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Chandler Simpson or Esmerlyn Valdez

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Chandler Simpson

Chandler Simpson

LFTampa Bay Rays TB
Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez

RFPittsburgh Pirates PIT
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Simpson over Valdez

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Chandler Simpson

Chandler Simpson regains high-average form as first-place Rays remain hot

Simpson has found his rhythm at the plate again, batting .325 over his last 14 days with five stolen bases. He continues to slot in as the everyday left fielder for a first-place Tampa Bay squad that leads the AL East with a 50-33 record and a seven-game win streak. Despite previous injury scares involving his left leg and a mid-June slump, his place in the lineup is currently secure given his elite defensive highlights and spark-plug speed.

Under the hood, Simpson's .268 season average is starting to trend back toward our projection of .282 and his career mark of .297. While he provides nearly zero home run upside, he is a premier asset for managers hunting speed, as he is comfortably on pace to reach 45 stolen bases. His high-contact approach makes the recent batting average surge a sustainable baseline rather than an outlier, as he has limited his strikeouts to just 32 through 295 at-bats.

The Rays finish their series in Kansas City against Stephen Kolek and his 4.15 ERA before a three-game weekend set in Houston. Simpson faces a challenging matchup on Saturday against Hunter Brown and his elite 1.78 ERA, but he should have better luck against Spencer Arrighetti (4.00 ERA) and Peter Lambert (3.51 ERA). His ability to manufacture runs in a winning environment makes him a valuable source of steals and average in all formats. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Chandler Simpson
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Valdez over Simpson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez makes MLB history with record-breaking power surge

Valdez has been the hottest hitter in baseball, posting a staggering .478 batting average with four home runs and seven runs scored over the last seven days. His recent four-game home run streak etched his name into the history books as one of the few players to achieve such a feat within their first 16 career games. He has firmly established himself as the primary starter in right field for a 43-44 Pirates squad currently looking to climb out of fourth place in the NL Central. With key teammates like Oneil Cruz still sidelined, his emergence is vital for the Pittsburgh offense.

While his 1.643 OPS over the last week is obviously unsustainable, the raw power is undeniably legitimate, as evidenced by a recent 461-foot blast. Our models suggest his .302 career average might see some regression given his high strikeout rate—fanning 20 times in his first 53 at-bats—but his ability to drive the ball makes him a high-upside fantasy asset. Compared to his brief early-season stint, this version of Valdez looks much more comfortable at the plate, making his recent power surge feel like a true breakout rather than a mere flash in the pan.

The Pirates continue their road trip with a final game in Philadelphia today against Alan Rangel before heading to Washington for a three-game weekend set. Valdez draws some excellent matchups against a Nationals staff featuring Zack Littell (5.29 ERA) and Miles Mikolas (5.38 ERA), both of whom have struggled with limiting damage this year. While Foster Griffin presents a tougher challenge on Friday, Valdez’s elite form and history-making power potential against high-ERA starters make him a must-play in all formats for the remainder of the week. Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Esmerlyn Valdez
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Performance Chandler Simpson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.421002.4290.52615
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.364023.4000.455612
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Esmerlyn Valdez
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.542498.6071.20807
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.48541010.5411.030010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Chandler Simpson
OWN
59%
+0.56 compared to last week
START
52%
+9.96 compared to last week
OWN/START Esmerlyn Valdez
OWN
63%
+61.81 compared to last week
START
59%
+58.81 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Chandler Simpson
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Esmerlyn Valdez
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Chandler Simpson

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among LF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 40th.
  • The current leader among LF's is Pete Crow-Armstrong
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 276th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.276
  • Ranked 205th in batting average with 0.247
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 308th with 0.289
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 366th with 0.310
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 359th with 0.599
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 384th with 9
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 399th in RBI with 9
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 248th in runs scored with 20
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.029, OBP: -0.022, HRs: EVEN, RBI: +3, Runs: +15, Wlks: +10, Stls: -3,
Breakdown Esmerlyn Valdez

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 81st among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 109th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Pete Crow-Armstrong
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 25 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.400 and is currently ranked 22nd
  • Top 25 in batting average with 0.316 and is currently ranked 25th
  • Top 50 on base percentage and is currently ranked 44th with 0.381
  • Among the best in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 1st with 0.737
  • Among the best in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 3rd with 1.118
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 309th in RBI with 15
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 374th in runs scored with 12
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.316, OBP: +0.381, HRs: +6, RBI: +15, Runs: +12, Wlks: +6, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Chandler Simpson

No Injury Reported

Injury Esmerlyn Valdez

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Chandler Simpson
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26@STLRiley O'BrienL 9-7
Mar 28@STLRyne StanekL 6-5
Mar 29@STLSteven MatzW 7-11
Mar 30@MILGarrett CleavingerW 2-3
Mar 31@MILBrandon WoodruffL 6-2
Apr 01@MILAaron AshbyL 8-2
Apr 03@MINKody FunderburkL 10-4
Apr 04@MINSteven MatzW 1-7
Apr 05@MINBryan BakerW 1-4
Apr 06VS CHCKevin KellyW 6-4
Apr 07VS CHCJavier AssadL 2-9
Apr 08VS CHCColin ReaL 2-6
Apr 10VS NYYSteven MatzW 5-3
Apr 11VS NYYCole SulserW 5-4
Apr 12VS NYYDrew RasmussenW 5-4
Apr 14@CHWShane McClanahanW 5-8
Apr 15@CHWJesse ScholtensW 3-8
Apr 16@CHWKevin KellyW 3-5
Apr 17@PITBubba ChandlerL 5-1
Apr 18@PITGriffin JaxW 7-8
Apr 19@PITMitch KellerL 6-3
Apr 20VS CINRhett LowderL 1-6
Apr 21VS CINChase BurnsL 6-12
Apr 22VS CINNick MartinezW 6-1
Apr 24VS MINDrew RasmussenW 6-2
Apr 25VS MINShane McClanahanW 6-1
Apr 26VS MINJesse ScholtensW 4-2
Apr 27@CLESteven MatzW 2-3
Apr 28@CLENick MartinezW 0-1
Apr 29@CLEGavin WilliamsL 3-1
May 01VS SFShane McClanahanW 3-0
May 02VS SFJesse ScholtensW 5-1
May 03VS SFIan SeymourW 2-1
May 04VS TORNick MartinezW 5-1
May 05VS TORCasey LeguminaW 4-3
May 06VS TORShane McClanahanW 3-0
May 07@BOSHunter BiggeW 4-8
May 08@BOSConnelly EarlyL 2-0
May 09@BOS
May 10@BOSNick MartinezW 1-4
May 11@TORDrew RasmussenW 5-8
May 12@TORIan SeymourW 6-7
May 13@TORJeff HoffmanL 5-3
May 15VS MIAJesse ScholtensW 7-2
May 16VS MIAPete FairbanksL 5-10
May 17VS MIADrew RasmussenW 6-3
May 18VS BALShane McClanahanW 16-6
May 19VS BALKevin KellyW 4-1
May 20VS BALJesse ScholtensW 5-3
May 22@NYYIan SeymourW 2-4
May 23@NYY
May 24@NYYTim HillL 2-0
May 25@BALDietrich EnnsL 9-7
May 26@BALShane BazL 6-1
May 27@BALTrey GibsonL 11-2
May 29VS LAANick MartinezW 8-5
May 30VS LAAReid DetmersL 3-14
May 31VS LAAShane McClanahanW 5-2
Jun 01VS DETTyler HoltonL 9-10
Jun 02VS DETJack FlahertyL 0-8
Jun 03VS DETTroy MeltonL 2-7
Jun 05@MIADrew RasmussenW 0-6
Jun 06@MIAJohn KingL 4-3
Jun 07@MIASandy AlcantaraL 4-1
Jun 08VS BOSCasey LeguminaW 3-1
Jun 09VS BOSNick MartinezW 4-3
Jun 10VS BOSDrew RasmussenW 7-5
Jun 12@LAASam AldegheriL 4-3
Jun 13@LAAJose SorianoL 8-0
Jun 14@LAAKevin KellyW 3-8
Jun 15@LADKyle HurtL 4-3
Jun 16@LADJustin WrobleskiL 1-0
Jun 17@LADShohei OhtaniL 5-4
Jun 19VS WASGriffin JaxW 5-2
Jun 20VS WASMitchell ParkerL 3-4
Jun 21VS WASGarrett CleavingerW 4-3
Jun 22VS KCMichael WachaL 1-2
Jun 23VS KCLuinder AvilaL 5-12
Jun 24VS KCGriffin JaxW 5-3
Jun 25VS KCIan SeymourW 13-2
Jun 26VS ARINick MartinezW 6-1
Jun 27VS ARIMichael GroveW 4-2
Jun 28VS ARIDrew RasmussenW 5-1
Jun 30@KCGriffin JaxW 4-10
Jul 01@KCShane McClanahanW 0-4
Jul 02@KCIan SeymourW 2-5
Jul 03@HOUSpencer Arrighetti
Jul 04@HOUHunter Brown
Jul 05@HOUPeter Lambert
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.27401635.3110.3282081
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Esmerlyn Valdez
DateOpponentResult
Mar 26@NYMFreddy PeraltaL 11-7
Mar 28@NYMRichard LoveladyL 4-2
Mar 29@NYMDennis SantanaW 3-4
Mar 30@CINChase BurnsL 2-0
Mar 31@CINYohan RamirezW 3-8
Apr 01@CINPaul SkenesW 3-8
Apr 03VS BALMitch KellerW 5-4
Apr 04VS BALDennis SantanaW 3-2
Apr 05VS BALBraxton AshcraftW 8-2
Apr 06VS SDGerman MarquezL 0-5
Apr 07VS SDPaul SkenesW 7-1
Apr 08VS SDMichael KingL 2-8
Apr 10@CHCMason MontgomeryW 0-2
Apr 11@CHCYohan RamirezW 3-4
Apr 12@CHCDaniel PalenciaL 7-6
Apr 13VS WASPaul SkenesW 16-5
Apr 14VS WASMitchell ParkerL 4-5
Apr 15VS WASCarmen MlodzinskiW 2-0
Apr 16VS WASClayton BeeterL 7-8
Apr 17VS TBBubba ChandlerW 5-1
Apr 18VS TBGriffin JaxL 7-8
Apr 19VS TBMitch KellerW 6-3
Apr 21@TEXKumar RockerL 5-1
Apr 22@TEXGregory SotoW 4-8
Apr 23@TEXJacob deGromL 6-1
Apr 24@MILPaul SkenesW 0-6
Apr 25@MILGregory SotoW 3-6
Apr 26@MILKyle HarrisonL 5-0
Apr 27VS STLRyan FernandezL 2-4
Apr 28VS STLKyle LeahyL 7-11
Apr 29VS STLAndre PallanteL 4-5
Apr 30VS STLGordon GraceffoL 5-10
May 01VS CINMitch KellerW 9-1
May 02VS CINCarmen MlodzinskiW 17-7
May 03VS CINGregory SotoW 1-0
May 05@ARIEduardo RodriguezL 9-0
May 06@ARIPaul SkenesW 0-1
May 07@ARIMitch KellerW 2-4
May 08@SFRobbie RayL 5-2
May 09@SFBraxton AshcraftW 3-13
May 10@SFRyan BoruckiL 7-6
May 12VS COLPaul SkenesW 3-1
May 13VS COLAntonio SenzatelaL 4-10
May 14VS COLCarmen MlodzinskiW 7-2
May 15VS PHIJose AlvaradoL 9-11
May 16VS PHICristopher SanchezL 0-6
May 17VS PHIZack WheelerL 0-6
May 19@STLGeorge SorianoL 9-6
May 20@STLCarmen MlodzinskiW 0-7
May 21@STLBraxton AshcraftW 2-6
May 22@TORKevin GausmanL 6-2
May 23@TORPatrick CorbinL 5-2
May 24@TORMitch KellerW 1-4
May 25VS CHCWilber DotelW 2-1
May 26VS CHCBraxton AshcraftW 12-1
May 27VS CHCJacob WebbL 4-10
May 28VS CHCColin ReaL 2-7
May 29VS MINGregory SotoW 6-5
May 30VS MINYohan RamirezW 10-9
May 31VS MINBraxton AshcraftW 9-3
Jun 02@HOUBubba ChandlerW 6-10
Jun 03@HOUAJ BlubaughL 11-9
Jun 04@HOUJared JonesW 1-5
Jun 05@ATLMartin PerezL 6-3
Jun 06@ATLSpencer StriderL 6-3
Jun 07@ATLReynaldo LopezL 3-2
Jun 09VS LADWill KleinL 3-12
Jun 10VS LADEvan SiskW 9-8
Jun 11VS LADJack DreyerL 6-8
Jun 12VS MIASandy AlcantaraL 3-8
Jun 13VS MIAYohan RamirezW 3-2
Jun 14VS MIAMax MeyerL 2-4
Jun 15@ATHJ.T. GinnL 11-2
Jun 16@ATHMason MontgomeryW 5-6
Jun 17@ATHBraxton AshcraftW 4-12
Jun 19@COLAntonio SenzatelaL 4-3
Jun 20@COLTomoyuki SuganoL 2-1
Jun 21@COLYohan RamirezW 6-8
Jun 23VS SEAGeorge KirbyL 2-3
Jun 24VS SEABraxton AshcraftW 11-1
Jun 25VS SEABubba ChandlerW 5-1
Jun 26VS CINBrock BurkeL 4-6
Jun 27VS CINCaleb FergusonL 7-9
Jun 28VS CINMitch KellerW 9-4
Jun 29@PHIBraxton AshcraftW 7-11
Jun 30@PHICristopher SanchezL 8-0
Jul 01@PHIOrion KerkeringL 10-6
Jul 02@PHICarmen MlodzinskiW 1-6
Jul 03@WASFoster Griffin
Jul 04@WASZack Littell
Jul 05@WASMiles Mikolas
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.31661512.3810.737019
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Chandler Simpson
9.48
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Esmerlyn Valdez
15.64
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Chandler Simpson
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 TB 106 123 0 53 26 41 20 .297 .326 .348 388
2026 TB 77 82 0 34 16 20 17 .274 .308 .328 250
ON PACE 148 158 0 65 30 38 32 .274 .308 .328 482
3-YEAR AVG 106 123 0 53 26 41 20 .297 .326 .348 388
Career 183 205 0 87 42 61 37 .288 .319 .339
Career Esmerlyn Valdez
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 PIT 19 18 6 12 15 0 6 .316 .381 .737 73
ON PACE 34 33 11 22 27 0 11 .316 .381 .737 134
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 19 18 6 12 15 0 6 .316 .381 .737
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIL 09:45 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Kyle Harrison
ATH vs MIA 09:40 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Tyler Phillips
ATL vs NYM 07:15 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Christian Scott
BAL @CIN 07:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
BOS @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Reid Detmers
CHC vs STL 04:05 EDT EST David Peterson
Andre Pallante
CHW @CLE 07:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
COL vs SF 08:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Logan Webb
HOU vs TB 08:15 EDT EST Spencer Arrighetti
Nick Martinez
LAD vs SD 10:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Michael King
MIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
PIT @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
SEA vs TOR 10:10 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Dylan Cease
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled