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Nick Martinez or Chase Burns

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Nick Martinez

Nick Martinez

SPTampa Bay Rays TB
Chase Burns

Chase Burns

SPCincinnati Reds CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Martinez over Burns

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Nick Martinez

Nick Martinez targets a bounce-back to close out his two-start week.

Nick Martinez has hit a minor bump, posting a 4.46 ERA over his last two outings for the second-place Rays, who currently sit at 41-30 and are looking to break a three-game slide. Despite this recent uptick in runs allowed, the veteran remains a highly consistent presence in the number two spot of Tampa Bay's rotation.

While his 4.64 ERA over the last 30 days shows some regression, his stellar 2.65 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on the season still easily outpace our rest-of-season projection of a 4.40 ERA. Expect some long-term correction toward his career baselines, but his excellent command keeps his floor high.

After taking a loss against the Dodgers on Monday, Martinez finishes his two-start week on Sunday with a highly favorable home matchup against Washington. Facing a weak Nationals lineup makes him an excellent option to close out the weekly matchup. Start him with confidence.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Nick Martinez
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burns over Martinez

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Chase Burns

Chase Burns dominates on the mound as a high-strikeout anchor for the Reds pitching staff

The 35-38 Reds are relying heavily on Chase Burns, who has allowed two or fewer runs in 11 consecutive starts. Over the last 30 days, the young righty has compiled a 2.32 ERA and 40 strikeouts over 27.2 innings. Despite team injuries to Elly De La Cruz and Hunter Greene, Burns remains a crucial anchor for the pitching staff.

Burns's recent surge is backed by a monstrous 13.24 K/9 over the last month, matching his dominant 2.04 season ERA. While our season model expects some minor regression toward a 3.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, his elite fastball-slider combination and high-whiff profile make him a highly sustainable front-line fantasy asset.

As a two-start option this week, Burns already earned a win on June 15 against the Mets and is lined up for a June 21 road matchup against the first-place Yankees. He faces a challenging draw against Gerrit Cole, but Burns's elite stuff makes him matchup-proof. Run him out there as an absolute Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Chase Burns
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Performance Nick Martinez
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.290-000611.181
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.461-000810.992
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Chase Burns
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000731.401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.781-0001451.492
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Nick Martinez
OWN
78%
+1.05 compared to last week
START
45%
+2.77 compared to last week
OWN/START Chase Burns
OWN
99%
-0.36 compared to last week
START
70%
+1 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Nick Martinez
75th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Chase Burns
12th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Nick Martinez

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 75th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 26th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • You have to be impressed by how much better he is performing. Can he keep this up or is it a fluke?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 44th with 1.14
  • Top 25 in ERA and is currently ranked 22nd with 2.69
  • He is among the best in wins and is currently ranked 10th with 6
  • Top 75 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 56th with 61.0
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: -6, WHIP: -0.13, ERA: -1.999, K's: -12, Walks: -5
Breakdown Chase Burns

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 13th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 4th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 20 in WHIP and is currently ranked 19th with 1.01
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 6th with 1.88
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 67th with 17
  • Top 25 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 24th with 73
  • He wins a lot of games and is currently ranked 2nd with 7
  • Top 100 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 83rd with 58.1
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +8, L: +1, WHIP: +1.02, ERA: +2.02, K's: +95, Walks: +26
Next Up Health Check
Injury Nick Martinez

No Injury Reported

Injury Chase Burns

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Nick Martinez
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@LADKyle HurtL 4-3
Jun 16@LADJustin WrobleskiL 1-0
Jun 17@LADShohei OhtaniL 5-4
Jun 19VS WASGriffin JaxW 5-2
Jun 20VS WASMitchell ParkerL 3-4
Jun 21VS WASAndrew Alvarez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.290-000611.181
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Chase Burns
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS NYMChase BurnsW 12-0
Jun 16VS NYMBrady SingerW 5-3
Jun 17VS NYMNolan McLeanL 1-9
Jun 19@NYYCam SchlittlerL 5-0
Jun 20@NYYAndrew AbbottW 2-10
Jun 21@NYYElmer Rodriguez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.782-0001551.292
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Nick Martinez
10.81
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Chase Burns
17.59
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Nick Martinez
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2014 TEX 27 130.2 2239 77 46 0 5-10 4.27 1.41 5.3 230
2015 TEX 24 122.2 2119 77 46 0 7-7 4.04 1.48 5.7 248
2016 TEX 12 38.2 649 16 19 0 2-3 5.59 1.66 3.7 45
2017 TEX 23 109.0 1815 67 28 0 3-8 5.78 1.39 5.5 177
2022 SD 48 112.2 1794 99 42 8 4-5 3.28 1.22 7.9 252
2023 SD 63 108.0 1752 106 40 0 6-4 3.5 1.29 8.8 231
2024 CIN 42 140.0 2125 116 18 0 10-7 3.15 1.04 7.5 317
2025 CIN 41 161.1 2595 116 43 0 11-14 4.74 1.27 6.5 278
2026 TB 14 83.0 1154 50 14 0 6-2 2.6 1.16 5.4 188
ON PACE 31 185 2560 110 31 0 13-4 2.6 1.16 5.4 417
3-YEAR AVG 49 135 2157 113 34 0 9-8 3.93 1.21 7.5 275
Career 294 994.1 16242 724 296 0 0-0 4.09 1.31 6.6
Career Chase Burns
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 CIN 14 42.2 778 68 16 0 0-3 4.64 1.34 14.3 98
2026 CIN 14 80.2 1293 95 26 0 8-1 2.01 1.02 10.6 256
ON PACE 30 174 2792 205 56 0 17-2 2.01 1.02 10.6 553
3-YEAR AVG 14 42 778 68 16 0 0-3 4.64 1.34 14.3 98
Career 28 123.1 2071 163 42 0 0-0 2.92 1.13 11.9
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 03:15 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Mike Paredes
ATH vs LAA 04:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Reid Detmers
ATL vs MIL 01:35 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Robert Gasser
BAL @LAD 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Young
Emmet Sheehan
BOS @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Logan Gilbert
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Dylan Cease
CHW @DET 01:40 EDT EST Davis Martin
Keider Montero
CIN @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Chase Burns
Elmer Rodriguez
CLE @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Kai-Wei Teng
COL vs PIT 03:10 EDT EST Michael Lorenzen
Jared Jones
KC vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Dustin May
MIA vs SF 01:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Logan Webb
NYM @PHI 07:20 EDT EST David Peterson
Zack Wheeler
SD @TEX 02:35 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Nathan Eovaldi
TB vs WAS 01:40 EDT EST Nick Martinez
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled