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Esmerlyn Valdez or Owen Caissie

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez

RFPittsburgh Pirates PIT
Owen Caissie

Owen Caissie

RFMiami Marlins MIA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Valdez over Caissie

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez makes MLB history with record-breaking power surge

Valdez has been the hottest hitter in baseball, posting a staggering .478 batting average with four home runs and seven runs scored over the last seven days. His recent four-game home run streak etched his name into the history books as one of the few players to achieve such a feat within their first 16 career games. He has firmly established himself as the primary starter in right field for a 43-44 Pirates squad currently looking to climb out of fourth place in the NL Central. With key teammates like Oneil Cruz still sidelined, his emergence is vital for the Pittsburgh offense.

While his 1.643 OPS over the last week is obviously unsustainable, the raw power is undeniably legitimate, as evidenced by a recent 461-foot blast. Our models suggest his .302 career average might see some regression given his high strikeout rate—fanning 20 times in his first 53 at-bats—but his ability to drive the ball makes him a high-upside fantasy asset. Compared to his brief early-season stint, this version of Valdez looks much more comfortable at the plate, making his recent power surge feel like a true breakout rather than a mere flash in the pan.

The Pirates continue their road trip with a final game in Philadelphia today against Alan Rangel before heading to Washington for a three-game weekend set. Valdez draws some excellent matchups against a Nationals staff featuring Zack Littell (5.29 ERA) and Miles Mikolas (5.38 ERA), both of whom have struggled with limiting damage this year. While Foster Griffin presents a tougher challenge on Friday, Valdez’s elite form and history-making power potential against high-ERA starters make him a must-play in all formats for the remainder of the week. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Esmerlyn Valdez
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Caissie over Valdez

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Owen Caissie

Owen Caissie is erupting into a must-start power asset during a massive mid-summer surge

Caissie has been nearly untouchable at the plate lately, slashing a massive .419/.486/.774 over his last 14 days with three home runs and 10 RBI. The 24-year-old is entrenched as the primary right fielder for a third-place Marlins squad that currently holds a 46-41 record and is looking to gain ground in the division. His recent form is highlighted by a 453-foot moonshot on June 30th, confirming the young slugger has found his rhythm at the major league level.

Under the hood, Caissie's recent tear has allowed him to significantly outperform our season projections, as he has already surpassed his expected totals for home runs and RBI with half the season remaining. While his .419 average over the last two weeks is a clear peak, his 1.260 OPS during that span suggests he is evolving into a genuine middle-of-the-order threat. The only concern remains a high strikeout rate, but his elite power makes that a trade-off fantasy managers should be happy to accept.

The upcoming schedule offers a prime environment for Caissie to maintain this momentum, starting with a game today in hitter-friendly Colorado against Michael Lorenzen and his 7.03 ERA. Miami then travels to face the Athletics, where Caissie will match up against high-ERA starters Jack Perkins and Aaron Civale. While Sunday's matchup against Gage Jump and his 2.93 ERA is more difficult, the sheer volume of favorable matchups this week makes Caissie an essential part of active lineups. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Owen Caissie
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Performance Esmerlyn Valdez
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.542498.6071.20807
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.48541010.5411.030010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Owen Caissie
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.375144.4440.62507
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.4063118.4720.750113
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Esmerlyn Valdez
OWN
63%
+61.81 compared to last week
START
59%
+58.81 compared to last week
OWN/START Owen Caissie
OWN
24%
+12.94 compared to last week
START
22%
+16.22 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Esmerlyn Valdez
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Owen Caissie
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Esmerlyn Valdez

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 81st among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 109th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Pete Crow-Armstrong
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 25 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.400 and is currently ranked 22nd
  • Top 25 in batting average with 0.316 and is currently ranked 25th
  • Top 50 on base percentage and is currently ranked 44th with 0.381
  • Among the best in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 1st with 0.737
  • Among the best in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 3rd with 1.118
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 309th in RBI with 15
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 374th in runs scored with 12
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.316, OBP: +0.381, HRs: +6, RBI: +15, Runs: +12, Wlks: +6, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Owen Caissie

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: RF DH . However, he plays RF most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 80th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 53rd.
  • The current leader among OF's is Pete Crow-Armstrong
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would. Can he keep this up?
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 35 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.387 and is currently ranked 28th
  • Ranked 124th in batting average with 0.269
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 115th with 0.346
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 48th with 0.521
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 54th with 0.867
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 199th with 3
  • Top 75 in RBI and is currently ranked 72nd with 32
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 277th in runs scored with 18
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.239, OBP: +0.306, HRs: +10, RBI: +47, Runs: +28, Wlks: +17, Stls: +4,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Esmerlyn Valdez

No Injury Reported

Injury Owen Caissie

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Esmerlyn Valdez
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26@NYMFreddy PeraltaL 11-7
Mar 28@NYMRichard LoveladyL 4-2
Mar 29@NYMDennis SantanaW 3-4
Mar 30@CINChase BurnsL 2-0
Mar 31@CINYohan RamirezW 3-8
Apr 01@CINPaul SkenesW 3-8
Apr 03VS BALMitch KellerW 5-4
Apr 04VS BALDennis SantanaW 3-2
Apr 05VS BALBraxton AshcraftW 8-2
Apr 06VS SDGerman MarquezL 0-5
Apr 07VS SDPaul SkenesW 7-1
Apr 08VS SDMichael KingL 2-8
Apr 10@CHCMason MontgomeryW 0-2
Apr 11@CHCYohan RamirezW 3-4
Apr 12@CHCDaniel PalenciaL 7-6
Apr 13VS WASPaul SkenesW 16-5
Apr 14VS WASMitchell ParkerL 4-5
Apr 15VS WASCarmen MlodzinskiW 2-0
Apr 16VS WASClayton BeeterL 7-8
Apr 17VS TBBubba ChandlerW 5-1
Apr 18VS TBGriffin JaxL 7-8
Apr 19VS TBMitch KellerW 6-3
Apr 21@TEXKumar RockerL 5-1
Apr 22@TEXGregory SotoW 4-8
Apr 23@TEXJacob deGromL 6-1
Apr 24@MILPaul SkenesW 0-6
Apr 25@MILGregory SotoW 3-6
Apr 26@MILKyle HarrisonL 5-0
Apr 27VS STLRyan FernandezL 2-4
Apr 28VS STLKyle LeahyL 7-11
Apr 29VS STLAndre PallanteL 4-5
Apr 30VS STLGordon GraceffoL 5-10
May 01VS CINMitch KellerW 9-1
May 02VS CINCarmen MlodzinskiW 17-7
May 03VS CINGregory SotoW 1-0
May 05@ARIEduardo RodriguezL 9-0
May 06@ARIPaul SkenesW 0-1
May 07@ARIMitch KellerW 2-4
May 08@SFRobbie RayL 5-2
May 09@SFBraxton AshcraftW 3-13
May 10@SFRyan BoruckiL 7-6
May 12VS COLPaul SkenesW 3-1
May 13VS COLAntonio SenzatelaL 4-10
May 14VS COLCarmen MlodzinskiW 7-2
May 15VS PHIJose AlvaradoL 9-11
May 16VS PHICristopher SanchezL 0-6
May 17VS PHIZack WheelerL 0-6
May 19@STLGeorge SorianoL 9-6
May 20@STLCarmen MlodzinskiW 0-7
May 21@STLBraxton AshcraftW 2-6
May 22@TORKevin GausmanL 6-2
May 23@TORPatrick CorbinL 5-2
May 24@TORMitch KellerW 1-4
May 25VS CHCWilber DotelW 2-1
May 26VS CHCBraxton AshcraftW 12-1
May 27VS CHCJacob WebbL 4-10
May 28VS CHCColin ReaL 2-7
May 29VS MINGregory SotoW 6-5
May 30VS MINYohan RamirezW 10-9
May 31VS MINBraxton AshcraftW 9-3
Jun 02@HOUBubba ChandlerW 6-10
Jun 03@HOUAJ BlubaughL 11-9
Jun 04@HOUJared JonesW 1-5
Jun 05@ATLMartin PerezL 6-3
Jun 06@ATLSpencer StriderL 6-3
Jun 07@ATLReynaldo LopezL 3-2
Jun 09VS LADWill KleinL 3-12
Jun 10VS LADEvan SiskW 9-8
Jun 11VS LADJack DreyerL 6-8
Jun 12VS MIASandy AlcantaraL 3-8
Jun 13VS MIAYohan RamirezW 3-2
Jun 14VS MIAMax MeyerL 2-4
Jun 15@ATHJ.T. GinnL 11-2
Jun 16@ATHMason MontgomeryW 5-6
Jun 17@ATHBraxton AshcraftW 4-12
Jun 19@COLAntonio SenzatelaL 4-3
Jun 20@COLTomoyuki SuganoL 2-1
Jun 21@COLYohan RamirezW 6-8
Jun 23VS SEAGeorge KirbyL 2-3
Jun 24VS SEABraxton AshcraftW 11-1
Jun 25VS SEABubba ChandlerW 5-1
Jun 26VS CINBrock BurkeL 4-6
Jun 27VS CINCaleb FergusonL 7-9
Jun 28VS CINMitch KellerW 9-4
Jun 29@PHIBraxton AshcraftW 7-11
Jun 30@PHICristopher SanchezL 8-0
Jul 01@PHIOrion KerkeringL 10-6
Jul 02@PHICarmen MlodzinskiW 1-6
Jul 03@WASFoster Griffin
Jul 04@WASZack Littell
Jul 05@WASMiles Mikolas
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.31661512.3810.737019
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Owen Caissie
DateOpponentResult
Mar 27VS COLSandy AlcantaraW 2-1
Mar 28VS COLCalvin FaucherW 4-3
Mar 29VS COLMichael PetersenW 4-3
Mar 30VS CHWDavis MartinL 4-9
Mar 31VS CHWAnthony BenderW 9-2
Apr 01VS CHWSandy AlcantaraW 10-0
Apr 03@NYYWill WarrenL 8-2
Apr 04@NYYBrent HeadrickL 9-7
Apr 05@NYYJohn KingW 6-7
Apr 06VS CINBrandon WilliamsonL 0-2
Apr 07VS CINEmilio PaganL 3-6
Apr 08VS CINEury PerezW 7-4
Apr 09VS CINMax MeyerW 8-1
Apr 10@DETKeider MonteroL 2-0
Apr 11@DETCasey MizeL 6-1
Apr 12@DETTarik SkubalL 8-2
Apr 13@ATLAndrew NardiW 4-10
Apr 14@ATLRobert SuarezL 6-5
Apr 15@ATLBryce ElderL 6-3
Apr 17VS MILAbner UribeL 5-7
Apr 18VS MILBrandon WoodruffL 2-5
Apr 19VS MILEury PerezW 5-3
Apr 20VS STLCalvin FaucherW 5-3
Apr 21VS STLDustin MayL 3-5
Apr 22VS STLJanson JunkW 4-1
Apr 24@SFSandy AlcantaraW 4-9
Apr 25@SFMatt GageL 6-2
Apr 26@SFLanden RouppL 6-3
Apr 27@LADJake EderL 5-4
Apr 28@LADJanson JunkW 1-2
Apr 29@LADAndrew NardiW 2-3
May 01VS PHIZack WheelerL 5-6
May 02VS PHIMax MeyerW 4-0
May 03VS PHIJesus LuzardoL 2-7
May 04VS PHIAaron NolaL 0-1
May 05VS BALRico GarciaL 7-9
May 06VS BALBrandon YoungL 4-7
May 07VS BALCalvin FaucherW 4-3
May 08VS WASFoster GriffinL 2-3
May 09VS WASAndrew NardiW 8-7
May 10VS WASCalvin FaucherW 5-2
May 12@MINBailey OberL 3-0
May 13@MINMax MeyerW 5-9
May 14@MINZebby MatthewsL 9-1
May 15@TBJesse ScholtensL 7-2
May 16@TBPete FairbanksW 5-10
May 17@TBDrew RasmussenL 6-3
May 18VS ATLMax MeyerW 12-0
May 19VS ATLDylan LeeL 4-8
May 20VS ATLChris SaleL 1-9
May 21VS ATLSpencer StriderL 3-9
May 22VS NYMEury PerezW 2-1
May 23VS NYMMax MeyerW 4-1
May 24VS NYMPete FairbanksW 4-0
May 25@TORJanson JunkW 2-8
May 26@TORSpencer MilesL 8-1
May 27@TORJeff HoffmanL 2-1
May 29@NYMAustin WarrenL 9-7
May 30@NYMChristian ScottL 6-1
May 31@NYMNolan McLeanL 10-1
Jun 01@WASSandy AlcantaraW 3-7
Jun 02@WASJohn KingW 3-7
Jun 03@WASMax MeyerW 1-4
Jun 05VS TBDrew RasmussenL 0-6
Jun 06VS TBJohn KingW 4-3
Jun 07VS TBSandy AlcantaraW 4-1
Jun 09VS ARIPete FairbanksW 10-6
Jun 10VS ARIWilliam KempnerW 8-0
Jun 11VS ARITyler PhillipsW 2-0
Jun 12@PITSandy AlcantaraW 3-8
Jun 13@PITYohan RamirezL 3-2
Jun 14@PITMax MeyerW 2-4
Jun 15@PHIZack WheelerL 7-0
Jun 16@PHIJesus LuzardoL 8-2
Jun 17@PHISandy AlcantaraW 4-12
Jun 19VS SFCade GibsonW 4-3
Jun 20VS SFMax MeyerW 6-3
Jun 21VS SFJohn KingW 2-1
Jun 22VS TEXRobby AhlstromL 3-4
Jun 23VS TEXSandy AlcantaraW 6-4
Jun 24VS TEXJohn KingW 4-2
Jun 26@STLMax MeyerW 0-4
Jun 27@STLJohn KingW 1-5
Jun 28@STLKyle LeahyL 2-1
Jun 29@COLSandy AlcantaraW 7-10
Jun 30@COLEury PerezW 3-14
Jul 01@COLKyle FreelandL 6-3
Jul 02@COLBrennan BernardinoL 14-4
Jul 03@ATHJack Perkins
Jul 04@ATHAaron Civale
Jul 05@ATHGage Jump
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.239104728.3060.440476
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Esmerlyn Valdez
15.64
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Owen Caissie
8.59
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Esmerlyn Valdez
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 PIT 19 18 6 12 15 0 6 .316 .381 .737 73
ON PACE 34 33 11 22 27 0 11 .316 .381 .737 134
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 19 18 6 12 15 0 6 .316 .381 .737
Career Owen Caissie
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 CHC 12 5 1 4 4 0 1 .192 .222 .346 19
2026 MIA 75 50 10 28 47 4 16 .239 .303 .440 175
ON PACE 138 92 18 51 86 7 29 .239 .303 .440 322
3-YEAR AVG 4 2 0 1 1 0 0 .192 .222 .346 6
Career 87 55 11 32 51 4 17 .234 .294 .430
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIL 09:45 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Kyle Harrison
ATH vs MIA 09:40 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Tyler Phillips
ATL vs NYM 07:15 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Christian Scott
BAL @CIN 07:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
BOS @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Reid Detmers
CHC vs STL 04:05 EDT EST David Peterson
Andre Pallante
CHW @CLE 07:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
COL vs SF 08:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Logan Webb
HOU vs TB 08:15 EDT EST Spencer Arrighetti
Nick Martinez
LAD vs SD 10:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Michael King
MIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
PIT @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
SEA vs TOR 10:10 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Dylan Cease
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled