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Braxton Ashcraft or Bryce Miller

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Braxton Ashcraft

Braxton Ashcraft

SPPittsburgh Pirates PIT
Bryce Miller

Bryce Miller

SPSeattle Mariners SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Ashcraft over Miller

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Braxton Ashcraft

Braxton Ashcraft Shines in the Pirates Rotation with Impressive Strikeout Upside

Braxton Ashcraft has been excellent for the fourth-place Pirates (38-37), who are currently on a two-game winning streak. Over his last 30 days, the right-hand starter has posted a stellar 3.33 ERA and 1.20 WHIP with 41 strikeouts across 35.1 innings. Ashcraft remains highly secure in his role as Pittsburgh's solid number three starter.

Ashcraft's current 3.24 ERA and 1.13 WHIP on the season are significantly better than our projected rest-of-season model marks of a 3.89 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. His underlying metrics, including a high strikeout rate with 97 punchouts in 88.8 innings, suggest this breakout is sustainable. Expect him to continue providing strong ratios and strikeout upside.

With his lone start of the week already completed on June 17—a winning effort against Oakland—Ashcraft is not scheduled to pitch in the upcoming series against the Rockies. Because his weekly duties are finished, he can be benched for the weekend if you need active streaming spots, but he remains an elite long-term option. Weekly Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Braxton Ashcraft
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Miller over Ashcraft

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Bryce Miller

Bryce Miller dominates since debut as Mariners stick to unique tandem plan

Bryce Miller has been absolutely sensational since returning from the injured list, posting a microscopic 1.29 ERA and 0.50 WHIP over his last 14 days. He remains a key cog for the first-place Mariners, who currently lead the AL West with a 38-37 record. Miller is locked into a mid-rotation starting role and is set to carry the next piggyback outing on Friday night with Luis Castillo following him.

While Miller's current 1.57 ERA and 0.73 WHIP through six starts are elite, some regression is expected as our models project a 4.31 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over the rest of the season. His current pace is a massive step forward from last year's 5.38 ERA, but his underlying command metrics suggest he has truly unlocked a higher ceiling. Expect him to settle in as a highly reliable option even when his ratios inevitably normalize.

For the remainder of the week, Miller draws a single-start matchup on Friday at home against Boston. He will square off against Ranger Suarez, who brings a tough 3.21 ERA, making this a challenging but highly winnable matchup given Miller's current form. Fantasy managers should comfortably lock him into lineups as a confident active option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Bryce Miller
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Performance Braxton Ashcraft
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-000731.171
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.451-0001151.272
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Bryce Miller
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.800-100700.601
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.081-1001400.542
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Braxton Ashcraft
OWN
98%
+0.63 compared to last week
START
65%
-9.16 compared to last week
OWN/START Bryce Miller
OWN
94%
+1.55 compared to last week
START
65%
+3.51 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Braxton Ashcraft
12th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Bryce Miller
39th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Braxton Ashcraft

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 12th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 7th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 44th with 1.14
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 47th with 3.51
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 85th with 15
  • Top 25 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 23rd with 70
  • Top 35 in wins and is currently ranked 34th with 5
  • Top 15 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 11th with 68.0
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +5, L: +3, WHIP: -0.229, ERA: +1.583, K's: +87, Walks: +16
Breakdown Bryce Miller

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 39th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 55th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 2nd with 0.71
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 3rd with 1.60
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 97th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: -4, WHIP: -0.858, ERA: -4.294, K's: +4, Walks: -18
Next Up Health Check
Injury Braxton Ashcraft

No Injury Reported

Injury Bryce Miller

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Braxton Ashcraft
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@ATHJ.T. GinnL 11-2
Jun 16@ATHMason MontgomeryW 5-6
Jun 17@ATHBraxton AshcraftW 4-12
Jun 19@COLAntonio SenzatelaL 4-3
Jun 20@COLTomoyuki SuganoL 2-1
Jun 21@COLMichael Lorenzen
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-000731.171
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Bryce Miller
DateOpponentResult
Jun 16VS BALLogan GilbertW 3-1
Jun 17VS BALKyle BradishL 3-5
Jun 18VS BALBryan WooW 3-0
Jun 19VS BOSRanger SuarezL 2-6
Jun 20VS BOSConnelly EarlyL 1-5
Jun 21VS BOSPayton Tolle
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.800-100700.601
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Braxton Ashcraft
13.84
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Bryce Miller
12.39
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Braxton Ashcraft
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 PIT 26 67.1 1102 71 24 0 4-4 2.81 1.29 9.5 146
2026 PIT 15 90.2 1326 97 22 0 6-3 3.18 1.1 9.6 238
ON PACE 31 190 2789 204 46 0 12-6 3.18 1.1 9.6 501
3-YEAR AVG 13 34 551 36 12 0 2-2 2.83 1.26 9.3 73
Career 41 158.0 2428 168 46 0 0-0 3.02 1.18 9.6
Career Bryce Miller
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 SEA 25 129.0 2095 119 26 0 8-7 4.4 1.16 8.3 276
2024 SEA 31 178.0 2749 171 45 0 12-8 2.98 0.99 8.7 459
2025 SEA 21 102.1 1730 83 39 0 5-6 5.36 1.38 7.3 162
2026 SEA 7 40.0 558 43 5 0 3-1 1.58 0.7 9.7 118
ON PACE 14 84 1158 89 10 0 6-2 1.58 0.7 9.7 245
3-YEAR AVG 26 136 2191 124 37 0 8-7 3.98 1.13 8.1 299
Career 84 447.0 7132 416 115 0 0-0 3.83 1.11 8.4
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 03:15 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Mike Paredes
ATH vs LAA 04:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Reid Detmers
ATL vs MIL 01:35 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Robert Gasser
BAL @LAD 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Young
Emmet Sheehan
BOS @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Logan Gilbert
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Dylan Cease
CHW @DET 01:40 EDT EST Davis Martin
Keider Montero
CIN @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Chase Burns
Elmer Rodriguez
CLE @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Kai-Wei Teng
COL vs PIT 03:10 EDT EST Michael Lorenzen
Jared Jones
KC vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Dustin May
MIA vs SF 01:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Logan Webb
NYM @PHI 07:20 EDT EST David Peterson
Zack Wheeler
SD @TEX 02:35 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Nathan Eovaldi
TB vs WAS 01:40 EDT EST Nick Martinez
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled