Outlook Chase Burns
Chase Burns remains a high-strikeout force despite recent ratio volatility
Burns has been a dominant force for the fifth-place Reds, who currently sit at 39-46 in the division. He most recently flashed his elite upside by racking up 10 strikeouts over six innings, though he surrendered five earned runs in the process. Despite a recent illness scratch in June, he has reclaimed his role as a primary rotation staple, proving vital for a pitching staff that is currently navigating the loss of Hunter Greene to the injured list.
While his 1.55 WHIP over the last 14 days is a departure from his season-long 1.09 mark, his peripheral numbers suggest the dominance is sustainable. He is averaging over 13 strikeouts per nine innings in the last month, which is well ahead of his already impressive season projection of 175 strikeouts. Given his career-best run of 12 straight starts allowing two or fewer runs earlier this year, the recent uptick in hits allowed appears to be a standard mid-season variance rather than a long-term decline.
The young right-hander faces a challenging road matchup today, July 2, against the first-place Brewers. He will duel with Jacob Misiorowski, an ace-caliber opponent sporting a 1.45 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP. While facing a division leader on the road is a difficult task, Burns' league-leading whiff rates and strikeout potential make him a must-start in virtually all fantasy formats regardless of the opponent. Start.
Updated 23 hrs ago
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Outlook Alan Rangel
Alan Rangel has emerged as a versatile bulk arm but remains a risky fantasy option in Philadelphia
Rangel has stepped into a significant role following his recall, posting a 5.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over nine innings in the last 14 days. The second-place Phillies (49-38) have leaned on him to eat innings, helping the club maintain a two-game win streak while navigating rotation injuries. While listed as a reliever on the depth chart, he has effectively served as a bulk follower or back-end starter recently.
His recent performance aligns closely with our projection of a 4.85 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, suggesting that his current production is a fair reflection of his skill set. While he has shown decent strikeout potential with a 9.75 K/9 through 12 innings this season, his history as a minor-league release suggests regression could hit if he faces more elite lineups. Expecting him to significantly outperform this baseline is optimistic.
Rangel is scheduled to take the mound today against the Pirates, matching up against Jared Jones who enters with a 5.76 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. With only one scheduled appearance remaining this week, his fantasy impact is limited to this single matchup against a middle-of-the-pack Pittsburgh offense. Given the high ratio risk and the uncertainty surrounding his long-term usage, he is best avoided in standard formats. Sit.
Updated 23 hrs ago
