Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.
We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.
| THROUGH WEEK 17 | THROUGH WEEK 14 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG Pick | Player | GP | POS Rank | FPTS | GP | POS Rank | FPTS |
| 22.28 | Patrick Mahomes | 15 | 4QB | 315 | 13 | 5QB | 263 |
| 33.15 | Josh Allen | 15 | 1QB | 420 | 13 | 1QB | 366 |
| 41.38 | Kyler Murray | 12 | 11QB | 260 | 10 | 11QB | 226 |
| 50.45 | Lamar Jackson | 12 | 13QB | 235 | 12 | 9QB | 235 |
| 58.30 | Aaron Rodgers | 14 | 5QB | 299 | 12 | 7QB | 255 |
| 64.23 | Dak Prescott | 14 | 10QB | 266 | 12 | 12QB | 224 |
| 66.98 | Russell Wilson | 12 | 3QB | 191 | 10 | 2QB | 170 |
| 70.30 | Justin Herbert | 15 | 2QB | 336 | 13 | 3QB | 296 |
| 78.63 | Tom Brady | 15 | 3QB | 323 | 13 | 2QB | 304 |
| 86.90 | Matthew Stafford | 15 | 7QB | 298 | 13 | 4QB | 276 |
| 93.53 | Ryan Tannehill | 15 | 3QB | 228 | 13 | 2QB | 203 |
| 100.00 | Jalen Hurts | 14 | 6QB | 299 | 12 | 6QB | 255 |
| 112.73 | Joe Burrow | 15 | 8QB | 279 | 13 | 10QB | 229 |
| 119.80 | Trey Lance | 5 | 41QB | 46 | 5 | 40QB | 46 |
| 124.50 | Justin Fields | 12 | 30QB | 127 | 11 | 30QB | 110 |
| 130.75 | Matt Ryan | 15 | 3QB | 206 | 13 | 2QB | 179 |
| 134.25 | Baker Mayfield | 13 | 25QB | 168 | 12 | 24QB | 158 |
| 135.23 | Jameis Winston | 7 | 32QB | 117 | 7 | 29QB | 117 |
| 140.20 | Trevor Lawrence | 15 | 24QB | 173 | 13 | 26QB | 150 |
| 150.88 | Ben Roethlisberger | 14 | 20QB | 200 | 12 | 19QB | 182 |
| 157.78 | Tua Tagovailoa | 11 | 27QB | 164 | 9 | 27QB | 141 |
| 158.18 | Kirk Cousins | 15 | 9QB | 278 | 13 | 8QB | 252 |
| 158.45 | Mac Jones | 15 | 21QB | 192 | 13 | 21QB | 170 |
| 164.18 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | 1 | 20QB | 1 | 1 | 19QB | 1 |
| 194.03 | Zach Wilson | 11 | 29QB | 129 | 9 | 31QB | 93 |
| 222.75 | Derek Carr | 15 | 3QB | 231 | 13 | 2QB | 213 |
| 225.00 | Daniel Jones | 11 | 26QB | 168 | 11 | 23QB | 168 |
| 227.50 | Sam Darnold | 10 | 28QB | 141 | 9 | 28QB | 132 |
| 232.75 | Carson Wentz | 15 | 12QB | 236 | 13 | 13QB | 213 |
| 235.50 | Jared Goff | 13 | 23QB | 177 | 12 | 25QB | 156 |
| 240.75 | Teddy Bridgewater | 14 | 19QB | 203 | 13 | 17QB | 198 |
| 262.75 | Tyrod Taylor | 6 | 35QB | 82 | 6 | 34QB | 82 |
| 279.00 | Deshaun Watson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 318.25 | Taysom Hill | 10 | 33QB | 94 | 9 | 33QB | 85 |
| 336.75 | Jimmy Garoppolo | 14 | 3QB | 215 | 12 | 2QB | 188 |
| 340.75 | Davis Mills | 11 | 31QB | 121 | 9 | 32QB | 88 |
| 351.50 | Drew Lock | 4 | 53QB | 14 | 2 | 56QB | 2 |
| 356.75 | Andy Dalton | 6 | 39QB | 58 | 6 | 38QB | 58 |
| 400.75 | Jordan Love | 4 | 54QB | 12 | 4 | 52QB | 12 |
| 414.25 | Gardner Minshew | 2 | 48QB | 19 | 2 | 47QB | 19 |
| 420.25 | Taylor Heinicke | 14 | 3QB | 208 | 13 | 2QB | 204 |
| 421.25 | Jacob Eason | 1 | 3QB | -1 | 1 | 2QB | -1 |
| 430.25 | Marcus Mariota | 5 | 55QB | 11 | 4 | 53QB | 11 |
| 455.25 | Mitchell Trubisky | 4 | 60QB | 8 | 4 | 55QB | 8 |
| 482.50 | Kyle Trask | 0 | 3QB | 0 | 0 | 2QB | 0 |
| 494.25 | Jacoby Brissett | 9 | 37QB | 72 | 8 | 36QB | 72 |
| 499.50 | Mike White | 4 | 3QB | 44 | 4 | 2QB | 44 |
| 504.25 | Mason Rudolph | 2 | 49QB | 18 | 1 | 50QB | 15 |
| 506.25 | Joe Flacco | 2 | 46QB | 24 | 2 | 46QB | 24 |
| 510.00 | Tyler Huntley | 5 | 38QB | 65 | 4 | 44QB | 29 |
| 511.25 | Kellen Mond | 0 | 3QB | 0 | 0 | 2QB | 0 |
| 516.25 | P.J. Walker | 5 | 20QB | 14 | 5 | 19QB | 14 |
| 518.25 | Nick Mullens | 1 | 57QB | 10 | 0 | 59QB | 0 |
| 522.75 | Blaine Gabbert | 5 | 3QB | 2 | 4 | 2QB | 2 |
| 524.75 | Brandon Allen | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | ||
| 526.50 | Chad Henne | 4 | 3QB | 3 | 3 | 2QB | 3 |
| 537.25 | C.J. Beathard | 2 | 3QB | 2 | 2 | 2QB | 2 |
| 538.00 | Bryce Perkins | 0 | 3QB | 0 | 0 | 2QB | 0 |
| 539.00 | Brian Hoyer | 4 | 3QB | 10 | 4 | 2QB | 10 |
| 540.50 | Feleipe Franks | 3 | -1 | 3 | -1 | ||
| 542.25 | Ian Book | 1 | 3QB | 2 | 0 | 2QB | 0 |
| 543.75 | Kyle Allen | 2 | 61QB | 8 | 1 | 57QB | 1 |
| 529.75 | Will Grier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| N/A | Trevor Siemian | 5 | 36QB | 79 | 5 | 35QB | 79 |
| N/A | Geno Smith | 4 | 40QB | 54 | 4 | 39QB | 54 |
| N/A | Case Keenum | 4 | 51QB | 16 | 4 | 49QB | 16 |
By Daniel Hepner MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
By Morgan Rode MLB
| Pat Freiermuth PIT TE | +2.0 |
| Titans DST TEN DST | +2.0 |
| Emari Demercado KC RB | +2.0 |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL WR | +1.9 |
| Jonathon Brooks CAR RB | +1.9 |
| Michael Mayer LV TE | +1.9 |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE QB | +1.8 |
| Andy Borregales NE K | +1.7 |
| matt prater K | +1.7 |
| Will Reichard MIN K | +1.7 |
| Keon Coleman BUF WR | +1.6 |
| Vikings DST MIN DST | +1.6 |
| Colts DST IND DST | +1.5 |
| Isaiah Likely NYG TE | +1.5 |
| Zach Ertz TE | +1.5 |
| Harold Fannin CLE TE | -4.1 |
| Jordan Love GB QB | -3.8 |
| Quentin Johnston LAC WR | -3.8 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB | -3.6 |
| Tucker Kraft GB TE | -3.2 |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR RB | -2.9 |
| Chiefs DST KC DST | -2.9 |
| Dolphins DST MIA DST | -2.5 |
| Mike Gesicki CIN TE | -2.4 |
| D'Andre Swift CHI RB | -2.2 |
| Chris Olave NO WR | -2.2 |
| Mike Evans SF WR | -2.1 |
| Jason Myers SEA K | -2.0 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN WR | -2.0 |
| Wil Lutz DEN K | -1.9 |
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