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2021 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES

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Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.

We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.

ALL QB RB TE WR K DST
THROUGH WEEK 17 THROUGH WEEK 14
AVG Pick Player GP POS Rank FPTS GP POS Rank FPTS
22.28 Patrick Mahomes 15 4QB 315 13 5QB 263
33.15 Josh Allen 15 1QB 420 13 1QB 366
41.38 Kyler Murray 12 11QB 260 10 11QB 226
50.45 Lamar Jackson 12 13QB 235 12 9QB 235
58.30 Aaron Rodgers 14 5QB 299 12 7QB 255
64.23 Dak Prescott 14 10QB 266 12 12QB 224
66.98 Russell Wilson 12 22QB 191 10 21QB 170
70.30 Justin Herbert 15 2QB 336 13 3QB 296
78.63 Tom Brady 15 3QB 323 13 2QB 304
86.90 Matthew Stafford 15 7QB 298 13 4QB 276
93.53 Ryan Tannehill 15 3QB 228 13 2QB 203
100.00 Jalen Hurts 14 6QB 299 12 6QB 255
112.73 Joe Burrow 15 8QB 279 13 10QB 229
119.80 Trey Lance 5 41QB 46 5 40QB 46
124.50 Justin Fields 12 30QB 127 11 30QB 110
130.75 Matt Ryan 15 3QB 206 13 2QB 179
134.25 Baker Mayfield 13 25QB 168 12 24QB 158
135.23 Jameis Winston 7 32QB 117 7 29QB 117
140.20 Trevor Lawrence 15 24QB 173 13 26QB 150
150.88 Ben Roethlisberger 14 20QB 200 12 19QB 182
157.78 Tua Tagovailoa 11 27QB 164 9 27QB 141
158.18 Kirk Cousins 15 9QB 278 13 8QB 252
158.45 Mac Jones 15 21QB 192 13 22QB 170
164.18 Ryan Fitzpatrick 1 20QB 1 1 19QB 1
194.03 Zach Wilson 11 29QB 129 9 31QB 93
222.75 Derek Carr 15 14QB 231 13 13QB 213
225.00 Daniel Jones 11 26QB 168 11 23QB 168
227.50 Sam Darnold 10 28QB 141 9 28QB 132
232.75 Carson Wentz 15 3QB 236 13 2QB 213
235.50 Jared Goff 13 23QB 177 12 25QB 156
240.75 Teddy Bridgewater 14 3QB 203 13 2QB 198
262.75 Tyrod Taylor 6 35QB 82 6 34QB 82
279.00 Deshaun Watson 0 0 0 0
318.25 Taysom Hill 10 33QB 94 9 33QB 85
336.75 Jimmy Garoppolo 14 16QB 215 12 18QB 188
340.75 Davis Mills 11 31QB 121 9 32QB 88
351.50 Drew Lock 4 53QB 14 2 56QB 2
356.75 Andy Dalton 6 39QB 58 6 38QB 58
400.75 Jordan Love 4 54QB 12 4 52QB 12
414.25 Gardner Minshew 2 48QB 19 2 47QB 19
420.25 Taylor Heinicke 14 17QB 208 13 15QB 204
421.25 Jacob Eason 1 3QB -1 1 2QB -1
430.25 Marcus Mariota 5 55QB 11 4 53QB 11
455.25 Mitchell Trubisky 4 59QB 8 4 55QB 8
482.50 Kyle Trask 0 0 0 0
494.25 Jacoby Brissett 9 3QB 72 8 2QB 72
499.50 Mike White 4 43QB 44 4 41QB 44
504.25 Mason Rudolph 2 49QB 18 1 50QB 15
506.25 Joe Flacco 2 47QB 24 2 46QB 24
510.00 Tyler Huntley 5 3QB 65 4 2QB 29
511.25 Kellen Mond 0 3QB 0 0 2QB 0
516.25 P.J. Walker 5 20QB 14 5 19QB 14
518.25 Nick Mullens 1 56QB 10 0 58QB 0
522.75 Blaine Gabbert 5 3QB 2 4 2QB 2
524.75 Brandon Allen 3 4 3 4
526.50 Chad Henne 4 3QB 3 3 2QB 3
537.25 C.J. Beathard 2 3QB 2 2 2QB 2
538.00 Bryce Perkins 0 3QB 0 0 2QB 0
539.00 Brian Hoyer 4 3QB 10 4 2QB 10
540.50 Feleipe Franks 3 -1 3 -1
542.25 Ian Book 1 3QB 2 0 2QB 0
543.75 Kyle Allen 2 60QB 8 1 57QB 1
529.75 Will Grier 0 0 0 0
N/A Geno Smith 4 40QB 54 4 39QB 54
N/A Cooper Rush 2 46QB 24 3 48QB 17
N/A Case Keenum 4 51QB 16 4 49QB 16
N/A Tim Boyle 1 58QB 9 2 60QB -1

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Waiver Trends

More Trends
Najee Harris LAC RB +7.2
Noah Brown WAS WR +0.0
Bijan Robinson ATL RB +0.0
Romeo Doubs GB WR +0.0
Cam Skattebo NYG RB +0.0
Travis Hunter JAC WR +0.0
D'Andre Swift CHI RB +0.0
Will Levis TEN QB +0.0
DK Metcalf PIT WR +0.0
Isaiah Davis NYJ RB +0.0
Jason Sanders MIA K +0.0
Joshua Palmer BUF WR +0.0
Lions DST DET DST +0.0
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR +0.0
Rashod Bateman BAL WR +0.0
Darnell Mooney ATL WR -7.1
David Montgomery DET RB 0.0
Evan Engram DEN TE 0.0
Jake Bates DET K 0.0
Jets DST NYJ DST 0.0
Keaton Mitchell BAL RB 0.0
Matt Gay WAS K 0.0
Aidan O'Connell LV QB 0.0
Quentin Johnston LAC WR 0.0
Brian Thomas JAC WR 0.0
Steelers DST PIT DST 0.0
Christian Kirk HOU WR 0.0
Ty Chandler MIN RB 0.0
Dak Prescott DAL QB 0.0
Xavier Legette CAR WR 0.0

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