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Troy Melton or Ian Seymour

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Troy Melton

Troy Melton

SPDetroit Tigers DET
Ian Seymour

Ian Seymour

RPTampa Bay Rays TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Melton over Seymour

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Troy Melton

Back tightness clouds immediate outlook for Detroit's surging young starter

Melton has been stellar over his last 30 days, posting a brilliant 2.86 ERA and a tidy 1.03 WHIP across 25.2 innings. However, his momentum for the fourth-place Tigers has been halted after he was scratched from his June 15 start due to back tightness. He remains questionable, putting his current role as the number three starter in Detroit's rotation on ice.

Before the injury, Melton was easily outpacing our season projection of a 3.69 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. His elite run prevention lately aligns with the promise he showed last season, when he logged a solid 3.34 ERA over 51.2 innings. While his low walk rate is sustainable, his modest strikeout numbers suggest he might face slight regression once he returns.

Melton is tentatively scheduled to face the division-rival White Sox on June 20, but his active back tightness makes him impossible to trust. With the Tigers likely to be cautious, there is a strong chance his turn is skipped or he is heavily limited on the mound. Fantasy managers should keep him benched until he proves his health. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Troy Melton
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Seymour over Melton

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ian Seymour

Versatile Reliever Ian Seymour Offers Holds Value but Lacks Immediate Standard-League Appeal

Seymour has served as a versatile arm for the second-place Rays (41-30) as they look to snap a three-game skid. Over his last 14 days, the left-hander has excelled with a 3.80 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 7.1 frames. He currently slots in as a high-leverage setup option in the bullpen, though he has occasionally served as an opener due to injuries to starters like Jesse Scholtens.

Although his actual 5.58 ERA on the year looks rough, our models project a strong rest-of-season turnaround, forecasting a 3.95 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP across 107.0 innings. His excellent strikeout rate of 10.88 K/9 makes this positive regression highly believable, cementing his status as a quality target in leagues that reward holds.

For the rest of the week, Tampa Bay hosts a three-game set against the Nationals beginning June 19. Because Seymour's usage is highly volatile and he is not currently in line for bulk frames or consistent closing opportunities, our weekly models do not expect significant fantasy output. Weekly Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Ian Seymour
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Performance Troy Melton
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-000530.671
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.092-0001031.092
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Ian Seymour
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.560-100731.482
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.460-1001241.163
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Troy Melton
OWN
52%
+5.42 compared to last week
START
46%
+20.84 compared to last week
OWN/START Ian Seymour
OWN
16%
-2.73 compared to last week
START
14%
-3.47 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Troy Melton
40th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Ian Seymour
79th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Troy Melton

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 40th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 119th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 25 in WHIP and is currently ranked 23rd with 1.03
  • Top 35 in ERA and is currently ranked 30th with 2.86
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 98th
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: EVEN, WHIP: +1.03, ERA: +2.86, K's: +14, Walks: +6
Breakdown Ian Seymour

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 80th among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 25th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. Will he keep it up?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 112th in WHIP with 1.31
  • Currently ranked 147th in ERA with 3.94
  • Top 15 in walks and is currently ranked 11th with 17
  • Top 75 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 64th with 28
  • Currently ranked 106th in wins with 3
  • Top 50 in saves and is currently ranked 44th with 2
  • Top 50 in holds and is currently ranked 48th with 6
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.36, ERA: +5.25, K's: +39, Walks: +17
Next Up Health Check
Injury Troy Melton

No Injury Reported

Injury Ian Seymour

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Troy Melton
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@HOUKyle FinneganW 3-9
Jun 16@HOUBryan KingL 4-2
Jun 17@HOUPeter LambertL 4-2
Jun 19VS CHWDrew AndersonW 4-3
Jun 20VS CHWTroy MeltonW 4-1
Jun 21VS CHWDavis Martin
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.381-000640.852
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Ian Seymour
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@LADKyle HurtL 4-3
Jun 16@LADJustin WrobleskiL 1-0
Jun 17@LADShohei OhtaniL 5-4
Jun 19VS WASGriffin JaxW 5-2
Jun 20VS WASMitchell ParkerL 3-4
Jun 21VS WASAndrew Alvarez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100401.401
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Troy Melton
8.35
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Ian Seymour
8.34
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Troy Melton
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 DET 20 51.2 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
2026 DET 4 25.2 350 14 6 0 3-0 2.81 1.01 4.9 65
ON PACE 8 54 746 29 12 0 6-0 2.81 1.01 4.9 139
3-YEAR AVG 20 51 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
Career 24 77.1 1129 58 25 0 0-0 3.14 1.09 6.8
Career Ian Seymour
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 TB 19 57.0 995 64 19 0 4-3 3.79 1.19 10.1 128
2026 TB 28 36.0 630 41 19 2 3-0 5.25 1.36 10.3 97
ON PACE 62 80 1398 90 42 4 6-0 5.25 1.36 10.3 215
3-YEAR AVG 19 56 995 64 19 0 4-3 3.79 1.19 10.1 128
Career 47 90.2 1625 105 38 0 0-0 4.47 1.29 10.4
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 03:15 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Mike Paredes
ATH vs LAA 04:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Reid Detmers
ATL vs MIL 01:35 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Robert Gasser
BAL @LAD 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Young
Emmet Sheehan
BOS @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Logan Gilbert
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Dylan Cease
CHW @DET 01:40 EDT EST Davis Martin
Keider Montero
CIN @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Chase Burns
Elmer Rodriguez
CLE @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Kai-Wei Teng
COL vs PIT 03:10 EDT EST Michael Lorenzen
Jared Jones
KC vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Dustin May
MIA vs SF 01:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Logan Webb
NYM @PHI 07:20 EDT EST David Peterson
Zack Wheeler
SD @TEX 02:35 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Nathan Eovaldi
TB vs WAS 01:40 EDT EST Nick Martinez
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled