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Javier Assad or Pete Fairbanks

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Javier Assad

Javier Assad

SPChicago Cubs CHC
Pete Fairbanks

Pete Fairbanks

RPMiami Marlins MIA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Assad over Fairbanks

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Javier Assad

Assad shines with microscopic ratios over his last few outings, though regression and schedule limitations cap his immediate weekly ceiling.

Assad has been outstanding recently, delivering a stellar 1.04 ERA and a minuscule 0.64 WHIP over his last 17.3 innings. He has stepped up for the third-place Cubs (39-36), who are currently navigating a depleted rotation with Jameson Taillon and Matthew Boyd on the injured list. With Edward Cabrera also dealing with a hand cramp, Assad's role as a rotation staple is extremely secure.

While Assad's recent dominance has been a massive boon, a direct comparison to our season projection of a 3.80 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP suggests some regression is on the horizon. His low strikeout rate (just 11 strikeouts in his last 17.3 innings) means he relies heavily on batted-ball luck, indicating his current run is unsustainable over the long haul.

Because today is June 18 and Assad already completed his scheduled start on June 17—earning a win against Colorado while posting a 3.18 ERA for the week—he has no remaining appearances before this weekly matchup period ends. Consequently, fantasy managers can safely bench him for the weekend series against Toronto. Weekly Verdict: Hold.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Javier Assad
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Fairbanks over Assad

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Pete Fairbanks

Pete Fairbanks offers save upside and elite strikeouts despite recent ratio struggles

Despite a challenging season, Fairbanks continues to anchor the bullpen as the primary closer for the fourth-place Marlins, who currently hold a 37-38 record. Over his last 14 days, he has struggled with an 8.44 ERA and 2.50 WHIP, though he showed signs of getting back on track over his last two appearances with a 0.50 WHIP and four strikeouts. He remains fully healthy and locked into his ninth-inning role.

While his current 7.26 season ERA and 1.56 WHIP look alarming, our models project a strong rebound with a 3.43 ERA and 1.18 WHIP for the rest of the year. His elite 14.03 K/9 rate this season aligns with his strong career marks, indicating that once his walk rate stabilizes, his ratios will undergo positive regression.

Miami finishes the week with three home games against the Giants starting June 19. The Marlins have favorable matchups against Trevor McDonald (4.64 ERA) and Adrian Houser (5.94 ERA), which should yield late-inning leads and save chances, though Logan Webb (3.58 ERA) will be a tougher test. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Pete Fairbanks
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Performance Javier Assad
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.461-000100.961
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.002-0001120.613
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Pete Fairbanks
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.500-002200.502
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.251-003610.754
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Javier Assad
OWN
28%
+13.47 compared to last week
START
17%
+6.98 compared to last week
OWN/START Pete Fairbanks
OWN
61%
-0.6 compared to last week
START
55%
-0.75 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Javier Assad
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Pete Fairbanks
21st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Javier Assad

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 106th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in wins and is currently ranked 38th with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3.9 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +5, L: +1, WHIP: +1.07, ERA: +4.15, K's: +25, Walks: +9
Breakdown Pete Fairbanks

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 21st among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 37th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 217th in WHIP with 1.67
  • Currently ranked 251st in ERA with 6.43
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 82nd with 10
  • Not too impressive with strikeouts and is currently ranked 237th with 19
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 87th
  • Top 20 in saves and is currently ranked 17th with 7
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.7 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: +1, WHIP: +0.153, ERA: +4.156, K's: +3, Walks: -3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Javier Assad

No Injury Reported

Injury Pete Fairbanks

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Javier Assad
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS COLDaniel PalenciaW 5-4
Jun 16VS COLBlas CastanoL 2-5
Jun 17VS COLJavier AssadW 8-6
Jun 19VS TORBen BrownW 16-2
Jun 20VS TORPatrick Corbin
Jun 21VS TORDylan Cease
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.461-000100.961
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Pete Fairbanks
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@PHIZack WheelerL 7-0
Jun 16@PHIJesus LuzardoL 8-2
Jun 17@PHISandy AlcantaraW 4-12
Jun 19VS SFCade GibsonW 4-3
Jun 20VS SFTrevor McDonald
Jun 21VS SFLogan Webb
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-001000.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Javier Assad
8.11
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Pete Fairbanks
10.49
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Javier Assad
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 CHC 6 23.0 423 18 15 0 2-1 2.35 1.61 7 48
2023 CHC 32 107.0 1710 93 41 0 5-3 3.11 1.25 7.8 230
2024 CHC 29 142.1 2538 124 63 0 7-6 3.86 1.45 7.8 277
2025 CHC 8 37.0 567 23 12 0 4-1 3.65 1.22 5.6 81
2026 CHC 11 41.2 667 25 9 0 5-1 4.1 1.06 5.4 95
ON PACE 23 88 1421 53 19 0 10-2 4.1 1.06 5.4 202
3-YEAR AVG 23 94 1605 80 39 0 5-3 3.61 1.36 7.6 196
Career 86 348.2 5905 283 140 0 0-0 3.56 1.34 7.3
Career Pete Fairbanks
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 21 21.0 387 28 10 1 2-3 6.86 1.67 12 42
2020 35 35.2 673 54 20 3 5-3 3.28 1.49 13.6 122
2021 TB 46 43.2 767 56 20 5 3-5 3.92 1.35 11.5 108
2022 TB 21 20.0 303 31 3 7 0-0 1.35 0.8 14 95
2023 TB 49 43.0 734 68 20 25 2-4 2.72 1.07 14.2 238
2024 TB 46 45.1 696 44 17 23 3-3 3.57 1.17 8.7 205
2025 TB 61 58.0 987 59 18 27 4-5 2.95 1.09 9.2 259
2026 MIA 23 21.0 402 29 11 10 3-2 6.43 1.38 12.4 97
ON PACE 49 45 856 61 23 21 6-4 6.43 1.38 12.4 205
3-YEAR AVG 52 48 806 57 18 25 3-4 3.08 1.09 10.3 234
Career 302 278.1 4949 369 119 0 0-0 3.75 1.27 11.9
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 03:15 EDT EST
ATH vs LAA 04:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Reid Detmers
ATL vs MIL 01:35 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Robert Gasser
BAL @LAD 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Young
Emmet Sheehan
BOS @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Logan Gilbert
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Dylan Cease
CHW @DET 01:40 EDT EST Davis Martin
Keider Montero
CIN @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Chase Burns
Gerrit Cole
CLE @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Kai-Wei Teng
COL vs PIT 03:10 EDT EST Michael Lorenzen
Jared Jones
KC vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Dustin May
MIA vs SF 01:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Logan Webb
NYM @PHI 07:20 EDT EST
Zack Wheeler
SD @TEX 02:35 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
MacKenzie Gore
TB vs WAS 01:40 EDT EST Nick Martinez
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled