Bills Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook: Keon Coleman or Khalil Shakir? Dalton Kincaid and More
Looking over the Bills as they prepare for their Thursday night game against the Dolphins.
Week 3 of the NFL regular season opens with the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins squaring off on Thursday.
The Bills have released their injury report for the game, so we'll go over the team and their best fantasy assets first.
Having trouble deciding who to start in week 3? Let the FantasySP start/sit tool help you make a decision.
Josh Allen Fantasy Outlook
Allen got roughed up a bit in week 2, but he's good to go for week 3 against Miami. The rumor is that he'll be sporting a visor to protect his face and nose going forward.
He's projected for 22 fantasy points in week 3, which is tied for the most among quarterbacks. I'll have him ranked highly in my weekly rankings as well - I'm waiting to do that story to get more clarity on some injuries around the league.
Anyways, Allen has 542 passing yards, two scores and no picks through two weeks. He's completed 66.2% of his passes and has also rushed for 89 yards and two scores.
He's got a great matchup looming, as Miami has allowed a ton of fantasy points to opposing QBs through two weeks. Allen is easily the best QB the Dolphins will have faced, so you should expect monster numbers for Allen on Thursday.
He's an auto-start every week, and he could end up as fantasy QB1 after the week with this juicy matchup.
Running Back Fantasy Outlooks
James Cook has dominated the Bills' backfield through two weeks. Despite Allen stealing two scores, Cook has 176 rushing yards, 61 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
He's played 83 snaps and already logged 40 touches. He's caught all six of his targets in the passing game. Cook had 18 touches in week 1 and 22 more in week 2.
Ray Davis is a distant second in touches, at just 11 so far. He's played 30 snaps, rushing 10 times for 26 yards and catching his lone target for a one-yard loss.
Ty Johnson has played 47 snaps and gotten four touches - four rushed for 30 yards. He's not caught any of his three targets in the passing game.
Fullback Reggie Gilliam has played 31 snaps, but not gotten a touch or target yet. He's a non-factor in fantasy.
It's another favorable matchup for the Bills' players. Miami has been burned on the ground and through the air by running backs through two weeks, and would likely rank much worse if a back had a score or two against them.
Cook is projected for 16 PPR fantasy points in week 3. Davis checks in at 3.4 PPR points, while Johnson is at 4 PPR points. Gillam isn't projected to do anything.
Cook is my No. 7 back for week 3. He's a must-start player in all leagues, and I see a big fantasy outing coming.
Davis and Johnson are just deep-league options, but not good starters, even in the great matchup. Gillam shouldn't be rostered in any leagues.
Wide Receiver Fantasy Outlooks
Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer and Khalil Shakir are the Bills' top wideouts so far this season. Elijah Moore and Tyrell Shavers have also played a bit.
Coleman has 138 yards and a score on 11 receptions and a team-leading 14 targets. He's played 113 snaps.
Palmer is at 12 targets across 91 snaps. He has seven grabs for 108 yards and no scores.
Shakir has 76 yards on seven catches and 11 targets. He's played 97 snaps.
Moore and Shavers have two targets across 42 snaps each. Moore has two grabs for 34 yards, while Shavers hasn't caught a pass yet.
The Dolphins' defense has surprisingly been good against wideouts so far. It's a slightly below-average matchup for the wideouts.
Shakir is projected for 11 PPR points, while Coleman and Palmer are at 10 PPR points each.
None of the Buffalo wideouts are in my top 30 for week 3. I hate not having any of them there, but in a pretty balanced attack so far, there's other receivers I trust more. It's really a coin flip as to who might produce for the Bills right now.
I will follow the numbers and say Coleman is the top fantasy option for Thursday - he's a standard league option. Shakir would follow him, and then I'd try Palmer - I like them better in deeper leagues. Moore and Shavers are way below that, and not worth starting even in super deep setups.
Tight End Fantasy Outlooks
Dalton Kincaid is the team's top tight end. Dawson Knox and Jackson Hawes also play a good amount of snaps too.
Kincaid has played 79 snaps and received 10 targets through two games. He has 85 yards and a score on eight catches.
Knox has 39 yards on four grabs across seven targets. He's played 89 snaps so far.
Hawes has 34 yards across two catches and targets. He's been on the field for 51 snaps.
It's another pretty good matchup for the Bills' players. Those numbers would look even better if a TE had scored against them too.
Kincaid is projected for 7.3 PPR points this week. Knox is at 3.4 PPR points, while Hawes is at 0.8.
I have Kincaid ranked 14th among tight ends for week 3. That puts him in contention to start in standard leagues, even though I prefer him more in deeper setups.
I think Kincaid could end up being the top fantasy pass catcher for Buffalo in this one, with no receiver standing out. Even if Kincaid doesn't lead the way, he could produce for his fantasy owners.
Knox is an option in very deep leagues, and in the favorable matchup, he's not the worst starting option. Hawes is someone to monitor, but not start in any leagues yet.
Kicker Fantasy Outlook
Matt Prater is the team's kicker to open the season. He's projected for the most fantasy points among kickers - Prater is tied with two others.
In the first two weeks, the 41-year-old has made all six of his field goal tries, plus all five of his extra points. He's really solidified the position after the injury to Tyler Bass.
He's set up well in this one, and with Buffalo likely to put up a ton of points, it's easy to see why he's got a high projection.
I'd scoop him up and start him if I didn't love the matchup for my current kicking option.
Defense/Special Teams Fantasy Outlook
Buffalo looked dominant last week, which was good to see after it was cooked by Baltimore in the opening week. Through two weeks, Bills' opponents have just 586 total yards.
Miami isn't Baltimore, but it's also better than the New York Jets, at least I think. Miami's offense was horrendous in week 1, before looking much better in week 2.
Buffalo's defense is a good fantasy asset already, and this matchup shouldn't scare you. The D/ST is projected for seven points.
The Bills will be without linebacker Matt Milano and defensive tackle Ed Oliver, which is a blow to the unit. Cornerback Taron Johnson, defensive back Cam Lewis and linebacker Shaq Thompson are all questionable for the game, so the defense could be a bit weaker than they usually are.
I still don't have any issues starting the Bills' D/ST against Miami on Thursday night. Expect a pretty solid showing at the worst, and if they can rack up some big plays, a top-end D/ST fantasy showing could be in the works.