Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.
We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.
| THROUGH WEEK 17 | THROUGH WEEK 14 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG Pick | Player | GP | POS Rank | FPTS | GP | POS Rank | FPTS |
| 19.78 | Josh Allen | 15 | 2QB | 374 | 13 | 3QB | 315 |
| 33.38 | Justin Herbert | 15 | 11QB | 246 | 13 | 9QB | 232 |
| 38.48 | Patrick Mahomes | 15 | 1QB | 375 | 13 | 2QB | 318 |
| 45.48 | Joe Burrow | 15 | 4QB | 339 | 13 | 4QB | 291 |
| 51.88 | Lamar Jackson | 12 | 12QB | 236 | 12 | 8QB | 236 |
| 56.67 | Jalen Hurts | 14 | 3QB | 370 | 13 | 1QB | 335 |
| 61.90 | Kyler Murray | 11 | 17QB | 201 | 11 | 14QB | 201 |
| 71.75 | Russell Wilson | 13 | 14QB | 179 | 12 | 15QB | 171 |
| 78.52 | Aaron Rodgers | 15 | 16QB | 211 | 13 | 18QB | 187 |
| 83.87 | Dak Prescott | 11 | 19QB | 190 | 8 | 25QB | 127 |
| 86.75 | Tom Brady | 15 | 14QB | 227 | 13 | 15QB | 199 |
| 91.18 | Matthew Stafford | 9 | 31QB | 108 | 9 | 29QB | 108 |
| 97.75 | Trey Lance | 2 | 56QB | 12 | 2 | 51QB | 12 |
| 102.88 | Derek Carr | 15 | 14QB | 219 | 13 | 15QB | 193 |
| 108.63 | Kirk Cousins | 15 | 8QB | 271 | 13 | 11QB | 214 |
| 122.22 | Tua Tagovailoa | 13 | 13QB | 231 | 11 | 13QB | 202 |
| 133.98 | Matt Ryan | 12 | 14QB | 155 | 11 | 15QB | 144 |
| 137.65 | Justin Fields | 14 | 6QB | 280 | 12 | 5QB | 246 |
| 141.58 | Trevor Lawrence | 15 | 5QB | 281 | 13 | 7QB | 236 |
| 147.73 | Jameis Winston | 3 | 40QB | 44 | 3 | 37QB | 44 |
| 219.50 | Ryan Tannehill | 12 | 14QB | 161 | 11 | 15QB | 151 |
| 225.17 | Daniel Jones | 15 | 9QB | 253 | 13 | 10QB | 222 |
| 228.17 | Mac Jones | 12 | 27QB | 138 | 10 | 27QB | 113 |
| 231.17 | Carson Wentz | 7 | 32QB | 106 | 6 | 30QB | 97 |
| 233.17 | Jared Goff | 15 | 10QB | 252 | 13 | 12QB | 213 |
| 238.17 | Baker Mayfield | 10 | 30QB | 112 | 8 | 32QB | 88 |
| 241.50 | Zach Wilson | 9 | 33QB | 99 | 7 | 33QB | 78 |
| 245.17 | Davis Mills | 13 | 26QB | 150 | 11 | 26QB | 121 |
| 250.50 | Marcus Mariota | 13 | 18QB | 197 | 13 | 16QB | 197 |
| 260.50 | Geno Smith | 15 | 7QB | 273 | 13 | 6QB | 246 |
| 264.50 | Mitch Trubisky | 7 | 34QB | 74 | 6 | 34QB | 60 |
| 271.50 | Jacoby Brissett | 13 | 21QB | 168 | 12 | 20QB | 168 |
| 302.17 | Deshaun Watson | 4 | 39QB | 46 | 2 | 45QB | 22 |
| 317.17 | Kenny Pickett | 11 | 28QB | 125 | 10 | 28QB | 112 |
| 401.17 | Drew Lock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 404.17 | Desmond Ridder | 2 | 14QB | 17 | 0 | 15QB | 0 |
| 443.17 | Jimmy Garoppolo | 11 | 14QB | 165 | 11 | 15QB | 165 |
| 466.33 | Joe Flacco | 4 | 41QB | 43 | 4 | 38QB | 43 |
| 479.00 | Tyrod Taylor | 2 | 57QB | 11 | 2 | 55QB | 11 |
| 488.67 | Andy Dalton | 12 | 24QB | 157 | 10 | 24QB | 141 |
| 497.67 | Tyler Huntley | 4 | 42QB | 40 | 2 | 46QB | 22 |
| 520.33 | Gardner Minshew | 4 | 47QB | 24 | 3 | 59QB | 1 |
| 521.33 | Taylor Heinicke | 9 | 14QB | 116 | 7 | 15QB | 92 |
| 522.33 | Malik Willis | 7 | 48QB | 19 | 5 | 57QB | 7 |
| 525.33 | Teddy Bridgewater | 4 | 46QB | 29 | 4 | 43QB | 29 |
| 526.33 | Case Keenum | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ||
| 535.33 | Blaine Gabbert | 0 | 14QB | 0 | 0 | 15QB | 0 |
| 539.33 | Brett Rypien | 4 | 14QB | 18 | 2 | 15QB | 11 |
| 540.33 | Chase Daniel | 1 | 14QB | 0 | 1 | 15QB | 0 |
| 542.33 | Chad Henne | 1 | 14QB | 0 | 1 | 15QB | 0 |
| 543.33 | John Wolford | 2 | 14QB | 15 | 2 | 15QB | 15 |
| 546.33 | Jarrett Stidham | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 548.33 | Nick Mullens | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 549.33 | Trevor Siemian | 2 | 60QB | 10 | 2 | 56QB | 10 |
| 550.33 | Jordan Love | 3 | 58QB | 11 | 3 | 54QB | 11 |
| 552.33 | Brian Hoyer | 1 | 14QB | 1 | 1 | 15QB | 1 |
| 554.33 | Colt McCoy | 4 | 14QB | 33 | 3 | 15QB | 31 |
| 555.33 | Kyle Allen | 2 | 51QB | 16 | 2 | 48QB | 16 |
| 556.33 | Shane Buechele | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 557.33 | Sam Howell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 560.33 | Sam Ehlinger | 2 | 55QB | 14 | 2 | 50QB | 14 |
| 564.33 | Joshua Dobbs | 1 | 14QB | 10 | 0 | 15QB | 0 |
| 566.33 | C.J. Beathard | 3 | 14QB | 0 | 2 | 15QB | 0 |
| 570.33 | Cooper Rush | 7 | 14QB | 57 | 7 | 15QB | 57 |
| 576.67 | Kyle Trask | 0 | 14QB | 0 | 0 | 15QB | 0 |
| 577.67 | Nick Foles | 1 | 14QB | 0 | 0 | 15QB | 0 |
| 578.67 | Nate Sudfeld | 1 | 14QB | 0 | 1 | 15QB | 0 |
| 579.83 | Brandon Allen | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 580.50 | Mason Rudolph | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 588.67 | Mike White | 3 | 14QB | 53 | 3 | 15QB | 53 |
| 589.67 | Sean Mannion | 0 | 14QB | 0 | 15QB | ||
| 590.67 | Kellen Mond | 0 | 14QB | 0 | 0 | 15QB | 0 |
| 592.67 | PJ Walker | 6 | 14QB | 39 | 6 | 15QB | 39 |
| 593.67 | David Blough | 0 | 14QB | 0 | 0 | 15QB | |
| 594.67 | Bailey Zappe | 4 | 43QB | 40 | 4 | 39QB | 40 |
| 598.67 | Easton Stick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 643.00 | Matt Barkley | 0 | 14QB | 0 | 15QB | ||
| 671.00 | Blake Bortles | 0 | 34QB | 0 | 34QB | ||
| N/A | Brock Purdy | 5 | 35QB | 69 | 7 | 41QB | 37 |
| N/A | Sam Darnold | 2 | 36QB | 64 | 4 | 44QB | 29 |
By Daniel Hepner MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
| Pat Freiermuth PIT TE | +2.0 |
| Titans DST TEN DST | +2.0 |
| Emari Demercado KC RB | +2.0 |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL WR | +1.9 |
| Jonathon Brooks CAR RB | +1.9 |
| Michael Mayer LV TE | +1.9 |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE QB | +1.8 |
| Andy Borregales NE K | +1.7 |
| matt prater K | +1.7 |
| Will Reichard MIN K | +1.7 |
| Keon Coleman BUF WR | +1.6 |
| Vikings DST MIN DST | +1.6 |
| Colts DST IND DST | +1.5 |
| Isaiah Likely NYG TE | +1.5 |
| Zach Ertz TE | +1.5 |
| Harold Fannin CLE TE | -4.1 |
| Jordan Love GB QB | -3.8 |
| Quentin Johnston LAC WR | -3.8 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB | -3.6 |
| Tucker Kraft GB TE | -3.2 |
| Chiefs DST KC DST | -2.9 |
| Dolphins DST MIA DST | -2.5 |
| Mike Gesicki CIN TE | -2.4 |
| D'Andre Swift CHI RB | -2.2 |
| Chris Olave NO WR | -2.2 |
| Mike Evans SF WR | -2.1 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN WR | -2.0 |
| Jason Myers SEA K | -2.0 |
| Wil Lutz DEN K | -1.9 |
| DK Metcalf PIT WR | -1.9 |
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