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Jake McCarthy or Caleb Durbin

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Jake McCarthy

Jake McCarthy

CFColorado Rockies COL
Caleb Durbin

Caleb Durbin

3BBoston Red Sox BOS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McCarthy over Durbin

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jake McCarthy

McCarthy rides 13-game hitting streak into high-volume starting role

McCarthy is currently the hottest bat for the last-place Rockies, carrying a 13-game hitting streak and a sparkling .346 average over the last week. With Brenton Doyle currently sidelined by a side injury, McCarthy has solidified his role as an everyday outfielder and high-leverage table-setter. Our data highlights his recent multi-category contributions, including a home run, five RBIs, and a stolen base across his last six starts.

While our season projection anticipated a .252 batting average, McCarthy is significantly outperforming expectations with a .291 mark through 66 games. His 12 stolen bases have already nearly eclipsed our full-season model of 13, proving his speed is a elite asset in the current Colorado lineup. While his recent .359 pace over the last 14 days is due for some regression, his career-best contact rates suggest he is a legitimate source of average and speed for the rest of the year.

The Rockies finish the week with three games against the Twins, offering McCarthy several intriguing matchups. He will face Taj Bradley and Mike Paredes, who both carry ERAs north of 4.00, before a particularly favorable draw on Sunday against Connor Prielipp and his 1.42 WHIP. Given his current form and guaranteed volume at the top of the batting order, he is an easy lineup choice. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Jake McCarthy
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Durbin over McCarthy

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Durbin

Caleb Durbin Ignites Red Sox Lineup with Elite June Surge

Durbin has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball lately, slashing .500 with two homers and two steals over his last seven games. Despite the fifth-place Red Sox (33-46) struggling in the AL East, the 26-year-old has solidified his role as the everyday third baseman with Nick Sogard and Isiah Kiner-Falefa currently sidelined on the injured list. His recent power display, including a loud blast over the Green Monster against the Yankees, confirms he has completely moved past his early-season slump.

Under the hood, this surge is a massive departure from his early-season struggles, as his .329 average over the last 30 days has rapidly improved his season numbers toward our projected .251 baseline. While a .500 weekly average is unsustainable, his underlying combination of modest pop and speed—reminiscent of his 21 steals in 2025—makes him a high-floor asset when his contact skills are this sharp. Our data suggests he is finally settling into the primary offensive role Boston envisioned when they acquired him.

The Red Sox finish the week with three home games against the first-place Yankees at Fenway Park. While facing Will Warren (3.43 ERA), Gerrit Cole (3.62 ERA), and Carlos Rodon (3.70 ERA) presents a challenging stretch of pitching, Durbin’s current momentum and our projection of nearly 30 fantasy points for the week make him impossible to bench. Given the high-leverage opportunities in the Boston lineup and his elite .538 on-base percentage over the last week, he is a priority lineup fixture. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Caleb Durbin
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Performance Jake McCarthy
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.393165.4140.67926
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.388279.4120.653211
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Caleb Durbin
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.417134.4620.66707
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.381369.4220.690212
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jake McCarthy
OWN
45%
+21.66 compared to last week
START
41%
+20.89 compared to last week
OWN/START Caleb Durbin
OWN
42%
+23.52 compared to last week
START
37%
+23.08 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jake McCarthy
74th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Caleb Durbin
33rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jake McCarthy

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: CF LF RF . However, he plays CF most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 74th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 14th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. Will he keep it up?
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 50 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.366 and is currently ranked 50th
  • Top 25 in batting average with 0.318 and is currently ranked 25th
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 93rd with 0.356
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 40th with 0.524
  • Top 50 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 45th with 0.879
  • Top 100 in steals and is currently ranked 78th with 8
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 161st in RBI with 28
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 167th in runs scored with 27
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.189, OBP: +0.143, HRs: +5, RBI: +30, Runs: +26, Wlks: +9, Stls: +11,
Breakdown Caleb Durbin

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 14th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 260th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.279
  • Ranked 143rd in batting average with 0.264
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 295th with 0.293
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 120th with 0.453
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 175th with 0.746
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 281st with 4
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 222nd in RBI with 21
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 284th in runs scored with 17
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.022, OBP: -0.044, HRs: +2, RBI: +3, Runs: -1, Wlks: +2, Stls: +1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Jake McCarthy

No Injury Reported

Injury Caleb Durbin

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jake McCarthy
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS BOSVictor VodnikW 3-2
Jun 23VS BOSSonny GrayL 2-5
Jun 24VS BOSAntonio SenzatelaW 8-6
Jun 26@MINAndrew MorrisL 9-8
Jun 27@MINMichael LorenzenW 5-8
Jun 28@MINConnor Prielipp
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.391164.4170.73925
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Caleb Durbin
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@COLVictor VodnikL 3-2
Jun 23@COLSonny GrayW 2-5
Jun 24@COLAntonio SenzatelaL 8-6
Jun 25VS NYYConnelly EarlyW 6-3
Jun 26VS NYYPayton TolleW 6-1
Jun 27VS NYYJake BennettW 4-1
Jun 28VS NYYCarlos Rodon
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.237134.2750.368011
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Jake McCarthy
10.57
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Caleb Durbin
8.07
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Jake McCarthy
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 ARI 21 12 2 11 4 2 7 .218 .323 .382 47
2022 ARI 81 83 7 47 41 22 21 .296 .353 .443 293
2023 ARI 89 67 2 33 16 26 25 .243 .314 .326 243
2024 ARI 125 126 8 63 56 23 29 .285 .341 .400 418
2025 ARI 65 42 4 18 20 6 10 .204 .243 .345 156
2026 COL 62 67 6 30 33 12 12 .300 .335 .489 226
ON PACE 121 130 11 58 64 23 23 .300 .335 .489 441
3-YEAR AVG 93 78 5 38 31 18 21 .254 .312 .366 272
Career 443 397 29 202 170 91 104 .268 .323 .399
Career Caleb Durbin
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 MIL 138 122 11 62 54 21 28 .257 .329 .388 450
2026 BOS 72 55 6 29 32 7 15 .229 .284 .383 216
ON PACE 144 110 12 58 64 14 30 .229 .284 .383 432
3-YEAR AVG 69 61 6 31 27 11 14 .257 .329 .388 225
Career 210 177 17 91 86 28 43 .248 .314 .387
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled