Outlook Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez targets a bounce-back to close out his two-start week.
Nick Martinez has hit a minor bump, posting a 4.46 ERA over his last two outings for the second-place Rays, who currently sit at 41-30 and are looking to break a three-game slide. Despite this recent uptick in runs allowed, the veteran remains a highly consistent presence in the number two spot of Tampa Bay's rotation.
While his 4.64 ERA over the last 30 days shows some regression, his stellar 2.65 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on the season still easily outpace our rest-of-season projection of a 4.40 ERA. Expect some long-term correction toward his career baselines, but his excellent command keeps his floor high.
After taking a loss against the Dodgers on Monday, Martinez finishes his two-start week on Sunday with a highly favorable home matchup against Washington. Facing a weak Nationals lineup makes him an excellent option to close out the weekly matchup. Start him with confidence.
Updated 2 days ago
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Outlook Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek's Stellar Run Makes Him a Reliable Option for the Injured Royals
Stephen Kolek is on an absolute tear, posting a microscopic 0.74 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over his last 14 days, including a spectacular shutout win on June 14. This hot streak is a massive boost for the fifth-place Royals, who currently sit at 30-45 in the AL Central and have seen their rotation decimated by injuries to Seth Lugo and Cole Ragans. With those arms sidelined, Kolek has confidently secured his place as the number four starter in the rotation.
While Kolek's outstanding 1.90 ERA over the last 30 days is eye-catching, some regression is expected back toward his career baseline, as our season projection forecasts a 4.28 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. However, his strong 2026 campaign with a 2.73 ERA and 1.05 WHIP through 49.4 innings is supported by vastly improved command, evidenced by just 10 walks on the year. This suggests his step forward is legitimate rather than a fluke.
Looking at the week ahead, Kolek is scheduled for a single home start on June 21 against the Cardinals and their starter Dustin May, who carries a 3.75 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Given his current momentum and excellent command, Kolek is a highly viable option to deploy in all standard formats. Verdict: Start.
Updated 2 days ago
