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Riley O'Brien

Riley O'Brien

RP • St. Louis Cardinals Proj Rank 17 Actual 57 268 ADPTrade Value
IP ERA W-L HLD SV K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
40.1 3.35 3-3 1 25 40/14 8.9 1.14 11.52
Compared to same point last season
20.02.250-02023/1010.41.40

Riley O'Brien | Fantasy Outlook

All-Star closer Riley O'Brien remains an elite source of saves in St. Louis

O'Brien enters the second half of the season on a dominant run, posting a spotless 0.00 ERA and a 0.50 WHIP over his last seven days. The 31-year-old righty was recently recognized for his breakout campaign with an All-Star selection, leading the National League in saves. He remains the undisputed primary closer for a Cardinals squad that currently sits at 50-45 and holds third place in the NL Central. Despite a minor scare involving a hit-by-pitch incident recently, our models confirm he is healthy and ready to resume high-leverage duties.

Under the hood, O'Brien's 2026 performance has been a significant step forward from his career norms. While our original season projection expected a 3.71 ERA and 20 saves, he has already blown past that save total with 24 successful conversions. His current 1.17 WHIP is considerably sharper than his projected 1.32, fueled by a high-velocity arsenal that includes 100-mph heat. Given his improved 3.00 K/BB ratio compared to last season, this level of production looks sustainable rather than a mid-summer fluke.

The Cardinals travel to Arizona for a three-game weekend set starting July 17. Our data projects O'Brien to see roughly three appearances this week with an expected 1.6 saves and a stellar 1.47 ERA. Facing a Diamondbacks lineup that has been middle-of-the-pack offensively, the save opportunities should be plentiful if the St. Louis starters can keep games close. He is a top-tier fantasy asset who should be locked into all active lineups. Start.


Updated 2 days ago

Riley O'Brien Fantasy

Loading...
DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
07/17 @ARI 1.0 16 1 1 0 SAVE 3.35 1.14 7
07/11 ATL 1.0 18 1 1 0 SAVE 3.43 1.12 8
07/10 ATL 1.0 12 2 0 0 SAVE 3.52 1.12 9
07/08 MIL 1.0 15 1 0 0 N/A 3.62 1.15 3
07/04 @CHC 1.0 13 1 1 0 SAVE 3.72 1.16 8
06/30 @ATL 1.0 9 0 0 0 SAVE 3.82 1.16 7
06/28 MIA 1.0 15 1 0 0 SAVE 3.93 1.17 8
06/22 ARI 1.0 17 0 0 0 SAVE 4.05 1.20 7
06/21 @KC 1.0 12 1 0 2 N/A 4.18 1.24 0
06/16 SD 1.0 13 0 1 0 SAVE 3.73 1.21 7
06/13 @MIN 1.0 31 1 3 1 N/A 3.86 1.22 1
06/07 CIN 1.0 15 1 0 0 SAVE 3.68 1.16 8
06/06 CIN 1.0 23 1 1 0 SAVE 3.81 1.16 7
06/03 TEX 1.0 13 0 1 0 SAVE 3.95 1.10 7
06/02 TEX 1.0 32 2 1 3 LOSS 4.10 1.10 -6
05/29 CHC 1.0 14 0 0 1 SAVE 3.20 0.99 6
05/23 @CIN 1.1 20 2 1 0 LOSS 2.96 0.99 -1
05/19 PIT 1.0 22 0 1 2 N/A 3.13 1.00 -2
05/15 KC 1.0 10 0 0 0 N/A 2.45 0.91 2
05/14 @ATH 1.0 16 2 0 0 SAVE 2.57 0.90 9
05/12 @ATH 1.0 13 0 1 0 SAVE 2.70 0.95 7
05/10 @SD 1.0 31 3 0 2 N/A 2.84 0.95 2
05/07 @SD 1.0 10 1 0 0 SAVE 2.00 0.89 8
05/04 MIL 0.2 3 0 0 0 SAVE 2.12 0.94 6
05/02 LAD 1.0 26 2 0 2 SAVE 2.20 0.98 5
04/29 @PIT 1.0 11 1 0 0 SAVE 1.17 0.78 8
04/25 SEA 1.0 39 1 1 2 LOSS 1.26 0.77 -7
04/21 @MIA 1.0 17 1 0 0 SAVE 0.00 0.45 8
04/19 @HOU 1.1 19 2 0 0 WIN 0.00 0.41 9
04/18 @HOU 0.2 7 1 0 0 SAVE 0.00 0.36 7
04/15 CLE 1.0 15 2 0 0 SAVE 0.00 0.39 9
04/14 CLE 1.0 15 1 0 0 WIN 0.00 0.43 8
04/10 BOS 1.0 8 1 0 0 SAVE 0.00 0.48 8
04/08 @WAS 1.0 15 0 0 0 N/A 0.00 0.55 2
04/07 @WAS 1.0 16 2 0 0 SAVE 0.00 0.63 9
04/05 @DET 1.0 13 1 0 0 SAVE 0.00 0.75 8
04/01 NYM 1.0 16 2 0 0 N/A 0.00 0.92 4
03/31 NYM 1.0 11 0 0 0 SAVE 0.00 0.90 7
03/28 TB 1.0 9 0 0 0 HOLD 0.00 1.29 1
03/26 TB 1.1 17 2 0 0 WIN 0.00 0.75 9
Totals: 40.1647401415 208
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2021 CIN 1 2.0 42 2 3 0 0-1 9 2.5 9 -5
2022 SEA 1 1.0 23 1 1 0 0-0 0 2 9 2
2024 STL 8 8.0 194 11 8 0 0-0 11.25 2.5 12.4 7
2025 STL 42 43.1 758 45 22 6 3-1 2.28 1.27 9.4 142
2026 STL 40 40.1 647 40 14 25 3-3 3.35 1.14 8.9 208
ON PACE 67 68 1091 67 23 42 5-5 3.35 1.14 8.9 350
3-YEAR AVG 25 25 476 28 15 3 2-1 3.86 1.48 9.8 75
Career 92 90.0 1664 99 48 0 0-0 3.8 1.42 9.9

O'Brien Projection

View All
ERA WHIP SAVES HOLDS WINS SO K/BB K/9 SVHD IP LOSSES PC FPTS
1.157 2.869 2.6 0.1 0.0 3.5 0.6 6.8 2.7 4 0.1 40 23.7
ERA WHIP SAVES HOLDS WINS SO K/BB K/9 SVHD IP LOSSES PC FPTS
2.7 1.1 0.7 0 0 1 1.9 8.9 0.7 1.0 0 15.8 5.4
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

St. Louis Cardinals

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Rainiel Rodriguez 3% 0%
NAME OWN START
Alec Burleson 100% 93%
Blaze Jordan 5% 2%
Nolan Gorman 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
JJ Wetherholt 97% 91%
Masyn Winn 20% 10%
NAME OWN START
Jordan Walker 100% 99%
Ivan Herrera 94% 85%
Joshua Baez 20% 0%
Lars Nootbaar 12% 10%
Nathan Church 3% 1%
NAME OWN START
Michael McGreevy 50% 38%
Andre Pallante 45% 21%
Dustin May 37% 22%
Kyle Leahy 28% 15%
Matthew Liberatore 12% 6%
Liam Doyle 3% 0%
Hunter Dobbins 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Riley O'Brien 83% 82%
JoJo Romero 26% 15%
George Soriano 5% 4%
Ryne Stanek 3% 2%
Quinn Mathews 3% 0%
Matt Svanson 1% 1%

Team Rankings

AVG
.242
19th
R
434
14th
HR
108
21st
RBI
422
14th
SB
59
18th
OBP
.317
14th
SLG
.390
24th
OPS
.707
20th
W
51
10th
SV
30
3rd
ERA
4.12
12th
WHIP
1.33
19th
QS
35
10th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
BrewersBrewers60-37.619-491364
CubsCubs54-43.5576486437
CardinalsCardinals51-45.5318.5434427
PiratesPirates50-47.51510516472
RedsReds44-52.45815.5402457

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Pedro Pagés5514613314112.212  
Jimmy Crooks2664311280.172  
Yohel Pozo183308050.242  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Alec Burleson95363519915673.273  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
JJ Wetherholt91355599314379.262  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nolan Gorman6220119397260.194  
Ramón Urías255799250.158  
Blaze Jordan24768181140.237  
César Prieto61700000.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Masyn Winn8831939784417.245  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Jordan Walker9436162106227413.294  
Nathan Church7824130568285.232  
José Fermín6116217434203.265  
Nelson Velázquez245710144120.246  
Bryan Torres3167913481.194  
Lars Nootbaar3310816283121.259  
Victor Scott II611551930299.194  
Thomas Saggese3276914141.184  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Iván Herrera96350618611415.246  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Dustin May1856093.0894.551.26  
Matthew Liberatore1956093.2885.001.48  
Kyle Leahy1874089.1753.731.41  
Andre Pallante181060100.0723.961.26  
Michael McGreevy19470108.0712.921.10  
Hunter Dobbins511122.1234.031.39  
Max Rajcic60009.085.001.33  
Bruce Zimmermann10005.025.401.40  
Brycen Mautz10003.026.002.00  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Riley O'Brien40332540.1403.351.14  
George Soriano4232241.1363.271.09  
Ryne Stanek4122136.2404.661.50  
Gordon Graceffo3961146.1242.911.06  
JoJo Romero4413043.0433.351.30  
Justin Bruihl4200046.2323.661.37  
Jared Shuster50009.049.001.89  
Matt Svanson3622039.2406.581.64  
Ryan Fernandez1112013.1202.701.35  
Matt Pushard60007.065.141.43  
Luis Gastelum41003.249.821.91  

Owned Breakdown

Add/Drop Advice

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
07-17 @ARIW 4-5Michael McGreevy
Merrill Kelly
07-18 @ARI04:10 EDTDustin May
Brandon Pfaadt
07-19 @ARI04:10 EDTAndre Pallante
Eduardo Rodriguez

Player Timeline

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Shane Drohan MIL RP +3.9
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Curtis Mead WAS 3B +2.8
JJ Bleday CIN LF +2.3
Spencer Arrighetti HOU SP +2.1
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Merrill Kelly ARI SP +1.9
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Bailey Ober MIN SP +1.8
Seth Lugo KC SP +1.6
A.J. Ewing NYM CF -4.5
Bryson Stott PHI 2B -4.0
Aaron Nola PHI SP -3.6
Griffin Jax TB SP -3.2
Cole Carrigg COL CF -3.2
Blaze Alexander BAL 3B -2.9
Brandon Woodruff MIL SP -2.4
Carter Jensen KC C -2.4
JoJo Romero STL RP -2.2
Reynaldo Lopez ATL SP -2.2
Alec Bohm PHI 3B -2.1
Jung Hoo Lee SF RF -2.1
Robert Gasser MIL SP -2.0
Brent Rooker ATH RF -1.9
Dylan Crews WAS RF -1.9