Fantasy Football Players with Falling Draft Stocks: Joe Mixon, Chris Godwin, Brandon Aiyuk and More
Looking at the FantasySP ADP list to see which players have had their draft stock decrease as the season nears.
After looking at some fantasy football players with rising average draft positions, let's go over guys with falling ADPs.
We'll be using the FantasySP ADP list.
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Quarterbacks
Not many quarterbacks are big fallers of late. Anthony Richardson Sr. is the biggest faller, down nine or so picks to pick 238 on average.
He didn't win the starting job and now will have to wait until Daniel Jones gets hurt or struggles to get the job back. Richardson is only worth drafting in the deepest of redraft leagues out there, and maybe only if you also took Jones.
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It's likely to be a waste of a couple roster spots, because I'm not a huge fan of either fantasy QB this season.
Jordan Love is the most notable starter who is falling as the season nears. He's down about three picks to pick 145.43 on average.
He's dealing with an injury as the season gets rolling, so it makes sense to see fantasy owners bailing on him a bit. Love is a secondary fantasy quarterback worthy of a late-round pick, but the injury is leading to him being skipped in most redraft leagues.
He's definitely a QB to draft in deeper fantasy setups, and he could become a bigger standard league asset with a good start to the season. I am fine taking him with a late-round pick in a standard redraft league, but also wouldn't mind adding him as a waiver wire guy or streamer after he proves the injury isn't going to slow him.
Running Backs
Of standard league fantasy assets, Brian Robinson Jr. is the running back who is seeing his stock drop the most. He's down 10 or so picks and sits near pick 110.86 on average now.
Robinson would be a fine back to take late in a standard redraft league, just in case Christian McCaffrey is injury-prone again this season. Robinson isn't likely to be more than a complementary back if CMC is healthy though, so Robinson is more of a lottery pick.
Isaac Guerendo was getting standard league attention earlier, but has fallen back to pick 162.14 on average.
I expect both San Fran backup running backs to keep falling as the season closes in. Robinson could be one of your final picks in those leagues, but he and Guerendo are really better deep-league assets, and will only be startable if they carve out notable roles or CMC goes down.
Joe Mixon continues to drop, and is near pick 80 now after losing three more draft slots over the past week.
I'm honestly surprised his ADP is still that high. Things don't sound very promising when it comes to Mixon's injury updates. He's already out four weeks, and it feels like he's trending toward missing even more games, and maybe not getting close to 100% all year.
You'd probably be better off just skipping Mixon this season. At pick 100 or so, there's less risk and he could be stashed on IR. I just think it's going to end up as a poor draft pick, and I'd let someone else take that risk.
Wide Receivers
Chris Godwin is down six or so picks and is going around pick 97 on average now.
He's going to miss several weeks at the start of the season as well, so it's easy to see why he's falling. However, he has a clearer timeline to return, and a better ADP than Mixon, so I'd be willing to take him around his ADP.
Hopefully you can stash Godwin in an IR spot for several weeks, because after that, he could be a really good fantasy asset. If you are confident in your team around that ADP, why not take a swing on a higher-upside player like Godwin?
Brandon Aiyuk is down nearly four picks to pick 135.86 on average.
He will miss at least the first four games, and hopefully not much after that. At that ADP, there's very little risk involved, and if you can stash him on an IR spot, I'd be all for taking Aiyuk yet.
There's more upside than downside to taking him near that ADP. If he gives you anything this season, I'd call that a win.
Tight Ends
Among top-150 picks, no tight ends are really dropping much.
Guys like Noah Fant, Tyler Higbee, Ja'Tavion Sanders, Mike Gesicki, Elijah Arroyo and Michael Mayer are trending down as the season nears, but are deep-league options only right now.
Sam LaPorta is the only top-150 pick who has fallen a pick or more in the past week. He's at pick 58 on average now.
He's dealt with an injury this preseason, but appears to be ready to go for the season. LaPorta could just be falling because of a down year in 2024, and with Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams as good wideout options on the team.
A trade of Tim Patrick opened the door for rookie Isaac TeSlaa to hit the field more, and that could be hurting LaPorta a touch too.
I still really like the Lions' TE near his ADP. I think there's a good chance he bounces back and is a top-end fantasy tight end again. Even if he's a weekly auto-start kind of player, getting him near that ADP will be a big deal, with draft value and possible draft steal upside.
