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Jacob deGrom or Casey Mize

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Jacob deGrom

Jacob deGrom

SPTexas Rangers TEX
Casey Mize

Casey Mize

SPDetroit Tigers DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting deGrom over Mize

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jacob deGrom

Jacob deGrom remains a high-strikeout anchor for the first-place Rangers

The veteran right-hander has been sharp recently, delivering a dominant seven-inning performance with nine strikeouts and a 0.57 WHIP in his most recent outing on June 30th. He currently serves as a rotation mainstay for a first-place Texas Rangers squad that holds a 44-43 record and a narrow lead in the AL West. While he dealt with minor neck and knee issues earlier in the year, deGrom is currently healthy and pitching without restrictions as the number five starter in the rotation.

Looking under the hood, deGrom’s season-long 3.52 ERA and 1.01 WHIP align closely with our season projection of a 3.04 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. His 10.95 K/9 rate and elite 5.75 strikeout-to-walk ratio confirm his underlying skills remain top-tier despite being 38 years old. His current form is no fluke; rather, it is a return to the elite baseline he has established throughout his career, making him one of the few pitchers capable of carrying fantasy ratios single-handedly.

Because deGrom started this past Tuesday against the Guardians, our models show he has no remaining appearances for the week ending July 5th. His next turn in the rotation will likely come early next week, likely against the Angels or Mariners. Fantasy managers should treat his dominant performance earlier this week as a major statistical boost while keeping him locked into lineups as an untouchable ace for the upcoming scoring period. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Jacob deGrom
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mize over deGrom

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Casey Mize

Casey Mize is a priority start after delivering a historic, double-digit strikeout performance in New York

Mize was spectacular in his most recent outing, throwing seven shutout innings with 10 strikeouts and zero walks while allowing just one hit. This dominant form is a welcome sight for the fourth-place Tigers (38-49) after Mize spent time on the injured list earlier this summer with a groin strain. He currently slots in as the fifth starter in a Detroit rotation that has been surprisingly effective despite numerous injuries to the pitching staff including Reese Olson.

While our season models projected a 4.11 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP, Mize is currently outearning those marks with a 2.75 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP through 62.2 innings. His strikeout rate has seen a massive jump this year, nearly reaching 10 K/9 compared to his 2024 mark of 7.07. Given his pedigree as a former top pick and the refined command he has shown since returning from the IL, this breakout appears to be a legitimate step forward rather than a fluke.

As a two-start pitcher this week, Mize has already delivered an elite line in the first half and will look to double down this Sunday, July 5, on the road against the Rangers. He faces Kumar Rocker, who enters the matchup with a 3.83 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Given Mize's current momentum and the fact that he is pitching his best baseball since his debut, he remains a high-upside play for fantasy managers looking to solidify their ratios. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Casey Mize
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Performance Jacob deGrom
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.571-000900.571
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.742-1002651.003
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Casey Mize
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-0001000.141
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.951-1001610.822
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jacob deGrom
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
73%
No change since last week.
OWN/START Casey Mize
OWN
75%
+7.25 compared to last week
START
40%
-0.74 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jacob deGrom
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Casey Mize
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jacob deGrom

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 9th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 16th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 25 in WHIP and is currently ranked 23rd with 1.01
  • Top 100 in ERA and is currently ranked 84th
  • Top 15 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 15th with 75
  • Top 35 in wins and is currently ranked 29th with 5
  • Top 50 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 41st with 64.1
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -2, L: +3, WHIP: +0.104, ERA: +1.349, K's: +15, Walks: -1
Breakdown Casey Mize

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 49th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 109th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 5th with 0.80
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 19th with 2.48
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -5, L: +3, WHIP: -0.238, ERA: -0.207, K's: -1, Walks: -5
Next Up Health Check
Injury Jacob deGrom

No Injury Reported

Injury Casey Mize

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jacob deGrom
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26@PHICristopher SanchezL 5-3
Mar 28@PHIChris MartinW 4-5
Mar 29@PHIMacKenzie GoreW 3-8
Mar 30@BALJack LeiterW 2-5
Mar 31@BALCole WinnW 5-8
Apr 01@BALTrevor RogersL 8-3
Apr 03VS CINTony SantillanL 3-5
Apr 04VS CINRhett LowderL 0-2
Apr 05VS CINSam MollL 1-2
Apr 06VS SEAJalen BeeksW 2-1
Apr 07VS SEANathan EovaldiW 3-2
Apr 08VS SEAMacKenzie GoreW 3-0
Apr 10@LADEdwin DiazL 8-7
Apr 11@LADEmmet SheehanL 6-3
Apr 12@LADJacob deGromW 2-5
Apr 13@ATHNathan EovaldiW 1-8
Apr 14@ATHJeffrey SpringsL 2-1
Apr 15@ATHHogan HarrisL 6-5
Apr 16@ATHCal QuantrillW 6-9
Apr 17@SEAGavin CollyerW 0-5
Apr 18@SEAGeorge KirbyL 7-3
Apr 19@SEABryan WooL 5-2
Apr 21VS PITKumar RockerW 5-1
Apr 22VS PITGregory SotoL 4-8
Apr 23VS PITJacob deGromW 6-1
Apr 24VS ATHLuis SeverinoL 1-8
Apr 25VS ATHCole WinnW 4-3
Apr 26VS ATHJustin SternerL 1-2
Apr 27VS NYYMax FriedL 2-4
Apr 28VS NYYCam SchlittlerL 2-3
Apr 29VS NYYNathan EovaldiW 3-0
May 01@DETTyler AlexanderW 4-5
May 02@DETKeider MonteroL 5-1
May 03@DETBrant HurterL 7-1
May 05@NYYBrent HeadrickL 7-4
May 06@NYYNathan EovaldiW 1-6
May 07@NYYBrent HeadrickL 9-2
May 08VS CHCJavier AssadL 1-7
May 09VS CHCJalen BeeksW 6-0
May 10VS CHCJacob deGromW 3-0
May 11VS ARIMichael SorokaL 0-1
May 12VS ARIMacKenzie GoreW 7-4
May 13VS ARICal QuantrillW 6-5
May 15@HOUSpencer ArrighettiL 2-0
May 16@HOUKai-Wei TengL 4-1
May 17@HOUNathan EovaldiW 0-8
May 18@COLJose QuintanaL 7-6
May 19@COLKumar RockerW 0-10
May 20@COLJacob LatzW 4-5
May 22@LAAGrayson RodriguezL 9-6
May 23@LAAWalbert UrenaL 5-2
May 24@LAASam BachmanL 2-1
May 25VS HOUTatsuya ImaiL 0-9
May 26VS HOUJack LeiterW 10-7
May 27VS HOUMike BurrowsL 3-4
May 28VS HOUSpencer ArrighettiL 1-5
May 29VS KCMacKenzie GoreW 9-1
May 30VS KCPeyton GrayW 7-6
May 31VS KCJack LeiterW 6-3
Jun 01@STLJacob deGromW 1-2
Jun 02@STLCal QuantrillW 4-7
Jun 03@STLAndre PallanteL 5-3
Jun 05VS CLEPeyton GrayW 3-2
Jun 06VS CLETanner BibeeL 0-6
Jun 07VS CLEJacob deGromW 10-0
Jun 09@KCSteven CruzL 5-3
Jun 10@KCJakob JunisW 4-6
Jun 11@KCRobby AhlstromW 2-4
Jun 12@BOSSonny GrayL 10-1
Jun 13@BOSGarrett WhitlockL 6-3
Jun 14@BOSNathan EovaldiW 4-6
Jun 15VS MINTaylor RogersL 2-4
Jun 16VS MINZebby MatthewsL 2-12
Jun 18VS MINJoe RyanL 3-9
Jun 19VS SDJacob deGromW 9-7
Jun 20VS SDAdrian MorejonL 4-6
Jun 21VS SDNathan EovaldiW 4-3
Jun 22@MIARobby AhlstromW 3-4
Jun 23@MIASandy AlcantaraL 6-4
Jun 24@MIAJohn KingL 4-2
Jun 25@TORMacKenzie GoreW 5-6
Jun 26@TORNathan EovaldiW 4-5
Jun 27@TORPeyton GrayW 4-7
Jun 28@TORCole WinnW 2-3
Jun 29@CLERobby AhlstromW 3-6
Jun 30@CLEJacob deGromW 2-4
Jul 01@CLEJoey CantilloL 9-4
Jul 02VS DETNathan EovaldiW 10-4
Jul 04VS DETJack Flaherty
Jul 05VS DETCasey Mize
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.507-500115201.0017
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Casey Mize
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26@SDTarik SkubalW 2-8
Mar 27@SDEnmanuel De JesusW 2-5
Mar 28@SDRandy VasquezL 3-0
Mar 30@ARIMichael SorokaL 9-6
Mar 31@ARIAndrew HoffmannL 7-5
Apr 01@ARIZac GallenL 1-0
Apr 03VS STLFramber ValdezW 4-0
Apr 04VS STLBrant HurterW 11-6
Apr 05VS STLKyle LeahyL 3-5
Apr 06@MINJoe RyanL 7-3
Apr 07@MINTaj BradleyL 4-2
Apr 08@MINBailey OberL 8-6
Apr 09@MINGarrett ActonL 3-1
Apr 10VS MIAKeider MonteroW 2-0
Apr 11VS MIACasey MizeW 6-1
Apr 12VS MIATarik SkubalW 8-2
Apr 14VS KCWill VestW 2-1
Apr 15VS KCKyle FinneganW 2-1
Apr 16VS KCConnor SeaboldW 10-9
Apr 17@BOSGarrett WhitlockL 1-0
Apr 18@BOSTarik SkubalW 1-4
Apr 19@BOSFramber ValdezW 2-6
Apr 20@BOSGarrett WhitlockL 8-6
Apr 21VS MILGrant AndersonL 4-12
Apr 22VS MILCasey MizeW 5-2
Apr 23VS MILBrant HurterW 5-4
Apr 24@CINGraham AshcraftL 9-8
Apr 25@CINBrady SingerL 9-2
Apr 26@CINBrant HurterW 3-8
Apr 28@ATLMartin PerezL 5-2
Apr 29@ATLReynaldo LopezL 4-3
Apr 30@ATLDrew AndersonW 2-5
May 01VS TEXTyler AlexanderL 4-5
May 02VS TEXKeider MonteroW 5-1
May 03VS TEXBrant HurterW 7-1
May 04VS BOSPayton TolleL 4-5
May 05VS BOSBrayan BelloL 3-10
May 06VS BOSSonny GrayL 0-4
May 08@KCLucas ErcegL 4-3
May 09@KCMichael WachaL 5-1
May 10@KCEnmanuel De JesusW 3-6
May 12@NYMFreddy PeraltaL 10-2
May 13@NYMBrooks RaleyL 3-2
May 14@NYMNolan McLeanL 9-4
May 15VS TORKenley JansenW 3-2
May 16VS TORLouis VarlandL 1-2
May 17VS TORKevin GausmanL 1-4
May 18VS CLESlade CecconiL 2-8
May 19VS CLEColin HoldermanL 3-4
May 20VS CLEColin HoldermanL 2-3
May 21VS CLEJoey CantilloL 1-3
May 22@BALChris BassittL 7-4
May 23@BAL
May 24@BALDietrich EnnsL 5-3
May 24@BALTroy MeltonW 1-4
May 26VS LAAJose FerminL 6-10
May 27VS LAADrew AndersonW 4-0
May 28VS LAAGrayson RodriguezL 1-7
May 29@CHWBryan HudsonL 4-3
May 30@CHWAnthony KayL 7-1
May 31@CHWBrandon EisertL 2-1
Jun 01@TBTyler HoltonW 9-10
Jun 02@TBJack FlahertyW 0-8
Jun 03@TBTroy MeltonW 2-7
Jun 05VS SEAFramber ValdezW 7-3
Jun 06VS SEABryce MillerL 0-4
Jun 07VS SEAWill VestW 5-4
Jun 09VS MINTroy MeltonW 10-4
Jun 10VS MINTaylor RogersL 4-6
Jun 11VS MINKeider MonteroW 11-0
Jun 12@CLETanner BibeeL 3-2
Jun 13@CLEJoey CantilloL 3-1
Jun 14@CLE
Jun 15@HOUKyle FinneganW 3-9
Jun 16@HOUBryan KingL 4-2
Jun 17@HOUPeter LambertL 4-2
Jun 19VS CHWDrew AndersonW 4-3
Jun 20VS CHWTroy MeltonW 4-1
Jun 21VS CHWWill VestW 5-4
Jun 22VS NYYFramber ValdezW 5-3
Jun 23VS NYYCarlos RodonL 3-4
Jun 24VS NYYRyan WeathersL 2-4
Jun 25VS HOUTatsuya ImaiL 1-2
Jun 26VS HOUKeider MonteroW 8-0
Jun 27VS HOUAJ BlubaughL 6-8
Jun 28VS HOUJosh HaderL 5-7
Jun 29@NYYCasey MizeW 3-7
Jun 30@NYYTarik SkubalW 3-9
Jul 01@NYYKeider MonteroW 2-6
Jul 02@TEXNathan EovaldiL 10-4
Jul 04@TEXKumar Rocker
Jul 05@TEXCal Quantrill
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.753-50068141.0112
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Jacob deGrom
17.16
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Casey Mize
11.23
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Jacob deGrom
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2014 NYM 20 128.0 2036 133 39 0 8-5 2.6 1.15 9.4 358
2015 NYM 30 188.2 2975 205 38 0 14-8 2.58 0.99 9.8 564
2016 NYM 24 148.0 2353 143 36 0 7-8 3.04 1.2 8.7 381
2017 NYM 31 199.0 3168 239 59 0 15-10 3.57 1.2 10.8 571
2018 NYM 32 217.0 3212 269 46 0 10-9 1.7 0.91 11.2 692
2019 NYM 32 204.0 3297 255 44 0 11-8 2.43 0.97 11.3 610
2020 NYM 12 68.0 1135 104 18 0 4-2 2.38 0.96 13.8 224
2021 NYM 15 92.0 1226 146 11 0 7-2 1.08 0.54 14.3 357
2022 NYM 10 57.1 855 93 8 0 4-4 3.61 0.8 14.6 178
2023 TEX 6 30.1 451 45 4 0 2-0 2.08 0.76 13.4 106
2024 TEX 3 10.2 172 14 1 0 0-0 1.69 1.13 11.8 27
2025 TEX 30 172.2 2614 185 37 0 12-8 2.97 0.92 9.6 456
2026 TEX 17 95.2 1525 115 20 0 7-5 3.48 0.99 10.8 256
ON PACE 31 176 2807 211 36 0 12-9 3.48 0.99 10.8 470
3-YEAR AVG 13 70 1079 81 14 0 5-3 2.82 0.92 10.4 196
Career 262 1599.2 25019 1946 361 0 0-0 2.65 1 11
Career Casey Mize
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2020 DET 7 28.1 543 26 13 0 0-3 6.99 1.48 8.3 31
2021 DET 29 148.1 2303 115 40 0 7-9 3.7 1.13 7 291
2022 DET 2 10.0 169 4 2 0 0-1 5.4 1.5 3.6 6
2024 DET 22 100.0 1789 78 29 0 2-6 4.68 1.51 7 150
2025 DET 30 150.1 2469 146 40 0 14-6 3.95 1.3 8.7 359
2026 DET 12 62.2 968 68 14 0 3-5 2.73 1.01 9.8 155
ON PACE 22 115 1782 125 25 0 5-9 2.73 1.01 9.8 286
3-YEAR AVG 17 83 1419 75 23 0 5-4 4.21 1.39 8.1 170
Career 102 497.1 8241 437 138 0 0-0 4.09 1.27 7.9
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIL 09:45 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Kyle Harrison
ATH vs MIA 09:40 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Tyler Phillips
ATL vs NYM 07:15 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Christian Scott
BAL @CIN 07:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
BOS @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Reid Detmers
CHC vs STL 04:05 EDT EST David Peterson
Andre Pallante
CHW @CLE 07:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
COL vs SF 08:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Logan Webb
HOU vs TB 08:15 EDT EST Spencer Arrighetti
Nick Martinez
LAD vs SD 10:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Michael King
MIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
PIT @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
SEA vs TOR 10:10 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Dylan Cease
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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