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Payton Tolle

Payton Tolle

SP • Boston Red Sox Proj Rank 28 Actual 65 N/A • Trade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
80.13.365-680/2491.0811.35
Compared to same point last season
0.0nan0-0/NANnan

Payton Tolle | Fantasy Outlook

Payton Tolle anchors the Red Sox rotation with high-strikeout upside during a two-start week

Tolle has experienced a volatile fortnight, most recently surrendering six earned runs in a brief three-inning stint that spiked his season ERA to 3.39. This stumble was a sharp contrast to his previous start where he dismantled the Yankees with a one-hit gem, proving the young southpaw still possesses elite-tier potential. The fifth-place Red Sox currently hold a 40-48 record but enter the week on a three-game winning streak, relying on Tolle as a primary rotation staple while Tanner Houck and Patrick Sandoval remain on the 60-day injured list.

Despite the recent blow-up, Tolle’s season-long 1.14 WHIP and nearly 1.0 strikeout per inning suggest his performance is a massive step forward from his 6.11 ERA in 2025. Our data projects him to settle around a 4.00 ERA for the rest of the year, and his 3.22 K/BB ratio indicates that his underlying command is far better than his recent 18.00 ERA over the last seven days implies. While the 5.33 ERA over the last month is disappointing, his ability to generate 18 swings-and-misses in a single game marks him as a high-upside asset rather than a fluke.

Fantasy managers should capitalize on a two-start schedule as Tolle is slated to pitch Tuesday against the White Sox and Sunday against the Mets. The first matchup is particularly enticing against Noah Schultz and his 5.86 ERA, providing a prime bounce-back opportunity against a Chicago team struggling in the standings. With our models projecting nearly 11 strikeouts over 10.1 innings this week, Tolle’s heavy volume and punch-out upside make him a priority for all lineups. Start.


Updated 2 days ago

Payton Tolle Fantasy

Loading...
DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
07/07 @CHW 6.0 91 6 1 0 WIN 3.36 1.08 25
07/01 WAS 3.0 76 5 3 6 LOSS 3.63 1.13 -5
06/26 NYY 7.0 88 7 2 0 WIN 3.03 1.04 28
06/21 @SEA 6.0 79 2 2 3 LOSS 3.36 1.10 5
06/16 TOR 5.0 90 6 2 3 LOSS 3.24 1.08 5
06/09 @TB 6.0 94 3 1 4 LOSS 3.04 1.07 1
06/03 BAL 6.0 99 5 2 0 WIN 2.66 0.99 21
05/28 ATL 4.2 94 7 2 2 N/A 3.05 0.92 11
05/22 MIN 6.0 85 9 2 3 N/A 2.95 0.85 18
05/16 @ATL 8.0 85 3 1 2 WIN 2.64 0.82 23
05/10 TB 5.0 81 4 0 3 LOSS 2.78 0.88 3
05/04 @DET 7.0 83 8 1 0 WIN 2.04 0.74 29
04/28 @TOR 4.2 68 4 4 3 LOSS 3.38 1.03 2
04/23 NYY 6.0 93 11 1 1 N/A 1.50 0.67 23
Totals: 80.11206802430 186
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BOS 8 16.2 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
2026 BOS 14 80.1 1206 80 24 0 5-6 3.36 1.08 9 186
ON PACE 25 146 2195 145 43 0 9-10 3.36 1.08 9 338
3-YEAR AVG 8 16 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
Career 22 97.0 1517 99 32 0 0-0 3.8 1.16 9.2

Tolle Projection

View All
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
1.697 2.302 1.5 1.4 11.2 1.4 8.6 11 0.4 82 29.0
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

Boston Red Sox

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Carlos Narvaez 2% 0%
NAME OWN START
Willson Contreras 88% 78%
Caleb Durbin 54% 44%
Romy Gonzalez 2% 2%
Triston Casas 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Wilyer Abreu 82% 69%
Jarren Duran 82% 65%
Ceddanne Rafaela 81% 70%
Roman Anthony 71% 9%
NAME OWN START
Sonny Gray 99% 64%
Garrett Crochet 96% 11%
Ranger Suarez 95% 51%
Payton Tolle 78% 68%
Jake Bennett 67% 40%
Connelly Early 59% 6%
Brayan Bello 4% 2%
Anthony Eyanson 3% 0%
Patrick Sandoval 2% 1%
NAME OWN START
Aroldis Chapman 97% 94%
Garrett Whitlock 33% 31%
Tyron Guerrero 8% 8%

Team Rankings

AVG
.244
17th
R
365
28th
HR
80
30th
RBI
349
28th
SB
70
10th
OBP
.312
21st
SLG
.388
23rd
OPS
.700
23rd
W
41
22nd
SV
20
23rd
ERA
3.74
7th
WHIP
1.24
9th
QS
40
3rd
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
RaysRays53-36.596-403370
YankeesYankees50-41.5494436356
Blue JaysBlue Jays43-49.46711.5366411
Red SoxRed Sox41-48.46112365353
OriolesOrioles42-50.45712.5418449

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Carlos Narváez511481528251.189  
Connor Wong3810214301152.294  
Mickey Gasper341071126070.243  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Willson Contreras87310468920612.287  
Romy Gonzalez62437150.292  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Marcelo Mayer7020519453223.220  
Isiah Kiner-Falefa4711919332137.277  
Anthony Seigler17571017132.298  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Caleb Durbin8226834598379.220  
Nate Eaton122834152.143  
Nick Sogard123539020.257  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Andruw Monasterio5414517334132.228  
Trevor Story4116516343194.206  
Tsung-Che Cheng61924020.211  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Jarren Duran823244065134414.201  
Wilyer Abreu87333438710416.261  
Ceddanne Rafaela85320399183812.284  
Masataka Yoshida5716519432122.261  
Roman Anthony301091225152.229  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Ranger Suárez1743091.1973.151.16  
Connelly Early1775091.2933.441.26  
Sonny Gray16101089.2822.611.10  
Payton Tolle1456080.1803.141.07  
Brayan Bello1226061.0446.341.67  
Garrett Crochet633030.0376.301.47  
Jake Bennett733040.2313.100.98  
Johan Oviedo10003.239.821.91  
Eduardo Rivera10003.130.000.30  
Tyler Uberstine10102.223.381.50  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Aroldis Chapman28031826.2352.361.28  
Garrett Whitlock3141130.0342.400.97  
Ryan Watson3000148.2384.621.32  
Tommy Kahnle80009.058.002.00  
Danny Coulombe2802020.0104.951.50  
Tyron Guerrero1701016.2222.700.96  
Jack Anderson10003.043.000.67  
Zack Kelly1702016.1143.311.29  
Greg Weissert3612034.2333.891.24  
Justin Slaten2414020.2286.101.60  
Tyler Samaniego2003020.1172.661.48  
Jovani Morán2312035.2433.031.04  
Joe La Sorsa10000.1127.003.00  
Alec Gamboa40005.043.601.40  
Jack Anderson30008.063.381.25  

Owned Breakdown

Add/Drop Advice

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
07-07 @CHWW 1-8Payton Tolle
Noah Schultz
07-08 @CHW07:40 EDTJake Bennett
Davis Martin
07-09 @CHW02:10 EDTPatrick Sandoval
Anthony Kay
07-10 @NYM07:15 EDTSonny Gray
Nolan McLean
07-11 @NYM04:10 EDT
Freddy Peralta
07-12 @NYM01:40 EDTPayton Tolle

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