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Esmerlyn Valdez or Ezequiel Tovar

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez

RFPittsburgh Pirates PIT
Ezequiel Tovar

Ezequiel Tovar

SSColorado Rockies COL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Valdez over Tovar

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Latest News Esmerlyn Valdez
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Tovar over Valdez

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ezequiel Tovar

Tovar Looking to Snap Out of June Slump in Minnesota

The Rockies' everyday shortstop has hit a wall lately, batting just .176 over his last seven days and a meager .190 over the past month. While he remains a fixture in the lineup for the fifth-place Rockies, who sit at 32-49 in the standings, his 30 strikeouts over his last 21 games are a major concern for fantasy managers. With teammates like Brenton Doyle currently sidelined, the offensive burden on the young infielder has increased, but he has yet to rise to the challenge.

Looking under the hood, Tovar’s current .208 season average is a significant underperformance compared to our projection of .262 and his .269 mark from 2024. While his power has flashed with four home runs in the last 30 days, the high-whiff rate suggests this cold streak is more than just bad luck. We expect his numbers to eventually migrate toward his career averages, but until he cuts down on the strikeouts, he remains a volatile asset who is difficult to trust in standard leagues.

As the week concludes, Colorado travels to Minnesota for three games against a Twins rotation featuring Taj Bradley (4.11 ERA), Mike Paredes (4.05 ERA), and Connor Prielipp (5.17 ERA). While these matchups against mid-tier and high-ERA arms are objectively favorable, Tovar’s recent form is too poor to exploit the opportunity. Unless you are desperate for a potential home run from the shortstop position, it is best to leave him on the bench until he shows signs of life. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Ezequiel Tovar
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Performance Esmerlyn Valdez
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.455233.4551.09104
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.316234.3160.73707
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Ezequiel Tovar
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.188113.2350.43815
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.211126.2500.342111
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Esmerlyn Valdez
OWN
 
1%
-0.35 compared to last week
START
 
0%
-1.09 compared to last week
OWN/START Ezequiel Tovar
OWN
17%
-2.67 compared to last week
START
 
6%
-4.28 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Esmerlyn Valdez
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Ezequiel Tovar
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Esmerlyn Valdez

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 148th.
  • The current leader among RF's is Juan Soto
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off. Either he isn't an every day player or he is coming back from an injury of some sort. I suggest checking out his news page to get a closer look.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 359th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.250
  • Ranked 347th in batting average with 0.211
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 414th with 0.250
  • Top 10 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 10th with 0.579
  • Top 100 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 85th with 0.829
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 410th in RBI with 8
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 473rd in runs scored with 6
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.211, OBP: +0.25, HRs: +4, RBI: +8, Runs: +6, Wlks: +2, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Ezequiel Tovar

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 35th among SS's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 25th.
  • The current leader among SS's is Bobby Witt Jr.
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 264th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.279
  • Ranked 314th in batting average with 0.218
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 348th with 0.275
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 300th with 0.352
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 321st with 0.627
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 451st with 3
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 248th in RBI with 19
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 274th in runs scored with 18
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.047, OBP: -0.037, HRs: +3, RBI: +15, Runs: +12, Wlks: +9, Stls: +3,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Esmerlyn Valdez

No Injury Reported

Injury Ezequiel Tovar

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Esmerlyn Valdez
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23VS SEAGeorge KirbyL 2-3
Jun 24VS SEABraxton AshcraftW 11-1
Jun 25VS SEABubba ChandlerW 5-1
Jun 26VS CINBrock BurkeL 4-6
Jun 27VS CINCaleb FergusonL 7-9
Jun 28VS CINBrady Singer
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.455233.4551.09104
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Ezequiel Tovar
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS BOSVictor VodnikW 3-2
Jun 23VS BOSSonny GrayL 2-5
Jun 24VS BOSAntonio SenzatelaW 8-6
Jun 26@MINAndrew MorrisL 9-8
Jun 27@MINMichael LorenzenW 5-8
Jun 28@MINConnor Prielipp
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.188113.2350.43815
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Esmerlyn Valdez
2.48
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Ezequiel Tovar
7.64
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Esmerlyn Valdez
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 PIT 14 8 4 6 8 0 2 .211 .250 .579 34
ON PACE 27 15 7 11 15 0 3 .211 .250 .579 66
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 14 8 4 6 8 0 2 .211 .250 .579
Career Ezequiel Tovar
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 COL 7 4 0 0 1 0 2 .154 .214 .192 7
2023 COL 152 147 15 79 73 11 25 .253 .286 .408 422
2024 COL 157 176 26 83 78 6 23 .269 .293 .469 460
2025 COL 95 91 9 44 33 5 21 .253 .291 .400 249
2026 COL 75 57 6 25 25 5 16 .211 .260 .333 159
ON PACE 146 111 11 48 48 9 31 .211 .260 .333 310
3-YEAR AVG 135 138 17 69 61 7 23 .259 .290 .431 377
Career 486 475 56 231 210 27 87 .251 .285 .414
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled