Week 10 Fantasy Football Trades: Breece Hall, David Montgomery and TreVeyon Henderson

Fantasy football trading is easy in theory, but very hard in practice. Plans to “buy low” or “sell high” only work if there is someone on the other hand willing to do the buying high and selling low. 

Thankfully, this is where the Fantasy Assistant comes in. The Assistant uses predictive analytics to generate an Expected Trade Interest (ETI) for each player. The ETI leaders in a given week are the players whom you are most likely to be able to trade for or away. Here are those players for this week:

This week, the three leaders in ETI are all running backs, all tied at 19%. Breece Hall didn't get his wish of being traded in the real NFL, but fantasy managers seem to be obliging him. Two overdrafted backup RBs, David Montgomery and TreVeyon Henderson, are also on the move this week.

Let's break down what to do with each of these players.   

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Hold Breece Hall 

The NFL trade deadline has come and gone, and Hall is still a Jet. So, what does that mean for his fantasy value?

On the plus side, Hall's usage has been excellent this season, especially since Braelon Allen went on IR. Since Week 5, he has handled 84% of the Jets' RB carries on a 61% snap share. Hall has also seen over two targets per game, although Isaiah Davis does lead him in both route participation rate (39% to 32%) and target share (10% to 7%). 

But Hall's fantasy production has been up and down. Even looking only his four outings without Allen, he has two bad weeks (5.9 and 6.2 half-PPR points) to go with one good week (15.5) and one excellent week (31.9). However, that excellent week came against the Bengals' defense, so those points don't really count. 

The issue is simple: the Jets are bad. New York's offense ranks in the bottom 10 in each of EPA per play, yards per game, and points per game.

We still don't know who they will start at QB in Week 10 — they failed to bench Justin Fields thanks to an injury to Tyrod Taylor, and Fields took advantage of the aforementioned Bengals' defense prior to their bye.

For what it's worth, I've always been a little skeptical of claims that Hall is an elite talent, but any back would struggle to consistently score on a team that is capable of posting historically bad offensive results in any given week . 

At the end of the day, Hall is what he is: a boom/bust RB2, capable of huge games if he breaks a big play or two, but also liable to disappear along with the rest of New York's offense.

Since running back production, even inconsistent production, is highly valuable, I recommend holding him. Trading for him also wouldn't be the worst idea, but do you really want to pay a probably still-high price to invest in this offense? I know I don't.  

Sell David Montgomery

Montgomery led the Lions in carries on Sunday, handling 11 attempts to Jahmyr Gibbs' nine. Neither back was hugely efficient in what ended up being a Detroit loss, but he did find the end zone to finish with 10 half-PPR points.

That sounds like a relatively mediocre day for a player who has consistently been a fantasy RB2 in the Lions' elite offense, but I think this might be a bit of a sell-high window for Montgomery.

Prior to Week 9, Montgomery was outcarried 34-17 by his younger counterpart in the Lions most recent two games. For the whole season, Gibbs has played 50% of the Lions' snaps to just 39% for Montgomery. It's subtle, but new OC John Morton is leaning more on Sonic than Knuckles. 

And he should be: Gibbs leads Montgomery in just about every measure of RB efficiency, from EPA per rush (0.04 vs. -0.05), to success rate (43% vs. 38%) to good old-fashioned yards per carry (4.88 vs. 4.44). PFF has also graded Montgomery as the 48th-worst rusher among 54 qualified RBs (he was a top-16 option in each of the previous two years). 

Meanwhile, the Lions' offense isn't quite as elite as it has been in recent years. In 2024, they easily led the league with 33.2 points per game and posted an excellent 0.155 EPA per play. So far in 2025, those numbers are 29.9 and 0.088 — still great, but not truly elite. And if Montgomery is going to be a reliable option while playing the 1B to Gibbs' 1A, he needs this offense to be elite.

Don't get me wrong, Montgomery is still a viable weekly play. He has excellent TD equity on this still-great offense, with 10 of the team's 16 goal-line carries so far this season. He ranks as the RB23 with 11.1 half-PPR points per game.

And his contingent value if Gibbs were to miss time is legitimately league-winning. But his profile is nowhere near as stable as it has been over the last few years. If you can find someone who still views him as a solid weekly RB2, make that trade.

Sell TreVeyon Henderson

Honestly, I really don't have much to say about this one. If you can get just about anything of value in return for Henderson, I'd do it. Even with Rhamondre Stevenson sidelined for Week 9, his results were nothing to write home about.

He played 75% of the Patriots' snaps and saw five targets — that's good. But he handled only three more carries (14-11) than Terrell Jennings, who also handled the team's only goal-line carry. In fact, thanks to that TD, the 2024 UDFA outscored the 2025 second-rounder, 10.9 half-PPR points to 10.7.

And Stevenson, although he has yet to return to practice, will almost certainly be back. In games with Stevenson healthy, Henderson has averaged a useless 5.7 half-PPR points on a 32% snap share. He sees just 6.6 carries and 2.3 targets per game — that's not a usable workload.

All of this wouldn't be too bad if Henderson looked as explosive as fantasy managers were hoping. If he had been flashing talent all season, Stevenon's current injury would be a chance for him to finally take over this backfield once and for all. But that simply hasn't been the case.

Out of 58 qualified RBs, the rookie ranks tied for third-worst in PFF Rush Grade. He ranks sixth-worst in Next Gen Stats' yards vs. expected per attempt, as well as fourth-worst in success rate. 

To be fair, New England's running game has struggled as a whole — Stevenson also ranks near or at the bottom in most of these metrics. But that's not really a point in Henderson's favor. This situation is bad, and he has shown no ability to overcome it.

At the end of the day, nothing we've seen indicates that Henderson will remain startable, let alone emerge as an elite option, when Stevenson returns. If you can find someone willing to pay for that possibility, now is the time to cash out on one of the season's biggest disappointments.