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2021 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES

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Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.

We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.

ALL QB RB TE WR K DST
THROUGH WEEK 17 THROUGH WEEK 14
AVG Pick Player GP POS Rank FPTS GP POS Rank FPTS
8.48 Travis Kelce 14 2TE 236 13 2TE 195
21.33 Darren Waller 10 15TE 129 10 9TE 129
29.35 George Kittle 12 3TE 186 10 3TE 166
40.05 Kyle Pitts 15 5TE 165 13 7TE 137
51.98 Mark Andrews 15 1TE 270 13 1TE 208
55.15 T.J. Hockenson 12 10TE 145 12 4TE 145
68.03 Logan Thomas 5 17TE 54 5 17TE 54
79.38 Noah Fant 14 12TE 135 12 14TE 119
84.15 Robert Tonyan 8 45TE 50 8 40TE 50
90.33 Tyler Higbee 13 19TE 111 12 19TE 102
101.28 Dallas Goedert 14 8TE 152 12 10TE 127
112.20 Mike Gesicki 15 9TE 152 13 6TE 137
119.48 Jonnu Smith 13 17TE 63 12 17TE 62
127.05 David Johnson 12 17TE 75 11 17TE 71
131.63 Rob Gronkowski 10 5TE 132 8 7TE 124
151.08 Gerald Everett 13 17TE 108 11 17TE 81
151.93 Hunter Henry 14 11TE 144 12 16TE 116
155.53 Zach Ertz 15 7TE 154 13 11TE 127
156.23 Evan Engram 13 22TE 99 11 24TE 80
164.50 Jared Cook 15 5TE 120 13 7TE 105
214.08 Pat Freiermuth 14 13TE 133 13 12TE 126
305.00 Cole Kmet 15 21TE 107 13 21TE 85
306.75 Anthony Firkser 13 43TE 52 11 41TE 48
307.50 Austin Hooper 13 24TE 88 12 22TE 82
313.25 Eric Ebron 8 5TE 33 8 7TE 33
314.75 Blake Jarwin 6 5TE 31 6 7TE 31
323.25 Hayden Hurst 11 17TE 60 9 17TE 47
324.25 Adam Trautman 10 38TE 55 9 35TE 53
326.75 Dawson Knox 13 6TE 156 11 5TE 139
328.25 Tyler Conklin 15 16TE 126 13 15TE 116
334.50 O.J. Howard 9 17TE 34 8 17TE 34
340.75 Jordan Akins 12 17TE 42 10 17TE 37
344.00 Chris Herndon 5 17TE 14 5 17TE 14
349.00 Dalton Schultz 15 4TE 180 13 8TE 137
351.25 Jimmy Graham 9 17TE 47 7 17TE 34
352.50 Dan Arnold 10 17TE 76 10 17TE 76
354.25 Mo Alie-Cox 15 29TE 69 13 28TE 63
358.50 C.J. Uzomah 15 17TE 121 13 17TE 108
363.00 Jack Doyle 14 5TE 77 13 7TE 76
370.50 Albert Okwuegbunam 12 28TE 74 10 27TE 65
371.75 Tyler Kroft 8 17TE 38 6 17TE 26
374.25 David Njoku 13 23TE 92 11 20TE 86
374.50 Will Dissly 11 17TE 48 10 17TE 47
375.50 Kyle Rudolph 13 17TE 54 11 17TE 52
376.75 Ryan Izzo 0 17TE 0 0 17TE
383.75 Cameron Brate 14 17TE 67 12 17TE 54
385.50 Harrison Bryant 11 42TE 53 9 49TE 37
387.25 Donald Parham 12 17TE 59 11 17TE 59
393.00 Brevin Jordan 7 40TE 54 6 46TE 44
397.25 Drew Sample 7 73TE 17 5 78TE 13
398.75 James O'Shaughnessy 7 17TE 50 5 17TE 32
400.75 Pharaoh Brown 11 17TE 36 9 17TE 31
402.75 Nick Boyle 1 17TE 0 1 17TE 0
405.00 Jacob Hollister 5 17TE 16 4 17TE 12
406.50 Geoff Swaim 14 17TE 59 12 17TE 53
410.50 Maxx Williams 5 17TE 41 5 17TE 41
412.25 Juwan Johnson 10 51TE 44 10 47TE 44
419.25 Ross Dwelley 3 17TE 15 3 17TE 15
423.50 Darren Fells 3 5TE 8 3 7TE 8
423.75 Foster Moreau 10 27TE 76 8 37TE 52
424.75 Kylen Granson 10 67TE 22 9 66TE 20
426.50 Ian Thomas 13 62TE 31 11 60TE 28
428.00 Jacob Harris 0 17TE 0 0 17TE 0
434.00 Adam Shaheen 7 17TE 23 7 17TE 23
435.00 Kenny Yeboah 1 17TE 0 1 17TE 0
440.25 Tommy Hudson 4 17TE 6 4 17TE 6
449.50 Durham Smythe 13 37TE 58 11 39TE 51
451.00 Hunter Long 3 2 2 2
459.75 Kaden Smith 2 17TE 6 2 17TE 6
460.25 Jace Sternberger 0 17TE 0 0 17TE 0
460.75 Jordan Matthews 0 17TE 0 0 17TE 0
462.00 Marcedes Lewis 12 17TE 44 10 17TE 35
463.25 Luke Farrell 7 84TE 11 7 81TE 11
466.75 Darrell Daniels 3 17TE 1 3 17TE 1
467.75 Kahale Warring 0 5TE 0 0 7TE 0
469.00 Tre' McKitty 4 17TE 5 2 17TE 2
470.00 Devin Asiasi 0 17TE 0 0 17TE 0
473.25 Hunter Bryant 0 5TE 0 7TE
474.25 Matt Sokol 0 17TE 0 17TE
478.00 Noah Gray 6 76TE 15 5 79TE 12
480.00 Brycen Hopkins 1 17TE 2 0 17TE 0
484.25 Tommy Tremble 13 44TE 50 11 45TE 44
487.75 Josiah Deguara 10 17TE 43 8 17TE 36
488.75 Reggie Gilliam 5 90TE 6 4 93TE 4
491.00 Josh Oliver 9 81TE 13 9 76TE 13
491.67 Nick Vannett 6 17TE 26 4 17TE 26
496.75 John Bates 9 53TE 43 7 61TE 27
498.50 Brandon Dillon 0 17TE 0 0 17TE 0
499.50 Demetrius Harris 3 5TE 4 2 7TE 3
500.50 Sammis Reyes 0 17TE 0 0 17TE 0
502.25 Ricky Seals-Jones 10 17TE 67 8 17TE 60
503.50 Tanner Hudson 0 0 0 0
508.75 Jesse James 3 17TE 18 3 17TE 18
509.50 Thaddeus Moss 0 17TE 0 0 17TE 0
511.50 Blake Bell 10 17TE 12 8 17TE 10
516.75 Derek Carrier 1 5TE 3 1 7TE 3
517.00 Johnny Mundt 1 2 1 2
517.50 Daniel Brown 0 5TE 0 0 7TE 0
518.50 Antony Auclair 3 17TE 14 3 17TE 14
519.50 MyCole Pruitt 11 17TE 49 10 17TE 47
521.50 Eric Saubert 6 69TE 19 6 67TE 19
528.00 Stephen Anderson 10 17TE 37 8 17TE 29
533.25 Colby Parkinson 3 3 2 3
535.25 Andrew Beck 0 0 0 0
537.25 Dominique Dafney 2 17TE 2 2 17TE 2
538.25 Charlie Woerner 4 85TE 10 4 82TE 10
539.25 J.P. Holtz 0 17TE 0 0 17TE 0
452.75 Chris Manhertz 7 71TE 19 6 72TE 17
N/A Brock Wright 4 66TE 23 6 69TE 19
N/A Sean McKeon 4 80TE 13 4 77TE 13
N/A Jack Stoll 2 91TE 6 3 91TE 5
N/A Shane Zylstra 1 93TE 6 2 92TE 4

Latest from FSP

Waiver Trends

More Trends
Pat Freiermuth PIT TE +2.0
Titans DST TEN DST +2.0
Emari Demercado KC RB +2.0
Ryan Flournoy DAL WR +1.9
Jonathon Brooks CAR RB +1.9
Michael Mayer LV TE +1.9
Shedeur Sanders CLE QB +1.8
Andy Borregales NE K +1.7
matt prater K +1.7
Will Reichard MIN K +1.7
Keon Coleman BUF WR +1.6
Vikings DST MIN DST +1.6
Colts DST IND DST +1.5
Isaiah Likely NYG TE +1.5
Zach Ertz TE +1.5
Harold Fannin CLE TE -4.1
Jordan Love GB QB -3.8
Quentin Johnston LAC WR -3.8
Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB -3.6
Tucker Kraft GB TE -3.2
Chuba Hubbard CAR RB -2.9
Chiefs DST KC DST -2.9
Dolphins DST MIA DST -2.5
Mike Gesicki CIN TE -2.4
D'Andre Swift CHI RB -2.2
Chris Olave NO WR -2.2
Mike Evans SF WR -2.1
Jason Myers SEA K -2.0
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN WR -2.0
Wil Lutz DEN K -1.9

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