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Trey Yesavage or Troy Melton

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Trey Yesavage

Trey Yesavage

SPToronto Blue Jays TOR
Troy Melton

Troy Melton

SPDetroit Tigers DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Yesavage over Melton

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trey Yesavage

Trey Yesavage regains dominant form as a fixture in the Blue Jays rotation

Yesavage has been lights-out recently, posting a 1.45 ERA and a microscopic 0.48 WHIP over his last seven days. He currently slots in as a back-end starter for a third-place Toronto squad (41-46) that has been decimated by injuries to rotation anchors like Jose Berrios and Max Scherzer. Our data shows his command is peaking at the right time following early-season shoulder impingement issues.

While a 5.02 ERA over the last 30 days suggests some volatility, his season-long 3.46 ERA is actually outperforming our projection of 3.82. The young right-hander’s 1.14 WHIP indicates he is limiting traffic more effectively than our models anticipated, though his current 8.45 K/9 is lower than the high-strikeout upside seen in his career stats and season-long trajectory.

As a two-start pitcher this week, Yesavage already secured a win against the Mets and will wrap up the week with a Sunday road start against Seattle. Our models view the remaining matchup as favorable given the Mariners' high strikeout rate, making Yesavage a high-upside play to close out the scoring period. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Trey Yesavage
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Melton over Yesavage

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Troy Melton

Troy Melton emerges as a high-velocity rotation anchor following dominant stretch

Melton has been nearly untouchable lately, posting a minuscule 0.99 ERA and 0.50 WHIP with 18 strikeouts over his last 18.1 innings of work. After a brief scare with back tightness in mid-June, he looked fully recovered in his July 1 start, where his fastball averaged 97.4 mph and he generated a high volume of whiffs. He currently slots in as the number three starter for a fourth-place Tigers squad that enters today at 38-49 while riding a three-game winning streak.

While his current 2026 performance featuring a 2.08 ERA and 0.81 WHIP suggests an elite breakout, our data expects some regression toward a 3.69 ERA as the season progresses. However, the under-the-hood numbers are encouraging, as his strikeout-per-nine rate has improved significantly over the last 30 days compared to his career baseline. His ability to maintain high velocity late into games suggests his recent run of quality starts is supported by a genuine jump in raw stuff rather than just luck.

Melton has already completed his scheduled start for the current week, a brilliant outing against the Yankees on Wednesday. With Detroit's remaining games this week featuring Framber Valdez and Jack Flaherty, Melton won't return to the mound until the following series against Texas. Owners should lock him into lineups for his next turn regardless of the opponent, as his recent command of six different pitch types makes him a high-end fantasy asset. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Troy Melton
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Performance Trey Yesavage
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.451-000300.481
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.491-000850.832
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Troy Melton
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000710.491
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.991-1001840.503
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Trey Yesavage
OWN
91%
+1.32 compared to last week
START
48%
-10.89 compared to last week
OWN/START Troy Melton
OWN
70%
+5.7 compared to last week
START
49%
-4.24 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Trey Yesavage
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Troy Melton
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Trey Yesavage

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 37th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 42nd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 50th with 1.17
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 60th with 3.76
  • He walks a lot of batters and is currently ranked 3rd with 30
  • Currently ranked 108th in wins with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +3, WHIP: +1.14, ERA: +3.46, K's: +61, Walks: +30
Breakdown Troy Melton

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 59th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 49th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 6th with 0.81
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 9th with 2.08
  • Top 50 in wins and is currently ranked 47th with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.7 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +1, WHIP: +0.8, ERA: +2.05, K's: +32, Walks: +10
Next Up Health Check
Injury Trey Yesavage

No Injury Reported

Injury Troy Melton

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Trey Yesavage
DateOpponentResult
Mar 27VS ATHJeff HoffmanW 3-2
Mar 28VS ATHSpencer MilesW 8-7
Mar 29VS ATHEric LauerW 5-2
Mar 30VS COLChase DollanderL 5-14
Mar 31VS COLMax ScherzerW 5-1
Apr 01VS COLBrennan BernardinoL 1-2
Apr 02@CHW
Apr 03@CHWSeranthony DominguezL 5-4
Apr 04@CHWChris MurphyL 6-3
Apr 05@CHWDavis MartinL 3-0
Apr 06VS LADJustin WrobleskiL 2-14
Apr 07VS LADYoshinobu YamamotoL 1-4
Apr 08VS LADTyler RogersW 4-3
Apr 10VS MINJoe MantiplyW 10-4
Apr 11VS MINJoe RyanL 4-7
Apr 12VS MINTaj BradleyL 2-8
Apr 14@MILLouis VarlandW 7-9
Apr 15@MILAaron AshbyL 2-1
Apr 16@MILAaron AshbyL 2-1
Apr 17@ARIMichael SorokaL 6-3
Apr 18@ARIJuan MorilloL 6-2
Apr 19@ARIKevin GausmanW 4-10
Apr 20@LAADylan CeaseW 2-5
Apr 21@LAAMason FluhartyW 2-4
Apr 22@LAABrent SuterL 7-3
Apr 24VS CLEGavin WilliamsL 6-8
Apr 25VS CLEKevin GausmanW 5-3
Apr 26VS CLEBraydon FisherW 4-2
Apr 27VS BOSRanger SuarezL 0-5
Apr 28VS BOSTrey YesavageW 3-0
Apr 29VS BOSBraydon FisherW 8-1
Apr 30@MINBailey OberL 7-1
May 01@MINPatrick CorbinW 3-7
May 02@MINDylan CeaseW 4-11
May 03@MINAndrew MorrisL 4-3
May 04@TBNick MartinezL 5-1
May 05@TBCasey LeguminaL 4-3
May 06@TBShane McClanahanL 3-0
May 08VS LAADylan CeaseW 2-0
May 09VS LAAMason FluhartyW 14-1
May 10VS LAAJose SorianoL 1-6
May 11VS TBDrew RasmussenL 5-8
May 12VS TBIan SeymourL 6-7
May 13VS TBJeff HoffmanW 5-3
May 15@DETKenley JansenL 3-2
May 16@DETLouis VarlandW 1-2
May 17@DETKevin GausmanW 1-4
May 18@NYYPaul BlackburnL 7-6
May 19@NYYWill WarrenL 5-4
May 20@NYYTrey YesavageW 1-2
May 21@NYYAdam MackoW 0-2
May 22VS PITKevin GausmanW 6-2
May 23VS PITPatrick CorbinW 5-2
May 24VS PITMitch KellerL 1-4
May 25VS MIAJanson JunkL 2-8
May 26VS MIASpencer MilesW 8-1
May 27VS MIAJeff HoffmanW 2-1
May 28@BALJeff HoffmanW 1-2
May 29@BALMason FluhartyW 5-6
May 30@BALAlbert SuarezL 6-5
May 31@BALKyle BradishL 9-5
Jun 02@ATLBryce ElderL 4-3
Jun 03@ATLGrant HolmesL 7-3
Jun 04@ATLChad DallasW 2-7
Jun 05VS BALBrandon YoungL 3-13
Jun 06VS BALSpencer MilesW 6-4
Jun 07VS BALAdam MackoW 6-4
Jun 08VS PHICristopher SanchezL 2-5
Jun 09VS PHILouis VarlandW 3-2
Jun 10VS PHIJesus LuzardoL 4-7
Jun 12VS NYYTrey YesavageW 8-5
Jun 13VS NYYFernando CruzL 1-3
Jun 14VS NYYCamilo DovalL 3-8
Jun 16@BOSDylan CeaseW 1-6
Jun 17@BOSSimeon Woods RichardsonW 0-3
Jun 18@BOSTommy NanceW 3-4
Jun 19@CHCBen BrownL 16-2
Jun 20@CHCJeff HoffmanW 6-8
Jun 21@CHC
Jun 22VS HOUBraydon FisherW 4-2
Jun 23VS HOULogan VanWeyL 7-9
Jun 24VS HOUSteven OkertL 1-3
Jun 25VS TEXMacKenzie GoreL 5-6
Jun 26VS TEXNathan EovaldiL 4-5
Jun 27VS TEXPeyton GrayL 4-7
Jun 28VS TEXCole WinnL 2-3
Jun 29VS NYMTrey YesavageW 2-1
Jun 30VS NYMNolan McLeanL 0-3
Jul 01VS NYMSpencer MilesW 9-3
Jul 03@SEALuis Castillo
Jul 04@SEALogan Gilbert
Jul 05@SEAGeorge Kirby
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.464-30061301.1412
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Troy Melton
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26@SDTarik SkubalW 2-8
Mar 27@SDEnmanuel De JesusW 2-5
Mar 28@SDRandy VasquezL 3-0
Mar 30@ARIMichael SorokaL 9-6
Mar 31@ARIAndrew HoffmannL 7-5
Apr 01@ARIZac GallenL 1-0
Apr 03VS STLFramber ValdezW 4-0
Apr 04VS STLBrant HurterW 11-6
Apr 05VS STLKyle LeahyL 3-5
Apr 06@MINJoe RyanL 7-3
Apr 07@MINTaj BradleyL 4-2
Apr 08@MINBailey OberL 8-6
Apr 09@MINGarrett ActonL 3-1
Apr 10VS MIAKeider MonteroW 2-0
Apr 11VS MIACasey MizeW 6-1
Apr 12VS MIATarik SkubalW 8-2
Apr 14VS KCWill VestW 2-1
Apr 15VS KCKyle FinneganW 2-1
Apr 16VS KCConnor SeaboldW 10-9
Apr 17@BOSGarrett WhitlockL 1-0
Apr 18@BOSTarik SkubalW 1-4
Apr 19@BOSFramber ValdezW 2-6
Apr 20@BOSGarrett WhitlockL 8-6
Apr 21VS MILGrant AndersonL 4-12
Apr 22VS MILCasey MizeW 5-2
Apr 23VS MILBrant HurterW 5-4
Apr 24@CINGraham AshcraftL 9-8
Apr 25@CINBrady SingerL 9-2
Apr 26@CINBrant HurterW 3-8
Apr 28@ATLMartin PerezL 5-2
Apr 29@ATLReynaldo LopezL 4-3
Apr 30@ATLDrew AndersonW 2-5
May 01VS TEXTyler AlexanderL 4-5
May 02VS TEXKeider MonteroW 5-1
May 03VS TEXBrant HurterW 7-1
May 04VS BOSPayton TolleL 4-5
May 05VS BOSBrayan BelloL 3-10
May 06VS BOSSonny GrayL 0-4
May 08@KCLucas ErcegL 4-3
May 09@KCMichael WachaL 5-1
May 10@KCEnmanuel De JesusW 3-6
May 12@NYMFreddy PeraltaL 10-2
May 13@NYMBrooks RaleyL 3-2
May 14@NYMNolan McLeanL 9-4
May 15VS TORKenley JansenW 3-2
May 16VS TORLouis VarlandL 1-2
May 17VS TORKevin GausmanL 1-4
May 18VS CLESlade CecconiL 2-8
May 19VS CLEColin HoldermanL 3-4
May 20VS CLEColin HoldermanL 2-3
May 21VS CLEJoey CantilloL 1-3
May 22@BALChris BassittL 7-4
May 23@BAL
May 24@BALDietrich EnnsL 5-3
May 24@BALTroy MeltonW 1-4
May 26VS LAAJose FerminL 6-10
May 27VS LAADrew AndersonW 4-0
May 28VS LAAGrayson RodriguezL 1-7
May 29@CHWBryan HudsonL 4-3
May 30@CHWAnthony KayL 7-1
May 31@CHWBrandon EisertL 2-1
Jun 01@TBTyler HoltonW 9-10
Jun 02@TBJack FlahertyW 0-8
Jun 03@TBTroy MeltonW 2-7
Jun 05VS SEAFramber ValdezW 7-3
Jun 06VS SEABryce MillerL 0-4
Jun 07VS SEAWill VestW 5-4
Jun 09VS MINTroy MeltonW 10-4
Jun 10VS MINTaylor RogersL 4-6
Jun 11VS MINKeider MonteroW 11-0
Jun 12@CLETanner BibeeL 3-2
Jun 13@CLEJoey CantilloL 3-1
Jun 14@CLE
Jun 15@HOUKyle FinneganW 3-9
Jun 16@HOUBryan KingL 4-2
Jun 17@HOUPeter LambertL 4-2
Jun 19VS CHWDrew AndersonW 4-3
Jun 20VS CHWTroy MeltonW 4-1
Jun 21VS CHWWill VestW 5-4
Jun 22VS NYYFramber ValdezW 5-3
Jun 23VS NYYCarlos RodonL 3-4
Jun 24VS NYYRyan WeathersL 2-4
Jun 25VS HOUTatsuya ImaiL 1-2
Jun 26VS HOUKeider MonteroW 8-0
Jun 27VS HOUAJ BlubaughL 6-8
Jun 28VS HOUJosh HaderL 5-7
Jun 29@NYYCasey MizeW 3-7
Jun 30@NYYTarik SkubalW 3-9
Jul 01@NYYKeider MonteroW 2-6
Jul 02@TEXNathan EovaldiL 10-4
Jul 04@TEXKumar Rocker
Jul 05@TEXCal Quantrill
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.054-10032100.807
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Trey Yesavage
12.31
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Troy Melton
11.67
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Trey Yesavage
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 TOR 9 41.2 679 55 18 0 4-1 3.46 1.18 11.9 116
2026 TOR 12 65.0 1082 61 30 0 4-3 3.46 1.14 8.5 151
ON PACE 22 122 2014 113 55 0 7-5 3.46 1.14 8.5 280
3-YEAR AVG 9 41 679 55 18 0 4-1 3.46 1.18 11.9 116
Career 21 106.2 1761 116 48 0 0-0 3.46 1.15 9.8
Career Troy Melton
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 DET 20 51.2 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
2026 DET 7 44.0 606 32 10 0 4-1 2.05 0.8 6.6 123
ON PACE 12 81 1115 58 18 0 7-1 2.05 0.8 6.6 225
3-YEAR AVG 20 51 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
Career 27 95.2 1385 76 29 0 0-0 2.73 0.97 7.2
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIL 09:45 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Kyle Harrison
ATH vs MIA 09:40 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Tyler Phillips
ATL vs NYM 07:15 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Christian Scott
BAL @CIN 07:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
BOS @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Reid Detmers
CHC vs STL 04:05 EDT EST David Peterson
Andre Pallante
CHW @CLE 07:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
COL vs SF 08:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Logan Webb
HOU vs TB 08:15 EDT EST Spencer Arrighetti
Nick Martinez
LAD vs SD 10:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Michael King
MIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
PIT @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
SEA vs TOR 10:10 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Dylan Cease
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled