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Shane Bieber or Ryan Weathers

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber

SPToronto Blue Jays TOR
Ryan Weathers

Ryan Weathers

SPNew York Yankees NYY
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bieber over Weathers

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber looks to shake off rust in upcoming start for the sliding Blue Jays

After rejoining the rotation on June 23, Bieber struggled in his first start back, yielding nine hits and four runs in only 3.2 innings of work. The third-place Blue Jays, currently on a three-game losing streak, have elevated him to the role of staff anchor with Max Scherzer sidelined on the injured list. Despite the poor results in his debut, his command was present as he did not issue a single walk during the outing.

While his recent 11.25 ERA is inflated by a single performance, our models suggest a return to his established baseline where he consistently produces a sub-1.20 WHIP. His season projection of a 3.47 ERA aligns more closely with his career norms than his recent blow-up, indicating that the elevated hit rate is likely a temporary byproduct of his injury layoff. Expect his strikeout rate to climb back toward his projected 190-K pace as his arm strength returns.

Bieber is scheduled for a second start this week on June 28 against Texas, facing right-hander Cal Quantrill. Quantrill has been solid with a 3.73 ERA and 1.28 WHIP, but Bieber remains the superior fantasy option due to his elite ceiling and rotation security. Given the lack of walks in his previous start and the need for innings in the Toronto rotation, he should be treated as a reliable fantasy asset. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Shane Bieber
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Weathers over Bieber

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ryan Weathers

Weathers stabilizes rotation spot for first-place Yankees

Weathers has stabilized his form recently, most recently tossing six innings of one-run ball with six strikeouts on June 24. He currently occupies the fifth spot in the rotation for the first-place Yankees, who hold a 48-32 record and look to bounce back from a recent loss. Despite some inconsistency earlier in June, his last two outings combined for just two earned runs allowed over 12.1 strong innings.

Looking at the broader season, Weathers is outperforming our projection in several key categories, particularly his 1.18 WHIP and a career-high 10.17 K/9 rate. While our models expected a 4.10 ERA, his current 4.07 mark is supported by significantly improved command, evidenced by a 3.96 K/BB ratio. This increased efficiency suggests his growth into a reliable fantasy asset is sustainable rather than a fluke.

Because Weathers already took the mound this past Wednesday, he is not scheduled for another start before this scoring period concludes on June 28. The Yankees finish the week with a series in Boston against the Red Sox, but fantasy managers will need to look elsewhere for active innings as his turn has already passed. He remains a valuable hold for his next scheduled appearance. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Ryan Weathers
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Performance Shane Bieber
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
11.250-000202.811
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
11.250-000202.811
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Ryan Weathers
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-000621.331
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.491-0001430.992
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Shane Bieber
OWN
62%
+2.2 compared to last week
START
27%
+22.6 compared to last week
OWN/START Ryan Weathers
OWN
67%
+5.8 compared to last week
START
36%
+4.74 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Shane Bieber
90th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Ryan Weathers
57th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Shane Bieber

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 91st among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 566th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: EVEN, WHIP: +2.81, ERA: +11.25, K's: +2, Walks: EVEN
Breakdown Ryan Weathers

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 58th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 65th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 40th with 1.12
  • Top 100 in ERA and is currently ranked 99th
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 74th with 16
  • Top 75 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 64th with 55
  • Currently ranked 186th in wins with 2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3.7 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +4, WHIP: +0.106, ERA: +0.723, K's: +72, Walks: +16
Next Up Health Check
Injury Shane Bieber

No Injury Reported

Injury Ryan Weathers

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Shane Bieber
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS HOUBraydon FisherW 4-2
Jun 23VS HOULogan VanWeyL 7-9
Jun 24VS HOUSteven OkertL 1-3
Jun 25VS TEXMacKenzie GoreL 5-6
Jun 26VS TEXNathan EovaldiL 4-5
Jun 27VS TEXPeyton GrayL 4-7
Jun 28VS TEXKumar Rocker
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
11.250-000202.811
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Ryan Weathers
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@DETFramber ValdezL 5-3
Jun 23@DETCarlos RodonW 3-4
Jun 24@DETRyan WeathersW 2-4
Jun 25@BOSConnelly EarlyL 6-3
Jun 26@BOSPayton TolleL 6-1
Jun 27@BOSJake BennettL 4-1
Jun 28@BOSSonny Gray
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.501-1001031.332
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Shane Bieber
9.50
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Ryan Weathers
10.67
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Shane Bieber
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2018 CLE 20 110.0 1805 118 23 0 11-5 4.66 1.38 9.7 285
2019 CLE 34 212.0 3332 259 40 0 15-8 3.31 1.06 11 624
2020 CLE 13 82.0 1343 129 23 0 8-2 2.3 0.95 14.2 289
2021 CLE 16 98.1 1559 134 33 0 7-4 3.11 1.19 12.3 283
2022 CLE 32 206.0 2982 207 39 0 13-8 2.93 1.05 9 542
2023 CLE 21 125.2 1954 107 34 0 6-6 3.87 1.26 7.7 271
2024 CLE 2 12.0 166 20 1 0 2-0 0 0.92 15 55
2025 TOR 12 59.0 955 55 13 0 6-3 3.66 1.15 8.4 142
2026 TOR 1 3.2 75 2 0 0 0-0 9.82 2.45 4.9 1
ON PACE 1 7 146 3 0 0 0-0 9.82 2.45 4.9 1
3-YEAR AVG 12 65 1025 61 16 0 5-3 3.53 1.19 8.3 156
Career 151 901.2 14171 1031 206 0 0-0 3.38 1.15 10.3
Career Ryan Weathers
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2020 1 1.1 30 1 2 0 0-0 0 1.5 6.8 3
2021 SD 29 95.1 1607 71 30 1 4-7 5.29 1.37 6.7 127
2022 SD 1 5.1 89 3 4 0 0-0 6.75 1.88 5.1 1
2023 SD 15 55.1 1073 43 29 0 1-8 6.67 1.75 7 40
2024 MIA 16 86.2 1413 80 24 0 5-6 3.63 1.18 8.3 183
2025 MIA 8 38.1 642 37 12 0 2-2 3.99 1.28 8.7 72
2026 NYY 15 84.1 1384 95 24 0 3-5 4.06 1.17 10.1 189
ON PACE 29 167 2734 187 47 0 5-9 4.06 1.17 10.1 373
3-YEAR AVG 13 59 1043 53 22 0 3-5 4.65 1.38 8 98
Career 85 362.0 6238 330 125 0 0-0 4.75 1.35 8.2
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled