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Chase Burns or Stephen Kolek

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Chase Burns

Chase Burns

SPCincinnati Reds CIN
Stephen Kolek

Stephen Kolek

SPKansas City Royals KC
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burns over Kolek

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Chase Burns

Chase Burns dominates on the mound as a high-strikeout anchor for the Reds pitching staff

The 35-38 Reds are relying heavily on Chase Burns, who has allowed two or fewer runs in 11 consecutive starts. Over the last 30 days, the young righty has compiled a 2.32 ERA and 40 strikeouts over 27.2 innings. Despite team injuries to Elly De La Cruz and Hunter Greene, Burns remains a crucial anchor for the pitching staff.

Burns's recent surge is backed by a monstrous 13.24 K/9 over the last month, matching his dominant 2.04 season ERA. While our season model expects some minor regression toward a 3.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, his elite fastball-slider combination and high-whiff profile make him a highly sustainable front-line fantasy asset.

As a two-start option this week, Burns already earned a win on June 15 against the Mets and is lined up for a June 21 road matchup against the first-place Yankees. He faces a challenging draw against Gerrit Cole, but Burns's elite stuff makes him matchup-proof. Run him out there as an absolute Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Chase Burns
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kolek over Burns

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Stephen Kolek

Stephen Kolek's Stellar Run Makes Him a Reliable Option for the Injured Royals

Stephen Kolek is on an absolute tear, posting a microscopic 0.74 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over his last 14 days, including a spectacular shutout win on June 14. This hot streak is a massive boost for the fifth-place Royals, who currently sit at 30-45 in the AL Central and have seen their rotation decimated by injuries to Seth Lugo and Cole Ragans. With those arms sidelined, Kolek has confidently secured his place as the number four starter in the rotation.

While Kolek's outstanding 1.90 ERA over the last 30 days is eye-catching, some regression is expected back toward his career baseline, as our season projection forecasts a 4.28 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. However, his strong 2026 campaign with a 2.73 ERA and 1.05 WHIP through 49.4 innings is supported by vastly improved command, evidenced by just 10 walks on the year. This suggests his step forward is legitimate rather than a fluke.

Looking at the week ahead, Kolek is scheduled for a single home start on June 21 against the Cardinals and their starter Dustin May, who carries a 3.75 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Given his current momentum and excellent command, Kolek is a highly viable option to deploy in all standard formats. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Stephen Kolek
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Performance Chase Burns
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000731.401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.781-0001451.492
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Stephen Kolek
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000410.851
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.741-000721.242
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Chase Burns
OWN
99%
-0.36 compared to last week
START
70%
+1 compared to last week
OWN/START Stephen Kolek
OWN
59%
+11.8 compared to last week
START
19%
-15.11 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Chase Burns
12th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Stephen Kolek
108th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Chase Burns

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 13th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 4th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 20 in WHIP and is currently ranked 19th with 1.01
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 6th with 1.88
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 67th with 17
  • Top 25 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 24th with 73
  • He wins a lot of games and is currently ranked 2nd with 7
  • Top 100 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 83rd with 58.1
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +8, L: +1, WHIP: +1.02, ERA: +2.02, K's: +95, Walks: +26
Breakdown Stephen Kolek

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 108th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 47th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. If he can keep it up, then keep him. . otherwise think trade.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 25 in WHIP and is currently ranked 24th with 1.05
  • Top 35 in ERA and is currently ranked 26th with 2.73
  • Top 50 in wins and is currently ranked 47th with 4
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: -1, WHIP: -0.299, ERA: -1.03, K's: -3, Walks: -9
Next Up Health Check
Injury Chase Burns

No Injury Reported

Injury Stephen Kolek

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Chase Burns
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS NYMChase BurnsW 12-0
Jun 16VS NYMBrady SingerW 5-3
Jun 17VS NYMNolan McLeanL 1-9
Jun 19@NYYCam SchlittlerL 5-0
Jun 20@NYYAndrew AbbottW 2-10
Jun 21@NYYElmer Rodriguez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.782-0001551.292
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Stephen Kolek
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@WASBrad LordL 7-3
Jun 16@WASPaxton SchultzL 6-4
Jun 17@WASLuinder AvilaW 2-6
Jun 18VS STLNoah CameronW 14-6
Jun 19VS STLSeth LugoW 6-5
Jun 21VS STLDustin May
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000310.821
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Chase Burns
17.59
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Stephen Kolek
8.72
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Chase Burns
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 CIN 14 42.2 778 68 16 0 0-3 4.64 1.34 14.3 98
2026 CIN 14 80.2 1293 95 26 0 8-1 2.01 1.02 10.6 256
ON PACE 30 174 2792 205 56 0 17-2 2.01 1.02 10.6 553
3-YEAR AVG 14 42 778 68 16 0 0-3 4.64 1.34 14.3 98
Career 28 123.1 2071 163 42 0 0-0 2.92 1.13 11.9
Career Stephen Kolek
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 SD 42 42.0 797 39 12 0 3-0 5.79 1.69 8.4 85
2025 SD 19 110.1 1689 77 31 0 5-7 3.59 1.17 6.3 216
2026 KC 8 50.1 737 34 10 0 4-1 2.68 1.03 6.1 129
ON PACE 16 106 1550 71 21 0 8-2 2.68 1.03 6.1 270
3-YEAR AVG 31 75 1243 58 22 0 4-4 4.32 1.35 7 150
Career 69 200.1 3223 150 53 0 0-0 3.86 1.26 6.7
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 03:15 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Mike Paredes
ATH vs LAA 04:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Reid Detmers
ATL vs MIL 01:35 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Robert Gasser
BAL @LAD 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Young
Emmet Sheehan
BOS @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Logan Gilbert
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Dylan Cease
CHW @DET 01:40 EDT EST Davis Martin
Keider Montero
CIN @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Chase Burns
Elmer Rodriguez
CLE @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Kai-Wei Teng
COL vs PIT 03:10 EDT EST Michael Lorenzen
Jared Jones
KC vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Dustin May
MIA vs SF 01:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Logan Webb
NYM @PHI 07:20 EDT EST David Peterson
Zack Wheeler
SD @TEX 02:35 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Nathan Eovaldi
TB vs WAS 01:40 EDT EST Nick Martinez
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled