @SD 6.0 80 5 0 2 WIN 5.72 1.45 22
05/20 CIN 5.0 77 5 0 4 LOSS 6.04 1.56 2
05/15 @PIT 3.2 80 2 3 6 N/A 5.91 1.55 -1
05/09 COL 4.2 94 4 2 3 N/A 5.14 1.48 6
05/04 @MIA 6.0 94 5 0 0 WIN 5.06 1.45 23
04/26 @ATL 4.2 101 6 3 6 LOSS 6.03 1.56 -1
04/20 @CHC 4.1 88 5 4 5 LOSS 5.06 1.46 -1
04/14 CHC 5.0 87 5 2 3 N/A 4.03 1.30 7
04/08 @SF 6.0 84 3 1 3 LOSS 3.63 1.10 7
04/03 @COL 6.1 95 9 1 1 WIN 3.18 1.15 26
03/28 TEX 5.0 91 7 2 3 N/A 5.40 1.40 11
Totals: 127.222661384677 223
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2015 PHI 13 77.2 1117 68 19 0 6-2 3.59 1.2 7.9 188
2016 PHI 20 111.0 1796 121 29 0 6-9 4.95 1.32 9.8 263
2017 PHI 27 168.0 2665 184 49 0 12-11 3.54 1.21 9.9 451
2018 PHI 33 210.0 3212 224 58 0 17-6 2.4 0.99 9.6 632
2019 PHI 34 200.0 3332 229 80 0 12-7 3.92 1.28 10.3 500
2020 PHI 11 65.1 1060 84 23 0 5-5 3.44 1.13 11.6 176
2021 PHI 32 182.1 2971 223 39 0 9-9 4.59 1.12 11 427
2022 PHI 35 219.0 3256 246 29 0 12-14 3.45 0.98 10.1 547
2023 PHI 36 212.0 3427 225 49 0 15-10 4.33 1.16 9.6 512
2024 PHI 34 202.0 3275 205 52 0 14-9 3.74 1.22 9.1 496
2025 PHI 18 96.1 1599 100 28 0 5-10 5.89 1.33 9.3 159
2026 PHI 25 127.2 2266 138 46 0 4-9 5.43 1.48 9.7 223
ON PACE 31 163 2890 176 58 0 5-11 5.43 1.48 9.7 283
3-YEAR AVG 29 169 2767 177 43 0 11-10 4.39 1.22 9.4 389
Career 318 1857.1 29976 2047 501 0 0-0 4.02 1.19 9.9

Nola Projection

View All
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
3.812 1.305 0.2 0.3 6.8 3.2 11.9 5.2 0.3 93.2 11.3
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
3.812 1.305 0.2 0.3 6.8 3.2 11.9 5.2 0.3 93.2 11.3
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OWN START TRENDS

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Depth Chart

Philadelphia Phillies

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
J.T. Realmuto 26% 19%
NAME OWN START
Bryce Harper 100% 97%
Alec Bohm 58% 50%
Aidan Miller 3% 0%
NAME OWN START
Luis Arraez 98% 89%
Trea Turner 96% 84%
Bryson Stott 89% 77%
NAME OWN START
Kyle Schwarber 100% 95%
Brandon Marsh 65% 53%
Justin Crawford 13% 8%
Adolis Garcia 7% 3%
Edmundo Sosa 1% 1%
NAME OWN START
Zack Wheeler 100% 86%
Cristopher Sanchez 100% 77%
Jesus Luzardo 100% 68%
Aaron Nola 58% 42%
Andrew Painter 16% 8%
NAME OWN START
Jhoan Duran 99% 98%
Orion Kerkering 7% 6%
Brooks Raley 5% 5%
Caleb Kilian 5% 3%
Jonathan Bowlan 5% 4%
Brad Keller 2% 1%
Jose Alvarado 1% 1%

Team Rankings

AVG
.240
20th
R
570
15th
HR
154
9th
RBI
551
11th
SB
95
12th
OBP
.312
21st
SLG
.401
17th
OPS
.713
18th
W
69
7th
SV
34
14th
ERA
4.15
16th
WHIP
1.31
17th
QS
54
3rd
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
BravesBraves74-52.587-602490
PhilliesPhillies69-58.5435.5570558
MarlinsMarlins64-63.50410.5559542
NationalsNationals60-67.47214.5670657
MetsMets57-70.44917.5527571

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
J.T. Realmuto9431638688403.215  
Rafael Marchán328859260.102  
Garrett Stubbs264185020.122  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Bryce Harper1274447911525727.259  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Bryson Stott1214215611295923.266  
Luis Arraez1194825915355210.317  
Dylan Moore151230001.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Alec Bohm1224514611014712.244  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Trea Turner12250184123174817.246  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Brandon Marsh12144164120175411.272  
Derek Hill92165273992413.236  
Adolis García6723121457213.195  
Edmundo Sosa6518720415303.219  
Bryan De La Cruz1630410280.333  
Justin Crawford117341389223116.270  
Gabriel Rincones Jr.2984714270.167  
Felix Reyes123826120.158  
Steward Berroa6701010.143  
Otto Kemp132502000.080  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Kyle Schwarber1224507211137743.247  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Cristopher Sánchez261640161.21872.511.22  
Jesús Luzardo251150150.11853.231.15  
Zack Wheeler211040120.11442.921.01  
Aaron Nola25490130.01385.331.45  
Andrew Painter1828085.1716.431.55  
Taijuan Walker514022.2179.132.07  
Brian Keller10003.033.000.67  
Nolan Hoffman30004.223.861.93  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Jhoan Duran48142744.1621.831.04  
Caleb Kilian4947847.2564.911.36  
Brad Keller3221331.1324.021.34  
Brooks Raley5255148.0482.251.06  
José Alvarado5233145.0566.001.58  
Jonathan Bowlan4821145.2572.961.01  
Orion Kerkering5571149.2543.621.25  
Tim Mayza4933056.1563.521.07  
Lou Trivino50006.0715.002.83  
Zach Pop70007.163.681.09  
Tanner Banks2804029.0327.142.00  
Max Lazar60008.055.631.38  
Kyle Backhus2121020.0204.951.55  
Alan Rangel703026.0295.891.69  
Alex McFarlane41104.142.081.62  
Chase Shugart3521041.0494.611.32  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
08-17 MIAW 6-5Cristopher Sanchez
Janson Junk
08-18 MIAW 6-4Zack Wheeler
Cade Gibson
08-19 MIA06:05 EDTAaron Nola
Sandy Alcantara
08-21 STL06:40 EDTJesus Luzardo
Hunter Dobbins
08-22 STL06:05 EDTAndrew Painter
Andre Pallante
08-23 STL01:35 EDTCristopher Sanchez
Kyle Leahy

Player Timeline

Aug 13th

Aaron Nola Matches Season High with 9 Strikeouts at MLB Field of Dreams ...

Aug 8th

Blue Jays Hold Off Phillies 5-4 Despite Nervous Ninth-Inning Rally

Jul 16th

Aaron Nola Takes the Mound as MLB Returns to a Smoke-Filled, Damaged ...

Jun 29th

Aaron Nola Booed After Phillies Blow 5-0 Lead, Exits Tied with Bases ...

Jun 2nd

Phillies Reinstated Aaron Nola; Nolan Hoffman Optioned to Triple-A

May 29th

Phillies Make Roster Moves Before Game vs. Dodgers: Berroa and Hoffman ...

May 4th

Jhoan Duran Set to Return Tuesday from IL, Don Mattingly Says

Mar 17th

Aaron Nola Set for Final Spring Training Start Before Phillies Regular-Season ...

Mar 16th

Aaron Nola Shines for Italy in MLB-Related World Baseball Classic Start ...

Mar 15th

Cervelli Confirms Lorenzen to Start Italy-Venezuela Semifinal; Nola ...

Mar 14th

Italy advances to WBC semifinals after 8–6 win over Puerto Rico; Lorenzen ...

Mar 11th

Aaron Nola to Start Tonight for Team Italy in the World Baseball Classic ...

Mar 8th

Italy beats Great Britain 7–4 to move to 2–0; Nola set vs Mexico, ...

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Waiver Trends

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Dustin May MIL SP +6.2
Eric Lauer LAD SP +6.2
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Aaron Nola PHI SP +5.1
Seth Lugo KC SP +5.0
Kyle Leahy STL SP +4.5
Walbert Urena LAA SP +4.5
Lawrence Butler ATH RF +4.2
Abimelec Ortiz WAS 1B +4.1
Alejandro Kirk TOR C +3.8
Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL 3B +3.8
Ben Joyce LAA RP +3.5
Carlos Rodon NYY SP +3.4
Martin Perez ATL SP -9.8
Edwin Diaz LAD RP -8.1
Mitch Bratt ARI SP -8.0
Tyler Soderstrom ATH LF -7.8
Brandon Young BAL SP -6.6
Andre Pallante STL SP -5.5
Luis Castillo CHW SP -5.5
Edward Cabrera CHC SP -4.5
Joshua Baez STL RF -4.3
Quinn Mathews STL SP -3.5
Michael Wacha KC SP -3.4
Ty France SD 1B -3.4
Dansby Swanson CHC SS -3.3
Blade Tidwell SF SP -3.0
Brayan Bello BOS SP -3.0