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Logan Gilbert or Griffin Jax

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Logan Gilbert

Logan Gilbert

SPSeattle Mariners SEA
Griffin Jax

Griffin Jax

SPTampa Bay Rays TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Gilbert over Jax

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Logan Gilbert

Logan Gilbert continues elite stretch as Mariners staff anchor

Gilbert is currently the most dominant arm in the rotation, recently earning AL Player of the Week honors after a stretch featuring 18 strikeouts and a 1.37 ERA over two starts. The first-place Mariners are 41-41 and currently on a two-game slide, but Gilbert has been a stabilizing force with a 0.61 WHIP over his last 14 days. Despite recent organizational talk of a piggyback plan to manage workloads, he remains the undisputed staff anchor and a high-volume asset.

Under the hood, Gilbert is vastly outperforming our models' season-long expectations of a 3.47 ERA, but his underlying metrics suggest the success is sustainable. Over the last 30 days, he has maintained a stellar 1.79 ERA and an 11.03 K/9 rate, which aligns with the growth shown in his career 2026 stats. While his strand rate may regress slightly toward his career baseline, his elite 1.03 WHIP ensures he remains a premier ratio stabilizer in all fantasy formats.

In the week ahead, Gilbert is scheduled for a road start on June 27 against the Guardians. He faces a favorable matchup against Slade Cecconi, who has struggled with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP this season. Given Gilbert's current form and the statistical advantage over his opposing pitcher, he is a primary option for fantasy managers looking for a quality start and strikeout volume. Start him with absolute confidence.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Logan Gilbert
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jax over Gilbert

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Griffin Jax

Griffin Jax thrives in rotation role with elite strikeout production

Jax is excelling for the second-place Rays (45-33), who enter today on a two-game winning streak. Over his last 14 days, he has maintained a dominant 1.20 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while striking out 17 batters across 15 innings of work. He is currently entrenched as the number four starter in the rotation, a role that remains secure with teammates Steven Matz and Ryan Pepiot currently sidelined on the injured list.

Our data projects a 3.36 ERA and 1.10 WHIP for Jax, figures he has actually outperformed during his recent hot stretch. While his season-long 1.37 WHIP indicates some earlier volatility, his high strikeout upside suggests his recent surge is sustainable. As he continues to transition from a hybrid role to a permanent rotation fixture, expect his ratios to stabilize closer to our projected marks as his command remains sharp.

Jax already provided fantasy value this week with a strong five-inning performance against Kansas City on June 24th, where he allowed zero earned runs and struck out seven. With the Rays hosting Arizona this weekend, Jax is not scheduled for a second start this scoring period but remains a priority hold in all formats. He should be kept in lineups for his next turn against the Diamondbacks' rotation. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Griffin Jax
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Performance Logan Gilbert
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.441-1001520.922
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.692-1002530.753
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Griffin Jax
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000721.401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.802-0001221.102
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Logan Gilbert
OWN
100%
-0.01 compared to last week
START
96%
+14.46 compared to last week
OWN/START Griffin Jax
OWN
51%
+7.64 compared to last week
START
34%
+4.25 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Logan Gilbert
13th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Griffin Jax
68th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Logan Gilbert

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 13th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 8th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 9th with 0.90
  • Top 35 in ERA and is currently ranked 31st with 3.02
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 82nd with 15
  • Top 35 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 30th with 72
  • Top 20 in wins and is currently ranked 18th with 5
  • Top 35 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 31st with 67.0
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +3, WHIP: +0.066, ERA: -0.22, K's: +40, Walks: +14
Breakdown Griffin Jax

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 68th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 96th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 61st with 1.21
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 19th with 2.35
  • Currently ranked 141st in wins with 2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 4.3 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +2, WHIP: +0.064, ERA: -0.933, K's: -7, Walks: +12
Next Up Health Check
Injury Logan Gilbert

No Injury Reported

Injury Griffin Jax

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Logan Gilbert
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23@PITGeorge KirbyW 2-3
Jun 24@PITBraxton AshcraftL 11-1
Jun 25@PITBubba ChandlerL 5-1
Jun 26@CLELuis CastilloW 1-3
Jun 27@CLESlade CecconiL 4-3
Jun 28@CLEGavin Williams
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.210-1001400.992
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Griffin Jax
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS KCMichael WachaL 1-2
Jun 23VS KCLuinder AvilaL 5-12
Jun 24VS KCGriffin JaxW 5-3
Jun 25VS KCIan SeymourW 13-2
Jun 26VS ARINick MartinezW 6-1
Jun 27VS ARIMichael GroveW 4-2
Jun 28VS ARIMerrill Kelly
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000721.401
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Logan Gilbert
17.72
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Griffin Jax
9.67
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Logan Gilbert
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2021 SEA 23 113.2 2022 120 28 0 5-5 4.91 1.22 9.5 228
2022 SEA 33 191.0 3099 179 51 0 13-6 3.25 1.18 8.4 462
2023 SEA 32 188.1 2922 189 36 0 13-6 3.78 1.09 9 483
2024 SEA 33 204.0 3042 220 37 0 9-12 3.31 0.91 9.7 526
2025 SEA 29 143.2 2408 187 34 0 7-7 3.63 1.09 11.7 370
2026 SEA 16 93.0 1493 100 22 0 6-4 3.29 1.01 9.7 236
ON PACE 30 180 2879 192 42 0 11-7 3.29 1.01 9.7 455
3-YEAR AVG 31 178 2791 199 36 0 10-8 3.58 1.02 10 459
Career 166 929.0 14986 995 208 0 0-0 3.65 1.08 9.6
Career Griffin Jax
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2021 MIN 18 82.0 1394 65 29 0 4-5 6.37 1.35 7.1 117
2022 MIN 61 71.0 1105 76 18 1 7-4 3.3 1.01 9.6 173
2023 MIN 75 64.1 1097 73 19 4 6-10 3.78 1.2 10.2 145
2024 MIN 72 68.2 1068 95 15 10 5-5 2.1 0.9 12.5 240
2025 MIN 73 63.2 1093 99 21 0 1-6 4.38 1.34 14 132
2026 TB 22 51.2 842 53 20 0 3-5 3.31 1.35 9.2 97
ON PACE 44 104 1705 107 40 0 6-10 3.31 1.35 9.2 196
3-YEAR AVG 73 64 1086 89 18 5 4-7 3.52 1.16 12.5 173
Career 321 396.2 6599 461 122 0 0-0 4.02 1.2 10.5
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled