Downward Trends on Fantasy Baseball Trade Value Chart Say to Target Gunnar Henderson, Cole Ragans and Others
Checking in on players trending down on the FantasySP Trade Value Chart
We just took a look at some fantasy baseball players who have seen their values rise over the past week, and now we're back to discuss some players falling.
We'll avoid discussing players who are hurt, or players who got sent down to the minor leagues. It just so happens that I was able to pick out five players who all appear in the top 50 on the trade chart. Let's jump in!
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Juan Soto Fantasy Outlook
Soto's player rating, which are used in our trade analyzer, is down 1.1 from last week. He's still ranked fifth overall with a 25.86 overall mark.
Soto's ADP was 4.31 this season. He's still owned in all fantasy leagues of course, while being started in all those leagues too.
Across 43 games and 192 plate appearances this season, Soto has just a .255 average to go along with a .380 on-base percentage. His career average is .283, while his OBP is .419, so Soto is way below his career marks.
He has nine doubles and eight homers among his 40 total knocks. Soto also has 20 RBIs, three stolen bases, 31 runs scored, 33 walks and 30 strikeouts.
Soto is still viewed as one of the top fantasy players in the game, but if there was ever a time to buy low on him, now would be that time. He's bound to improve his numbers as the season moves along, and I wouldn't envision him falling too much more on the trade chart. Now would be the time to try to trade a red-hot player or two for the fantasy star.
Gunnar Henderson Fantasy Outlook
Henderson is another fantasy stud. He dropped a point in his rating, and now sits at 20.08 overall, which is 25th overall.
Henderson had an ADP of 13.27, and it would have been even higher if he hadn't been dealing with an injury to start the regular season. He's still rostered in every league and started in most setups too.
Henderson has played in 34 games and gotten 147 plate appearances so far. He's got a .275 average and .320 OBP, which are close to his career .269 average and .344 OBP for his career. However, in his age-24 season, fantasy owners were expecting improvement, not a step back from 2024.
He has eight doubles, six homers and two triples among his 38 total knocks, along with 12 RBIs, three stolen bases, 19 runs scored, nine walks and 39 strikeouts. The RBI total sticks out, while most of his other stats are pretty solid yet.
Henderson has been trending up at the plate of late, so his fantasy value is sure to start moving in a positive direction soon. I still think he's underperformed to this point of the year, and some fantasy owners might be willing to trade him.
He'll be cheaper than his preseason value by a little bit, and if he can keep building on what he did last season, you could have one of the better fantasy bats for the remainder of the season. Look into trading for Henderson, especially if you need a fantasy shortstop.
Cole Ragans Fantasy Outlook
Ragans' player rating of 18.75 is 1.1 down from last week. He's still owned in all leagues and started by nearly everyone when he's actually starting in real life.
Ragans' ADP was 31.7 this year, so his fantasy value is definitely down a little bit.
In eight starts, he's 2-2 with a 4.20 earned run average. Ragans has allowed 20 runs (19 earned) on 37 hits and 13 walks, while striking out 65 batters over 40 2/3 innings.
His strikeouts per nine innings are way up, and that's saved his fantasy value from really tanking. Ragans' walks are also down, but his 1.23 WHIP is still higher than his career 1.19 mark.
He's got a career 3.55 ERA, and posted a 3.14 ERA last season, so his 4.20 mark this season has definitely been a surprise to many. Allowing at least four runs in three of his past four appearances has really hurt his overall value.
Now is the time to buy low on Ragans. He should turn things around here soon, and then get back to being one of the top fantasy arms in the game again. Seeing his strikeout totals (which should regress a bit) and that high ERA (which should improve a good bit) would make Ragans a top trade target for me.
Acquire him before he settles back in.
Jarren Duran Fantasy Outlook
Duran's player rating is down 1.1 from last week, and it sits at 18.44 overall now. That ranks 49th on the trade chart.
Duran's ADP was 43.14, which was 42nd overall. He hasn't dropped a ton from his preseason value, but if you are all about buying players low, it makes sense to target Duran now.
He's hitting .253 and getting on base at a .298 clip after hitting .285 and having a .342 OBP last season. Duran has a career .263 average and .322 OBP, and in his age-28 season, he should still be improving, so there's a great chance he rebounds from this slower start.
He ended April strong but has been so-so or worse in May. His fantasy value is down, and now is the time to pounce. See if you can pick up a daily starting fantasy outfielder for a bit cheaper than he was going before the season. It should pay big dividends later in the season for you.
Freddy Peralta Fantasy Outlook
Peralta has a player rating of 18.4, which is down 1.3 from last week. He dealt with an injury for a bit, but didn't hit the injured list and only had his start pushed back a couple days.
His ADP this season was 93.23, which was 85th overall. Peralta's value is high right now, and even though it's dropped some, now is still a time to consider selling him high.
Peralta has made nine starts so far this season. He's 4-3 with a 2.66 ERA across 50 2/3 innings. Peralta has allowed 15 runs on 36 hits and 18 walks, while striking out 52 batters.
He's got a career 3.72 ERA and posted a 3.68 mark last season. Even though he's in his age-29 season and supposed to be nearing his peak, some regression should be coming.
Peralta's strikeout numbers are actually down two full punchouts from his career mark, so some improvement could come there. His walks are about on par with his career mark.
His WHIP is 1.07 this season, which is better than his 1.14 career mark and 1.22 mark he posted last season. So there's a mix of positives and negatives for Peralta, which should make him both a player worth trading for and being a guy some want to sell.
His value is up from his preseason mark, so that makes now a good time to sell Peralta high in my eyes. If you really want to cash in on his value, waiting until after he starts against the Twins and Pirates should make him a bit more valuable.
Those favorable starts also make now a great time to go after Peralta. See what you can come up by using our trade analyzer and Fantasy Expert!