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Braxton Ashcraft or Hunter Brown

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Braxton Ashcraft

Braxton Ashcraft

SPPittsburgh Pirates PIT
Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown

SPHouston Astros HOU
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Ashcraft over Brown

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Braxton Ashcraft

Braxton Ashcraft provides elite strikeout upside for the fourth-place Pirates despite a home run hurdle

Ashcraft has been a strikeout machine lately, fanning 18 batters over his last 12 innings while allowing just one walk. He recently surrendered three home runs to the Phillies on June 29, but still managed eight punchouts across six frames to preserve a quality outing. He remains a fixture as the number three starter for a Pirates squad that is currently 43-44 and playing through several key injuries to their depth chart.

While his current 3.39 ERA is slightly better than our season projection of 3.89, his elite 10.27 K/9 rate and 1.10 WHIP suggest his 2026 breakout is entirely sustainable. Our models highlight his ability to suppress walks, as evidenced by his 5.00 strikeout-to-walk ratio. His high-strikeout floor ensures he remains a fantasy asset even when his ERA fluctuates due to the occasional long ball.

As a two-start pitcher this week, Ashcraft has one remaining scheduled outing on July 4 against the Nationals. He is slated to match up against Zack Littell, who enters the contest with a struggling 5.29 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Given his ability to dominate through the air and a favorable matchup against Washington's rotation depth, Ashcraft should be rostered and active in all formats. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Braxton Ashcraft
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Brown over Ashcraft

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown emerges as Houston's anchor after dominant return from injury

Brown has been stellar since returning from a shoulder strain, posting a 2.54 ERA over his last three starts. The third-place Astros (43-46) are relying heavily on him as their staff anchor with multiple rotation pieces like Cristian Javier currently on the shelf. Brown slots in as the number one starter in the rotation and looked sharp in his most recent win, tossing six innings while surrendering just two earned runs.

While his 1.84 ERA through five starts this year is elite, his 1.34 WHIP over the last month indicates he is still working on refining his efficiency. However, his 11.80 K/9 suggests his strikeout stuff is better than ever, aligning with the 206 punchouts he recorded during a breakout 2025 campaign. Our models expect him to maintain a 3.42 ERA for the remainder of the season, making his current run a legitimate sign of ace-level production.

Brown has one scheduled start this week on July 4th against the first-place Tampa Bay Rays. He faces a difficult matchup against Drew Rasmussen, who enters with a 2.45 ERA and an elite 0.86 WHIP. Despite the tough opponent, Brown’s high-strikeout upside and his status as the leader of the Houston staff make him a mandatory option for fantasy managers as they look toward the holiday weekend. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Hunter Brown
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Performance Braxton Ashcraft
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.501-000811.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.502-0001810.922
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Hunter Brown
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.000-000421.171
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.000-000841.442
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Braxton Ashcraft
OWN
99%
-0.4 compared to last week
START
72%
-6.03 compared to last week
OWN/START Hunter Brown
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
54%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Braxton Ashcraft
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Hunter Brown
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Braxton Ashcraft

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 13th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 5th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 35 in WHIP and is currently ranked 30th with 1.07
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 38th with 3.20
  • Top 15 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 15th with 76
  • He is among the best in wins and is currently ranked 10th with 7
  • Top 15 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 13th with 68.2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +6, L: +3, WHIP: -0.19, ERA: +1.704, K's: +101, Walks: +17
Breakdown Hunter Brown

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 15th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 314th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 94th
  • Top 25 in ERA and is currently ranked 21st with 2.54
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -8, L: -3, WHIP: +0.29, ERA: -0.04, K's: -94, Walks: -16
Next Up Health Check
Injury Braxton Ashcraft

No Injury Reported

Injury Hunter Brown

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Braxton Ashcraft
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26@NYMFreddy PeraltaL 11-7
Mar 28@NYMRichard LoveladyL 4-2
Mar 29@NYMDennis SantanaW 3-4
Mar 30@CINChase BurnsL 2-0
Mar 31@CINYohan RamirezW 3-8
Apr 01@CINPaul SkenesW 3-8
Apr 03VS BALMitch KellerW 5-4
Apr 04VS BALDennis SantanaW 3-2
Apr 05VS BALBraxton AshcraftW 8-2
Apr 06VS SDGerman MarquezL 0-5
Apr 07VS SDPaul SkenesW 7-1
Apr 08VS SDMichael KingL 2-8
Apr 10@CHCMason MontgomeryW 0-2
Apr 11@CHCYohan RamirezW 3-4
Apr 12@CHCDaniel PalenciaL 7-6
Apr 13VS WASPaul SkenesW 16-5
Apr 14VS WASMitchell ParkerL 4-5
Apr 15VS WASCarmen MlodzinskiW 2-0
Apr 16VS WASClayton BeeterL 7-8
Apr 17VS TBBubba ChandlerW 5-1
Apr 18VS TBGriffin JaxL 7-8
Apr 19VS TBMitch KellerW 6-3
Apr 21@TEXKumar RockerL 5-1
Apr 22@TEXGregory SotoW 4-8
Apr 23@TEXJacob deGromL 6-1
Apr 24@MILPaul SkenesW 0-6
Apr 25@MILGregory SotoW 3-6
Apr 26@MILKyle HarrisonL 5-0
Apr 27VS STLRyan FernandezL 2-4
Apr 28VS STLKyle LeahyL 7-11
Apr 29VS STLAndre PallanteL 4-5
Apr 30VS STLGordon GraceffoL 5-10
May 01VS CINMitch KellerW 9-1
May 02VS CINCarmen MlodzinskiW 17-7
May 03VS CINGregory SotoW 1-0
May 05@ARIEduardo RodriguezL 9-0
May 06@ARIPaul SkenesW 0-1
May 07@ARIMitch KellerW 2-4
May 08@SFRobbie RayL 5-2
May 09@SFBraxton AshcraftW 3-13
May 10@SFRyan BoruckiL 7-6
May 12VS COLPaul SkenesW 3-1
May 13VS COLAntonio SenzatelaL 4-10
May 14VS COLCarmen MlodzinskiW 7-2
May 15VS PHIJose AlvaradoL 9-11
May 16VS PHICristopher SanchezL 0-6
May 17VS PHIZack WheelerL 0-6
May 19@STLGeorge SorianoL 9-6
May 20@STLCarmen MlodzinskiW 0-7
May 21@STLBraxton AshcraftW 2-6
May 22@TORKevin GausmanL 6-2
May 23@TORPatrick CorbinL 5-2
May 24@TORMitch KellerW 1-4
May 25VS CHCWilber DotelW 2-1
May 26VS CHCBraxton AshcraftW 12-1
May 27VS CHCJacob WebbL 4-10
May 28VS CHCColin ReaL 2-7
May 29VS MINGregory SotoW 6-5
May 30VS MINYohan RamirezW 10-9
May 31VS MINBraxton AshcraftW 9-3
Jun 02@HOUBubba ChandlerW 6-10
Jun 03@HOUAJ BlubaughL 11-9
Jun 04@HOUJared JonesW 1-5
Jun 05@ATLMartin PerezL 6-3
Jun 06@ATLSpencer StriderL 6-3
Jun 07@ATLReynaldo LopezL 3-2
Jun 09VS LADWill KleinL 3-12
Jun 10VS LADEvan SiskW 9-8
Jun 11VS LADJack DreyerL 6-8
Jun 12VS MIASandy AlcantaraL 3-8
Jun 13VS MIAYohan RamirezW 3-2
Jun 14VS MIAMax MeyerL 2-4
Jun 15@ATHJ.T. GinnL 11-2
Jun 16@ATHMason MontgomeryW 5-6
Jun 17@ATHBraxton AshcraftW 4-12
Jun 19@COLAntonio SenzatelaL 4-3
Jun 20@COLTomoyuki SuganoL 2-1
Jun 21@COLYohan RamirezW 6-8
Jun 23VS SEAGeorge KirbyL 2-3
Jun 24VS SEABraxton AshcraftW 11-1
Jun 25VS SEABubba ChandlerW 5-1
Jun 26VS CINBrock BurkeL 4-6
Jun 27VS CINCaleb FergusonL 7-9
Jun 28VS CINMitch KellerW 9-4
Jun 29@PHIBraxton AshcraftW 7-11
Jun 30@PHICristopher SanchezL 8-0
Jul 01@PHIOrion KerkeringL 10-6
Jul 02@PHICarmen MlodzinskiW 1-6
Jul 03@WASFoster Griffin
Jul 04@WASZack Littell
Jul 05@WASMiles Mikolas
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.358-300115231.0917
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Hunter Brown
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26VS LAAJose SorianoL 0-3
Mar 27VS LAARyan ZeferjahnL 2-6
Mar 28VS LAAKai-Wei TengW 11-9
Mar 29VS LAAAJ BlubaughW 9-7
Mar 30VS BOSLance McCullers Jr.W 8-1
Mar 31VS BOSHunter BrownW 9-2
Apr 01VS BOSMike BurrowsW 6-4
Apr 03@ATHJeffrey SpringsL 11-4
Apr 04@ATHTatsuya ImaiW 0-11
Apr 05@ATHElvis AlvaradoL 12-10
Apr 06@COLRyan FeltnerL 9-7
Apr 07@COLKyle FreelandL 5-1
Apr 08@COLMichael LorenzenL 9-1
Apr 10@SEAEmerson HancockL 9-6
Apr 11@SEAAndres MunozL 8-7
Apr 12@SEALogan GilbertL 6-1
Apr 13@SEAGeorge KirbyL 6-2
Apr 14VS COLAJ BlubaughW 7-6
Apr 15VS COLSpencer ArrighettiW 3-1
Apr 16VS COLChase DollanderL 2-3
Apr 17VS STLKyle LeahyL 4-9
Apr 18VS STLAndre PallanteL 5-7
Apr 19VS STLRiley O'BrienL 5-7
Apr 20@CLESpencer ArrighettiW 2-9
Apr 21@CLEPeyton PalletteL 8-5
Apr 22@CLEPeter LambertW 0-2
Apr 24VS NYYWill WarrenL 4-12
Apr 25VS NYYFernando CruzL 3-8
Apr 26VS NYYSpencer ArrighettiW 7-4
Apr 28@BALShane BazL 5-3
Apr 29@BAL
Apr 30@BALChris BassittL 10-3
Apr 30@BALLance McCullers Jr.W 5-11
May 01@BOSJake BennettL 3-1
May 02@BOSSpencer ArrighettiW 3-6
May 03@BOSBryan AbreuW 1-3
May 04VS LADYoshinobu YamamotoL 3-8
May 05VS LADPeter LambertW 2-1
May 06VS LADJack DreyerL 2-12
May 08@CINMike BurrowsW 0-10
May 09@CINChase BurnsL 3-1
May 10@CINAndrew AbbottL 5-0
May 11VS SEAGeorge KirbyL 1-3
May 12VS SEABryan WooL 2-10
May 13VS SEABryan AbreuW 4-3
May 14VS SEALuis CastilloL 3-8
May 15VS TEXSpencer ArrighettiW 2-0
May 16VS TEXKai-Wei TengW 4-1
May 17VS TEXNathan EovaldiL 0-8
May 18@MINEric OrzeL 6-3
May 19@MINJason AlexanderW 1-2
May 20@MINJoe RyanL 4-1
May 22@CHCSpencer ArrighettiW 2-4
May 23@CHCKai-Wei TengW 0-3
May 24@CHCPeter LambertW 5-8
May 25@TEXTatsuya ImaiW 0-9
May 26@TEXJack LeiterL 10-7
May 27@TEXMike BurrowsW 3-4
May 28@TEXSpencer ArrighettiW 1-5
May 29VS MILAbner UribeL 4-5
May 30VS MILPeter LambertW 9-2
May 31VS MILJacob MisiorowskiL 0-2
Jun 02VS PITBubba ChandlerL 6-10
Jun 03VS PITAJ BlubaughW 11-9
Jun 04VS PITJared JonesL 1-5
Jun 05VS ATHPeter LambertW 5-1
Jun 06VS ATHTatsuya ImaiW 13-2
Jun 07VS ATHGage JumpL 0-5
Jun 08@LAAJosh HaderW 4-5
Jun 09@LAAWalbert UrenaL 10-1
Jun 10@LAARyan ZeferjahnL 3-2
Jun 12@KCNate PearsonW 8-10
Jun 13@KCBryan KingW 7-8
Jun 14@KCStephen KolekL 4-0
Jun 15VS DETKyle FinneganL 3-9
Jun 16VS DETBryan KingW 4-2
Jun 17VS DETPeter LambertW 4-2
Jun 19VS CLETatsuya ImaiW 9-3
Jun 20VS CLEJoey CantilloL 1-8
Jun 21VS CLEKai-Wei TengW 2-1
Jun 22@TORBraydon FisherL 4-2
Jun 23@TORLogan VanWeyW 7-9
Jun 24@TORSteven OkertW 1-3
Jun 25@DETTatsuya ImaiW 1-2
Jun 26@DETKeider MonteroL 8-0
Jun 27@DETAJ BlubaughW 6-8
Jun 28@DETJosh HaderW 5-7
Jun 29VS MINZebby MatthewsL 4-5
Jun 30VS MINMike BurrowsW 6-4
Jul 01VS MINTaj BradleyL 3-8
Jul 03VS TBNick Martinez
Jul 04VS TBDrew Rasmussen
Jul 05VS TBGriffin Jax
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.791-00032131.205
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Braxton Ashcraft
16.95
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Hunter Brown
13.40
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Braxton Ashcraft
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 PIT 26 67.1 1102 71 24 0 4-4 2.81 1.29 9.5 146
2026 PIT 17 102.2 1509 115 23 0 8-3 3.33 1.08 10.1 282
ON PACE 31 189 2777 211 42 0 14-5 3.33 1.08 10.1 518
3-YEAR AVG 13 34 551 36 12 0 2-2 2.83 1.26 9.3 73
Career 43 170.0 2611 186 47 0 0-0 3.12 1.16 9.9
Career Hunter Brown
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 HOU 8 22.1 324 18 9 0 2-0 0.81 1.12 7.3 61
2023 HOU 35 160.1 2830 184 56 0 11-13 5 1.37 10.3 334
2024 HOU 32 173.1 2988 188 62 0 11-9 3.48 1.27 9.8 429
2025 HOU 31 183.0 2962 206 57 0 12-9 2.46 1.04 10.1 515
2026 HOU 5 25.1 460 32 13 0 1-0 1.78 1.18 11.4 74
ON PACE 9 46 837 58 23 0 1-0 1.78 1.18 11.4 134
3-YEAR AVG 33 172 2927 193 58 0 11-10 3.59 1.21 10 426
Career 111 562.0 9564 628 197 0 0-0 3.41 1.22 10.1
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIL 09:45 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Kyle Harrison
ATH vs MIA 09:40 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Tyler Phillips
ATL vs NYM 07:15 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Christian Scott
BAL @CIN 07:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
BOS @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Reid Detmers
CHC vs STL 04:05 EDT EST David Peterson
Andre Pallante
CHW @CLE 07:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
COL vs SF 08:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Logan Webb
HOU vs TB 08:15 EDT EST Spencer Arrighetti
Nick Martinez
LAD vs SD 10:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Michael King
MIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
PIT @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
SEA vs TOR 10:10 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Dylan Cease
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled