Outlook Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers Rediscovers Ace Form with Dominant June Stretch
Rogers has been sensational lately, highlighted by a seven-inning one-hit masterpiece against the Dodgers. Over his last 14 days, he has delivered a 1.38 ERA and 0.77 WHIP, striking out 10 in 13 innings. The fourth-place Orioles (38-44) needed this stability given the long-term injuries to Chris Bassitt and Zach Eflin. Following an early-season illness, he has reclaimed his spot as the staff anchor in the rotation.
While his 5.51 ERA remains inflated by a poor May, his 3.06 ERA over the last 30 days is a far more accurate reflection of his potential. Our data suggests the pitch-tipping concerns noted earlier this season are resolved. When comparing this stretch to his elite 2025 campaign, it is clear he is returning to his baseline as a high-end starter rather than the ratio risk he appeared to be in April.
The southpaw has one remaining start this week at home against the Nationals. He faces Andrew Alvarez, who has been efficient with a 3.34 ERA, but our models favor Rogers given his current momentum and improved strikeout ability. With our projection calling for over seven innings of work and a WHIP under 0.80 for the outing, he should be in all active lineups. Verdict: Start.
Updated 1 day ago
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Outlook Cade Cavalli
Cavalli flashes elite velocity in return from illness but lacks further weekly utility
The fourth-place Nationals (41-41) are currently navigating a three-game losing streak, but they saw an encouraging return to form from Cade Cavalli on June 25. After being scratched from a start earlier this month due to illness, Cavalli looked like a staff anchor again, tossing six innings with seven strikeouts against Philadelphia. While he continues to slot in as the number one starter in the rotation, his 5.04 ERA over the last 30 days highlights a recent period of volatility.
Under the hood, Cavalli's season WHIP of 1.47 is significantly higher than our 1.34 projection, indicating he has been far too prone to allowing baserunners via the walk and hit. However, his strikeout numbers suggest the elite upside is still present, as he has averaged nearly 10 strikeouts per nine innings across 81 frames this season. Given his high-90s velocity and sharp breaking stuff seen in his latest outing, his recent ratio inflation appears more like a mid-season speed bump than a permanent decline.
Cavalli already took his turn this week during his June 25 start against the Phillies, meaning he will not be active for the upcoming weekend series against the Baltimore Orioles. Since he is not a two-start pitcher for this scoring period and has already completed his scheduled workload, fantasy managers should move him to the bench for the remaining games this week. He remains a high-priority hold for his next projected start early next week. Verdict: Sit.
Updated 1 day ago
