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Esmerlyn Valdez or Brandon Marsh

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez

RFPittsburgh Pirates PIT
Brandon Marsh

Brandon Marsh

LFPhiladelphia Phillies PHI
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Valdez over Marsh

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez makes MLB history with record-breaking power surge

Valdez has been the hottest hitter in baseball, posting a staggering .478 batting average with four home runs and seven runs scored over the last seven days. His recent four-game home run streak etched his name into the history books as one of the few players to achieve such a feat within their first 16 career games. He has firmly established himself as the primary starter in right field for a 43-44 Pirates squad currently looking to climb out of fourth place in the NL Central. With key teammates like Oneil Cruz still sidelined, his emergence is vital for the Pittsburgh offense.

While his 1.643 OPS over the last week is obviously unsustainable, the raw power is undeniably legitimate, as evidenced by a recent 461-foot blast. Our models suggest his .302 career average might see some regression given his high strikeout rate—fanning 20 times in his first 53 at-bats—but his ability to drive the ball makes him a high-upside fantasy asset. Compared to his brief early-season stint, this version of Valdez looks much more comfortable at the plate, making his recent power surge feel like a true breakout rather than a mere flash in the pan.

The Pirates continue their road trip with a final game in Philadelphia today against Alan Rangel before heading to Washington for a three-game weekend set. Valdez draws some excellent matchups against a Nationals staff featuring Zack Littell (5.29 ERA) and Miles Mikolas (5.38 ERA), both of whom have struggled with limiting damage this year. While Foster Griffin presents a tougher challenge on Friday, Valdez’s elite form and history-making power potential against high-ERA starters make him a must-play in all formats for the remainder of the week. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Esmerlyn Valdez
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Marsh over Valdez

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Marsh

Brandon Marsh is the hottest hitter in baseball and a fantasy must-start

Marsh is on an incredible tear, homering in three straight games and slashing .304 with six home runs over his last 14 days. The second-place Phillies (49-38) are leaning heavily on his everyday presence in left field, especially with the team missing Adolis Garcia for the season. His recent power surge has him leading National League outfielders in All-Star voting, cementing his transition from a platoon player to a core lineup fixture.

This production is no fluke; Marsh is currently batting .319 with 15 home runs through 82 games, already far exceeding our season projection of nine homers. While his 10 home runs over the last 30 days represent a peak he likely won't sustain all year, his high career BABIP supports a strong batting average asset. He has evolved into a legitimate five-category contributor who is finally thriving as an every-day starter.

The Phillies conclude their series with Pittsburgh today before traveling to Kansas City for the weekend. Marsh gets a favorable draw today against Jared Jones and his 5.76 ERA. While Michael Wacha (3.31 ERA) presents a challenge on Saturday, Sunday brings another prime opportunity against Luinder Avila and his 1.67 WHIP. With three home runs in his last three games and multiple matchups against struggling pitchers remaining, he is a must-play. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Brandon Marsh
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Performance Esmerlyn Valdez
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.542498.6071.20807
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.48541010.5411.030010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Brandon Marsh
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.233354.2580.56707
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.30461111.3280.661113
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Esmerlyn Valdez
OWN
63%
+61.81 compared to last week
START
59%
+58.81 compared to last week
OWN/START Brandon Marsh
OWN
94%
+4.27 compared to last week
START
80%
-7.06 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Esmerlyn Valdez
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Brandon Marsh
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Esmerlyn Valdez

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 81st among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 109th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Pete Crow-Armstrong
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 25 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.400 and is currently ranked 22nd
  • Top 25 in batting average with 0.316 and is currently ranked 25th
  • Top 50 on base percentage and is currently ranked 44th with 0.381
  • Among the best in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 1st with 0.737
  • Among the best in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 3rd with 1.118
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 309th in RBI with 15
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 374th in runs scored with 12
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.316, OBP: +0.381, HRs: +6, RBI: +15, Runs: +12, Wlks: +6, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Brandon Marsh

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: LF CF RF . However, he plays LF most often.
  • Experts don't even rank him among LF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 12th.
  • The current leader among LF's is Pete Crow-Armstrong
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 15 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.417 and is currently ranked 14th
  • Top 20 in batting average with 0.320 and is currently ranked 20th
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 80th with 0.358
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 38th with 0.544
  • Top 50 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 37th with 0.901
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 105th with 5
  • Top 100 in RBI and is currently ranked 99th with 29
  • Top 75 in runs scored and is currently ranked 53rd with 35
  • Top 75 in HRs and is currently ranked 67th with 11
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.053, OBP: +0.018, HRs: +12, RBI: +26, Runs: +26, Wlks: -5, Stls: +3,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Esmerlyn Valdez

No Injury Reported

Injury Brandon Marsh

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Esmerlyn Valdez
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26@NYMFreddy PeraltaL 11-7
Mar 28@NYMRichard LoveladyL 4-2
Mar 29@NYMDennis SantanaW 3-4
Mar 30@CINChase BurnsL 2-0
Mar 31@CINYohan RamirezW 3-8
Apr 01@CINPaul SkenesW 3-8
Apr 03VS BALMitch KellerW 5-4
Apr 04VS BALDennis SantanaW 3-2
Apr 05VS BALBraxton AshcraftW 8-2
Apr 06VS SDGerman MarquezL 0-5
Apr 07VS SDPaul SkenesW 7-1
Apr 08VS SDMichael KingL 2-8
Apr 10@CHCMason MontgomeryW 0-2
Apr 11@CHCYohan RamirezW 3-4
Apr 12@CHCDaniel PalenciaL 7-6
Apr 13VS WASPaul SkenesW 16-5
Apr 14VS WASMitchell ParkerL 4-5
Apr 15VS WASCarmen MlodzinskiW 2-0
Apr 16VS WASClayton BeeterL 7-8
Apr 17VS TBBubba ChandlerW 5-1
Apr 18VS TBGriffin JaxL 7-8
Apr 19VS TBMitch KellerW 6-3
Apr 21@TEXKumar RockerL 5-1
Apr 22@TEXGregory SotoW 4-8
Apr 23@TEXJacob deGromL 6-1
Apr 24@MILPaul SkenesW 0-6
Apr 25@MILGregory SotoW 3-6
Apr 26@MILKyle HarrisonL 5-0
Apr 27VS STLRyan FernandezL 2-4
Apr 28VS STLKyle LeahyL 7-11
Apr 29VS STLAndre PallanteL 4-5
Apr 30VS STLGordon GraceffoL 5-10
May 01VS CINMitch KellerW 9-1
May 02VS CINCarmen MlodzinskiW 17-7
May 03VS CINGregory SotoW 1-0
May 05@ARIEduardo RodriguezL 9-0
May 06@ARIPaul SkenesW 0-1
May 07@ARIMitch KellerW 2-4
May 08@SFRobbie RayL 5-2
May 09@SFBraxton AshcraftW 3-13
May 10@SFRyan BoruckiL 7-6
May 12VS COLPaul SkenesW 3-1
May 13VS COLAntonio SenzatelaL 4-10
May 14VS COLCarmen MlodzinskiW 7-2
May 15VS PHIJose AlvaradoL 9-11
May 16VS PHICristopher SanchezL 0-6
May 17VS PHIZack WheelerL 0-6
May 19@STLGeorge SorianoL 9-6
May 20@STLCarmen MlodzinskiW 0-7
May 21@STLBraxton AshcraftW 2-6
May 22@TORKevin GausmanL 6-2
May 23@TORPatrick CorbinL 5-2
May 24@TORMitch KellerW 1-4
May 25VS CHCWilber DotelW 2-1
May 26VS CHCBraxton AshcraftW 12-1
May 27VS CHCJacob WebbL 4-10
May 28VS CHCColin ReaL 2-7
May 29VS MINGregory SotoW 6-5
May 30VS MINYohan RamirezW 10-9
May 31VS MINBraxton AshcraftW 9-3
Jun 02@HOUBubba ChandlerW 6-10
Jun 03@HOUAJ BlubaughL 11-9
Jun 04@HOUJared JonesW 1-5
Jun 05@ATLMartin PerezL 6-3
Jun 06@ATLSpencer StriderL 6-3
Jun 07@ATLReynaldo LopezL 3-2
Jun 09VS LADWill KleinL 3-12
Jun 10VS LADEvan SiskW 9-8
Jun 11VS LADJack DreyerL 6-8
Jun 12VS MIASandy AlcantaraL 3-8
Jun 13VS MIAYohan RamirezW 3-2
Jun 14VS MIAMax MeyerL 2-4
Jun 15@ATHJ.T. GinnL 11-2
Jun 16@ATHMason MontgomeryW 5-6
Jun 17@ATHBraxton AshcraftW 4-12
Jun 19@COLAntonio SenzatelaL 4-3
Jun 20@COLTomoyuki SuganoL 2-1
Jun 21@COLYohan RamirezW 6-8
Jun 23VS SEAGeorge KirbyL 2-3
Jun 24VS SEABraxton AshcraftW 11-1
Jun 25VS SEABubba ChandlerW 5-1
Jun 26VS CINBrock BurkeL 4-6
Jun 27VS CINCaleb FergusonL 7-9
Jun 28VS CINMitch KellerW 9-4
Jun 29@PHIBraxton AshcraftW 7-11
Jun 30@PHICristopher SanchezL 8-0
Jul 01@PHIOrion KerkeringL 10-6
Jul 02@PHICarmen MlodzinskiW 1-6
Jul 03@WASFoster Griffin
Jul 04@WASZack Littell
Jul 05@WASMiles Mikolas
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.31661512.3810.737019
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Brandon Marsh
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26VS TEXCristopher SanchezW 5-3
Mar 28VS TEXChris MartinL 4-5
Mar 29VS TEXMacKenzie GoreL 3-8
Mar 30VS WASFoster GriffinL 2-13
Mar 31VS WASAndrew PainterW 3-2
Apr 01VS WASJhoan DuranW 6-5
Apr 03@COLAaron NolaW 1-10
Apr 04@COLJesus LuzardoW 1-2
Apr 05@COLTomoyuki SuganoL 4-1
Apr 06@SFJonathan BowlanW 4-6
Apr 07@SFRobbie RayL 6-0
Apr 08@SFMatt GageL 5-0
Apr 10VS ARIMichael SorokaL 4-5
Apr 11VS ARITaijuan WalkerW 4-3
Apr 12VS ARITaylor ClarkeL 3-4
Apr 13VS CHCCristopher SanchezW 13-7
Apr 14VS CHCColin ReaL 4-10
Apr 15VS CHCShota ImanagaL 2-11
Apr 17VS ATLMartin PerezL 0-9
Apr 18VS ATLChris SaleL 1-3
Apr 19VS ATLTyler KinleyL 2-4
Apr 20@CHCColin ReaL 5-1
Apr 21@CHCShota ImanagaL 7-4
Apr 22@CHCBen BrownL 7-2
Apr 23@CHCJavier AssadL 8-7
Apr 24@ATLGrant HolmesL 5-3
Apr 25@ATLBrad KellerW 5-8
Apr 26@ATLChris SaleL 6-2
Apr 28VS SFJesus LuzardoW 7-0
Apr 29VS SF
Apr 30VS SFChase ShugartW 3-2
Apr 30VS SFChase ShugartW 6-5
May 01@MIAZack WheelerW 5-6
May 02@MIAMax MeyerL 4-0
May 03@MIAJesus LuzardoW 2-7
May 04@MIAAaron NolaW 0-1
May 05VS ATHCristopher SanchezW 9-1
May 06VS ATHOrion KerkeringW 6-3
May 07VS ATHJ.T. GinnL 1-12
May 08VS COLVictor VodnikL 7-9
May 09VS COLTim MayzaW 9-3
May 10VS COLCristopher SanchezW 6-0
May 12@BOSZack WheelerW 1-2
May 13@BOSSonny GrayL 3-1
May 14@BOSBrad KellerW 1-3
May 15@PITJose AlvaradoW 9-11
May 16@PITCristopher SanchezW 0-6
May 17@PITZack WheelerW 0-6
May 18VS CINOrion KerkeringW 5-4
May 19VS CINChase BurnsL 1-4
May 20VS CINAndrew AbbottL 4-9
May 22VS CLEGavin WilliamsL 0-1
May 23VS CLEZack WheelerW 3-0
May 24VS CLEParker MessickL 1-3
May 25@SDJesus LuzardoW 0-3
May 26@SDAaron NolaW 3-4
May 27@SDCristopher SanchezW 0-3
May 29@LADJustin WrobleskiL 4-2
May 30@LADOrion KerkeringW 3-4
May 31@LADYoshinobu YamamotoL 9-1
Jun 02VS SDJose AlvaradoW 3-2
Jun 03VS SDCristopher SanchezW 3-2
Jun 04VS SDZack WheelerW 6-4
Jun 05VS CHWJonathan BowlanW 8-6
Jun 06VS CHWSean BurkeL 3-6
Jun 07VS CHWJose AlvaradoW 9-5
Jun 08@TORCristopher SanchezW 2-5
Jun 09@TORLouis VarlandL 3-2
Jun 10@TORJesus LuzardoW 4-7
Jun 12@MILJacob MisiorowskiL 6-0
Jun 13@MILTim MayzaW 8-9
Jun 14@MILKyle HarrisonL 4-0
Jun 15VS MIAZack WheelerW 7-0
Jun 16VS MIAJesus LuzardoW 8-2
Jun 17VS MIASandy AlcantaraL 4-12
Jun 18VS NYMHuascar BrazobanL 4-6
Jun 20VS NYMCristopher SanchezW 15-3
Jun 21VS NYMZack WheelerW 6-2
Jun 22@WASFoster GriffinL 4-1
Jun 23@WASOrion KerkeringW 9-14
Jun 24@WASSeth JohnsonW 4-5
Jun 25@WASOrion KerkeringW 5-10
Jun 26@NYMZack WheelerW 1-2
Jun 27@NYMA.J. MinterL 6-2
Jun 28@NYMKyle BackhusW 4-5
Jun 29VS PITBraxton AshcraftL 7-11
Jun 30VS PITCristopher SanchezW 8-0
Jul 01VS PITOrion KerkeringW 10-6
Jul 02VS PITCarmen MlodzinskiL 1-6
Jul 04@KCMichael Wacha
Jul 05@KCLuinder Avila
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.315154650.3510.523883
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Esmerlyn Valdez
15.64
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Brandon Marsh
12.07
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Esmerlyn Valdez
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 PIT 19 18 6 12 15 0 6 .316 .381 .737 73
ON PACE 34 33 11 22 27 0 11 .316 .381 .737 134
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 19 18 6 12 15 0 6 .316 .381 .737
Career Brandon Marsh
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 LAA 64 59 2 27 18 6 20 .258 .323 .362 133
2022 LAA 136 98 12 49 49 11 28 .230 .280 .366 279
2023 PHI 140 126 13 60 65 11 61 .285 .373 .466 395
2024 PHI 137 104 16 55 59 19 50 .241 .320 .406 357
2025 PHI 130 107 11 59 44 7 39 .273 .336 .431 340
2026 PHI 83 97 15 50 46 8 15 .315 .351 .523 285
ON PACE 152 178 27 92 84 14 27 .315 .351 .523 524
3-YEAR AVG 136 112 13 58 56 12 50 .266 .344 .435 364
Career 690 591 69 300 281 62 213 .265 .330 .426
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIL 09:45 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Kyle Harrison
ATH vs MIA 09:40 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Tyler Phillips
ATL vs NYM 07:15 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Christian Scott
BAL @CIN 07:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
BOS @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Reid Detmers
CHC vs STL 04:05 EDT EST David Peterson
Andre Pallante
CHW @CLE 07:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
COL vs SF 08:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Logan Webb
HOU vs TB 08:15 EDT EST Spencer Arrighetti
Nick Martinez
LAD vs SD 10:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Michael King
MIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
PIT @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
SEA vs TOR 10:10 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Dylan Cease
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled