Super Bowl Fantasy Football Projections: Who’s Set to Shine in the Big Game

The Super Bowl is less than a week out, so our coverage here will start to ramp up. Here, I want to go over the fantasy football projections for the big game.

Be sure to check out the fantasy matchups and a Super Bowl betting Q&A with the FantasySP team.

Check out fantasy football projections for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, kickers and DSTs.

Quarterbacks

New England's Drake Maye has been on the injury report, but it hasn't stopped him from being the top-projected fantasy quarterback in the Super Bowl. He's set for 21 fantasy points against a tougher Seattle defense.

Seattle's Sam Darnold is projected for 18 fantasy points against a very tough New England defense.

In the postseason, Maye has been an average-or-so fantasy QB. His best performance was back in the Wild Card Round, and he struggled with turnovers up until the AFC Championship Game. He only had 86 passing yards while advancing to the Super Bowl, but added 65 rushing yards and a score to deliver a decent fantasy performance.

Darnold was pretty underwhelming in his first playoff game, but he was fresh off an injury at that point. He was fantastic against the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, throwing for 346 yards, three touchdowns and no picks.

Running Backs

New England's Rhamondre Stevenson is the top-projected back in the big game, set for 16 PPR points. Seattle is a bottom-five fantasy matchup for a running back.

Seattle's Kenneth Walker and New England's TreVeyon Henderson are each projected for 13 PPR points in the Super Bowl. New England is the second-toughest fantasy challenge a running back could face.

Stevenson has been the lead New England back in the postseason, clearly ahead of Henderson. Stevenson didn't have a very good fantasy showing in the AFC title game, but he did have 25 rushing attempts, so that's what matters most.

Walker is the lead back for the Seahawks after the season-ending injury to Zach Charbonnet. He got 23 touches in the NFC Championship Game, and had 22 the week before that. 

George Holani was the top backup for the Seahawks. He's projected for five PPR points in the Super Bowl. He had six touches in the team's last game, and three of those were as a pass catcher.

Henderson only had three touches in the last New England game. He hasn't done much of anything in the playoffs, and is very tough to trust at this point. He could stumble into some fantasy points if he scores, but I don't love his odds to do that in the big game.

Wide Receivers

Seattle's Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the top-projected wide receiver for the Super Bowl. He's set for 21 PPR points in a below-average test against the Patriots.

Stefon Diggs is the top New England wideout, projected for 11 PPR points against a Seattle defense that was the fourth-toughest on fantasy wide receivers.

JSN was pretty quiet in the first playoff game for Seattle, but he erupted for 153 yards and a score on 10 receptions and 13 targets in the last contest. He's easily the top fantasy pass catcher for the Super Bowl, and he's in the running for the best fantasy asset overall.

Diggs hasn't done much this postseason, but he has been steadily involved, with five or more targets in all three of the team's playoff games. He's yet to top 40 yards in a game though, but a score helped him to a big fantasy showing in that one.

Seattle's Rashid Shaheed and Cooper Kupp are each projected for 10 PPR points.

Shaheed has just one catch across two postseason games, but it was a 51-yard completion, so there's some big-play upside with him. Kupp has been a solid fantasy asset over the past two games, combining for 96 yards and a score on nine grabs and 11 targets.

Jake Bobo has been the other involved wideout for Seattle. He had two catches for 33 yards across three targets in two games, but he scored once in the NFC title game. Bobo is projected for 2 PPR points in the Super Bowl.

New England's Kayshon Boutte is projected for eight PPR points, while Kyle Williams is at 2 PPR points. DeMario Douglas (5 PPR points) and Mack Hollins are also worth mentioning. 

Boutte was pretty good in the first two playoff games for the Pats, then had just a six-yard catch across six targets in the last playoff tilt. We'll see if he can bounce back and deliver in the biggest game of the year.

Douglas has three catches for 39 yards and a score across five targets in the three postseason games. He's a step below Boutte, but probably above Williams.

Williams has a seven-yard catch across four postseason targets. He wasn't targeted in the AFC title game. Williams will be hard to trust in the big game as a result.

Hollins isn't projected for any points, but he had two grabs for 51 yards across two targets in the AFC Championship Game, so he has a little fantasy/DFS appeal. He didn't play in the first two playoff games because of an injury.

Tight Ends

New England's Hunter Henry has a rare good matchup, and is projected for 12 PPR points in it. Seattle was the ninth-best fantasy matchup a tight end could have this past season.

Seattle's AJ Barner is projected for seven PPR points against a New England defense that was a slightly below-average test for fantasy TEs this season.

Henry was good in the team's first playoff game, racking up 64 yards and a score on three receptions and five targets. He has just three catches for 17 yards across five targets since. He's definitely the best fantasy TE option because of the favorable matchup though.

Austin Hooper is the tight end playing the next-most snaps for the Pats. He's projected for three PPR points in the big game. Hooper has a 14-yard catch across four targets in the team's three playoff games, but maybe he can contribute a bit more in a favorable fantasy matchup.

Barner had two catches for 13 yards across three targets in the NFC Championship Game, but wasn't even targeted in the first playoff game for the Seahawks. That will make him tougher to trust, but in a so-so matchup, maybe Barner can chip in several fantasy points.

Eric Saubert and Nick Kallerup have also been playing a bit at TE for Seattle. Saubert is projected for three PPR points, but hasn't even been targeted this postseason. Kallerup has a single target this season, so he's not even projected for any points.

Kickers 

Seattle's Jason Myers is projected for 10 fantasy points, while New England's Andy Borregales is set for eight fantasy points.

Myers has 44 field goals and 57 extra points on the season. Borregales is at 31 field goals and 59 extra points.

Myers made two field goals and five extra points in the team's first postseason game, then a field goal and four extra points in the last contest.

Borregales made three field goals and an extra point in the team's first playoff game. He didn't make a field goal, and knocked in four extra points in the second contest. Borregales had a field goal and extra point in the AFC title game.

DSTs

The Seahawks DST is projected for six fantasy points, as is the Patriots DST in the big game.

Seattle's defense has four takeaways over two postseason games. Twenty-seven of the 33 points allowed came against the Rams in the NFC title game.

New England's defense has eight takeaways in three postseason games. It has allowed just 26 points so far, and 16 of those came in one game.

The projections favor the Seahawks for the most part across the positions, so it's no surprise to see Seattle as a 4.5-point favorite in the Super Bowl. I'm pretty on board with most of the projections, and will be providing my rankings for the big game in a story to come, so be sure to check back for that!