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Griffin Jax or Walker Buehler

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Griffin Jax

Griffin Jax

SPTampa Bay Rays TB
Walker Buehler

Walker Buehler

SPSan Diego Padres SD
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jax over Buehler

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Griffin Jax

Griffin Jax thrives in rotation role with elite strikeout production

Jax is excelling for the second-place Rays (45-33), who enter today on a two-game winning streak. Over his last 14 days, he has maintained a dominant 1.20 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while striking out 17 batters across 15 innings of work. He is currently entrenched as the number four starter in the rotation, a role that remains secure with teammates Steven Matz and Ryan Pepiot currently sidelined on the injured list.

Our data projects a 3.36 ERA and 1.10 WHIP for Jax, figures he has actually outperformed during his recent hot stretch. While his season-long 1.37 WHIP indicates some earlier volatility, his high strikeout upside suggests his recent surge is sustainable. As he continues to transition from a hybrid role to a permanent rotation fixture, expect his ratios to stabilize closer to our projected marks as his command remains sharp.

Jax already provided fantasy value this week with a strong five-inning performance against Kansas City on June 24th, where he allowed zero earned runs and struck out seven. With the Rays hosting Arizona this weekend, Jax is not scheduled for a second start this scoring period but remains a priority hold in all formats. He should be kept in lineups for his next turn against the Diamondbacks' rotation. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Griffin Jax
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Buehler over Jax

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Walker Buehler

Walker Buehler Stabilizing Rotation as Padres Navigate Injury Crisis

Walker Buehler has been on a tear recently, posting a stellar 1.78 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over his last two outings. The second-place Padres are currently on a three-game winning streak, but the club is navigating a massive injury crisis with starters Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, and Lucas Giolito all unavailable. Currently serving as a back-end starter in the rotation, Buehler has stepped up effectively to provide much-needed innings for a team fighting for a postseason spot.

Despite his recent success, there are signs that regression may be coming as our models project a season-long ERA near 5.06 and a 1.50 WHIP. While his current 2026 ERA of 4.11 is a significant improvement over his 2025 campaign, his career numbers suggest he remains a ratio risk. The recent spike in strikeouts—nearly 10.7 per nine innings over the last two weeks—is encouraging, but his high season-long WHIP indicates he still deals with too much traffic on the bases.

Buehler has one remaining start this week against the division-leading Dodgers today. He is slated to face Roki Sasaki, who enters the contest with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP, making this a potentially favorable matchup for the Padres' righty. Given Buehler's high-strikeout upside and his sharp recent form, he remains a competitive play for fantasy managers. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Walker Buehler
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Performance Griffin Jax
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000721.401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.802-0001221.102
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Walker Buehler
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.761-000531.181
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.782-0001741.183
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Griffin Jax
OWN
52%
+8.39 compared to last week
START
34%
+4.5 compared to last week
OWN/START Walker Buehler
OWN
40%
No change since last week.
START
20%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Griffin Jax
62nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Walker Buehler
123rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Griffin Jax

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 62nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 97th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 61st with 1.21
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 19th with 2.35
  • Currently ranked 168th in wins with 2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 4.3 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +2, WHIP: +0.064, ERA: -0.933, K's: -7, Walks: +12
Breakdown Walker Buehler

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 124th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 44th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Super human effort in the past 30 days. If he can keep it up, then keep him. . otherwise think trade.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 68th with 1.24
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 41st with 3.23
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 67th with 17
  • Top 50 in wins and is currently ranked 38th with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: -2, WHIP: -0.247, ERA: -2.479, K's: +14, Walks: -3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Griffin Jax

No Injury Reported

Injury Walker Buehler

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Griffin Jax
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS KCMichael WachaL 1-2
Jun 23VS KCLuinder AvilaL 5-12
Jun 24VS KCGriffin JaxW 5-3
Jun 25VS KCIan SeymourW 13-2
Jun 26VS ARINick MartinezW 6-1
Jun 27VS ARIMichael GroveW 4-2
Jun 28VS ARIMerrill Kelly
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000721.401
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Walker Buehler
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS ATLMichael KingW 1-0
Jun 23VS ATLMason MillerW 7-6
Jun 24VS ATLJP SearsW 5-2
Jun 26VS LADWalker BuehlerW 7-1
Jun 27VS LADYoshinobu YamamotoL 3-15
Jun 28VS LADEmmet Sheehan
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.761-000531.181
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Griffin Jax
9.59
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Walker Buehler
10.78
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Griffin Jax
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2021 MIN 18 82.0 1394 65 29 0 4-5 6.37 1.35 7.1 117
2022 MIN 61 71.0 1105 76 18 1 7-4 3.3 1.01 9.6 173
2023 MIN 75 64.1 1097 73 19 4 6-10 3.78 1.2 10.2 145
2024 MIN 72 68.2 1068 95 15 10 5-5 2.1 0.9 12.5 240
2025 MIN 73 63.2 1093 99 21 0 1-6 4.38 1.34 14 132
2026 TB 22 51.2 842 53 20 0 3-5 3.31 1.35 9.2 97
ON PACE 44 104 1705 107 40 0 6-10 3.31 1.35 9.2 196
3-YEAR AVG 73 64 1086 89 18 5 4-7 3.52 1.16 12.5 173
Career 321 396.2 6599 461 122 0 0-0 4.02 1.2 10.5
Career Walker Buehler
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2017 LAD 8 9.1 192 12 8 0 1-0 7.71 2.04 11.6 17
2018 LAD 24 137.1 2173 151 37 0 8-5 2.62 0.96 9.9 391
2019 LAD 32 195.0 3055 230 43 0 15-4 3.09 1.03 10.6 568
2020 LAD 13 61.2 1050 81 23 0 3-0 2.77 1.05 11.8 174
2021 LAD 36 220.0 3380 225 59 0 16-5 2.7 1.02 9.2 623
2022 LAD 12 65.0 1046 58 17 0 5-3 4.02 1.29 8 141
2024 LAD 20 90.1 1595 77 33 1 2-7 4.88 1.48 7.7 131
2025 BOS 26 123.2 2189 92 61 0 10-7 5.02 1.54 6.7 216
2026 SD 16 75.2 1297 70 26 0 5-3 3.93 1.35 8.3 161
ON PACE 32 151 2594 140 52 0 10-6 3.93 1.35 8.3 322
3-YEAR AVG 15 71 1261 56 31 0 4-5 4.88 1.5 7 115
Career 187 971.0 15977 996 307 0 0-0 3.52 1.19 9.2
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled