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Caleb Durbin or Ezequiel Duran

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Caleb Durbin

Caleb Durbin

3BBoston Red Sox BOS
Ezequiel Duran

Ezequiel Duran

2BTexas Rangers TEX
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Durbin over Duran

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Durbin

Caleb Durbin Ignites Red Sox Lineup with Elite June Surge

Durbin has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball lately, slashing .500 with two homers and two steals over his last seven games. Despite the fifth-place Red Sox (33-46) struggling in the AL East, the 26-year-old has solidified his role as the everyday third baseman with Nick Sogard and Isiah Kiner-Falefa currently sidelined on the injured list. His recent power display, including a loud blast over the Green Monster against the Yankees, confirms he has completely moved past his early-season slump.

Under the hood, this surge is a massive departure from his early-season struggles, as his .329 average over the last 30 days has rapidly improved his season numbers toward our projected .251 baseline. While a .500 weekly average is unsustainable, his underlying combination of modest pop and speed—reminiscent of his 21 steals in 2025—makes him a high-floor asset when his contact skills are this sharp. Our data suggests he is finally settling into the primary offensive role Boston envisioned when they acquired him.

The Red Sox finish the week with three home games against the first-place Yankees at Fenway Park. While facing Will Warren (3.43 ERA), Gerrit Cole (3.62 ERA), and Carlos Rodon (3.70 ERA) presents a challenging stretch of pitching, Durbin’s current momentum and our projection of nearly 30 fantasy points for the week make him impossible to bench. Given the high-leverage opportunities in the Boston lineup and his elite .538 on-base percentage over the last week, he is a priority lineup fixture. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Caleb Durbin
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Duran over Durbin

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ezequiel Duran

Ezequiel Duran mired in deep June slump despite maintaining everyday role

The second-place Rangers have kept Duran in the lineup as the primary starter at second base, though his production has cratered recently. Over his last 14 days, he is batting just .111 with 13 strikeouts, though he did provide a spark with a two-run home run on June 22. Despite the cold bat, he remains the top option at the position with teammates like Cody Freeman currently sidelined on the injured list.

Under the hood, Duran's recent struggles represent a harsh regression toward our projected .241 season average after a torrid start to the year. While his 41 RBI on the season prove he can be a run producer, his .454 OPS over the last seven days suggests he is pressing at the plate. Given his career trajectory and high strikeout frequency, this slump appears to be a correction rather than a simple fluke.

Texas finishes the week with three games against Toronto, offering a mix of matchups for fantasy managers to weigh. He will face Patrick Corbin and Shane Bieber, who both carry ERAs near or above 4.90, but must also contend with the dominant Dylan Cease and his 2.75 ERA. Because Duran is struggling to find any consistent contact right now, he is difficult to trust even against favorable pitchers. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Ezequiel Duran
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Performance Caleb Durbin
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.417134.4620.66707
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.381369.4220.690212
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Ezequiel Duran
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.200132.2310.32017
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.167264.2550.310112
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Caleb Durbin
OWN
42%
+23.89 compared to last week
START
37%
+23.82 compared to last week
OWN/START Ezequiel Duran
OWN
53%
-1.58 compared to last week
START
35%
-14.22 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Caleb Durbin
33rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Ezequiel Duran
45th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Caleb Durbin

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 33rd among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 15th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Junior Caminero
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 261st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.279
  • Ranked 142nd in batting average with 0.264
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 297th with 0.293
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 122nd with 0.453
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 176th with 0.746
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 281st with 4
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 220th in RBI with 21
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 280th in runs scored with 17
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.022, OBP: -0.044, HRs: +2, RBI: +3, Runs: -1, Wlks: +2, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Ezequiel Duran

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: SS 2B 3B LF RF . However, he plays SS most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 45th among 2B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 12th.
  • The current leader among 2B's is Ketel Marte
  • He is doing a lot better than most people thought he would. Can he keep this up or is it a fluke?
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 100 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.348 and is currently ranked 81st
  • Ranked 115th in batting average with 0.272
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 167th with 0.330
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 163rd with 0.429
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 147th with 0.759
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 266th with 3
  • Top 100 in RBI and is currently ranked 79th with 34
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 180th in runs scored with 26
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.133, OBP: +0.118, HRs: +6, RBI: +40, Runs: +29, Wlks: +18, Stls: +5,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Caleb Durbin

No Injury Reported

Injury Ezequiel Duran

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Caleb Durbin
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@COLVictor VodnikL 3-2
Jun 23@COLSonny GrayW 2-5
Jun 24@COLAntonio SenzatelaL 8-6
Jun 25VS NYYConnelly EarlyW 6-3
Jun 26VS NYYPayton TolleW 6-1
Jun 27VS NYYJake BennettW 4-1
Jun 28VS NYYCarlos Rodon
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.237134.2750.368011
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Ezequiel Duran
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@MIARobby AhlstromW 3-4
Jun 23@MIASandy AlcantaraL 6-4
Jun 24@MIAJohn KingL 4-2
Jun 25@TORMacKenzie GoreW 5-6
Jun 26@TORNathan EovaldiW 4-5
Jun 27@TORPeyton GrayW 4-7
Jun 28@TORShane Bieber
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.238132.2730.38116
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Caleb Durbin
8.45
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Ezequiel Duran
9.63
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Caleb Durbin
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 MIL 138 122 11 62 54 21 28 .257 .329 .388 450
2026 BOS 72 55 6 29 32 7 15 .229 .284 .383 216
ON PACE 144 110 12 58 64 14 30 .229 .284 .383 432
3-YEAR AVG 69 61 6 31 27 11 14 .257 .329 .388 225
Career 210 177 17 91 86 28 43 .248 .314 .387
Career Ezequiel Duran
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 TEX 54 46 5 24 25 4 11 .238 .279 .378 145
2023 TEX 121 112 14 55 46 8 22 .276 .322 .443 320
2024 TEX 86 63 3 24 20 1 14 .238 .280 .309 165
2025 TEX 73 46 0 15 14 5 7 .224 .255 .293 127
2026 TEX 72 67 6 33 42 6 21 .271 .330 .421 220
ON PACE 140 130 11 64 81 11 40 .271 .330 .421 429
3-YEAR AVG 93 74 6 31 27 5 14 .252 .294 .368 204
Career 406 334 28 151 147 24 75 .254 .299 .379
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
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