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Shota Imanaga or Zebby Matthews

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Shota Imanaga

Shota Imanaga

SPChicago Cubs CHC
Zebby Matthews

Zebby Matthews

SPMinnesota Twins MIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Imanaga over Matthews

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Shota Imanaga

Shota Imanaga anchors a depleted Cubs rotation as a high-WHIP-stabilizing force

Imanaga has been steady lately, posting a 4.82 ERA over his last two outings despite a slightly elevated 1.25 WHIP across 11.2 innings. He serves as the staff anchor for a second-place Cubs squad that currently holds a 49-38 record and is riding a five-game win streak. His presence is vital given the extensive list of team injuries to fellow starters like Justin Steele and Jameson Taillon, leaving Imanaga as the clear leader in the rotation.

While his current 4.47 season ERA sits higher than his elite 2.95 mark from 2024, our data suggests he is due for positive regression toward a 3.73 ERA. His underlying 1.10 WHIP remains a significant asset, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio has remained consistent with his career averages. Despite the recent uptick in earned runs over the last 30 days, his ability to avoid free passes makes this stretch look like a temporary blip rather than a long-term decline.

Having already earned a win on Monday against San Diego with 6.1 strong innings, Imanaga is scheduled for a second start this week on Saturday at home against the Cardinals. He faces Kyle Leahy, who enters with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP, presenting a favorable opportunity for another win and a quality start. Given his stability and the Cubs' recent hot streak, he is a mandatory play in all formats. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Shota Imanaga
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Matthews over Imanaga

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Zebby Matthews

Zebby Matthews is stabilizing the Twins rotation with a dominant recent stretch

Matthews has been a revelation over his last 14 days, posting a sharp 2.08 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP across two starts. He was particularly impressive in his most recent outing on June 29, hurling seven innings of one-run ball with seven strikeouts against Houston. His presence in the rotation is critical for a third-place Twins club that currently sits at 42-46 and has seen its pitching depth tested by significant injuries to key starters like Pablo Lopez and Bailey Ober.

While our models projected a 4.65 ERA for Matthews this season, he is currently outperforming those expectations with a 4.17 ERA and a much-improved 1.14 WHIP. The wildness that was a concern earlier in his career—evidenced by historical walk rates—has been absent lately, as he issued only one free pass over his last seven innings. While a high career home run rate remains a risk factor, his current command suggests he can maintain his role as a reliable back-end starter.

Matthews is in the midst of a two-start week, having already secured a victory in his first appearance. He faces a steeper challenge on July 4 when he travels to face a second-place Yankees squad. He will match up against Carlos Rodon, who carries a strong 3.30 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Despite the difficult environment in the Bronx, Matthews' recent form and elite strikeout-to-walk ratio over the last week make him a viable option. Two-Start Stream.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Zebby Matthews
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Performance Shota Imanaga
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.950-000401.481
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.821-000811.252
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Zebby Matthews
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.291-000710.711
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.081-1001231.002
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Shota Imanaga
OWN
95%
-1.56 compared to last week
START
50%
-10.1 compared to last week
OWN/START Zebby Matthews
OWN
28%
+4.29 compared to last week
START
11%
+4.66 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Shota Imanaga
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Zebby Matthews
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Shota Imanaga

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 40th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 62nd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 59th with 1.21
  • Currently ranked 121st in ERA with 5.18
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 95th with 14
  • Top 100 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 84th with 54
  • Currently ranked 118th in wins with 3
  • Top 50 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 36th with 64.0
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: +4, WHIP: +0.073, ERA: +2.049, K's: +51, Walks: +8
Breakdown Zebby Matthews

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 58th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 39th with 1.14
  • Top 100 in ERA and is currently ranked 80th
  • Top 50 in wins and is currently ranked 50th with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +4, WHIP: -0.334, ERA: -1.041, K's: +21, Walks: +4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Shota Imanaga

No Injury Reported

Injury Zebby Matthews

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Shota Imanaga
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26VS WASBrad LordL 4-10
Mar 28VS WASCade HortonW 10-2
Mar 29VS WASJake IrvinL 3-6
Mar 30VS LAAEdward CabreraW 7-2
Mar 31VS LAAJose SorianoL 0-2
Apr 01VS LAAMatthew BoydW 6-2
Apr 03@CLEConnor BrogdonL 4-1
Apr 04@CLE
Apr 05@CLEShawn ArmstrongL 6-5
Apr 05@CLECaleb ThielbarW 0-1
Apr 06@TBKevin KellyL 6-4
Apr 07@TBJavier AssadW 2-9
Apr 08@TBColin ReaW 2-6
Apr 10VS PITMason MontgomeryL 0-2
Apr 11VS PITYohan RamirezL 3-4
Apr 12VS PITDaniel PalenciaW 7-6
Apr 13@PHICristopher SanchezL 13-7
Apr 14@PHIColin ReaW 4-10
Apr 15@PHIShota ImanagaW 2-11
Apr 17VS NYMEdward CabreraW 12-4
Apr 18VS NYMJameson TaillonW 4-2
Apr 19VS NYMCaleb ThielbarW 2-1
Apr 20VS PHIColin ReaW 5-1
Apr 21VS PHIShota ImanagaW 7-4
Apr 22VS PHIBen BrownW 7-2
Apr 23VS PHIJavier AssadW 8-7
Apr 24@LADRyan RolisonW 4-6
Apr 25@LADRoki SasakiL 12-4
Apr 26@LADJustin WrobleskiL 6-0
Apr 27@SDRandy VasquezL 9-7
Apr 28@SDEdward CabreraW 3-8
Apr 29@SDJameson TaillonW 4-5
May 01VS ARIColin ReaW 6-5
May 02VS ARIShota ImanagaW 2-0
May 03VS ARIMatthew BoydW 8-4
May 04VS CINRyan RolisonW 5-4
May 05VS CINRyan RolisonW 3-2
May 06VS CINTrent ThorntonW 7-6
May 07VS CINShota ImanagaW 8-3
May 08@TEXJavier AssadW 1-7
May 09@TEXJalen BeeksL 6-0
May 10@TEXJacob deGromL 3-0
May 12@ATLDidier FuentesL 5-2
May 13@ATLRobert SuarezL 4-1
May 14@ATLHoby MilnerW 0-2
May 15@CHWTrent ThorntonW 5-10
May 16@CHWDavis MartinL 8-3
May 17@CHWTyler DavisL 9-8
May 18VS MILShane DrohanL 3-9
May 19VS MILJacob MisiorowskiL 2-5
May 20VS MILKyle HarrisonL 0-5
May 22VS HOUSpencer ArrighettiL 2-4
May 23VS HOUKai-Wei TengL 0-3
May 24VS HOUPeter LambertL 5-8
May 25@PITWilber DotelL 2-1
May 26@PITBraxton AshcraftL 12-1
May 27@PITJacob WebbW 4-10
May 28@PITColin ReaW 2-7
May 29@STLGordon GraceffoL 6-5
May 30@STLBen BrownW 1-6
May 31@STLMatthew LiberatoreL 5-1
Jun 02VS ATHGage JumpL 1-2
Jun 03VS ATHHogan HarrisL 4-5
Jun 04VS ATHRyan RolisonW 7-6
Jun 05VS SFRobbie RayL 3-18
Jun 06VS SFRyan RolisonW 3-2
Jun 07VS SFKeaton WinnL 1-2
Jun 09@COLTomoyuki SuganoL 7-3
Jun 10@COLAntonio SenzatelaL 3-2
Jun 11@COLEdward CabreraW 3-9
Jun 12@SFJavier AssadW 1-5
Jun 13@SFBen BrownW 1-6
Jun 14@SFLogan WebbL 5-1
Jun 15VS COLDaniel PalenciaW 5-4
Jun 16VS COLBlas CastanoL 2-5
Jun 17VS COLJavier AssadW 8-6
Jun 19VS TORBen BrownW 16-2
Jun 20VS TORJeff HoffmanL 6-8
Jun 21VS TOR
Jun 22@NYM
Jun 23@NYMEdward CabreraW 6-9
Jun 24@NYMJavier AssadW 3-10
Jun 24@NYMShota ImanagaW 5-10
Jun 25@NYMJacob WebbW 3-4
Jun 26@MILJacob MisiorowskiL 6-2
Jun 27@MILDavid PetersonW 2-8
Jun 28@MILJacob WebbW 3-4
Jun 29VS SDTrent ThorntonW 3-2
Jun 30VS SDMatthew BoydW 9-7
Jul 01VS SDColin ReaW 23-3
Jul 03VS STLAndre Pallante
Jul 04VS STLKyle Leahy
Jul 05VS STLMatthew Liberatore
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.405-60092231.0817
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Zebby Matthews
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26@BALTrevor RogersL 2-1
Mar 28@BALAnthony BandaW 1-4
Mar 29@BALRico GarciaL 8-6
Mar 30@KCKris BubicL 3-1
Apr 01@KCNoah CameronL 13-9
Apr 02@KCTaj BradleyW 1-5
Apr 03VS TBKody FunderburkW 10-4
Apr 04VS TBSteven MatzL 1-7
Apr 05VS TBBryan BakerL 1-4
Apr 06VS DETJoe RyanW 7-3
Apr 07VS DETTaj BradleyW 4-2
Apr 08VS DETBailey OberW 8-6
Apr 09VS DETGarrett ActonW 3-1
Apr 10@TORJoe MantiplyL 10-4
Apr 11@TORJoe RyanW 4-7
Apr 12@TORTaj BradleyW 2-8
Apr 13VS BOSBailey OberW 13-6
Apr 14VS BOSMick AbelW 6-0
Apr 15VS BOSConnelly EarlyL 5-9
Apr 17VS CINBrandon WilliamsonL 1-2
Apr 18VS CINKyle NicolasL 4-5
Apr 19VS CINEmilio PaganL 4-7
Apr 21@NYMCole SandsW 3-5
Apr 22@NYMLuke WeaverL 3-2
Apr 23@NYMDevin WilliamsL 10-8
Apr 24@TBDrew RasmussenL 6-2
Apr 25@TBShane McClanahanL 6-1
Apr 26@TBJesse ScholtensL 4-2
Apr 27VS SEAConnor PrielippW 11-4
Apr 28VS SEAEduard BazardoL 1-7
Apr 29VS SEACooper CriswellL 3-5
Apr 30VS TORBailey OberW 7-1
May 01VS TORPatrick CorbinL 3-7
May 02VS TORDylan CeaseL 4-11
May 03VS TORAndrew MorrisW 4-3
May 05@WASTaj BradleyW 3-11
May 06@WASMiles MikolasL 15-2
May 07@WASPJ PoulinL 7-5
May 08@CLEParker MessickL 6-4
May 09@CLEEric OrzeW 1-2
May 10@CLEKendry RojasW 4-5
May 12VS MIABailey OberW 3-0
May 13VS MIAMax MeyerL 5-9
May 14VS MIAZebby MatthewsW 9-1
May 15VS MILAaron AshbyL 2-3
May 16VS MILLogan HendersonL 1-2
May 17VS MILBailey OberW 5-4
May 18VS HOUEric OrzeW 6-3
May 19VS HOUJason AlexanderL 1-2
May 20VS HOUJoe RyanW 4-1
May 22@BOSTravis AdamsW 6-8
May 23@BOSTaj BradleyW 2-4
May 24@BOSBailey OberW 5-6
May 25@CHWAnthony KayL 3-1
May 26@CHWTaylor RogersW 3-5
May 27@CHWDavid SandlinL 15-2
May 28@CHWDavis MartinL 6-2
May 29@PITGregory SotoL 6-5
May 30@PITYohan RamirezL 10-9
May 31@PITBraxton AshcraftL 9-3
Jun 01VS CHWJoe RyanW 9-6
Jun 02VS CHWConnor PrielippW 6-4
Jun 03VS CHWErick FeddeL 0-8
Jun 04VS KCMatt StrahmL 6-8
Jun 05VS KCZebby MatthewsW 5-3
Jun 06VS KCMatt StrahmL 2-3
Jun 07VS KCNoah CameronL 5-6
Jun 09@DETTroy MeltonL 10-4
Jun 10@DETTaylor RogersW 4-6
Jun 11@DETKeider MonteroL 11-0
Jun 12VS STLAnthony BandaW 9-8
Jun 13VS STLMatt SvansonL 6-9
Jun 14VS STLAndrew MorrisW 5-4
Jun 15@TEXTaylor RogersW 2-4
Jun 16@TEXZebby MatthewsW 2-12
Jun 18@TEXJoe RyanW 3-9
Jun 19@ARIJonathan LoaisigaL 9-5
Jun 20@ARITaj BradleyW 8-16
Jun 21@ARICody LawerysonW 2-4
Jun 22VS LADEric LauerL 1-2
Jun 23VS LADJustin WrobleskiL 3-12
Jun 24VS LADShohei OhtaniL 3-4
Jun 26VS COLAndrew MorrisW 9-8
Jun 27VS COLMichael LorenzenL 5-8
Jun 28VS COLAndrew MorrisW 3-2
Jun 29@HOUZebby MatthewsW 4-5
Jun 30@HOUMike BurrowsL 6-4
Jul 01@HOUTaj BradleyW 3-8
Jul 03@NYYGerrit Cole
Jul 04@NYYCarlos Rodon
Jul 05@NYYRyan Weathers
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.174-50046121.149
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Shota Imanaga
11.84
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Zebby Matthews
8.06
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Shota Imanaga
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 CHC 29 171.0 2590 174 28 0 15-3 2.95 1.04 9.2 493
2025 CHC 27 149.0 2289 123 28 0 9-9 3.81 1.02 7.4 323
2026 CHC 17 98.1 1513 92 23 0 5-6 4.39 1.08 8.4 204
ON PACE 31 183 2817 171 42 0 9-11 4.39 1.08 8.4 379
3-YEAR AVG 28 160 2440 149 28 0 12-6 3.35 1.02 8.3 408
Career 73 416.0 6392 389 79 0 0-0 3.61 1.05 8.4
Career Zebby Matthews
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 MIN 9 37.2 717 43 11 0 1-4 6.69 1.65 10.3 44
2025 MIN 16 79.1 1353 88 24 0 5-6 5.56 1.49 10 146
2026 MIN 9 56.1 842 46 12 0 4-5 4.15 1.14 7.4 117
ON PACE 16 104 1550 84 22 0 7-9 4.15 1.14 7.4 214
3-YEAR AVG 13 57 1035 66 18 0 3-5 6.12 1.59 10.4 95
Career 34 171.0 2912 177 47 0 0-0 5.42 1.43 9.3
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIL 09:45 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Kyle Harrison
ATH vs MIA 09:40 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Tyler Phillips
ATL vs NYM 07:15 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Christian Scott
BAL @CIN 07:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
BOS @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Reid Detmers
CHC vs STL 04:05 EDT EST David Peterson
Andre Pallante
CHW @CLE 07:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
COL vs SF 08:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Logan Webb
HOU vs TB 08:15 EDT EST Spencer Arrighetti
Nick Martinez
LAD vs SD 10:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Michael King
MIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
PIT @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
SEA vs TOR 10:10 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Dylan Cease
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled