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Fernando Tatis Jr. or Trevor Larnach

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

RFSan Diego Padres SD
Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach

LFMinnesota Twins MIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Tatis Jr. over Larnach

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Fernando Tatis Jr.

Tatis Jr. finding elite rhythm as multi-category production surges

Tatis Jr. has been on a tear, slashing .337 with six stolen bases over his last 30 days of play. The second-place Padres currently hold a 42-37 record and are riding a three-game win streak into the weekend, with Tatis recently providing a massive game-tying home run on June 24. Despite some roster shuffling due to injuries to teammates like Jake Cronenworth, Tatis remains the focal point of the offense as an everyday starter.

Under the hood, the power numbers have been uncharacteristically low with just three home runs in 78 games compared to our projection of 21 for the year. However, his 19 stolen bases and .283 batting average align perfectly with his high-end career stats, suggesting his overall value remains safely in the top tier. As long as he maintains this .298 clip from the last two weeks, a power surge is likely coming to balance his profile.

The week concludes with a crucial three-game series against the first-place Dodgers at home. Tatis has favorable matchups against Roki Sasaki and Emmet Sheehan, who both carry ERAs over 4.70 and WHIPs near 1.30, providing prime opportunities for counting stats. While Yoshinobu Yamamoto presents a tough challenge on Saturday, Tatis' elite speed makes him a lock in all formats. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Fernando Tatis Jr.
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Larnach over Tatis Jr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach is surging with a 1.010 OPS over the last two weeks, making him a priority fantasy start.

Larnach has been a consistent bright spot for the third-place Twins, who currently hold a 38-44 record and are working to snap a three-game losing streak. Over his last 14 days, the left fielder has been exceptional, batting .371 with two home runs and seven RBI. Our data confirms he is the primary starter in left field, providing much-needed stability to a Minnesota lineup currently navigating several key injuries to the supporting cast.

While our projection forecasted a more modest .247 batting average for the season, Larnach is significantly outperforming that mark with a .276 clip through 66 games. This surge is backed by an improved .373 on-base percentage, which is a notable jump from his career averages. Although his historical data suggests some power volatility may return, his current underlying contact metrics indicate that this high-OBP production is sustainable for the foreseeable future.

The upcoming weekend schedule is incredibly favorable as the Twins host the Rockies for a three-game series. Larnach will match up against a struggling Colorado rotation featuring Tomoyuki Sugano and Ryan Feltner, who both have ERAs near 4.70, and Michael Lorenzen, who carries a bloated 7.33 ERA and 1.87 WHIP. Given these soft matchups and his peak form, he is an easy play to close out the week. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Trevor Larnach
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Performance Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.304143.3330.52216
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.313188.3530.479312
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Trevor Larnach
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.412042.4210.64705
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.4622108.4760.718010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Fernando Tatis Jr.
OWN
100%
+0.35 compared to last week
START
94%
+5.33 compared to last week
OWN/START Trevor Larnach
OWN
18%
+7.53 compared to last week
START
15%
+5.31 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Fernando Tatis Jr.
6th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Trevor Larnach
91st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Fernando Tatis Jr.

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: RF 2B . However, he plays RF most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 6th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 19th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 75 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.358 and is currently ranked 57th
  • Top 50 in batting average with 0.298 and is currently ranked 50th
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 100th with 0.354
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 201st with 0.405
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 148th with 0.759
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 157th with 12
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 258th in RBI with 18
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 203rd in runs scored with 24
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.027, OBP: +0.004, HRs: -12, RBI: -7, Runs: -22, Wlks: -8, Stls: +3,
Breakdown Trevor Larnach

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 91st among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 35th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. Will he keep it up?
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 100 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.347 and is currently ranked 82nd
  • Top 50 in batting average with 0.299 and is currently ranked 48th
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 76th with 0.363
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 125th with 0.448
  • Top 100 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 97th with 0.811
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 382nd with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 247th in RBI with 19
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 173rd in runs scored with 26
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.035, OBP: +0.059, HRs: -7, RBI: -12, Runs: -5, Wlks: +2, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Fernando Tatis Jr.

No Injury Reported

Injury Trevor Larnach

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Fernando Tatis Jr.
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS ATLMichael KingW 1-0
Jun 23VS ATLMason MillerW 7-6
Jun 24VS ATLJP SearsW 5-2
Jun 26VS LADWalker BuehlerW 7-1
Jun 27VS LADYoshinobu YamamotoL 3-15
Jun 28VS LADEmmet Sheehan
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.294144.3330.44128
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Trevor Larnach
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS LADEric LauerL 1-2
Jun 23VS LADJustin WrobleskiL 3-12
Jun 24VS LADShohei OhtaniL 3-4
Jun 26VS COLAndrew MorrisW 9-8
Jun 27VS COLMichael LorenzenL 5-8
Jun 28VS COLRyan Feltner
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.385032.4290.53804
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Fernando Tatis Jr.
15.14
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Trevor Larnach
8.24
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Fernando Tatis Jr.
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2019 SD 84 106 22 61 53 16 30 .317 .371 .590 318
2020 SD 65 69 18 55 49 12 32 .279 .361 .567 267
2021 SD 127 131 40 97 94 24 62 .283 .367 .609 559
2023 SD 141 149 25 91 78 29 53 .259 .323 .450 539
2024 SD 108 120 25 72 56 11 35 .283 .348 .521 416
2025 SD 157 160 25 113 71 33 89 .264 .362 .439 629
2026 SD 79 88 3 35 29 19 30 .284 .350 .368 255
ON PACE 158 176 6 70 58 38 60 .284 .350 .368 510
3-YEAR AVG 135 143 25 92 68 24 59 .267 .345 .465 528
Career 761 823 158 524 430 144 331 .278 .353 .500
Career Trevor Larnach
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 MIN 77 55 6 28 25 1 31 .218 .321 .337 147
2022 MIN 49 36 5 20 18 0 16 .225 .292 .394 109
2023 MIN 58 39 8 26 40 1 27 .213 .311 .415 157
2024 MIN 111 92 15 59 52 4 39 .259 .336 .434 334
2025 MIN 142 125 17 61 60 4 53 .250 .325 .403 405
2026 MIN 65 61 5 37 26 2 26 .288 .372 .434 206
ON PACE 125 117 9 71 50 3 50 .288 .372 .434 397
3-YEAR AVG 104 85 13 49 51 3 40 .246 .326 .416 299
Career 502 408 56 231 221 12 192 .245 .328 .404
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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