Dominate Fantasy - Sync your team
MLB
WSH
BAL
o9
-1.5
1:35PM • PREVIEW MASN
CIN
PIT
o9
-1.5
1:35PM • PREVIEW SN LA
TEX
TOR
o8.5
-1.5
1:37PM • PREVIEW RSN
SEA
CLE
o7.5
+1.5
1:40PM • PREVIEW WUAB
HOU
DET
o8
+1.5
1:40PM • PREVIEW DSN
PHI
NYM
o8.5
+1.5
1:40PM • PREVIEW NBC
ARI
TB
o7.5
-1.5
1:40PM • PREVIEW KTVK
KC
CHW
o8.5
-1.5
2:10PM • PREVIEW CHSN
CHC
MIL
o8.5
-1.5
2:10PM • PREVIEW
COL
MIN
o9
-1.5
2:10PM • PREVIEW MNNT
MIA
STL
o9
-1.5
2:15PM • PREVIEW MIAM
ATH
LAA
o9.5
+1.5
3:15PM • PREVIEW PEAC
ATL
SF
o7.5
+1.5
4:05PM • PREVIEW NBC
LAD
SD
o8
+1.5
4:10PM • PREVIEW SN LA
NYY
BOS
o8
+1.5
7:20PM • PREVIEW NBC

Brandon Sproat or Casey Mize

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Brandon Sproat

Brandon Sproat

SPMilwaukee Brewers MIL
Casey Mize

Casey Mize

SPDetroit Tigers DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Sproat over Mize

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Sproat

Brandon Sproat flashes elite strikeout potential after dominant scoreless outing

The first-place Brewers, currently riding a four-game win streak, have found a spark at the back of their rotation. Sproat is coming off the best start of his career, a dominant six-inning performance where he racked up 10 strikeouts and allowed only a single hit. While he dealt with a minor hamstring cramp earlier in June, he showed no signs of limitation in his most recent turn and remains a healthy, vital piece of the Milwaukee staff according to recent team reports.

Although his 5.69 season ERA and 1.42 WHIP are currently unsightly, his recent underlying metrics suggest a significant breakout is underway. Over his last two starts, he has maintained a stellar 0.54 WHIP and an elite strikeout-per-nine rate, showing much better command than his early-season career stats would indicate. Our data expects positive regression toward a 4.27 ERA for the rest of the year, making his recent surge look like a legitimate step forward rather than a fluke.

Having already completed his scheduled start for the week on June 23, Sproat will spend the upcoming home series against the Cubs on the bench. He is not projected for a second start this week, but his massive fantasy contribution earlier this period has likely already aided managers. Given his current trajectory and high-ceiling arm, he is a priority addition for those needing strikeouts. Verdict: Hold.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Brandon Sproat
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mize over Sproat

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Casey Mize

Casey Mize seeks to regain early-season form in a high-volume week following his return from injury.

Mize has encountered significant turbulence since being activated from the injured list on June 17, surrendering a 6.70 ERA and 1.70 WHIP over his last two starts. The fourth-place Tigers, currently 34-47 and riding a three-game losing streak, have kept him in the fourth spot of their rotation as he works back from recent groin and adductor strains. While he has been hit hard lately, his ability to miss bats remains intact, as he has collected 15 strikeouts over his last 13.4 innings of work.

Under the hood, there is reason for optimism that this cold streak is a post-injury fluke rather than a permanent decline. Prior to his health issues, Mize was enjoying a breakout campaign with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP through his first 55.2 frames, far outperforming his career averages. Our data expects him to eventually settle back toward a 4.11 ERA for the remainder of the season, suggesting fantasy managers should prioritize his long-term rotation stability over these small-sample struggles.

Mize is scheduled for two starts this week, though the front half resulted in a loss to the Yankees on June 23 where he surrendered a 6.35 ERA for the day. He finishes the week on June 28 at home against Houston, facing Hunter Brown, who enters the matchup with a dominant 1.40 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Because of the elite opposing pitching and Mize's current search for rhythm, he is a risky Two-Start Stream who provides volume but carries ratio volatility in the short term.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Casey Mize
Loading...
Performance Brandon Sproat
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-0001000.171
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.911-0001620.542
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Casey Mize
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.920-100611.731
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.240-200921.582
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Brandon Sproat
OWN
12%
+6.27 compared to last week
START
 
7%
+2.59 compared to last week
OWN/START Casey Mize
OWN
68%
-1.55 compared to last week
START
34%
+12.14 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Brandon Sproat
112th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Casey Mize
61st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Brandon Sproat

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 112th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 101st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 81st
  • Currently ranked 119th in ERA with 5.12
  • Top 50 in walks and is currently ranked 49th with 19
  • Currently ranked 181st in wins with 2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 4.6 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +4, WHIP: +1.4, ERA: +5.63, K's: +73, Walks: +32
Breakdown Casey Mize

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 62nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 146th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 25 in WHIP and is currently ranked 25th with 1.05
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 57th with 3.57
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -6, L: +3, WHIP: -0.128, ERA: +0.143, K's: -11, Walks: -5
Next Up Health Check
Injury Brandon Sproat

No Injury Reported

Injury Casey Mize

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Brandon Sproat
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@CINTrevor MegillW 1-2
Jun 23@CINBrandon SproatW 0-2
Jun 24@CINChad PatrickW 5-6
Jun 26VS CHCJacob MisiorowskiW 6-2
Jun 27VS CHCDavid PetersonL 2-8
Jun 28VS CHCRyan Rolison
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.651-0001530.692
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Casey Mize
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS NYYFramber ValdezW 5-3
Jun 23VS NYYCarlos RodonL 3-4
Jun 24VS NYYRyan WeathersL 2-4
Jun 25VS HOUTatsuya ImaiL 1-2
Jun 26VS HOUKeider MonteroW 8-0
Jun 27VS HOUAJ BlubaughL 6-8
Jun 28VS HOUHunter Brown
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.240-200921.582
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Brandon Sproat
7.14
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Casey Mize
9.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Brandon Sproat
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 NYM 4 20.2 290 17 7 0 0-2 4.79 1.21 7.4 31
2026 MIL 15 67.1 1177 73 32 0 2-4 5.61 1.4 9.8 122
ON PACE 30 136 2383 147 64 0 4-8 5.61 1.4 9.8 247
3-YEAR AVG 4 20 290 17 7 0 0-2 4.79 1.21 7.4 31
Career 19 88.0 1467 90 39 0 0-0 5.42 1.35 9.2
Career Casey Mize
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2020 DET 7 28.1 543 26 13 0 0-3 6.99 1.48 8.3 31
2021 DET 29 148.1 2303 115 40 0 7-9 3.7 1.13 7 291
2022 DET 2 10.0 169 4 2 0 0-1 5.4 1.5 3.6 6
2024 DET 22 100.0 1789 78 29 0 2-6 4.68 1.51 7 150
2025 DET 30 150.1 2469 146 40 0 14-6 3.95 1.3 8.7 359
2026 DET 11 55.2 880 58 14 0 2-5 3.07 1.11 9.4 124
ON PACE 21 108 1717 113 27 0 3-9 3.07 1.11 9.4 242
3-YEAR AVG 17 83 1419 75 23 0 5-4 4.21 1.39 8.1 170
Career 101 490.1 8153 427 138 0 0-0 4.15 1.29 7.8
The EDGE you need to WIN!
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled