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7:20PM • PREVIEW NBC

Davis Martin or Sonny Gray

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Davis Martin

Davis Martin

SPChicago White Sox CHW
Sonny Gray

Sonny Gray

SPBoston Red Sox BOS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Martin over Gray

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Davis Martin

Davis Martin seeks to reclaim his early-season dominance following a difficult two-week stretch.

The White Sox currently hold a 41-38 record and sit in second place in the AL Central. Martin has solidified himself as a mid-rotation staple, slotting in as the number two starter, though his form has dipped recently with a 9.89 ERA and a 2.09 WHIP over his last two starts. His role remains secure despite these struggles, especially with several rotation depth options currently on the injured list.

While his last 14 days have been difficult, our data suggests his season-long performance is more indicative of his true talent level. Through 15 starts in 2026, he maintains a 3.25 ERA with an impressive 9.13 K/9 and a 3.78 K/BB ratio. The recent spike in walks and hits allowed appears to be an outlier compared to his established success this year, suggesting regression toward his previous stability is imminent.

Martin is lined up for a single start this week, facing the Royals at home on Saturday. He draws a matchup against Michael Wacha, who carries a solid 3.48 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, meaning Martin will need to recapture his command early to keep the game within reach. Despite the recent hiccup, his overall dominance this season and high strikeout floor make him a strong fantasy option. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Davis Martin
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Gray over Martin

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Sonny Gray

Sonny Gray dominates as the Red Sox staff anchor heading into a high-stakes divisional clash

Gray has been spectacular lately, posting a 2.25 ERA and 22 strikeouts over his last three starts. Despite the fifth-place Red Sox sitting at 33-46 in the standings, Gray has solidified his role as a rotation pillar and the club's most reliable winning option. He is fully healthy and pitching as the number two starter for a team that has won 8 of his last 10 starts.

His current 2.98 ERA through 14 starts significantly outperforms our projection of 3.75, supported by a career-high strikeout rate. While he may see slight regression toward his career averages, his 1.18 WHIP and command indicate that this elite production is largely legitimate, especially now that he has moved past the hamstring concerns that hampered him in April.

This is a two-start week for the veteran, who already dominated the Rockies on Tuesday and now prepares for a June 28 home matchup against the first-place Yankees. He will face Carlos Rodon, who carries a solid 3.70 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Given Gray's current momentum and the fact that Boston thrives behind him, he remains a locked-in fantasy option. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Sonny Gray
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Performance Davis Martin
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.810-000741.172
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.340-1001171.693
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Sonny Gray
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.291-0001131.291
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.571-0001541.142
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Davis Martin
OWN
96%
+0.28 compared to last week
START
79%
+4.33 compared to last week
OWN/START Sonny Gray
OWN
99%
+0.35 compared to last week
START
76%
+14.2 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Davis Martin
53rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Sonny Gray
44th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Davis Martin

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 53rd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 17th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • You have to be impressed by how much better he is performing. Can he keep this up or is it a fluke?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 86th
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 59th with 3.61
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 68th with 17
  • Top 50 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 49th with 64
  • Top 15 in wins and is currently ranked 11th with 6
  • Top 75 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 58th with 61.2
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +7, L: -4, WHIP: -0.065, ERA: -0.849, K's: +37, Walks: +5
Breakdown Sonny Gray

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 45th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 15th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would. Can he keep this up?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 44th with 1.15
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 20th with 2.37
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 89th with 15
  • He is among the best in wins and is currently ranked 5th with 7
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: -1, WHIP: +0.097, ERA: -0.445, K's: -35, Walks: +3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Davis Martin

No Injury Reported

Injury Sonny Gray

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Davis Martin
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS CLEChris MurphyW 6-5
Jun 23VS CLESean BurkeW 2-1
Jun 24VS CLEShawn ArmstrongL 3-4
Jun 26VS KCDavid SandlinW 22-1
Jun 27VS KCGrant TaylorW 2-1
Jun 28VS KCLuinder Avila
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.490-100610.992
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Sonny Gray
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@COLVictor VodnikL 3-2
Jun 23@COLSonny GrayW 2-5
Jun 24@COLAntonio SenzatelaL 8-6
Jun 25VS NYYConnelly EarlyW 6-3
Jun 26VS NYYPayton TolleW 6-1
Jun 27VS NYYJake BennettW 4-1
Jun 28VS NYYCarlos Rodon
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.752-0001451.452
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Davis Martin
12.53
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Sonny Gray
14.82
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Davis Martin
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 CHW 12 57.0 906 42 16 0 3-5 3.95 1.21 6.6 87
2024 CHW 11 50.0 892 47 23 0 0-5 4.32 1.46 8.5 67
2025 CHW 26 140.1 2309 104 48 0 7-10 4.17 1.31 6.7 244
2026 CHW 16 93.0 1450 90 24 0 9-3 3 1.18 8.7 250
ON PACE 32 186 2900 180 48 0 18-6 3 1.18 8.7 500
3-YEAR AVG 12 63 1067 50 24 0 2-5 4.2 1.34 7 104
Career 65 335.2 5557 283 111 0 0-0 3.89 1.3 7.6
Career Sonny Gray
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2013 OAK 12 64.0 995 67 20 0 5-3 2.67 1.11 9.4 190
2014 OAK 33 216.2 3295 183 74 0 14-10 3.12 1.21 7.6 556
2015 OAK 31 208.0 3078 169 59 0 14-7 2.73 1.08 7.3 546
2016 OAK 22 117.0 1947 94 42 0 5-11 5.69 1.5 7.2 216
2017 OAK 27 160.0 2663 153 57 0 10-12 3.6 1.23 8.6 407
2018 NYY 30 128.0 2249 123 57 0 11-9 4.99 1.52 8.7 283
2019 CIN 31 173.0 2909 205 68 0 11-8 2.86 1.1 10.7 489
2020 CIN 11 56.0 968 72 26 0 5-3 3.7 1.21 11.6 153
2021 CIN 25 131.2 2162 147 50 0 7-9 4.17 1.23 10.1 283
2022 MIN 24 121.2 1872 117 36 0 8-5 3.11 1.11 8.7 289
2023 MIN 34 193.0 2987 195 58 0 8-9 2.8 1.17 9.1 454
2024 STL 28 164.0 2483 203 39 0 13-9 3.9 1.1 11.1 433
2025 STL 32 180.2 2719 201 38 0 14-8 4.28 1.23 10 442
2026 BOS 14 76.1 1134 66 20 0 9-1 2.95 1.19 7.8 215
ON PACE 28 153 2268 132 40 0 18-2 2.95 1.19 7.8 430
3-YEAR AVG 31 178 2730 200 45 0 12-9 3.6 1.17 10 443
Career 354 1973.2 31461 1995 644 0 0-0 3.6 1.22 9.1
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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